Vago what are some of Global Trends we saw . The stabilization of european picture. Year after the 2008 crisis, reducing spending about 2 a year. Is the end ofture the commodities cycle. This affects all away from the middle east and latin america. Tc decelerations middle east and about 10 a year. In themes down to 1 last year. The third major area is the study increases we seeing in asia and russia. Doubledigit until 2016. Vago last year you said that russia was going to be an unsustainable spending spree. Russia has had to cut back on social services, but has stayed on track on defense spending. How has that changed in the last year . Picture of the trajectory it was going great last year the russian economy click declined at 3 , while defense spending was evident doubledigit rate. That is not a single picture, and in 2016 average spending of 10 a year increase. They are basically the. I think from now on it will be a question of trying to maintain that level of spending rather than carrying on the way they wouldve liked to otherwise. For middle eastern countries, that is also a child particularly in the gulf and they had a repetition of having vast reservoirs of cash, dealing with internal problems while also doing defense systems. How big of an impact is this having on buying power . The effect is very similar to russia. I think programs are already in existence and will be carried on. Will be less likely to be signed. Take saudi arabia. They just in the last year of their 700 billion reserves, they went to 18 million and one aircraft this is a difficult thing for them. Vago what does the chinese picture look like . It is driving a lot of these trends. People think there is 5 of the 6 , there is a lot of questioning of the numbers. I think indications are they will match the gdp spending with the defense spending at the moment. That is our central estimate. It could go higher. But at the moment we think in for 2016. , about 6 vago in europe he said there was a stabilization, and all eyes were on europe at one point. One of the priorities of these governments when it comes to defend lending . Particularly, there is a question of critical mass. Critical mass is an issue there. But in other parts, your seeing foment timetables. You see that in poland for example. Youre looking at modernization, in sweden. But across europe, major emphasis is on trading. In the high arctic space and the south marine space seven marine space. At that level of the u. S. Will be the 15 largest venture in your overall. Which is extraordinary in and of itself. But what it does is combine training with other european states. That brings your to a level of readiness which had been cut after the crisis, because there is a quick way and in the balanced budgets. Vago talked with a little bit about what the defense Economic Impact would be written this decide to leave the eu. The major question would be what would happen with scotland. The scotland people are very favorable toward the eu generally. The Nuclear Deterrent is all up in vago scotland, so that gives you a lot of strategic questions. Thank you very much. Coming up, russias new ways of wars. Youre watching defense news. Captioned by the National Captioning Institute somehow it felt like everything was moving in slow motion. If i didnt react, things could have gotten messy in a hurry. I mean just got that sweet ride with a great rate from navy federal. I was not about to let anything happen to her. Just looking out for my wingman. Hes still in training. The dod and their families. Navy federal credit union. In ukraine over the past several years russia has reviewed a vast array of formidable compact capabilities that have set europe on edge top euro in need of officials have talked about hybrid tactics, but attention. Thisnalyst who has studied is phil carver, the president of the Potomac Foundation think tank. He wasto you take wounded in a Russian Artillery barrage. He earned his phd at georgetown, was the negatives that give and served as a strategy advisor to the defense secretary. He helped start the Potomac Foundation in 1998 became its president in 2012. Continues to advise top u. S. And european officials. We recently met him at his office. Whated him to explain makes this new generation of war capabilities so formidable. Some stuff that surprised me with Electronic Warfare. It is everywhere. It is dominant. They can press communications and give targets. Unmanned aerial vehicles, they are over there all the for when the uav comes over you is 10 minutes. The killing mechanism is mass artillery. I am not talking about they call it Precision Targeting mass fires. They are finding the exact target they want, but it isnt ones and twos. It is an entire battery, or even to italian of multiple rocky long cheers with subdivisions. To ukrainian battalions with one fire strike. Our army has not experienced this level of highintensity war , if we have a major heart fight in our hands and desert storm press desert storm would have been it. Vago it is still king of battle, as the russians have always looked at it. But now with the dimensions. They are precise and fighting the target, but where we are sending one round against one tank, theyre hitting it with multiple. They are also doing it with canisters. You have all of these submunitions. Scanner will lines, the top attack that revolutionized the gold where and care the rock scared the russian general staff. All of our munitions are gone because of the convention. In the 80s we would say they have three times as much artillery, and we have time 54 fivetime times more effective munitions. No have a lot less artillery and do not have effective munitions. It is a game plan for disaster. Combine that with our forces, in light vehicles. In this environment, light vehicles burned and everybody goes of inside. You have entire squad, platoons, if you go around any of the active units in europe today, vago everything is a light units. One of the broader applications for the United States army to rethink this, given how the russians are looking at the future of warfare . I understand the argument armywe want to have an that does a lot of things because we live in an unknowable, complex world the problem is if you do not define and focus on at least a major type of threats, then everything is general hydrotreating gets lost is general and your training gets lost. Armyleast a part of the should be focused on high density major war. The russians are doing plenty of things to be aggressive and scare our allies. Larger than to deal with the canadians and mexicans, but it is going to be against the major rival. A third of that ought to be designed for that. The army is giving away much for selective Electronic Warfare of ability. Navyare depending on the and air force for a lot of this. They have literally sacrificed much of this. You cannot survive on the battlefield unless you are truly competitive in Electronic Warfare. Secondly, we were the leaders in henan hero vehicles. The russians are using 16 different types of unmanned aerial vehicles. They just introduced a new entire new warfarin last week, which is unmanned aerial bill delivery of firestorm weapons. Minute, bombing by qad, we are talking about systems designed to of eric detonations. There is a whole revolution going on. And again, we were the leaders in submunitions. It is gone. It is gone. We were the leaders in survival. Where is our survivable infantry . The army spent 1 billion on the future combat system. And what is the text pair get out of it . Zero. The system is alive and well. You can buy the vehicle today and drive it, because the russians produced it. A 21 take, high velocity gun amphibious, or deliverable and air droppable. You ask what is wrong with our system. Rate how would you data has responded to the russian threat . The european readiness and nutrition, all of those efforts that were desig nato allies . This was probably always true, but today which data you are asking above, there are. Everal there are people around the baltic area, the danes, and the norwegians, the swedes, who their hair is on fire. They are feeling threatened. Why Vladimir Putin has done this, is beyond me, because as it is the most counterproductive thing. He has gone out of his way to make them feel threatened both verbally and with military deployments. They are ready to go. Rits are ready to support this great and then he turned to the south and you equal dealing failing economies and the migrant crisis. And i spent most of my professional life defending germany, and it is amazing to see the extent to which both of their military and their itical response to russia they have guided their military. Their political reaction has been to rupees to appease them e russians. It requires somebody to come in with a vision and the effort to pull it together. You cannot do that by leading from behind. So our military guys, to the extent that they have the freedom to do so are providing that traditional American Initiative and ideas and efforts at integration. But there is a limit on what they can do. Who but there are those say that the ministration did push as hard when we got was the High Readiness have forced, in couple of training deployments, and wanted nations are beginning to increase defense spending. Most of them are making tradeoffs. They say we will get a little bit smaller to increase capabilities. A lot of our european allies for pay forlity to women is to iraq and afghanistan. What do you recommend any time with some of those countries that are facing the threat are not necessarily ready to pony up the forces or the people in order to have that deterrent effect . It is interesting. The people who feel most threatened our willing to put up what they can. The voltage do not produce tanks. The baltics do not produce tanks or artillery. We have several thousand m1 tank , thousands of bradleys rate why dont we just some of that artillery so that they are standardized with m nato . Themay why not provide aircraft that we do not have the core structure of manpower to provide in exchange for them providing those nations support, dispersal basis, shelters of aircraft. There are a lot of things these guys can afford if we does it there and tell them you do not have to wait for complete modernization at exorbitant prices. The concept of this was laid down by the carter administration. It was called the data longterm defense plan. The whole concept was too put prepositioned u. S. Equipment in europe in exchange for host nation support. Everybody does it to me save a lot of money, and you could have no combat. Reactions, his strikers driving down the road with no reactive armor and theyre going to run into a tank company anything theyre going to survive . Where are they going to bed down the air, with how survivable are they . Presentation already there . Or the munitions already there . It is turned into a lot of symbolism. And at some point the dangerous point is when you depend on too somebody may call your hand. That is of the japanese did to roosevelt and clark field. You can smell is coming. Vago up next, a look at the new world war i memorial. Youre watching defense news. Vago after an intense competition, a finalist has been chosen to design a new National World war i memorial that we do view there the white house. It will commemorate the 5 million americans who served in the 116000 and get their lives, more than all those killed in the korean and vietnam wars combined. Joining us now is the designer , and ae chicago Firm Designer whose classicist style was integrated in welcome to the program. The project. Into welcome to the program. Once for the inspirations for this project . I saw this , and it redirected me to the world war i Centennial Commission website. When i saw the, i was convicted at first. I didnt know we do not have a National World war i memorial it was something that i assumed there was. As soon as i saw that, i wanted to be a part of this process. I sent in a submission. I was not sure where it would go, that i have the energy and drive to at least do something to help out. Vago what was your inspiration for the design . If you look around a lot of thebelleville yields, and steps, there are green spaces lined by trees, the the rest of the gravestones have as havens. This park having to stillness as a memorial and a park, providing green space was very important. This is a place that people are going to bring their families. It is still a park, an average joe estes his lunch somewhere. Vago tell us how you ended up partnering on this. It is very unusual. Joe sent me an email, and i wanted in two hours. Email. Very polite ive been doing this for 30 years. I have looked in my life models for 50,000. I was looking for something that i could make relational and tell a story. A perfect project. Vago tell us if this is the exact role design and how it will evolve over time. Forward to working with all the agencies on the project because we are in a vacuum for four months. Things are going to involve. The main continental slow play still be there. We are to preserve the ideas that were brought forward. But things are going to change. Vago the deadline is trying to get it done by november 19, which is not a lot of time. It is time to get rolling. Larry on a tv show . [laughter] will any of the elements that are in the current memorial, because there was some concern that there was a memorial, how much of that will be incorporated into what you produce . We are trying to preserve 100 of existing memorial in the design and we try to playoff existing memorial and overnight at all those elements. Vago we were talking before the show, and sometimes people want to say, white of changes parts theanada or bronze in release you will be doing . Everybody who comes to this wall is going to be fascinated by this. They want to do something that is not just didactic or for. Remembering what world war i looks like. That is what i would bring to the table. Every sculptor that deals with figures. Something from the greeks, romans, and i recreated in a modern terminology, so your everyday comes. How much is this going to cost, working people donate and contribute . Currently projected around 40 million including everything. Find it funded by public domain. Ou can go to our website vago thank you. On this 90 minute, personal finance expert tells us whether you should get preview for a mortgage. If you have ever bought a home, you know that the eating preapproved can get either the study of how much house you can afford. Youryou are shopping for first or fifth home, getting preapproved should be the first step in your humbling process. Italys guesswork and gives your boundaries, le essential time and effort by. Cting property if you have kids looking for their first home the best device to give them is to get preapproved. They do not have to close disclose was like theyve been approved by, but they can have such that the worry of being turned on for a loan. And if the given a bidding war, they might have the advantage, because the stacks the deck in their favor. Getting preapproved is the first. Rucial that step in vago thank you. We will see you next week you give any financial questions, please email me. Coming up, my notebook. We were making a move. We had to. We knew that if we came in too high, it would cost us big time. We had to stay low. And boy did we. We locked it in and rode that low rate from Navy Federal Credit union all the way to our first house. Its a splitlevel ranch. So cute open to the armed forces and their families for over 80 years. Navy federal credit union. Vago with nine months left and its term, defense secretary at Ashton Carter made his latest visit to Silicon Valley recently, launching initiatives to help the military in a technological lead. First, they will let embedded computer factors share weaknesses in the possible rewards. Second they knew it is report will be warmed and headed by google ceo and composed of top text lines to advise current directly. The moves got strong reviews from the tech community, although critics say he should have rolled out a year ago. Carter must move ideas from Silicon Valley into the pentagons weapons systems, and assess given that success tends to breed success. Carter must also work with the office of Personnel Management to reform onerous rules for those serving on government advisory panel. Americas best and brightest want to serve the nation, not a lot 150 page government forms. Duties innovation effort is gaining steam, but his time is short. Outrage,continue his plus the measure of marriage will be turning the best ideas into solutions to the biggest military problems. Thank you for watching, i votto iranian. I am vago muradian. If you have any comments on this show or suggestions for future cover, please email me. We will be back next week at the same time. Until then, have a great week. Congress voted to label genetically engineered salmon; why not other foods . Gmo crops are doused with heavy doses of herbicides the World Health Organization says probably cause cancer. Isnt that reason enough to label . 64 other countries label gmos. Why dont american shoppers have the same information . Instead, Congress Might permanently block our right to know. We deserve clear, onpackage labeling. Tell senators kaine and warner to stop the dark act. [music] dr. Charles stanley in every circumstance, i can give thanks for what . That hes my savior, my lord, my master, my god. Lord, i dont understand why you allowed this to happen, but in the midst of this, im going to give you thanks because i know that youll help me to survive. Youll help me to be able to bear the pain; to get through the sorrow and the heartache and the loss and all the adversity i feel in my heart. Im going to thank you that youll be with me in it. Male announcer next on in touch, thanksgiving in the midst of adversity. Announcer join us during the program and follow along with the sermon notes. Go online to intouch. Org followalong, where