Ambassador James Dobbins is a senior fellow and distinguished chair of diplomacy and security at the rand corporation. He most recently served as director of the Rand International security and Defense Policy Center. Next, we have seth jones amount directs the National Security and Defense Policy Center at the rand corporation. He served as the representative to the commander of u. S. Special Operations Command to assistant secretary of defense for special operations. So please lets all welcome them. [applause] thank you, dalia. And excuse me, feel like im turning my back on all of you there. We are any time in my 30 years, 30 plus years at least of going to the middle east where i think there are more divisions, chaos and depression than i can ever remember. We will try, as dalia said, to focus on some opportunities. I hope my colleagues will have some. It is really an honor for me to get to moderate the panel because im yes, i trust year trusty her here but i would says even if i wer
Im going to resist the temptation to come to new and minimumwage debate. [laughter] please do. Im happy to have one offline after we are done but just to be responsive to the question about millennials, you know i think one very concrete tangible reality that many people in your age cohort are facing in student debt and i think we are ripe as a country for a cross party cross ideological conversation about how to reform our student debt system and its not simply a matter of using the terms of debt. Its also thinking about to what extent has the presence and expansion of loans contributed to the escalation of the cost of college. We have to have an honest crosscutting look at this but its got to be one that is led actually by those of you in the millennial generation whose citizens are experiencing the pain and i think if you can get an issue like that would be a tangible way to get started in the country. Lets get some more questions please. Good morning. My name is charles and im a te
Of these have been licensed so far. Curious how did you treat that issue in Going Forward . In europe, we have today a significant amount opposite of poland, germany, france, u. K. But we cannot expect to in the next 10 years it will bring a major contribution to that supply. Having said that, if it starts to work very hard and if it gets rid of the dogmatic barriers we have in front of us, not to make use, it it may well help us at least two the european production and as such could he an important factor in improving the competitors of europe. This will not be enough to cause the gap between europe and the United States, but it can definitely be helpful in terms of narrowing the gap and also put forward the gas security of europe. Nuclear energy in china is definitely one of the most important push that china past and his Energy History when we look at our numbers. China is making a lot of efforts on efficiency, im renewables. But the Nuclear Numbers are very coming very impressive,
Get the turks and the turks wont do it unless we go after assad. So are we getting sucked deeper and deeper, and back to the original question, what should we do, jim . Well, i mean, i think theres no doubt that isis eventually will be driven out of the Population Centers in iraq or at least lose control of them. I mean, they may go underground but they will lose control because theyre a minority of the sunni population which is a minority of the iraqi population, and so the kurds and the shia between them with whatever marginal help they get from the sunnis are eventually going to retake that territory with our assistance, and i dont think that means that you have to put american infantry on the ground. There are boots on the ground. There will be forward observers and advisers and some of them may get killed, but thats a different level of engagement. The real question is syria. I mean, this group emerged out of syria. Many of them are iraqis, but essentially emerged out of syria. It
But theres another narrative that says that no, negotiations have to be tried because their common interest to the world is changing. The main threat in the region as defined by ran itself is not the United States but it is actually isis. Add that if there is a real negotiation and if there is a given day, if i ran into a strategic utility to the United States, a to relationship can emerge. If these negotiations collapse it will be the indication of the wrong narrative and that will put back into charge the people in iran who prefer to drive a more confrontational foreign policy, visavis the est. I had two questions. Been talking a lot about the difference in kind of the u. S. And iran, the cooperation if this deal were to go forward. Im just kind of wondering, other than these neutral interests, what is the part of the u. S. Gains from this deal . And also there was some mention the hit the gulf states will take if the oil prices would drop. I think mr. Hill said three or four years o