these races are fought in competitive districts in november. the trend we should say. trump by 11 points in this district tonight, one point if this holds. if i have this number right, so democrats need 23 seats to take control of the house. there were 24 districts. there are 24 hillary clinton districts. up to 25 with that pennsylvania. there are 25 districts republicans are sitting in that hillary won. okay. and then there s the question whether or not there are other districts like this one where trump wins by 11 where it gets close. if you look at this you say to yourself, the vast majority of those seats that hillary won those guys are in deep deep deep. you re saying a wave. if i mean, think about this number. so this guy o connor who is like a nobody out polls hillary in a hillary area.
so many rural counties across america feel like donald trump is a lot more interested in their best interests than nancy pelosi and the democratic party that you represent? yeah. the good thing, joe, is that we have three months to talk to those folks still. the way i campaigned and the way we work, we sprint hard across all seven counties of this district. i want to represent all seven counties in congress. we re just going to take everyday and try to win every single day, talking to people about the issues that matter to them because that s how we re going to win this thing in november and that s why we feel so good right now. so danny, there s a question about nancy pelosi and whether you would support her as speaker. some people say you bungled the question the second time it was asked. seems like you clarified it. but just so we have it on the record, if you become ohio 12 s
if you look at this you say to yourself, the vast majority of those seats that hillary won those guys are in deep deep deep. you re saying a wave. if i mean, think about this number. so this guy o connor who is like a nobody out polls hillary in a hillary area. right? by ten points. so we could be seeing that district after district after district after district. in other words, the democrats could already have pretty close to having the house in their pocket. i think they do. i don t think there s a scenario tonight where we would say republicans can hold the house. steve, i have republican colleagues of mine friends who have been in the field. they re incumbents in the field
we did a little bit of both tonight in ohio. and el eli stokols is with us tonight. what do you think they make of a barn burner in this district in ohio during this time? i think there is some concern. i m talking and texting with some as we talk right now. there is a lot of concern. look, dozens of districts that are up in the midterms are not as red as the ohio 12th. and the fact that this was such a squeaker, even if they come out with a w at the end of it, it s quite an erosion of support for donald trump, who won that district by 12 points. i know the president is claiming victory tonight, and it might be the case that he energized
the trump effect on this one? the way, trump is causing democratic enthusiasm. right? this election is ohio election is kind of a joke like it s happening in august. they have to run again in november with this recount stuff. september we may have an answer. who knows when the winner will be sworn in. he ll be for six weeks and run again, right? so the whole thing was a proxy. whether or not garrett haake said they were talking about social security and issues and that you will. nobody was fooled. it was a proxy race. right? so two things happen. so the democratic enthusiasm was huge and there was a trump effect almost certainly positively pore balderson. so the question i would have for dave jolly in this circumstance is, you re in trouble, you re a republican in trouble even if it s a district that looks pretty you know, split, maybe you want trump. maybe your only hope is ginning