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BLOOMBERG Whatd You Miss July 13, 2024

The reason i wanted to look at that index ahead of the Fourth Quarter volatility last year, months in advance, the skew index had been elevated sharply while the vix was basically sleeping. A big tell on the volatility we sought to the downside. Then the Fourth Quarter happened, stocks fell, the vix spiked higher. This year we see volatility indexes basically stuck in a range as the s p 500 is at or near its alltime high. We have the skew index back on the rise. The reason i point this out, it was rising well in advance of the asked years volatility. Something to keep an ion, especially when we have basically been in a period of strong complacency. Sarah i have been watching the all telling yield curve. When you look at the spread we are seeing a flattening today for the 6th straight day. That is the longest streak of flattening since all the way back in august of 2018. Not even those most this most recent august. If you look at the spread right now, roughly 15. 5 basis points. Still h

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