poll s 3% margin of error. and in florida that poll has president obama at 48 and mitt romney at 47. another statistical tie. tonight nate silver of the new york times 538 blog forecasts that on november 6th president obama will win 300 electoral college votes and mitt romney will win 238 and president obama s chance of re-election ticked up tonight in nate silver s calculations to 78.4%. and finally, george w. bush has entered the presidential campaign. he did that today when he was dragged into it by his little brother in florida. do you honestly think that this president is capable of bringing people together? his entire strategy is to blame others. starting with my brother, of course. basically, he blames every possible thing, rather than having the humility to be able
2008. i know the republicans are focused on a slew of national polls. we re looking at the battleground states that will decide the elections. as you can see from the polls today, they re very encouraging for the president. ben, i know you have a busy day today. thanks for taking the time to talk to us. good luck. thanks. appreciate it. p d.dana, when you look at o polls, it might be tight, but the president does still have a need. the new york times numbers gu row tweeted obama has a 78.4% chance to win the electoral college in his 538 forecast. his lead is holding in these tipping point states. five days left. you know, the way we do this is they re dead in the middle. where do you think this race is right now? i think it s very enjoyable to see karl rove come out with his projections. he does the same thing before
on november 6th president obama will win 300 electoral college votes. and mitt romney will win 238. and president obama s chance of re-election ticked up tonight in nate silver s calculations to 78.4%. and finally, george w. bush has entered the presidential campaign. he did that today when he was dragged into it by his little brother in florida. do you honestly think that this president is capable of bringing people together? his entire strategy is to blame others. starting with my brother, of course. basically, he blames every possible thing, rather than having the humility to be able to reach out and define common ground. and the fight over who is the real friend of the auto industry continued today. the facts, they speak for themselves. president obama took gm and chrysler into bankruptcy.
consumer-driven economy like that of the united states, how people feel is the key determina determinant. the number you ll tell our viewers about shortly is consumer sentiment, how do you feel about the economy now, how do you feel about it in the future, and this number is as strong as it s been since october of 2007. i want to take you back to october of 2007 and tell you what was going on. dow was at 14,000. it had set a new record. we had just started to see weakness on the housing front. but things were still feeling pretty good. it was only after that, only after october into december of 2007 when the recession started did people start to say, uh-oh, something is wrong with this economy. remember, john, it s when people, americans, consumers start to feel something is wrong, they start to act that way, they spend less, and this starts to create job losses. so this is very key that we re back up to where we were in october 2007 when things felt pretty good. it s key,
average for presidents, an average when they win, it s 95.9. when they lose rksz 78.4. the consumer confidence index, 55.7. talk about that, faith and leadership. this is a cartoon we liked this week from jimmy s the record of hackensack, new jersey. the president is in a boat because of the flood zone. he s got a copy in his hand. he says i remember when i couldn t walk on this water. this is a fact that it s great expectation now a great disappointment in the president not just on the right, but his supporters. i hope he can save the cartoons. teddy roosevelt loved them and put them on his wall. it s a political crisis as well as economic crisis. he has to be able to persuade