you look at that and say that s not much to write home about historically for a president. that s true. bill clinton was down around this level in 1994. democrats got wiped out this year. that is true. but keep in mind with donald trump, with the era of polarization we re living in right now, republicans have been saying all year that if they think if donald trump could get that approval rating up to the mid-40s, 45%, they d like 46%, 47% obviously, not sure we ll get there, but they think the mid-40s they have got a chance. the low 40s, the high 30s advantage big for the democrats. 43.5, keep this in mind. that is up basically 3 points over the last couple weeks. that s a big difference. trump sitting at 43.5 versus trump sitting at 40.5. given the narrow range his presidency has operated in when it comes to his approval rating, that s a potentially big difference. that s getting close to that range where republicans think they have a shot to hang on to the house. maybe not quite ther
correspondent steve kornacki who is at the big board tonight. brian, getting some mixed and confusing signals when it comes to the state of the midterms, basically three weeks out. you mentioned the president s approval rating. here s gallop with their latest check-in. they have him at 44%. now, remember, all year we ve been saying that basically if trump, the closer he can be to to the mid-40s to 45 or ideally for republicans higher than that, the better chance republicans will have holding the house. here s gallup with his best number for him for awhile, 44%. not the only poll that s been showing an uptick. if you average together all the polls together, he s at 43.5%. and, yes, that is a jump of about 2.5 points just in the last couple of weeks. that s significant. low 40s. democrats like their chances. mid-40s, republicans start to like their chances. it can make a big difference. numbers have been all over the place. the senate has looked like it s trending to the republicans. t
brian, getting some mixed and confusing signals when it comes to the state of the midterms, basically three weeks out. you mentioned the president s approval rating. here s gallop. they have him at 44%. now, remember, all year we ve been saying that basically if trump, the closer he can be to the mid 40s, 45 or ideally for republicans, the better republicans will have holding the house. here s gallop, 44%. not the object poll that s been showing an uptick. if you average together all the polls together, he s at 43.5%. and yes, that is a jump of about 2.5 points just in the last couple of weeks. that s significant. low 40s. democrats like their chances. mid 40s, republicans start to like their chances. it can make a big difference. numbers have been all over the place. the senate has looked like it s trending to the republicans. the generic ballot for the house
voters change ed at all since 2016? let s take a look at some of the polling numbers we have been seeing. when i say a complicated landscape, this is what i mean. first of all, you ve seen this number probably this week. here it is. this is from abc news and the washington post. their generic congressional ballot. which party do you think should control the house. democrats are up 11 points here. 11 points we ve been saying all year, that s probably better than they even think they need to be, so on that front you look at it and say the democrats are in great shape. but when we say complicated, here s what we mean. same poll, now they want to take a look at those 63 battleground districts. what do you find in there again? a ligtight, basically even situation between the two parties. check this number out. this president trump s approval rating right now. this is the average of all of his approval ratings. if you put them together, real clear politics keeps this, he clocks in at 43.5%
presidency, which in truth is how midterms kind of work. we are just 2 days away. his popularity numbers appear to be moving slightly. are any other numbers on the move? who can we ask? how about steve kornacki, who is at the big board tonight. brian, getting some mixed and confusing signals when it comes to the state of the midterms, basically three weeks out. you mentioned the president s approval rating. here s gallop. they have him at 44%. now, remember, all year we ve been saying that basically if trump, the closer he can be to the mid 40s, 45 or ideally for republicans, the better republicans will have holding the house. here s gallop, 44%. not the object poll that s been showing an uptick. if you average together all the polls together, he s at 43.5%. and yes, that is a jump of about 2.5 points just in the last