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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 3, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 3, 2023
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Analyzing the Ongoing Chechnya-Russia Power Dynamic With the Kadyrovites

Vladimir Putin's strategic alliance with Ramzan Kadyrov hinges on financial incentives and military support, maintaining a precarious balance of power in Chechnya that faces uncertainty in the event of leadership changes in Moscow or Grozny. Overall, Ramzan's and Vlad's relationship comes down to one dealbreaker money. Putin has a contingency plan for Chechnya whenever Ramzan's time comes. However, whoever succeeds the Russian autocrat may be unprepared for the power vacuum that could come to the North Caucasus if they don't keep the same deal with the Kadyrovites.

Ukraine Latest: Kremlin Warns of Tensions if Poland Sends Troops to Finnish-Russian Border

Don t Jump To Conclusions About Chechen Succession

Opinion | The international media regularly publishes sensationalist headlines about Chechnya. “Chechen boss sidelines son for ‘thug’ sibling,” reads a recent article about Adam Kadyrov, the 16-year-old son of regional leader Ramzan Kadyrov.  This recent spike in interest in Kadyrov’s children relates to the many awards recently bestowed on Adam.

Amid Conflict With Russian Defense Ministry, Mercenaries Formerly Part Of Wagner Group Join Russian National Guard

On August 25, 2023, almost a month after the rebellion of the Wagner Group, Russian Presidential Administration Spoksman Dmitry Peskov, commenting during a briefing with a journalist on the future of the Wagner Group, made a convoluted statement: "Let us not forget that there is no such structure, there is no de jure PMC 'Wagner.' There is, indeed, the 'Wagner' group."[1] Such

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