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Hour gets underway on a thursday night. Well, good evening once again from our nbc news headquarters here in new york. This is the third day of the new year, the 19. That makes it day 714 of the trump administration. And tonight for the second time in u. S. History, a woman is second in line to the president. For the second time in u. S. History, a woman is speaker of the house. Turns out it was the same woman both times. Nancy pelosi, a baltimore native, longtime democratic member of congress from the state of california, is once again House Speaker where the democrats have just become the check on this president. Today, after being given the gavel, she spoke about respect and truth. We have no illusions that our work will be easy, and that all of us in this chamber will always agree. But let each of us pledge that when we disagree, we respect each other and we respect the truths. It was an odd day at the u. S. Capitol. All these swearings in going on while the government remained shutdown. Tomorrow at midnight will mark two weeks. Pelosi and the democratic leadership say there will be no wall and no money for any wall. They could not wait to do what they just did tonight, pass two funding bills to reopen the government, but the measures contain no money for a wall. Pelosi told reporters her party is just doing what Senate Republicans did last month. We have sent are sending them back exactly, word for word, what they have passed. To cover the eight agencies of government. Exactly what they passed, a continuing resolution until february 8th. Why would they not do that . Then the speaker was asked if that meant not 1 for the president s border wall. Is there any situation in which you would accept even a dollar of wall funding for this president in order to reopen the government . A dollar . [ laughter ] a 1 . Yeah, 1. You said a dollar. Thats not your question. You said a dollar and im answering your question. The fact is a wall is an immorality. Its not who we are as a nation. Of course, it doesnt matter what the house passed tonight if its dead on arrival. In the new look Republican Senate where the gop now has a 53 47 majority, Mitch Mcconnell controls what is brought to that floor. He says this spending package will not be brought to the floor because the president does not support it. Theres no wall money in it. But then there was this tonight. Washington post reports mcconnell may have broken have a problem in the ranks. Quote, two Senate Republicans broke with trump and Party Leaders thursday, saying it was time to end the shutdown, even if democrats would not sign off on the more than 5 billion in border funding trump is demanding. The comments from senators Cory Gardener of colorado and Susan Collins of maine, the only two Senate Republicans who are up for reelection in 2020 in states trump lost, pointed to cracks in the gop strategy. Now, it sure seems like theyre trying to say it comes down to politics here. And meanwhile, earlier this afternoon, President Trump made a surprise appearance in the White House Briefing room. He told reporters that hes winning the fight over funding for the border wall, but he began his remarks by actually congratulating the new speaker. I just want to start off by congratulating nancy pelosi on being elected speaker of the house. Its a very, very great achievement, and hopefully were going to Work Together and were going to get lots of things done, like infrastructure and so much more. The president took no questions during his firstever remarks in his own White House Briefing room. Tomorrow morning, the leaders of both parties will head back to the white house to, once again, talk to the president about this ongoing shutdown. Lets bring in our leadoff panel for a thursday night, shall we . Peter baker e chief White House Correspondent for the New York Times. Kelsey snell, congressional reporter for npr. And sam stein, politics editor for the daily beast. We welcome all three back to our broadcast for a thursday night. So, kelsey, this is your beat specifically. How fraught is this as the president figures out how to deal with a person familiar to him, just not in this title . Nancy pelosi is now speaker pelosi. Yeah, this is possibly the strangest shutdown that i have ever covered because typically whether were at a situation where they are at an impasse, these efforts scurrying around the capital, the principals are meeting, staff room meeting, this time it feels different because both sides are really dug in. You heard pelosi say the wall is an immorality. I think that is a really important thing to hear when youre thinking about where democrats are on this. Because when youre talking about a word like morality, its very different than just, say, a policy platform or a political space. Its making it a core belief about who democrats believe themselves to be. I think the president might not be hearing that word, and might not be realizing how much it makes it difficult for democrats to move on this. And like you said, there are these two republicans who are breaking in the senate which does put some pressure on mcconnell, but mcconnell doesnt want to be embarrassed and pass another bill that the president wont sign. So were at this impasse that i cant really see where they find an out for themselves. So, peter, there was the president flanked by federal employees. What was that thing in the Briefing Room today . The allcall went out from Sarah Huckabee sanders. We were told it was going to be a briefing, which usually indicates questions and answers. Press secretary came out and introduced, and im quoting here, our very great president , donald j. Trump. Peter, what was that . Well, its a way of the president getting in on Nancy Pelosis day a little bit, trying to reframe the debate. The democrats, of course, had a day of images of them taking office and children up on the podium and so forth pledging to reopen the government. He wanted to get back in the conversation. His point is this wall is necessary, in his view, to secure the country. These people behind him are members of the Border Patrol unions that have supported him politically in the past, support his policy proposal on the wall. And he wanted to kind of get his point into the conversation a little bit. So, sam, anything that you can read, any signal pointing that the deal could be brokered here . In fact, just the opposite. Everything you read suggested this could go on a lot longer than a lot of people are willing to come to grips with at this point. Usually shutdowns are solved in one of two ways. A shortterm punt in which you just agree to continue to negotiating months, weeks from now. Or you try to negotiate some sort of biggerterm package. In each case, the paths forward seem pretty fraught. No one wants to do a shortterm punt after trump basically said he was take ing it too hard from conservative talk radio and had to get border wall funding in any deal. That seems like an avenue that cant move forward. And then on the bigterm deal, the problem we have here is that the negotiation which would essentially be big investment in wall funding or Border Security in exchange for some sort of comprehensive Immigration Reform measures. That has been tried in the past, but the deal fell apart because of a variety of reasons. Most notably because the white house and hard line immigration advocates wanted to insert more hard line measures. With both those avenues closed, it really becomes difficult to see where the resolution will happen. Absent some sort of real world event complicating factors, or reallife pain emanating from the shutdown currently in week two. Kelsey, youre so right that these seldom make sense. In the end usually federal workers get hurt, both sides give, they come pogt and pass something the taxpayers dont understand called a continuing resolution. Kick the can down the road. This one, though, as you point out, is particularly fraught. And lets think about the atmospherics, maybe even the optics tomorrow in the oval office. President is used to mcconnell and ryan, and hes used to having two members of the home team in charge. Right. Hes got schumer and pelosi tomorrow, kelsey, its just going to add something new to the mix. Yeah, absolutely. I think its important to remember that schumer and pelosi have a longstanding relationship. Its been said that they have a closer relationship working together than mcconnell and ryan ever really did. And they kind of are playing off the same play book. They communicate and they share a general sense of the right way to do politics. And as we saw the last time that they came over to the white house in that televised meeting back in december, they really are good at reading each other and picking up on each others cues and going after the president in a confrontational manner that took the president off guard in december. He may be more prepared for them when they come in on friday, but this is one of those situations where they feel confident that their base agrees with them. And that their messaging in a way that democrats really respond to. So theyre not going to likely back down now when the president is coming back at them with more pressure. This is likely to be another confrontational meeting. And, peter, look at that headline from one of your colleagues, annie carney who joined the staff of the New York Times. As Trump Holds Firm on shutdown, he never mentions one group, federal workers. Lets throw staff out. This affects 800,000 of our fellow citizens. 80 of whom are outside washington, d. C. And its such an important kind of leadership point for president s normally, peter. Well, it is. About half of those people are working, even though theyre not getting paid. The other half are furloughed at home, waiting for the offices to reopen again. Youre right, theyre caught in the middle. You know, ultimately they will be repaid the money they missed during this break, so its not saving the federal government anything. What it means is the taxpayers are not going to get anything for the money they will eventually pay, but in the middle of that are these workers who the president hasnt talked about at all. This is now day 13, were heading into day 14 tomorrow. Theyre idle. And they have bills coming due. Anybody who is living paycheck to paycheck has to find a way to make the mortgage, has to find a way to put groceries on the table. So they have not earned the president s at least public notice, other than the Border Patrol people he had behind him. He didnt talk about them in the sense of the class of people being hurt by the shutdown. He used them as validaters of his political argument, the wall is necessary for the countrys significant. Peter, in the not insignificant calling around from the New York Times that you guys do, which side seems to feel the urgency . Is there one . Well, i think sam is right. This could go on for quite a while. And its because of what kelsey just said. Weve moved past a normal situation where you can split the difference, right . Its not like one side is saying zero, the other side is saying five, so lets do 2. 5. If its immorale on one side and imperative on the other, it has to be a wall and not Border Security, they both staked out positions hard to reconcile at this point. Sam stein, were going to talk about this a little bit later in the broadcast, but all eyes are also on the senate and these interesting combinations that may come up, because apparently, its marked on congressional calendars which years youre coming up for reelection and some members of the senate have looked at the calendar. Oh, look, at the time it seems im up in two years. Yeah, its weird how that works, right . You suddenly begin to feel the acute political pressures. Yes, the senate has a few members, republicans, who are in a bit of a crunch here, who have already come out and said, you know, lets just get the government reopened and deal with the border wall funding in a separate vehicle. Threa lets have the debate while the government is open. The real bind the senate is in is the fact they took a vote before leaving for the christmas break in which by unanimous consent, they said we want to open the government for a short period of time. Its a little bit difficult for mcconnell to now come in and say, you know, the vote we took before christmas break, i know we took it, but were not going to do that again because the president doesnt want us to do it again. Theoretically, he could hold that vote at any time in time. He would have the numbers and hed have the numbers to override a president ial veto. So there is going to be a bit of pressure on mcconnell, too, even though he doesnt face reelection pressures, he will face that Public Relations pressures with people asking, why cant you just have the same vote again, and worse comes to worse, why couldnt you override a veto. Kelsey, since you gavelled us into order tonight, im going to give you the last wrord. What single lawmaker, what single word will you be watching for tomorrow . Throw out some tea leaves as a viewers guide as we watch this. Will anything will any one indicate to you any movement in this at all . Well, i think the president is the only one who can tell us if movement is going to happen because the president is the one who has to sign whatever bill comes out of congress. And, you know, its true, there is a possibility that congress can override a veto, but i dont think the politics are there so we have to wait and see if the president is in a dealmaking mood. If he isnt, he starts to feel like hes under that pressure that were talking about and it will be up to him. As history will record them forever, my first three guests of 2019, peter baker, sam stein, kelsey snell. What an honor. There you go. Thanks, guys, for joining us on a thursday night. Appreciate it it. Coming up, President Trump calls it a glitch. Well ask our friend ron insana about the economic anxiety driving the markets and your 401 k balance, look away. And later will the new criticism from the junior senator from utah, that freshman right there, convince more of his gop colleagues to take on this white house . The 11th hour just Getting Started on a thursday night. Lets be honest. Every Insurance Company tells you they can save you money. Save up to 10 when you bundle with esurance. Including me, esurance spokesperson dennis quaid. Hes a pretty good spokesperson. Ehhh. So when i say, drivers who switched from geico to esurance saved an average of 412, you probably wont believe me. Hey, actor lady whose scene was cut. Hi. But you can believe this esurance employee, nancy abraham. Seriously, send her an email and ask her yourself. No emails. No emails. When insurance is affordable, its surprisingly painless. I am a techie dad. N. I believe the best technology should feel effortless. Like magic. At comcast, its my job to develop, apps and tools that simplify your experience. My name is mike, im in Product Development at comcast. Were working to make things simple, easy and awesome. Our country is doing better by far than any other country in the world from an economic standpoint. Were the talk of the world. And we had a little glitch in the stock market last month, but its still up. I guess around 30 from the time i got elected. And its going to go up once we settle trade issues and once a couple of other things happen. That was the president just yesterday trying to explain the market tank in late december as a glitch. This third day of the new year wasnt better. The dow ended down 660 points today, making it the worst start to a new calendar year in 19 years. A major factor was apples warning that its expecting a slow down in iphone sales in china. Axios broke down what happened on wall street this way. Quote, this was a severe hang over from the apple revenue warning tied to chinas slowing economy, as well as trumps Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett saying that other u. S. Companies will have chinarelated earnings trouble until the trade war is resolved. That gets your attention. The president brushed off the notion that the effects of that trade war might be hitting home. Quote, the United States treasury has taken in many billions of dollars from the tariffs. We are charging china and other countries that have not treated us fairly. In the meantime, we are doing well in various trade negotiations currently going on. At some point, this had to be done. Well, with us to talk about it, our friend the veteran financial analyst, senior commentator ron insana. So, he says were the talk of the world and hes probably not wrong about that. Were doing very well. And i know you dont love prognostications. Yep. How worried are you by way of asking how worried everyone should be . Well, i think the risk of recession or growth recession or global slow down is going up by the day. China appears to be weaker than most people thought. Apple is evidence of that. Although nike is doing quite well in china, we should point out. So, differences in product may have different results in china. But china is weakening. Germany had a negative gdp last quarterly. Japan had negative gdp last quarter. We could be slowing down to an under 2 growth rate this year as the effects of the tax cut wear off. And the Financial Markets are telling us that. Were seeing stocks drop precipitously. Were seeing Interest Rates come down and were seeing economically sensitive Commodity Prices fall. All of that tells us that Financial Market investors who are pretty wise about these things are anticipating much Slower Growth in 2019. Both at home and abroad. Was it especially impactful because this is not an all the way back day yet . You look around new york. It is clear, people arent all back at work. Its the third day of the new year, after all. You know, i go back and forth on these issues. Thin Market Conditions and i love to ask the generals arent at the desks, the soldiers arent. But computers run a lot of things and we have cell phones and other device thats can keep everybody in constant communication. This was a big worry and this was a big surprise as well. Apple has now lost almost 450 billion in market value after having topped a trillion earlier in 2018. So its a significant decline for apple. Its suppliers fell sharply and Global Markets fell on this as well. Lets talk about apple. The standard of growth for them is insane because of what steve jobs, the legacy he left. With every new phone, if it doesnt have a breadmaking attachment, were disappointed. And theyre also asking a grand for some of these iphones. That is a lot of money on a product that is now under incremental change. It gets slightly cooler with each new generation, but the iphone is still the product steve jobs left us. And the phone companies have stopped subsidizing the purchase of phones, which too many cook in an interview on cnbc yesterday acknowledged was an issue. Pricing was an issue. The slow down in china was more profound than they anticipated the trade wars having an effect on their sales. A whole host of things added up to the surprise announcement after the close yesterday. They had their worst day in six years, today down almost 10 . Thats a pretty big move for a company that at one point was worth a trillion, now 450 billion less. But its also indicate ifive of other problems were seeing of the today we got manufacturing data far weaker than expected at home. That had an impact. What you quoted Kevin Hassett saying had an impact. Every two weeks the government is shutdown we lose 1 10 percent of gdp growth. How else will this be bad for the president . How else will donald trump come to dread any of what you just said if it comes true . Well, to the extent that this decline is not over, it becomes more and more problematic for him. Now, he was advised last week to solve the china trade war, to reopen the government, to do some other things, stop fighting over the wall, stop tweeting so much about certain things. If he heeds that advice, you might see some progress. In fact, chinese and hong kong markets are up tonight because there are scheduled trade negotiations early next week that are going to be underway between the u. S. And china. Whether or not you solve what is a 215page complaint about robert lighthizer, one of the president s top trade advisors, by march 1st is an open question. If there is Real Progress on the trade front it could help there are other factors that are hurting. This is just one. In 30 seconds or less, is this trade war solely of our making . Its not. I mean, china has been stealing intellectual property for decades. They have also been forcing u. S. Companies to transfer sensitive technologies if they want access to their market. Those are legitimate issues. The trade war, as its constructed under President Trump, is i think counterproductive. We could have used our allies to our benefit. We could have used the World Trade Organization to our benefit. We could have joined the transpau skisk partnership that would have isolated china and given us more leverage. The trade war as constructed is our problem. The issues we have with china are theirs. A this is why you always have a home here. Ron insana joining us again tonight. Coming up, he is a multimillionaire. He is a former president ial candidate and newly minted u. S. Senator. And hes got nothing to lose when you look at it that way. Bill crystal and rick wilson are coming here next to interpret mitt romneys criticism of donald trump after his first day in the u. S. Senate. Were back with that after this. Hey. I heard youre moving into a new apartment. Yeah, its pretty stressful. This music is supposed to relax me, though. Maybe youd mellow out a bit if you got geico to help you with your renters insurance. Oh, geico helps with renters insurance . Good to know. Yeah, and they could save you a lot of money. Wow, suddenly i feel so relieved. You guys are fired. Get to know geico and see how much you could save on renters insurance. But prevagen helps your brain with an ingredient originally discovered. In jellyfish. In clinical trials, prevagen has been shown to improve shortterm memory. Prevagen. Healthier brain. Better life. You know, i think its important as i step into the senate in this new responsibility, to layout my priorities and my perspectives. Im not worried about what other people think what i have to say. Some people said you should have waited a couple months or four months. Im not sure what makes special one time versus another, other than to do your very best from the beginning to describe whats important to you. That was now senator mitt romney earlier today talking about his latest critique of President Trump. This came out in the form of that oped published on the eve of his taking his seat in the senate. Romney said, trump, quote, has not risen to the mantle of the office, and he expressed concerns about the president s character and competence. Former governor of massachusetts, the 2012 republican president ial nominee, is now a freshman senator from the great state of utah. His stature within his party means that his criticism of his president may carry a lot more weight, and it certainly has already caused great consternation. If he fought really hard against president obama like he does against me, he would have won the election. As party chair, not as mitts niece, i just wanted to point out this is what democrats want. They want to see infighting with our party. Why he would pick his very First Venture to be an attack on the republican president its like, look at me, how virtuous i am, and im going to bring down the presidency by criticizing his car in front of the whole nation. The Associated Press also reports that some Republican Party members are concerned that mitt romneys oped could embolden possible challengers to trump in 2020. And look at the man they have focused on in that photo. And they are looking for ways to protect trumps candidacy, the people around him are. With us to talk about it, rick wilson, proud floridian, proud never trumper. He is a veteran republican strategist whose latest book is called everything trump you touches dies. Bill crystal, veteran of the reagan and bush administrations, also a longtime journalist who cofounded the weekly standard, the demise of which we covered during bills last appearance on this broadcast. Gentlemen, thank you both for coming on. Id like to ask you pretty much versions of the same question. And, rick, well start with you. Sure. It seems to me that mitt romney may be in a very rare position right now in american politics. He may be close to bullet proof in washington, d. C. Start of a sixyear term, publicminded man who is part of royalty in his home state, he has a unique public name in this country, and i just think this period is going to be very interesting. Brian, i think youre exactly right there. Mitt romney has a position of power in the senate for two big reasons. One, hes unbribable and he cant be browbeat endown like a lot of other opponents of donald trump, or people who are concerned about Donald Trumps style and the damage hes done to the Republican Party. You cant donald trump cant say, ill destroy you, mitt romney. By the time donald trump decides to destroy mitt romney, hell be out of office. And so mitt romney is in a position of unique power. And all senators have a unique degree of power that many of them ignore and have walked away from. Theyre not just employees of the Trump Organization working in the u. S. Senate. They are representatives of their several states, and mitt romney gets that. He is the senator from utah and is going to reflect the values of his state and reflect the virtues of his state, and hes not going to be silent about the things that donald trump says, does, and the behaviors he displays that are anathema to those things. And as a leader in the conservative movement, i think mitt romney has a big opportunity to be a voice and an example and a contrast every day to donald trump. And, bill crystal, same question. Yeah, id emphasize one other thing. I think romney has said of one of his fellow senators, hell be an influential senator, the appreciate man. Think about 2020. If you read mitt romneys oped, you really cant conclude mitt romney thinks donald trump should be renominated as the republican nominee for president or really reelected. You might think that trump wanted in 2016 what happened happened, they have to work with him. As romney said in the oped, work with what you agree, thats what he does as a senator. As a former president ial nominee himself, i think what romneys oped has done is make it legitimate to say, wait a second, whatever your position on the tax cuts or the judges or even whatever you voted, whoever you voted for in 2016, do you really want to renominate this guy in 20 . Romney is really i dont know he himself will, he wont. He opened up the possibility of a primary challenge, legitimatize the possibility of a primary challenge to donald trump in 2020. The way thats pretty remarkable and pretty important i think. Rick, i want to play for you what robert costa of the Washington Post said on this network during our 7 00 p. M. Eastern time hour tonight about some of the others in the party. People are starting to talk more in the gop about are there going to have to be options for 2020. Talking to senators today, they say theyre keeping a close eye on the senators who just retired. Senator corker of tennessee and senator flake of arizona. They dont have the political capital, the stature of senator romney inside the Republican Party. If they head to iowa or new hampshire, i think some senators, maybe not publicly yet, are going to at least listen. So, rick, i suggested today that we have embeds working at all the major car rental counters in the state of iowa to spot these people if they travel there. Obviously add kasich to the list. Sure. To bills point, rick, it gives a little bit of air cover. I agree with that, brian. And what you have in all situations like this, authoritarian types like trump, they want a hermetically sealed process where they can being nominated. Saddam hussein won 500 of the election. Thats not what were going to get if serious people start to contend against trump. Look, will they win . Its a high hill to climb. But theyre sending a signal that theyre willing to go out and compete. Theyre willing to go out and fight, and theyre willing to go out there and put their names on the line because they recognize that donald trump set aside the ee femoral things. This is a man who displays all the time how unqualified and unready he is to be president. Bill, there will be no single moment where this new senator from utah may be called upon to prove his worth than after we hear from robert mueller, or anything to do with the protection of robert mueller. Thats when it seems to me its going to be critical to hear from mitt romney. I think thats a very good point, brian. I was talking to someone who has been close to mitt romney many, many years. I dont know he talked about this in particular. We were thinking ahead to what could happen. He made exactly that point, that both in terms of legislation to protect mueller, perhaps, it there are attempts to interfere by whitaker or trump himself, but what if there is a serious Mueller Report that says there are at least grounds to consider impeachment. And democrats start to say, well, we have to lock at this the instinctive response from republicans will be rubbish, now this is totally uncalled for. Someone like mitt romney stands up, even though hes in the senate not the house where impeachment would begin, wait, we need to have a serious consideration of this. It gives a kind of legitimacy again to something maybe most republicans dont go with romney, but do a quarter, a third in the country or in the house or in the senate . It really changes the dynamic, i think, to have romney there. What he signalled with that oped is he wants to change the dynamic. Hes not happy with the way republicans on the hill behaved for the first two years of the trump presidency. Both of these gentlemen have agreed to stay with us through the break. Our conversation will continue on the other side right when we come back. About 50 of people with evesevere asthma k . Have too many cells called eosinophils in their lungs. Eosinophils are a key cause of severe asthma. Fasenra is designed to target and remove these cells. Fasenra is an addon injection for people 12 and up with asthma driven by eosinophils. Fasenra is not a rescue medicine or for other eosinophilic conditions. Fasenra is proven to help prevent severe asthma attacks, improve breathing, and can lower oral steroid use. Fasenra may cause allergic reactions. Get help right away if you have swelling of your face, mouth, and tongue, or trouble breathing. Dont stop your asthma treatments unless your doctor tells you to. Tell your doctor if you have a parasitic infection or your asthma worsens. Headache and sore throat may occur. Havent you missed enough . Ask an asthma specialist about fasenra. If you cant afford your medication, astrazeneca may be able to help. Our because of smoking. Ital. But we still had to have a cigarette. Had to. But then, we were like. What are we doing . The nicodermcq patch helps prevent your urge to smoke all day. Nicodermcq. You know why, we know how. Ito take care of anyct messy situations. And put irritation in its place. And if i can get comfortable keeping this tookus safe and protected. You can get comfortable doing the same with yours. Preparation h. Get comfortable with it. I dont know why, but they like me. They say im the most popular president in the history of the Republican Party. How do i have these numbers when i get bad press . People see the job were doing. We are joined tonight by two gentlemen who know what theyre talking about when it comes to the Republican Party. See the sly smiles on each of our guests . Rick wilson and bill crystal. Bill, you seem to be reacting to that quote from the president. How could the president be wrong . Some people have said hes the most popular republican president ever. Some people have, i guess. I mean, we had an election in november just two months ago. The republicans ran trump made it about himself in a sense. He made the Congressional Elections judgment on him as president and republicans lost the popular votes for the house by 10 million votes. Thats a big swing against the president. For me that was a moment. The markets began to slip in october. The elections went badly for the republicans in november. Jim mattis resigns in secretary of defense in december and donald trump gratuitously goes after him, gets in a fight with many retired senior military officers, all men of great distinction as it happens. Now we have a government shutdown, an awful lot of people dont see the point of and they dont see why were shutting down 6 or 7 or 8 agencies for the sake of a fight of a wall. Trump is being stubborn. And then we have the mitt romney oped in the sense that maybe republicans shouldnt automatically support trump. I think all that together really its been a rough i think things have changed a lot since three months ago. Bill, let me add this on the rigor of government and governing. First of all, you had that Cabinet Meeting this week. You look around the table. How many titles begin with the word acting around that table, starting right there with the attorney general in the center of the picture. Eric lip ton of the New York Times said this on social media today. As of thursday, d. O. D. Will be run by a former senior bowling executive. Epa is run by a former coal lobbyist. Hhs is run by a former pharmaceutical lobbyist. And interior will be run by a former oil industry lobbyist. Welcome to 2019. And, bill, thats part of the optics, part of the problem. Yeah. I mean, people like when rick and i would say to our republican friends, this is not going to end well. They say dont worry so much, gary cohn is in the white house stopping the trade war. H. R. Mcmaster, security, jim mattis defense secretary. Even jeff sessions, you may not love him, protecting the rule of law at the justice department. All gone, all replaced by people of much less stature and much less willingness or ability to stand up to the president. Thats another huge change from where we were just several months ago. Rick wilson sure. Im going to give you an open net goal, a layup shot. You choose the metaphor. How will paul ryan be remembered in terms of the great profiles in courage in politics in the last couple of decades . I could get in so much trouble with this one, brian oh, go ahead. Im going to stop myself for once. But the profiles in courage is replaced by profiles in chicken. You know what the last word in that phrase is. Paul ryan squandered his reputation and basically gave away the store to donald trump. He turned the house over as a whollyowned subsidiary of the Trump Organization instead of being a member or leader of a coequal branch of government. So i think his legacy is going to be defined strictly as how he behaved towards trump. No one is going to remember paul ryan wanted to fix the gigantic problem of entitlement reform. No one is going to remember paul ryan wanted to balance the budget. Theyre going to remember that paul ryan basically behaved like a junior manager to trump golf course when it came to what donald trump wanted in the house of representatives for two years. And basically ended up, because of that decision, lost the majority. Because of that decision to accommodate trump on every factor, and to pretend that he wasnt constitutionally obligated to be the leader of a coequal branch of government, that he abdicated that responsibility and that position. Thats going to be the legacy sadly. And, rick, ive also heard it said just in the last 24 hours that for mcconnell, this 53 47 advantage may not feel like it at all. Watch there be a thing made up of a kind of coalition of west of the mississippi or even Rocky Mountain republicans. Some of them are up in two years. Some of them looking at you, mitt romney, arent, who start to do some wavering as were already seeing on the shutdown. Thats exactly correct, brian. You know, 2018 was the good year for republicans when only eight seats were competitive. Theyre Geneva Convention to be over 20 republican seats that are up in 2020 that are going to be competitive, that are going to be in danger. And a lot of them are in purple states. A lot of them are in places like maine and colorado where theyre not going to have this easy skate of pretending its alabama or mississippi or arkansas. Theyre going to be in places where voters actually dont like donald trump very much, and theyre going to be asking the question, are you representing us, or are you representing this Trump Movement in d. C. . So i think youre going see as you saw with Cory Gardener today, youre going to see some nervousness thats going to grow. As the trump as the costs of trumpism mount, especially if the economy and the market continue to go south, these guys are going to run for the tall grass because politicians are ultimately survivors. They ultimately understand that their career and their position depends on whether they do the things their state and their district want, not just what donald trump wants every day. Bill crystal, in 30 seconds or less, how much change are we apt to see in 2019 . This will be the year of, fill in the blank. I think its going to be pretty walild. Mueller report next month. In a couple weeks attorney general perhaps. New secretary of defense. All the open positions you mentioned. So i think 2019 will make 2018 look like a com year. Okay, gentlemen. Thank you very much. Bill crystal, one of the sitting kings of the republican political ideal. Rick wilson, ditto, pride of florida, prince of periscope, may i add. Gentlemen, thank you both very much for coming on. [ laughter ] and coming up, some of the history that was made today and some of it that cannot be reversed. When we continue. I can do more to lower my a1c. Because my body can still make its own insulin. And i take trulicity once a week to activate my body to release it, like its supposed to. Trulicity is not insulin. It comes in a onceweekly, truly easytouse pen. And it works 24 7. Trulicity is an injection to improve blood sugar in adults with type 2 diabetes when used with diet and exercise. Dont use it as the first medicine to treat diabetes, or if you have type 1 diabetes or diabetic ketoacidosis. Dont take trulicity if you or your family have medullary thyroid cancer, youre allergic to trulicity, or have multiple endocrine neoplasia syndrome type 2. Stop trulicity and call your doctor right away if you have symptoms of a serious allergic reaction, a lump or swelling in your neck, or severe stomach pain. Serious side effects may include pancreatitis. Taking trulicity with a sulfonylurea or insulin increases your low blood sugar risk. Common side effects include nausea, diarrhea, vomiting, abdominal pain, and decreased appetite. These can lead to dehydration, which may worsen kidney problems. To help lower my a1c i choose trulicity to activate my within. Ask your doctor about onceweekly trulicity. Im particularly proud to be speaker of the house of this congress which marks the 100th year of women having the right to vote. [ applause ] and we all have the ability and the privilege to serve with over 100 women members of congress, the largest number in history. [ applause ] lets talk for a moment about the history that was made today in congress with the swearing in of the most diverse and the most female congress in our history. Of the 434 members, over 100 are women. And when you look at the numbers, its so interesting to note where the growth is from. Back in 1989, there were 16 female House Democrats and 13 female house republicans. As of today, there are 89 female democrats and still only 13 female republicans. Among the many new members who are breaking boundaries, theres the youngestever black congresswoman, 32yearold Lauren Underwood of illinois. There is also the youngest woman ever elected to the house period, alexandria ocasiocortez from here in new york. We watched as the first two muslim women were sworn in. Congresswoman Rashida Talib is a palestinian american. She placed her hand on Thomas Jeffersons copy of the quran. And from minnesota, the first woman to wear a hijab in congress. An 1837 rule banning head wear on the floor of the house was changed to accommodate it and her. The first native american women ever to serve in congress were on the floor of the house, sharing a celebratory hug. One of them, Sharice Davids of the state of kansas, also happens to have been a mixed marshal artist with an Ivy League Law degree. This congress includes the firstever Congress Women from iowa and the first Hispanic Women ever elected from texas. All this recordbreaking representation gives women nearly a quarter of the house seats in a country where they, of course, are half the population. But as of today, africanamerican and Asian American representation in the house is now a much closer reflection of overall u. S. Population. And while the democrats spoke proudly today of their diversity, another great moment from today was this post from army veteran turned republican brian mast of florida. Hes there in the middle. Posing with his fellow wounded veterans, he writes, quote, five eyes, five arms, five legs, welcome to congress. Coming up, the amount of expertise the american taxpayers are getting on a daily basis and free of charge, as we were reminded again today, that when we come back. Every Insurance Company tells you they can save you money. Save up to 10 when you bundle with esurance. Including me, esurance spokesperson dennis quaid. Hes a pretty good spokesperson. Ehhh. So when i say, drivers who switched from geico to esurance saved an average of 412, you probably wont believe me. Hey, actor lady whose scene was cut. Hi. But you can believe this esurance employee, nancy abraham. Seriously, send her an email and ask her yourself. No emails. No emails. When insurance is affordable, its surprisingly painless. Howdoing great dad r does this thing got . Looking good babe are you filming. At booking. Com, we cant guarantee youll be any good at that water jet thingy. But we can guarantee the best price on a hotel, like this one. Or any home, boat, treehouse, yurt, whatever. Get the best price on homes, hotels and so much more. Booking. Com, booking. Yeah you see whats just been put out on social media where thousands of people are rushing the border. Having the drone fly overhead and i dont think anybody knows more about technology, this type of technology certainly than i do. That was the president earlier today. As we said oddly, it was his first visit to the White House Briefing room as president. It brings us to our last thing here tonight. Looked at a certain way, by voting for donald trump as president of the United States, it could be that the American People are getting a tremendous bargain. Sure, you get donald trump, the president , but also, and as he has reminded us as recently as today, you are getting one of the great experts in the world on any number of subjects, disciplines and topics. I think nobody knows more about Campaign Finance than i do because im the biggest contributor. Theres nobody bigger or better at the military than i am. If you look at my book, which was written a couple of years prior to the attack, i actually mention the name of osama bin lauden. I mean, i know whats happening, sean. I know whats going on. I think i could have stopped it because i have very tough illegal immigration policies. I know more about isis than the generals do, believe me. I know more about courts than any human being on earth. I understand social media. So, i know a lot about twitter. I understand twitter. And i do mostly do it myself. Bing, bing, bing, bomb, bomb, bomb, put it out at real donald trump. Someone said im the ernest hemming way of 140 characters. Can you believe it . I was actually given that credit. I understand the power of twitter. I understand the power of facebook. Maybe better than almost anybody, you know, based on my results, right . Now, let me tell you what happened with eisenhower. Who are you consulting with consistently so that youre ready on tway one . Im speaking with myself, number one, because i have a very good brain. I know words. I have the best words. Nobody but me will know how to do im 9 king at banking. Im god at banking. Do i know how to deal with banks, ayayay. Construction is what i know. I say nobody knows it better. Okay, let me just tell you this. I understand money better than anybody. Im way up on the economy when it comes to questions on the economy. I said mitt romney should not run. Hes a choke artist. And i said it very strongly. Nobody knows more about trade than me. I mean, i made so much more money than mitt. You know, i have a store thats worth more money than mitt. Its a store. I know more about drones than anybody. I know about every form of safety that you can have. Nobody knows the system better than me. Which is why i alone can fix it. And so as we start off the new year, the one nine day four, thanks to Steve Kornacki for filling in here and thanks to you for slipping away for a while. Were back. That is our broadcast for this thursday evening. Thank you so very much for being here with us. Good night from nbc news headquarters here in new york. Thank you at home for joining us this hour. Happy thursday. It is an historic day. Today the 116th congress was officially sworn in two years after being exiled from power in a shocking election result that they did not expect, and the republicans did not expect, and pole roadsters did not expect. Democrats have now come roaring back with their biggest Midterm Election victory in modern history, and they now, as of

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