Welfare Reform at 10: Analyzing Welfare Caseload Fluctuations, 1996-2002

Since 1996, the number of welfare recipients has fallen by nearly60 percent, poverty and hunger have declined, and states haveenjoyed more leeway in structuring their welfare administrations.Even though benefit levels and economic growth have had relativelylittle to do with the large decline in welfare caseloads since1996, it appears that they do affect year-to-year fluctuations incaseloads.

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