year was plus 14. kerry didn t end up as the president, bush did. it s not always dispositive of what is going to come out. let me give you another number, and that may be a better indication of momentum. the real clear politics average of all the polls recently. it shows literally down to the 10th of a point a flat-footed tie. 46.4% for obama. 46.4% for romney. the obama number is coming down, the romney number is coming up. they meet at 46.4, and if you look back the last couple of weeks, bill, to when romney picked paul ryan as his running mate it s been straight up for romney. momentum probably an overstatement, but the direction, the path seems to be better for romney than obama coming into this convention. bill: we ll watch and see where that goes a week from today too. i ve heard you talk a lot about the 1964 convention, that you apparently have vivid memories of. you reflect too on 1980 when
it really could not be tighter. 46.4% for president obama in average of all the polls right now. 46.3% for governor romney. and you know a recent piece on abc talked about, how the president may in some ways be his own worst enemy. what he talked about the last time around in terms of hope and change set up many of the people who were supportive of him for some disillusion mane and disappointment. how do you talk to those people in a frank, honest say way and say we re not where we ought to be right now and you ought to give us another chance? in terms of your first question in terms of bounce, chairman priebus said they would get a visible bounce out of tampa and they didn t. gallup poll ranked romney s speech as the worst speech in 1996. martha: there are polls 3, 4, 6, see how it shakes out both sides. we ll have honest
gunned down. the supreme court begins hearing arguments this morning as 26 states challenge president obama s health care overhaul. at the heart of the debate? whether the individual insurance mandate is constitutional. and president obama is joining lead errs of more than 50 nations in seoul, south korea this morning for the 2012 nuclear security summit. the president kicking things off with a stinging warning to north korea. a developing story from afghanistan. nato officials say a gunman wearing an army uniform, an afghan army uniform, killed two coalition members in southern afghanistan before he himself was shot dead. this follows the shooting rampage by a u.s. army soldier that killed up to 17 afghan villagers just earlier on this month. in chile, rocked by a major earthquake, the 7.1 magnitude quake shoot buildings in santiago and triggered a coastal evacuation. three injuries are reported, no major damage however. one minute past 5:00. it s become emotional, i
the florida and ohio drug testing laws come at a time when republicans are launching a new attack on the working poor. texas governor rick perry expressed outrage at 46.4% of households paid no federal income tax in 2011. we re dismayed at the injustice that almost half of all americans don t pay any income tax. he is not out raged at the injustice that half work and take so little that their take home pay barely covers necessities, but he is outraged that they don t pay taxes. what we are seeing is that the category of welfare queen has simply expanded to now include the working poor, and those
jpmorgan speaking from tokyo. well the tsunami and earthquake s effects are far from over. many fell to its lowest levt level in nearly a decade. we want to show you pmi, purchasing manager s index there. the pmi fell to 46.4 down from 52.9 in the previous month. anything below 50 indicates contraction. carmakers have been hit especially hard. carmakers like toyota. toyota is the world s biggest carmaker and it had to stop production at more than a dozen of its assembly plants in japan. it only gradually began to resume production this past monday. and then honda, they plan to resume limited production of some of its japanese plants early next week but at 50% of prequake output and it s also