break up the coherency of the ukrainian army, and if he does, it will be a bloody battle but he should be able to achieve his objectives in a very short time. one point i would make, i think the alternative that putin is looking for is zelenskyy to stand up and say rather than go into a war i will not join nato. that s what he s trying to achieve. he s trying to bully ukraine to back down. the french president as he was leaving a meeting one of his aides gave a read out to reporters and he said he noticed vladimir putin no longer the same as the one he had seen in december of 2019. macron had found the kremlin a man at the same time stiffer, more isolated, basically gone into some sort of ideological insecurity minded drift, as his aides call it. do you see, as you assess what we know and what you know you have access to more information than we do is this a different vladimir putin or the