clinton s electoral map advantage. take a look at the most recent poll. in michigan, 42% to 38%. that s a four-point race in a state where barack obama beat mitt romney by nine points. this is too close for comfort for the democrats. that s why you see so much campaign activity there. also out last night, brand new des moines register poll in iowa, 46% to 39%, seven-point lead for donald trump in iowa. this causes concern not so much about iowa, which the clinton folks already thought was out of reach, but what else is happening around iowa, if that is happening in iowa. let s go to the electoral map and look at the path to 270. hillary clinton at 268, only two shy of 270. where does she go to find it? they feel pretty good about nevada. they think the early vote there is really good. that gets her over to 274. but this is what s critical. if donald trump is able to dig into a place like michigan, look at that. it drops hillary clinton down to
is happening in iowa. let s go to the electoral map and look at the path to 270. hillary clinton at 268, only two shy of 270. where does she go to find it? they feel pretty good about nevada. they think the early vote there is really good. that gets her over to 274. but this is what s critical. if donald trump is able to dig into a place like michigan, look at that. it drops hillary clinton down to 258. where does she go to find the rest? she must get a big battleground prize like florida or north carolina. that would do it to get her back over 270. but that is going to require some work. that is why you see barack obama, hillary clinton, bill clinton heading to michigan in the final days. they need to keep fortifying that blue wall. jake? just how worried should democrats be? with me here, our panel, cnn chief political dana bash, mr. spicer, jennifer granholm, van
one northern part of maine, that electoral vote we moved towards donald trump. now, what does this mean for his path at this point? because remember, she may hillary clinton may have just fallen below 270 but she s still only two away. he s at 204. he needs to sweep every remaining ballottleground state our map and the battleground district in nebraska, they award electoral votes by district, if he gets that one there, he goes to 270. hillary clinton for her part, back to our battleground map now, our new map, she s at 268. any one of these yellow states she can flip. new hampshire, the smallest one of them, and that gets her to 272. hillary clinton still has more paths than trump. his steep hill became a little less steep in this map but it s still the kind of map where he has to completely sweep everything. still four days to go. david, thank you. david chalian reporting. hillary clinton is trying to
now. the reason is, if hillary clinton wins every democrat state, six presidential elections and she wins florida, that s 271 electoral votes, andrea. it s over. he has to have that. that is a big state, 29 electoral votes. you can t make that up. with all the i don t think this is happening, but the new mexicos and new hampshires of the world, don t make that up. that s the one he absolutely that one and north carolina are the two he absolutely must have for there to be any plausible path to 270. hillary clinton is you know, we saw how they were on the campaign trail before that friday bombshell. since then they ve been pretty hunkered down. reaching out, firing up crowds, bigger crowds than she s had before, but not being accessible or doing interviews, at least not so far. she s been doing interviews with primarily african-american media, radio shows and so forth.
news for the trump campaign. nevada. key to obama s victories. the nbc poll has it 43% to 43%. a dead heat in nevada. a critical state for trump as he tries to get to 270. hillary clinton hopes to block him. let s go to the map which is the race for 270. we have secretary clinton winning, but what does the data do? it makes us think about nevada. maybe trump can take nevada. if he does that, he changes the map. what about florida? if he can do that, she is still is above 270, but trump is back in play. still a steep hill for the final dozen days. he must win north carolina and ohio and mike pence campaigning in the west. trump doesn t have these states yet. if he gets them back, he is in play. even then, he needs to change another blue state to get there.