stands for! plus president biden following through on a core campaign pledge wiping away thousands of dollars in student loan debt. and russia s war on ukraine turns six months old today, still locked in a bloody stalemate. translator: we re holding on for six months. it s difficult for us. we clenched our fists, fighting for our fate. up first, is it momentum or just a moment? democratic lawmakers and strategists hope a win in new york s special election stops a midterm drift 11 weeks before november. the verdict out of hudson valley is that democrat pat ryan will now represent new york s 19th district, that s where president biden won in 2020 by just 1.5 percentage points. democrats see major national political implications in ryan s surprise win because the candidate made abortion the
happen. but matt gates we predicted is going to win. he s going to win by a wide margin in the republican primary for florida s first district. a lot of the drama in florida kind of overflowing. and, now as you say, we are starting to shift to new york and that question of when the polls close, at the top of the, are what is going to happen in the 19th district? this is pat ryan, the democrat mark molinaro. the backdrop it s a district voted for joe biden by two points in 2020. if you roll the clock back to 2016, there was a trump district. it was trump, then it flipped over to biden in 2020. this is exactly the kind of district that fits the kind of profile if republicans are having a good year, if it s a midterm climate, they are open for, live it s the midterm climate, everybody pretty much expected a month or two ago. this is exactly the kind of race that mullah nero would win. probably won by a big margin. but if democrats, we see a tightening in the generic ballot, we ve seen som
just in terms of setting the ng stage. the special election in new york s 19th district. pat ryan the democrat defeated malinaro the republican. ryan will go to the congress to fill the remainder of delgado s term. what makes this such a significant result. several things. this really is the last major special election test before november s election. and it comes after a two-month period when we have been questioning, folks have beenbe questioning, whether the political environment in this country might be changing away from the republican s favor and in the democrat s direction. there have been aem number of things happening in the last few months. i one, the generic ballot. which party would you like to see control congress, democrats or republicans. earlier this year, republicans had been winning on that
if you re still up, thanks for the california coffee this morning. why exactly are we so focused on this 19th district the special election, upstate new york? yeah, willie, good morning to you. the reason is, we ve been asking the question for the last two months, i think certainly triggered by that supreme court decision overturning roe v. wade and other backers. we ve been asking the question whether the political climate broadly, nationally, has shifted away from ones in which republicans were in a strong, over dominant position heading into the midterm elections to one that perhaps is nor neutral and democrats have an opportunity at the senate and potentially the house level that, frankly, not even democrats thought they would have a few months ago. the backdrop for the special election. you see the final result, pat ryan, the democrat to defeat marc molinaro, just over or two points. this is a classic swing district that ryan did this. in the 2020 presidential election, joe bide
election tonight as a real test, a bell weather district. what i m showing you here is how this 19th district voted in recent presidential elections. it wept for donald trump in 2016. it flipped and went for biden narrowly in 2020 when biden won the presidency. if you went back to 2012, this district voted for barack obama in 2012.ar it s been right there with the winner of every presidential election. and it s the kind of district in a really strong midterm environment for republicans, midterm environment that s really strong for republicans, this is the exact kind of district they have no problem flipping in a special election. if a republican wave were already had already been built, two-point biden district, that swo the first thing that gs in a political wave. instead, what s happened tonight in this bell weather district is the democrats have won it. and actually pat ryan outperforms, looks like he ll