56 hours until the polls open with a leader is campaigning for every single one of your votes, but what is really going on behind the scenes? welcome to newsnight, for your nightly interviews and insight. and we will bring both to you on the week when you decide who s going to run our country for the next five years. tonight, we have the man who compiles the exit poll which you will see at 10pm this thursday on the bbc one election programme, professor sirjohn curtice. that should give you us, we hope the first accurate forecast of the election result. we also we have harriet harman, former labour minister, former labour deputy leader and an mp for over a0 years, standing down this time. and we have sir craig oliver, former director of communications for prime minister david cameron. welcome. and nick is here as always. cards on the table, i m after numbers, sir craig oliver, what would be a best and worst case scenario for the conservatives politically this thursday? the
many people, we ll have a brighter spring coming. john: dr. adams, president biden continues to call it a pandemic of the unvaccinated and msnbc host said unvaccinated should be punished. at some point i feel like people who are not vaccinated, fine, don t get vaccinated but they should pay more of the cost of what this is going doing to the system. they are collapsing our health system, the ones in the e.r., they are taking it up. john: kaiser family foundation found a significant number of minorities are among the unvaccinated, rate of vaccination among whites, 60.3%. among blacks, 53.8%, and penalizing the unvaccinated would fall heavily on minorities, and the idea it s not a pandemic of the unvaccinated because people who are vaccinated are getting it and spreading it.
the democrat, melanie stansbury, won 60.3% of the vote. she had a 24.6% margin, joe biden had a 23% margin in that district. the continuation of trumpism does not seem to be helping. that was an urban district, a heavily democratic district. i don t think we should read too much into it. but the larger point is that this assumption that the democrats are necessarily going to lose seats in the 2022 midterms because of voter suppression and the normal physics of american politics, where the party out of the white house almost always loses seats, that assumption may be false. and the reason for that is some of what zerlina was talking
it goes one season, gets canceled, and has a cult following. that very much cares about a reboot of that show, or a new season of that show. but everybody else has moved on. i think the country in this case is a party that moves on. we want to go beyond donald trump. and i think the long term impact of the republican party sticking with him this long, is going to face consequences of that decision in the long term. jonathan, we saw a consequence last night in new mexico. a special election to fill the seat in the first congressional district. deb haaland seat. she s gone on to the biden cabinet. and the data democrat melanie stands very one, 60.3% of the vote. she had a bigger margin there than joe biden. she had a 24%, 24.6% margin. joe boyden had a 23% margin in that district. deb haaland, just in the lac selection, had only a 16%
to explain it. yeah and he talks a lot about den mark. and i wanted to get into that a bit with you. according to the new york times, denmark taxes the living daylights out of citizens. the top rate is 60.3%. there is a 25% national sales tax. denmark s tax take is almost half its national income. many americans would look at those numbers and kind of freak out. well i think that, you know, that is why we need to have this debate. if you live in denmark, every person has healthcare as a right. it is not a privilege as given to people who can afford it. in denmark you get two and a half months of paid family medical leave if you need it. there are a lot of systems in place to build the middle class. listen, denmark is not going to be the model for the united states. this is the biggest economy in the world. the most powerful makes the in the world. but what bernie sanders is talking about is looking at other countries like germany, kids don t have to pay to go to