Projection that we present today is very much into parts. Im going to begin with the first part. Starting near term outlook. This chart shows the evolution of Consumer Price inflation and its components since 2018. It shows that inflation has come off the peak in october last year and that it continues to fall over the rest of this year in our near term projection. Thats the piece showed in the shade of part of the chart. This fall can be attributed in large part to a full on contribution from energy. Fuel prices have declined, electricity and gas prices have stabilised, albeit at a higher level. The Dark Orange Bars on this chart show how the contribution from Energy Prices falling and turning negatively in the coming months. Giving off gems price cap on energy and gas bills, we expect inflation to take a further step down in the july dates will be published in two weeks time. That will come down to around 7 at that point. Following a larger step down in 0ctober s data to around about
Growing at a slower rate for the past two months, but inflation remains at nearly 8 , four times higher than the official target. Hannah miller has this report. For father of two peter, sorting out the Family Finances is proving hard. He and his wife bought their first home using the help to buy scheme. But when their mortgage comes up for renewal early next year, theyll have to find an extra £750 a month in repayments. Somehow were supposed to spend less and find £750 extra a month to pay for that. So, you know, for many families, its a terrifying situation. If you have young families like ourselves who have been swayed into the Housing Market by government, whose advertised help to buy as an affordable scheme, right, when things become unaffordable, you cant simply turn around and say, thats your problem. A rise of 0. 25 Percentage Points would take the Bank Of Englands base rate to 5. 25 , the highest since april 2008. For someone with an average Tracker Mortgage of £200,000, tha
Favour over the past month. Weve seen sterling rise that will help temper the Price Pressures from imports. Weve also seen other pressures in the markets where theyve been raising some questions about the Bank Of Englands credibility, as in Mortgage Rates going up without decisions being made that has all calmed down, too. And the public s expectations of where inflation is going, which were really very high, have now begun to temper. So thats also going in the banks favour. But a crucial issue is that they have raised rates by 5 the impact of that has really taken some time to filter through into the economy, there is sort of turning the type of rate rises on. Turning the tap. We are beginning to see the impact of that now weve seen in the Housing Market, weve seen it in some corporate insolvencies too. So that all leads back to this Balancing Act between crushing inflation, but avoiding a downturn its a tight rope and we are probably approaching the most narrow, trickiest part of tha
The economy too much. To dicsuss this further im nowjoined by the Bank Of England 5 former head of international surveillance, katharine neiss. She is now the chief european economist for pgim fixed income. Good to have no surprise that Interest Rates are still rising. Do you think that this is it . ~ ,. ,. , is it . The banker very clear today that if inflation is it . The banker very clear today that if Inflation Remains is it . The banker very clear today that if Inflation Remains resilientl that if Inflation Remains resilient at higher levels, then they could see Interest Rates are going higher from here. That said, to me, the really big message coming out of the Bank Of England today was, even in the absence of further rises in Interest Rates, they really see these higher Interest Rates that we have seen more recently as he had to say for quite some time. Yes. Have seen more recently as he had to say for quite some time. Say for quite some time. Yes, and this is taming say for qui
The case, i know it seems damning, its not open and shut by any stretch of the imagination. Trace Fox Team Coverage with brian foley and phil holloway, but bryan is in riverhead, new york. What can we expect in court today . Trace, good afternoon. Right now this preliminary hearing is expected to start right now. We know that the Suffolk County District Attorney and his team have made their way inside of that courtroom. We also know that neighbors that lived in Rex Heuermanns neighborhood in massapequa park, long island have made their way in, as well as the family of some of the victims, including the sister of melissa barthelmy, the first victim whose remains were found in 2010, and the fourth victim that prosecutors say they are confident theyll be able to link and eventually charge Rex Heuermann with that death. Cameras are not allowed inside the courtroom but we have that live feed of the hallway and Rex Heuermann was brought in through a secure area. The jail is directly behind t