beat rick santorum for the republican nomination. he didn t get a bounce after he picked paul ryan or after the convention, but he is after this debate. so we are seeing a lot of movement right now, but i think the best gauge of where this race will be is when we move on a week or two from now where we see where all the dust settled after a volatile period in the numbers. i thought you were going to say when our new nbc news poll comes out that s what we know. with that said the pugh poll says if the election were held today, that s 49/45 amongst likely voters. amongst registered voters barack obama 46%, mitt romney 46%. the gallup daily tracking likely voters, obama 47, romney 49. if you can keep up up at this point, 49/46. the state polls caught your eye as well, michigan in particular. you look at those numbers.
new polling from some key midwestern battlegrounds. first to ohio. a newp pp poll, president obama s lead there is four points, 49 to 45. ppp tends to lean democratic but the new columbus dispatch poll shows the president with a lead more than twice as big. he s up nine in the newspaper poll. 51/42. in iowa, a new des moines register poll has the president up 49/45. that s been a tricky state, iowa. we ll be right back.
80% who disapprove of the economy feel strongly about it. half the people who approve of his performance, less than half feel strongly about it. he s being driven the wrong way on the economy. sean: there s also in this poll, people that are likely to vote in the midterms, democrats over republicans. have a 56-41% margin, that s a 15 point margin can you read a lot into that? no, i can. simple way to look at this, if you look at all voters, all voters a rl sean: hang on, are you writing that as you go? i m going man. 47/46 among all voters. among likely voters it is 49/45. among independents likely to vote, 53% republican, 36% democrat. talk about being way upside down with the swing voters. these are the people that
80% who disapprove of the economy feel strongly about it. half the people who approve of his performance, less than half feel strongly about it. he s being driven the wrong way on the economy. sean: there s also in this poll, people that are likely to vote in the midterms, democrats over republicans. have a 56-41% margin, that s a 15 point margin can you read a lot into that? no, i can. simple way to look at this, if you look at all voters, all voters a rl sean: hang on, are you writing that as you go? i m going man. 47/46 among all voters. among likely voters it is 49/45. among independents likely to vote, 53% republican, 36% democrat. talk about being way upside down with the swing voters. these are the people that