very, very tight. that s right. a number of senate races we re looking at starting, of course, with texas. because beto o roarke, the democratic challenger is ahead. pretty significantly. 51.3% to ted cruz the incumbent, and half the vote in. rick scott, the republican in florida is ahead 50%. 50.5%, rather. nelson, 49 .5%. one percentage point is separating the candidates with 95% of the vote in. i also want to go to missouri. this is one of those states where the president won by double digits and the republican challenger josh hawley is ahead. mccaskill is trailing. he s the incumbent democrat. a different story in west virginia. joe manchin is ahead 51.9%.
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want to get your thoughts on the democratic race, post last democratic debate hillary surged forward in her numbers nationally. quintin 51.3, martin o malley all the way down, i was specific, national spread is even larger for mrs. clinton. are we at the point and now where there s not much that can be real hillary clinton? you are an expert in this and i want your thoughts. is she worried about the fbi investigation, e-mails coming back in those kinds of things? the fbi investigation is a big unknown. you don t know what is going to happen, no one knows what will happen. leave that aside. it is hard to consider what you don t know. we do know hillary clinton seems to have nomination very close to wrapped up. she has to win the state, a big factor but bernie sanders, his star has faded.
1980. if they continue to be a majority, 52, 53% of the electorate. if you are losing that big after chunk by 13, 14, 15 or higher, the math becomes, the numbers don t add up at some point. i this i if romney can get it down to 10, 9, even 11, he could win. the reality on both sides, especially for romney, is that romney is not winning this election. i would be stunned if he did, with 52, 253, 54% of the popular vote. if he wins, i think he wines with 50.7. 51.3. the can country is just so divided that a particularly with romney and his path. it is hard to imagine popular vote wise or electoral vote that he wince with a sweeping majority. the numbers don t add up. i don t agree with that. o. i think romney s key here is the larger argument. if he wins in toward order to get to 50, he has to win the
14, 15 or higher, the numbers don t add up at some point. now, i think if romney can get it down to 10, 9, maybe even 11, he could win. the reality on both sides, chris, but essentipecially for romney, mitt romney is not winning this election i would be stunned if he did with 53, 54, 55% of the popular vote. if he does, he will win by 51.7, 51.3. it s hard to imagine either popular vote wise or even in the electoral vote. i think romney s key here is the larger argument. in order to get to 50, he has to win the larger argument that somehow he s going to make the economy better, so if he does that, i think suddenly getting to 52 and 53 becomes easier,