at this point, the most likely outcome is probably a 50/50 senate with whomever the vice president is breaking the tie. we keep talking about tuesday as though it s election day. but in fact, 40 million people roughly have already voted. what do we know from the early voting? what conclusions can you draw? i think that we know this is a presidentialelectorate. this will not be a low-turnout election. many parts of the country, the turnout will surpass that of 2012. a presidential electorate will draw millions of young and non-white voters. it may not be the same as the electorate that voted for the president in 2012. hispanic voters could tick up perhaps significantly, but the electorate we re seeing is largely the electorate assumed by the polls. we see a real surge in hispanic voting, right? that wasn t inevitable, and there are parts of the country right now where the early vote has already exceeded the total
afternoon, it might change a little bit. in my opinion, maybe six or seven seats are going to determine this. what s so interesting is you have seen the polls in the different state move in different directions. if you look at a state like pennsylvania, katie mcginty, the democratic candidate, moved up. if you look at missouri, you saw jason candor, who had a lot of momentum, has slowed down. at this point, the most likely outcome is probably a 50/50 senate with whomever the vice president is breaking the tie. we keep talking about tuesday as though it s election day. but in fact, 40 million people roughly have already voted. what do we know from the early voting? what conclusions can you draw? i think that we know this is a presidential electorate. this will not be a low-turnout election. many parts of the country, the turnout will surpass that of 2012. a presidential electorate will draw millions of young and non-white voters. it may not be the same as the electorate that voted f
we ve seen in 2012. hispanic votes increased by 22,000. florida, north carolina, two key states in this race for the presidency, we ll keep an eye on them all the way through election night. brooke? all right, mark preston, thank you so much. let s dip back into stevie wonder performing for a crowd ahead of the president of the united states. here he is. higher higher higher higher [ cheers and applause ] are you ready? are you ready? here we go.
yet, despite mcconnell s best efforts to oppose something because president obama supports it, the new s.t.a.r.t. treaty that has voted to pass. chalk up one more big win for the president in this lame duck session. plus, once again, the kinsley rule from the columnist michael kinsley. that is the rule that people get in the most trouble when they say what they believe. somewhere in mind, governor barbour remembers some good things. he said that about councils. today, he called the groups indefensible. the census numbers are out. republican red states gain and democratic blue states lost. we ll talk to the hardball strategists about how these changes changes the calculus for 2012. hispanic power in the southwest. it also certainly helps the state of florida, which has become a very, very important big and growing state.
oppose something because president obama supports it, the new s.t.a.r.t. treaty that has voted to pass. chalk up one more big win for the president in this lame duck session. plus, once again, the kenzie rule, that people get in the most trouble when they say what they believe. somewhere in mind, governor barbour remembers some good thipgs. today, he called the groups indefensible. the census numbers are out. republicans red states gain and democratic blue states lost. we ll talk to the hardball strategists about how these changes changes the calculus for 2012. hispanic power in the southwest. it also certainly helps the state of florida, which has become a very, very important big and growing state. let finish tonight with why