numbers. this is a place donald trump won in 2016, won it by a fairly large margin. charlottesville, a lot of rural areas. the democratic candidate here, brand-new poll, leading by a point to be a democratic pickup in really trump country. take a look at illinois s 12th district. southern illinois. donald trump won this district by 15 points in 2016. democrats have been targeting it. about a month ago they looked about even in this race. this is one of those places where you say, hey, has there been a rise in republican energy last month? this poll suggestings in a district like this, trump won it by 15, maybe there has been. the republican incumbent now leading by nine right here. florida s 15th district. no incumbent. democrats think they may have a potential edge when there s no republican incumbent. here you go, no incumbent. dead even race. again, this, a brand-new poll here out of florida s 15th district. this, just out this morning from our friends at mon mouth, one of
as of now it s a close fight. in minnesota s second district. jason lewis is facing off against democrat angie craig. third district of minnesota eric polson is fighting off democrat dean phillips. in the same state we have our eye tonight on the eighth district where republican pete stauber squares off against joe radinovich. in montana, republican greg gianforte. he has a modest lead over williams. don bacon by democrat eastman. in ohio first district, conservative republican steve chabot is clinging to a slight lead, this now is a toss-up. a very important race. also, staying in ohio where the president was tonight, 12th district, that features troy balderson taking on danny o connor joyce taking
is a district that donald trump won by 15 points, but as of enough to it s a close fight. in minnesota s second district. jason lewis is facing off against democrat angie craig. third district of minnesota eric polson is fighting off democrat dean phillips. in the name say we have our eye tonight on the eighth district where republican pete stauber squares off against joe radinovich. greg ge gianforte. against williams. don bacon by democrat eastman. in ohio first district, conservative republican steve chabot is clinging to a slight lead, this now is a toss-up. a very important race. also, staying in ohio where the president was tonight, 12th district, that features troy ball der so balderson takin
is a district that donald trump won by 15 points, but as of enough to it s a close fight. in minnesota s second district. jason lewis is facing off against democrat angie craig. third district of minnesota eric polson is fighting off democrat dean phillips. in the name say we have our eye tonight on the eighth district where republican pete stauber squares off against joe radinovich. greg ge gianforte. against williams. don bacon by democrat eastman. in ohio first district, conservative republican steve chabot is clinging to a slight lead, this now is a toss-up. a very important race. also, staying in ohio where the president was tonight, 12th district, that features troy ball der so balderson takin
ways you don t expect. we ve got our eyes on the ojeda race but there are other ones if in fact that kind of midterm happens that really come out of nowhere. and you ve got a demographic wild card too. most of ohio is covered up by these, but somewhere here in the middle of ohio we just had that special election a couple weeks ago in the 12th district, the columbus area, columbus suburbs. there s a district it wouldn t fit the criteria i m describing. trump won it by 11 in 2016. but what we saw in that special election was the columbus suburbs, the immediate suburbs right outside columbus. massive turnout, even bigger shift to the democrats since 2016. wasn t enough for the democrats to win but it was enough for them to come as close to winning as you can without winning. there are districts like that around the country. when you get a concentration of that demographic that seems the most exercised on the left right now, those college-educated higher income suburbanites where you ve