glenn youngkin is the winner of republican s high-profile race for governor, with 99% of the expected vote in. youngkin leads democrat terry mcauliffe by about 72,000 votes. and in new jersey, the governor s race there is still too close to call. incumbent democrat phil murphy and his republican challenger jack ciattarrelli are tied at 49.6%. let s do right to the big board and national political correspondent for nbc news and msnbc, steve kornacki. steve, break down what happened in virginia. well, here you go. glenn youngkin, the republican, a state last year that biden carried by double digits. youngkin gets it by two points. what happened? a lot of ways to break this down. one is to think about this regionally. we talked so much coming into yesterday s election about northern virginia. basically the area i m circling on the map right here, right
county. where the republican vote is in these red counties you have a high percentage of the vote counted. now let s turn the tables. let s come over here to essex county, which is newark, the third largest of the counties, only 18% of the vote. phil murphy is getting 80% plus. this is a giant basket of votes. it s early. there s a lot of math to be done. hudson county, the third largest in the state. jersey city right here just across the river or through the tunnel, however you want to do it. 81% for phil murphy. you move up to bergen county, the suburban new york area, a lot of them commute back to new york. it s more competitive but only 5% of the vote in. you got 57% here last time when he won quite comfortably. come up here to passaic county. bring it back look at this. ciattarelli, 49.6% of the vote, phil murphy, 49.5% of the vote. 30% of the vote in, but ciattarelli has taken the lead. he has taken the lead in a race where this is not a great
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republican support, could ve been republican support and is very divided claimant politically that we are in and i could have been a win for democrats. we might be having a different discussion in virginia and we ll see what happens with new jersey today. strong stuff there. i ll give you the last word. but before i do i want to ask the folks, maybe you can help me with this, what s the vote total in new jersey? i was watching a train closer and closer about an hour and a half ago with 10,000 votes. jack ciattarelli was out in front and went down to 4,000 vote lead. let s take a look down here. it s neck and neck, 49.7 versus 49.6. doing some quick math, that s about six or 700 votes there. jason, your final thoughts for this segment? look, if the democrats keep doing what they are going to do, they are going to keep having the results they are having. have added. america has figured out that this socialist approach to what
the race for governor of new jersey a dead heat at this hour. just look at the big board. 49.6. 49.6. can you believe it? and glenn youngkin will be the next governor of virginia, beating out democrat terry mcauliffe. i want to bring in now cnn s senior political analyst, mr. ron brownstein. and here we are, ron. how are you, sir? this is a culmination of everything we have been speaking about over the last couple of months. yep. how much of what we see tonight do you think has to do with the democrats inability to pass biden s agenda? i think it has to do primarily with biden s weakness and the failure to pass the agenda is contributing to that. i mean, it s probably not the principal element. the principal element is dissatisfaction with the immediate conditions in the country. inna inn inflation, covid, starting with afghanistan. but look, don, what happens to the president s party in midterms is they run into two