landfalling category 4 hurricane expected between 100 to 130-mile-an-hour sustained winds. look at the winds wrapping around the coast of georgia and south carolina. the concerns going forward, the storm surge threat and storm surge warnings from boca raton to savannah, georgia. the potential for 5 to 8 feet above normal tide value. let s throw up the 3d model. you heard about storm surge, but what is it? let s say you built a home on the beach along the atlantic facing shore in the florida peninsula. the 5 to 8 feet is realized with the forecast. just think about the wind pushing up all of that sea. let s take an average man. you are roughly 6-feet tall.
residents call florida home since the state was impacted by the major hurricane. those 2 million people may not know they live in an evacuation own. they may not know to evacuate if they hear the warnings from the national weather service or meteorologists here at cnn weather. i m showing you the current path from the national hurricane center. two things i want you to note from it. one, this is expected to strengthen, hurricane matthew, to a category four. 130-mile-an-hour winds before making landfall on thursday. the second is the trajectory of the storm was it rides the coastline of florida and georgia and the carolinas. we expect deteriorating conditions. we will feel the tropical storm-force winds on thursday. let s get into friday morning. that is the potential for the
category 4 still being approximate to jacksonville within the next 24 hours. but sometimes people get foolishly curious. that s why those curfews come into effect. and obviously south of where you are in miami-dade they have a lot of preparations going on. you re farther up the coast, more north. do they seem as prepared? reporter: as prepared probably so looking at the reports being put out by the mayor. it s a different type of presentatio presentation. you don t see things boarded up the way you will down south in the residential communities. coming in, there wasn t that level because they re not expecting it. but it could adjust. right now the latest review we saw from noaa is you re going to have a category 4 storm come through this area in the next 24 hours. how far off coast is the big variable right now, jake. if it stays right along the coastline, you could have 120, 130-mile-an-hour winds.
region of this country. hurricane joaquin, cat 4 storm. it hit the bahamas with 130-mile-an-hour winds. more than a foot of rain in some areas, power out across the bahamas, but thankfully no reports yet of casualties there. in term of where joaquin is headed, that s the zillion dollar question. we re watching it closer and closer. latest predictions have the storm tracking awe way from the east coast as it heads north which, of course, would be good news. the storm is expected to get stronger today and tonight, though. even if it doesn t barrel mostly out to see. coastal states are expected to see a foot to a foot and a half of rain. late this weekend looks like it will be the brunt of it up the eastern shore. as of tonight, maryland, north carolina, virginia, south carolina, new jersey there very announced evacuations. reports of significant flooding from heavy rain, or from the storm surge. so with all that s going on in the world, a big eye on that big hurricane and whether or not
we are tracking a hurricane that nay or may not have a beat on the most heavily populated region of this country. hurricane joaquin, cat 4 storm. it hit the bahamas with 130-mile-an-hour winds. more than a foot of rain in some areas, power out across the bahamas, but thankfully no reports yet of casualties there. in term of where joaquin is headed, that s the zillion dollar question. we re watching it closer and closer. latest predictions have the storm tracking awe way from the east coast as it heads north which, of course, would be good news. the storm is expected to get stronger today and tonight, though. even if it doesn t barrel mostly out to see. coastal states are expected to see a foot to a foot and a half of rain. late this weekend looks like it will be the brunt of it up the eastern shore. as of tonight, maryland, north