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Weekly Fundamental US Dollar Forecast: Rise in US Treasury Yields May Not Help Greenback; April NFP Due

Weekly Fundamental US Dollar Forecast: Rise in US Treasury Yields May Not Help Greenback; April NFP Due Advertisement Fundamental Forecast for the US Dollar: Neutral The drop in the US Dollar has occurred even as US Treasury yields have stabilized (if not turned higher), suggesting that rising inflation expectations – not real US yields – are behind the move, which has historically been bad for the greenback. The main economic event of the week will be the April US non-farm payrolls report due out on Friday, May 7. According to the IG Client Sentiment Index, the US Dollar has a mixed bias heading into the first week of May.

Mexican Peso Forecast: Commodities Rally Boosts Peso s Appeal - Setups for MXN/JPY, USD/MXN

Mexican Peso Forecast: Commodities Rally Boosts Peso s Appeal - Setups for MXN/JPY, USD/MXN Advertisement Mexican Peso Outlook: Amid a global commodity price boom in recent weeks, the Mexican Peso has benefited, achieving or nearing yearly highs versus the Japanese Yen and the US Dollar. MXN/JPY rates are flagging after trading through multi-year downtrend resistance, suggesting a major turn may be arriving soon. We can use the IG Client Sentiment Indexfor USD/CAD rates as a close proxy for USD/MXN exposure, which has a mixed bias. Mexican Peso Retaining Strength Throughout the month of April, the combination of stability in long-end global bond yields and a surge in global commodity prices, particularly agriculture and a subset of base metals, has provided a sturdy base from which the Mexican Peso has been able to rally. For the most part, price action remains in line with expectations outlined in our 1Q’21 Top Trade Opportunities and 2Q’21 Top Trade Opportunities. With s

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