for being on with us. let s get to cnn s harry 50% of adults fully vaccinated by today, can you break down the numbers for us, harry? i can, and thanks for the tease, by the way. look, here s the situation, look at where we were last week compared to where we were this week, the rate that we ve been increasing and what we see is that, in fact, we ve been going up significantly. as of monday, 49.8%, up 2.7 points from last week, doing a good job vaccinating. looks we continue that pace we ll reach 50% plus, that s expected today. but here s the even better news as we look to the future, right, so july 4th there s that biden idea that we would get 70% plus of age 18 with at least one shot. right now we re at 61.5% but there s been a 1.81 increase in the last week. if that current rate holds by july 4th we will, in fact, reach that 70% plus. we ll be at 72%. and there s a little push to give there. even if we fall a little bit short and we don t increase as
flooding, pedram? as nick eluded to, we re going to see the water drop in some areas upstream. we ll show you what happened here. we re looking at the totals every wom overwhe overwhelmington. 44 inches will be normal. the wettest year in the years of recordkeeping across the area. you compare it to seattle, washington. 38 inches per year. miami, florida, gets about 62 inches per year. wilmington, north carolina, outdoes them by a couple of feet. you look at some of the gauges in cape fear and fayetteville. we just crested below the record at 61.5 feet. the water levels are drop sunday afternoon. they will still be in flood stage but receded across that
in places that are already saturated. now let me get you to some gauges here. this is the alarming risk of what we re seeing in north carolina. this is the cape fear river near fayetteville, it was down here at 15 on friday, now it s up to 62 feet high, forecast chest at 61.5, we will round it up. for the whack mau river at conway going to 19 feet from 8, well over record stage, but that doesn t happen until sunday. these record rainfalls in these still coming downhill will still create more flooding. here is the northeast cape fear river, the gauge broke at 24 because that was the upper limit. no one ever thought that we would ever get higher than that. now we have no idea. we have no idea where this river is at this point. let me get to something else that s alarming. there s 1,100 road closures. if you say to somebody at work today nothing happened in this hurricane, tell that to these people who have 1,100 roads they can t drive on and waters in some places are still rising.
it fell. it fell to 59. that s kind of the history on these absentee ballots, they tend look, stale republill an win? they tend to favor democrats on election day. if that past holds, that the republican got 59. if that pattern holds, you re looking at 51 in the absentee for saccone. you re not making up that kind of gap. washington county, it s very republican. not westmoreland at 60% here. he was about 61.5% here. if that same thing happened with the absentees, there could even be a chance that lamb could gain on the absentee votes in washington county. we talked about this recount. it s 49.88 for conor lamb right now. 49.51. that is a difference of 38/100
point there, look at the races. ted cruz. he s going to do very well in his race, right? then you look at the races like jeb bush s son, george p. bush did surprisingly well. were you surprised at the turn outfor him? i wasn t. he s done an incredibly good job as texas land commissioner. he can theoretically use that as a spring board to other offices if he should so choose. what i was surprised about is how bido o rourke, cho is very popular in the progressive circles in texas and nationally at this point, he underperformed wendy davis four years ago. wendy davis got 79% of the democratic vote. he underperformed at 61.5%. when i saw that, i said whoa, wait a second. the challengers were no names were no real money. on the flip side, there s evidence of democratic enthuse a