kristen walker following the campaign outdoors. thank you both for being with me. now to that new polling we promised you on the race. steve kornacki is here with all the numbers. great to see you. good morning. great to see you, jose. we re in the year 2016 and now we have for you the very first poll of the year 2016. this is the nbc news online. this is a tracking poll we re going to be doing every week from here on out. this is the state of the republican race as we enter 2016. national poll ear. you see donald trump basically with a 2-1 lead over his nearest rival tfva rival, ted cruz. marco rubio the on other one in double figures. a month ago ben carson was challenging donald trump for the lead. those days are long gone. jeb bush, chris christie, they are way back in this thing obviously. both of them are banking on doing well in those early states, in new hampshire thinking that can jump up their