Natural-process coffee on a raised drying bed. Daily Coffee News photo.
Researchers from parts of Africa and Europe have shed new light on how climate change may affect what’s considered “specialty coffee” growth in Ethiopia throughout the rest of this century.
Incorporating advanced modeling for climates, topography and soils using specific geographical reference points throughout the Ethiopian coffeelands, the research provides a first-of-its-kind prediction of how specific Ethiopian coffee growing regions will be affected through 2090.
At the same time, the research explains the market-related consequences of such changes, identifying the real or perceived value of certain Ethiopian origins or geographic indications such as Yirgacheffe, Sidamo, Harar, Nekemte and Limu within the differentiated specialty coffee market.
Climate Change Is Making It Harder to Get a Good Cup of Coffee
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Researchers shed light on effect of climate change on good coffee production
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Ethiopia may produce less specialty coffee and more rather bland tasting varieties in the future.
This is the result of a new study by an international team of researchers that looked at the peculiar effects climate change has on Africa s largest coffee producing nation.
Their results are relevant both for the country s millions of smallholder farmers, who earn more on specialty coffee than on ordinary coffee, as well as for baristas and coffee aficionados around the world.
“Climate change has conflicting impacts on coffee production in Ethiopia. The area that is suitable for average quality coffee might actually increase gradually until the 2090s, according to our computer simulations,” says lead author Abel Chemura from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). “Yet more is not necessarily better. Because on the flipside, the suitable area for high quality specialty coffee types which are valued for their floral, fruity and spicy notes, will likely shrink