Who filed his reelection paperwork the day he took office. Think about that. Nobody has ever done that before. No sitting president had ever launched their Reelection Campaign that early. Everything in the political universe. Every legislative decision. Every white house decision. Every major news story in 2019 is going to be viewed through the prizm of 2020. So all this hour were going to dive into the Big Questions that will be answered in 2019 like who is going to actually get in and when . How nasty is it going to get between House Democrats and the president . And if things go south in the white house, how are they going to react . Which is where we begin tonights show with the President Trump presidency that is vulnerable to a reelection disaster. Let us count the ways. In a clear rebuke of the president , democrats won 40 house seats. Their best Midterm Election showing since water gate. The president s legal woes are unprecedented in size and scope. And like sharks drawn to blood in the water we could see 30 plus legitimate Democratic Candidates vying to take trump on. We could see Something Like we hadnt seen in a generation, a serious primary challenge from within the president s own party. This is a president who relishes a fight and is willing to play dirty. On the eve of a mere Midterm Election he falsely claimed this country was being invaded. He mobilized and politicized the military and painted democrats as the literal angry mob, and he warned donors of violence if his side lost. Now, just imagine what he might do leading up to a contest where his name is on the ballot. Like i said, get ready for an unpredictable spectacle unlike any other in mod earn history. Its right around the corner. Lets bring in tonights panel. Capitol Hill Reporter lee ann caldwell. Michael steele. Carrie dan, and cornell belcher. Welcome. It seems like for us to say boy, 2019 is going to be wild. 2020, and were still recovering from the mess that is the post election massacre. What have we learned from that that tells us how crazy 2019 is going to be . I think first, 20181 going to continue into 2019. Now theres no stopping . No. Now that democrats control the house of representatives, these investigations are only going to expand into the president and so that is also going to be caught up in the president ial election, and the primary. And so i dont think were going to see a clear division. I think were going to see more of the same of what weve already seen only its going to escalate. Michael steele, previous president s when theyve had a midterm setback acknowledged it. This one did not. How much harder does that make it for Congressional Republicans to recalibrate . I think every previous president has said some humility in accepting a midterm loss. This president knows one mode, forward, attack, offense. As he feels more threatened and closed in, hes oscillating and swinging more wildly and fighting like a corners badger. Its only going to get worse when he faces democrats in charge of house committees in the next year. Cornell, he seems to be oblivious to what happened in november. I think its almost 10 million more votes in the popular vote. Nearly a nine point advantage, i believe, the raw vote. Right . Right. Sort of 10 million more votes, thats a large margin. Right. And you go into it looking at republicans losing suburbs in the way they havent lost before, and democrats Winning College educated white women in a way they hadnt before. And look at the Battle Ground states. That blue wall that we talked about crumbling, i think that blue wall is being rebuilt because of the shenanigans of this president. And t not just the president saying it. Its also Republican Voters did not see about half of Republican Voters said this message wasnt the result of the midterms were not a referendum on the president , and the majority of them said theyre haeppy with te results of the election. What theyve heard from the president is we won the senate. They didnt hear shellacked which is what barack obama said or a tluhumping. Its not that i loss the house, its i held the senate, and the house guys that lost, those were the wimps. Those were the weaklings who wouldnt stand with me and my agenda. And thats why they lost because the American People are with me. If youre a republican senator sitting in a blue state like colorado, for example, you have to be terrified by that. Because your fortune is unfortunately tied to donald trump, and its hard to win some of these Battle Ground states this way. Lee ann, the divide between center right independent and the base of the Republican Party how does i mean, donald trump has a problem. He caters to this base, and they reinforce each other as they get smaller. Hes a long way away from the center independent. In 2020 well have two issues. Well have the house and senate races and the president ial race which is a different but same electorate. Right . As far as the base is concerned, the president keeps governing for the base and do the center right independents vote independent . Thats where it becomes a binary choice. It matters who the a lot of people will still say that trump won because it was a choice between Hillary Clinton and donald trump and too many people couldnt vote for Hillary Clinton. The problem is that democrats have also not figured out how to run against trump. I think its going to be very difficult for them because he is a master attacker, and it sticks what he says sticks. I hear that and i respect that. But heres my fundamental problem with that. I think its a fluke we have a president that lost the popular vote by such a stretch. I think its a fluke that we its weird that margin, i dont think it can be duplicated. It does not right. Thats my point. I think its an outlier. When you look at wisconsin and pennsylvania, when you look at michigan, you look at the margin there, i just dont think that hes going to be able to win those states with the same 46 he was able to win them in the last election. I might be wrong, but i dont think hes going to be able to do that. The slim possibility that pelosi is the democratic nominee in 2020, theres not going to be a uniquely polarizing well known as Hillary Clinton. Theres also a huge wild card here which is if the economy is not in as strong of a place as it is now, i mean, we saw in our latest wall street journal poll, a little bit of concern from voters about the economy. People saying yeah, this past year was really good for me, but im worried about whats going to happen the next year or two if the economy is starting a downturn heading into this election, Donald Trumps resilience with even the sort of center right republicans who are kind enough to give him ground tariffs. Its going to evaporate. I feel like you guys are Team Congress for me. Who are the you know, there was theres members of congress, think of oren hatch, but theres the but the economy republicans. But the economy. Who do the but the economy republicans, what happens to them if the economy starts tanking . Who are the ones to watch to see if they walk fully away from them . You go. I think i would add but the economy and but gorsuch and kavanaugh. Its people skeptical of the president. Are you speaking hewitts middle name . Exactly. The first two i look at are Cory Gardener and thom tillis. Running for reelection in states trending not blue i think colorado is blue. North carolina, pure swing state. Those are folks who both on certain issues have been willing to demonstrate independence from the president. I assume it will increase with the economy goes south. I am hearing there are members who say people say they expect their members to be more vocal, be more critical in the next years. People have told me this. Members arent necessarily up in 2020, but i think there is a frustration there. The russia probe is getting closer and closer. These investigations as we already talked about are going to expand. If the president and the president hasnt been able to prove that hes able to govern without anything being chaotic. And so if the if his base continues if his bay continues to support him but that base is tightening and tightening and then getting back to these center right republicans, i mean, theyre going to be critical on how these members respond. All right. I think our last poll showed the base may be down to 34 . Big enough to cause problems, not big enough to win elections. Up ahead with the president ial election on the horizon, when are democratic hopefuls going to jump into the race . A few of them have. Were going to talk 2020 strategy in 2019 next. Ome again better than a body has a right to and shakin me up so that all i really know is here you come again, and here i go, here i go here we come again. Applebees all you can eat is back. Now thats eatin good in the neighborhood. The new sleep number 360 smart bed. It senses your movement and automatically adjusts to keep you both comfortable. And now, the queen sleep number 360 c4 smart bed is only 1299. Plus, 24month financing on all beds. Ends new years day. But when i started seeing things, i didnt know what was happening. So i kept it in. He started believing things that werent true. I knew something was wrong. But i didnt say a word. 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With an ingredient originally discovered in jellyfish, prevagen has been shown in Clinical Trials to improve shortterm memory. Prevagen. Healthier brain. Better life. I am a techie dad. N. I believe the best technology should feel effortless. Like magic. At comcast, its my job to develop, apps and tools that simplify your experience. My name is mike, im in Product Development at comcast. Were working to make things simple, easy and awesome. Welcome back. 2019 isnt just going to be about who is running for president but also when they announce potential Democratic Candidates are already gauging their best moment to officially make the big leap. Kamala harris said earlier this month that she will make her president ial decision over the holidays. Okay. Harris needs to make a name for herself to stand out from the pack of senators that will all be going around iowa. Sooner may be better for someone like her. On the other hand you have joe biden saying january would be way too early to publicly announce his campaign. Biden is near the top of the few polls out right now, and the thinking may be the longer he stays off the trail, the longer he can avoid the fray. Lets bring back our political experts. Lee ann, michael, carrie and cornell. Its interesting here. I want to put up when candidates get in on the 2016 race. It was cruz first. The sitting is that rights got in first. Cruz, paul, rubio. Then jeb bush and donald trump got in in june. Hillary clinton announced in april. I think Bernie Sanders right around the same time. Were in announcement season now, arent we . Of course. And people are already making trips. People are already working on putting their staffs together. Making those kind of early telephone calls to activists in early primary states. And we know were going to have debates starting in june. We are not very far out from those debates starting. I think there is an imperative for some of the candidates who dont necessarily know what their fund raising ability is going to be like to get in earlier. One of the big demands is they want somebody who can solicit a lot of small dollar do nations. The later people get in, the harder it is to do. I think thats part of the push to get in early is i want to make sure that i can prove to people that i can raise money from regular people and not from super pacs early on in the campaign. Theres only two candidates that seem they shouldnt think about getting in early. Biden and sanders. If youre people sitting at the top, you want a shorter campaign. If youre one of the people who are less known, you need a longer campaign. You need to raise your name identification and go through the rigors of it. You know what . From the beginning of that campaign in 2008 to the end of that campaign, barack obama was so much better. And the rigors of it helped him be a better candidate in the end. A lot of those names are not welltested. They need to get in early. Try to make a name for themselves. Try to get tested. Take a punch and see if you can throw a punch in the primaries. Elizabeth warren is getting the first vetting, i would argue. A lot of people want to say well, shes showing a glass thumb. Im thinking no, this is your first hit. She stepped on the bear trap first. Its coming. What were going to find, its not going to be about who avoids hits, its two survives them. Who can take a punch and get back in there and counterpunch. A lot of these guys could have glass jaws. A lot of guys havent had a real contest like this. Its going to be an interesting process up to the end the capitol hill candidates, there are a dozen of them. Whether its what is it Claire Mccaskill joked the other day, she goes half these people are running. I dont think she was joking. You have all these House Democrats. How does that impact the leadership . I think pelosi and especially shum ver a real challenge. This challenge started for schumer two years ago. He tried to keep the Party Together as much as possible. He did a pretty decent job. There were some issues like immigration and some Prescription Drug things that caused him some headaches. Thats only going to escalate. And its not a good sign for any sort of legislating, lets just say. Lets put up the Des Moines Register poll. What i thought was great about the poll that came out is it showed us the tiers. Tier one was top four candidates of biden, sanders, oroarke and warren. They were 32, 19, and 8 respectively. Then a second tier of the sort of mid level single digit harris, booker, klobuchar. Then the other dozen. The big shock was a roark. I think that was the most informative of that poll. Biden and sanders at the top is not that interesting at this stage. Theyre going to be at the top of all national polls. Its interesting to look at their favorable within the party specifically. The democrats still have the warm fuzzies for joe biden. And maybe to slightly lesser degree to Bernie Sanders. Theyre still likable. The same poll showed Hillary Clinton did not have any kind of bounceback. The Democratic Party is still angry and upset with her. Iowa democrats not into Michael Bloomberg as well. You can look at the favorable ratings and those things. But i think oroarke jumping into that first tier right away did show how much momentum he has early. The trouble is he has to translate it into the doing the work in iowa. Cornell, obviously november, 2006, the buzz name was obama. Yep. Well. November of 0 6, it was like will he do it, but he was clearly the new guy. Beto is now in that position . Yes. But remember that barack obama when he jumped in he was also running behind hillary 20 points everywhere. Okay. Oroarke is 20 points behind biden. Im a pollster. I love polls. Right now theyre meaningless. Oroarke jumping to double digits in an iowa poll . Thats meaningless . Thats kind of a big deal. Thank you. I wanted to dismiss polling early, but i always say its not for the leader. Im curious who is popping in the middle. He energizes something in an obama way thats outsider and right. You have a lot of insiders running for president. I like the chances of the outside candidate. If you look at this j you saw this . Yes. If you look at this top tier and its three longtime washington senators and i realize oroarke is a congressman, but hes not thought of as a washington insider and hes a generation younger than the rest of the top tier, thats a nice place to be for him if he can translate it into the votes and do the work. Pbeto is young. Lets go to Bernie Sanders. Ive been trying to figure out can bernie replicate what he did in 2016 . Ive been trying to figure that out. He never really stopped running, and so he has a lot more competition. He was the new thing four years ago. I dont have an answer for that. Its going to be hard. Its going to be a challenge for Bernie Sanders. Listen, i have a great deal of respect for senator sanders, but the truth of the matter is if he couldnt find a way to get to beat Hillary Clinton the last time around, i dont see how he cobbles it together and beats this field. I would argue that you dont think he he cant make the case the nomination should have been his, she basically jerry rigged it . Thats b. S. The same process, barack obama came out and beat her in that process. Right . So theres a you know, how does Bernie Sanders do better in South Carolina and georgia . Tell me how he wins the sec primary states and ill tell you how hell be the nominee. And you pointed out why i think thats the most intriguing candidacy that if i doesnt happen, it wouldnt surprise me. Up ahead, President Trump passes with flying colors according to President Trump. Nca has been excellent. 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Ive done a great job. I would give myself an a plus. Im going a good job. I give myself an aplus on effort. They dont give me credit. I do a good job. I would say its a ten. Im the best. Im good. Trump doesnt get any credit. And i love to get credit. I love it. That was a true statement. And honestly, its clear he does his homework. If you go back to the civil war, it was the republicans who really did the thing. This is an island sitting in the middle of an ocean. Its a big ocean. Its a very big ocean. It used to not be climate change. It used to be global warming. That wasnt working. It was getting too cold all over the place. We have some bad guys here, and were going to get them out. I told the president if he had a healthier diet over the last 200 years, he might live to be 200 years old. As a holiday gift to the president we decided to tack on a few more pluses. Careful with that gpa, mr. President , it can be quite faj ill. Fragile. Fragile. 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Com, we cant guarantee youll good at that water jet thingy. But we can guarantee the best price on this hotel. Or any accommodation, from homes to yurts. Booking. Com booking. Yeah welcome back. Divided government. It isnt going to be the only thing coming up the works in capitol hill in 2018. Getting things done is also going to get difficult very fast. A lot of members of congress are going to be angling for a promotion to the presidency. There will be at least 14 members of the house and senate as we talked about earlier who are thinking of running for 2020. 14 of them. And get ready for each of the democrats to try to stand out from the pack with bill sponsorships and grand standing of all kinds. Remember what ted cruz was doing for the republican side . You get my point. As i mentioned earlier, outgoing senator mcmccaskill tweeted in the democratic cloak room as we vote tonight, just realized i was surrounded by no less than 5 president ial candidates and there were only 10 of us in there. This is going to get interesting. We are back with our panel. Michael steele, you had the most recent experience of both working in congress when you had members of congress. How bad is it with leadership in. Its awful. You are lucky if it stays to i am start pus and speeches and grand standing. The first act of ted cruzs 2016 president ial campaign was shutting down the government in 2013 and because he lacked the power to do that in the United States senate, he forced the u. S. House of representatives to do it which was not fun for those of us who were working with the speaker and the House Republican leadership. Senator schumers job. Lets just look at the senate, how to keep it he has already, you have some activists saying he needs to have manchin become the ranking member. They are going to have to talk about it a lot. Especially in the era of trump where theyre going to be forced to react to whatever trump is doing on a daily basis from reporters. The president ial campaign is going to seep into everything. Not just the daily machinations of government, but what they say and what they have to respond to on a daily basis. One thing i am going to watch out for in the coming year is immigration. This is what trump ran on. This is going to be a Campaign Issue in 2020. And these progressive democrats, its they are going to give the president nothing when it comes to this. Let me put a video buffet of the congressional democrats, a montage of them talking about 2020. Take a listen. That is a very important moral question that ive been thinking about. Were seriously thinking about it. Were seriously talking about it with family and friends. I do think its important that there are people running from the midwest. Im considering it. Im up for reelection as a United States senator in 2020, so i will be running in 2020. I mean, you know, i dont know. I dont know. After november 6th, i will take a hard look at running for president. So its not an easy decision. We got to determine what kind of grass roots support exists and thats what were looking at right now. I actually do see a path. I am considering it. I guess the question, and cornell you hinted at it earlier, do they all have a first name thats unelectable, senator or congressman . Were in a weird time. Once upon a time i thought a member of congress, no way. Now i think a member of from the house. It may be because if youre an outsider, i still am interested about if theres a candidate who can be antiestablishment outside of washington, i think it benefits them. Who are the governors or who are even the mayors who are thinking about running . Once upon a time, the idea of mitch landry running for president was crazy. Its not now. He has an outsider i think the primary electorate is going to be for someone who can galvanize their energy and anger and antiestablishment. And the fact that all those people that you mentioned have voting records that are going to be fodder for opo. Any democratic fan not a fan of oroarke will put fword thorwar the president 30 of the time. Its a way of trying to take down another opponent and differentiate yourself if your number is 27 and your opponents number is 32 . This is a larger question. You look at the candidates and a lot of them are good on a lot of issues but theyre not great on any of them as far as the Progressive Left is concerned. So what is the mood of the democratic primary electorate in that do they want to fall in love or do they want competency . Obviously they want both, but if you cant get both. Heres the contradiction i love. Polling after polling is always no, we want the candidate best positioned to beat the republican right. And the truth of the matter is always the candidate they fall in love with. It doesnt not necessarily the best. Right. In 2008, Hillary Clinton was the best candidate to win in all the polls but they fell in love with barack obama. I give a nod to whatever candidate who can win the hearts, the hearts of these primary voters, not necessarily the minds. They have to go they cant do this logically. No, and a record is a political record. Its a hardship at this point in our policies. This is the reason when they were looking for recruits, they went with veterans, Small Business people, people with no record in elected office. Nothing you could point to as well, thats 7 8 out of what i want, but thats not what i wanted. They need to be perfect. I understand why so many donors, thats whats happening. The race is frozen. Its frozen until bay deto annos what hes going to do. Donors are in love with him because its a blank slate. Hes proven to raise a lot of money and democrats can fall in love. He has this theres an energy about him. Theres a coolness about him. You know, and that is what appealed to so many people across the country when he was running in texas. And i think that i honestly believe him that when he said during his Texas Campaign that he was not going to run for president , but since then hes walked back dramatically. I think thats because hes realized what he has when was the last time democrats fell if line and actually won the presidency . When they fall in line, Hillary Clinton or when they fall in love, barack obama, jimmy carter and bill clinton. Beto, the same argument about stacey abrams. These were not the candidates that conventional wisdom wanted or conventional washington whisperers wanted to be out there, because they thought we would stand no chance with beto and stacey abrams. Stacey abrams and beto, they transformed the their states. They brought in new people to the process. Thats what we need. We need people who bring more people into the process and excite the voters and not just sort of worry about how we win over republicans and moderates and conservative voters. And both abrams and oroarke had this quality where voters maybe thought they agreed with them on 100 of the issues even if they didnt. It is obamalike. They see what they want. Yeah. Panel, stick with us. It might not be only democrats President Trump has to worry about in 2020. Hes going to get a primary challenger. Which republican might take him on . An might take him on o tell you about the Colonial Penn program. 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And youll also get this free beneficiary planner, and its yours just for calling. So call now. Welcome back. 2019 will be all about the vast field of democrats looking to defeat President Trump in 2020. It could also be a hand full of republicans who are thinking about at least challenging the sitting president. John kasich and jeff flake are among the republicans who have already visited early primary states. And theyve hinted at a potential run in 2020. While ted cruz and Lindsey Graham to lost in the 2016 primaries say theyll endorse his reelection efforts, others are saying, you know. Like ben sass. Susan collins says hes open to seeing a challenge to the president in her own party. Its not my choice. Its the choice of those individuals, but i see nothing wrong with challengers. That is part of our democratic system. The panel is back. Lee ann, michael, carrie, cornell, let me play another clip. Heres bob corker when asked about whether the president , hes retiring. Hes what he said about a primary to trump. Do you think President Trump should be primaried . I do think that weve got to remember what the Republican Party is. Thats not a yes or no answer. Oh, i dont know that i want to get away from hearing and thinking about it. This is an every day in the hallway question. What is happening right now is not the standard republicanism that weve had in our country for many, many years. And its very different. You know, michael steele, this is the argument i hear from some republicans that says look, we know its impossible to defeat him, but somebody has to plant the flag. And what the Republican Party should be post trump. I think about this two ways. Primaries are a way of keeping a president more true to the values of the party, and this president in a lot of ways has not been true to the values of the Republican Party. The second way is the chances of a republican primary candidate running strongly against trump, whether or not they defeat him depends on 2019. They depend on the economy, the results of the investigations. If were looking at a situation where close family members and associates of the president are indicted, were continuing to lose special elections, the economy is not doing well, it becomes difficult to make a case for the president s reelection, and the case you might do better with a different republican at the top of the ticket might be more and more appealing. You must made me think well, okay. I dont know. Tom cot season deaf well, i im not saying he wants to inherit the base. And he wants to run for president. Does that happen . Does he challenge the president . I dont know. That gets to your point. If trump is so weak, then maybe a trumplike figure comes in. Can i jump in on this conversation . Yeah. When you arguing its for your own favor, im sure. When you look at some of the post election stuff and you look at Republican Voters who cast a vote this time around, they are much more pro trump than pro Republican Party. I think in a lot of ways this is a party of trump in a way i did not see before bush. Weve been studying this. We ask this question a lot to try to figure out. You are right the trump wing of the party is growing. Heres what it was the last time we did it. Do they support the president . 57 . Are they more of a trump supporter than republican . 57 of republicans call themselves that. But thats 40 of the party call themselves a republican before. Heres my final point to that. Then you take him on the same way that barack obama took on hillary, by expanding the electorate. The conventional democratic electorate, we lost to Hillary Clinton. We expand the electorate. Whats a republican who can expand the republican elector e electorate. If youre looking at a conservative idealism, jeff flake or ben sass or a john kasich independent kind of protest candidate, thats one thing. If 2019 goes badly is where you start seeing tom cottons or other republicans who think they may have a future in the party taking this on. And institutions are increasingly not as important in american politics. Like the rnc and the dnc. But state parties matter. And if state parties are not allowing primary challenges to go forward, were seeing that already seeds of that in South Carolina and other places. The state party could have some power in keeping one of those people off the ballot entirely. Thats the point. Hes not going to lose the nomination barring something we dont know. The question is does ben sass want to make a point . Right . Or the first step in Ronald Reagan winning the 1980 president ial nomination was losing the 1976 president ial nomination to gerald ford. Heres the bizarre part. Most sitting president s, the last thing they want is a primary challenge. This president would probably say lets debate, john kasich. Because trump is at his best when hes attacking. When he has a foil. A one on one, i think you can correct me if im wrong. I think early on he did well because of the crowded field of republicans. I think one of one with kasich is tougher than you might think. He does extremely well at creating a hand full of moments in a debate that get replayed over and over again. He never wins the debate. He wins the coverage of the debate. And i think he actually is pretty good about that even when its a one on one like with secretary clinton. If you watch the transscripts, i take your point. Hes better about finding a moment. I think its tough tore de tough tore define the moment with a guy like kasich. The other part is democrats, i had a president ial candidate, someone who wants to run for president say to me okay, how do i both go after trump and avoid getting sucked into trump . I said thats a great question. Im thinking you need to answer that question, dont you . And this person says, yes. And a republican primary pundit would have that problem times 100. This to me, the democrats, how do they avoid trump and run against trump . I think we had a moment three or four months ago where the narrative was that democrats want somebody who is going to fight. Donald trump get down in the mud. It was a michael avenatti, it went where it went, but the narrative who . Right, but the narrative has shifted dramatically the other way. People are saying what if somebody is like a beto oroarke or klobuchar, they will rise above and reach out to the civility in all of us. Were going to change that cycle probably six times next year. Thats a great general election strategy, but a primary, you have to throw the primary voters red meat. You do. Trump is going to throw pumpl pump punches all the time. Hell want to be an unofficial referee of the democratic primary. For the next year its going to be nancy pelosi with chuck on the side. Mostly pelosi. He didnt have a good first matchup. He didnt. Its going to make the nexther. Which will make the next one easier. Theres a we can have a debate about pelosis longterm effectiveness. She might be uniquely qualified to think about her generation, and trump is from her generation. Shes dealt with men like him her whole life. And a woman who grew up in baltimore machine politics. Hes tough in a way he hasnt dealt with. I understood against a conventional president , she might not be so good, but she might be a foil he regrets. And trump going against a powerful woman is not trumps best matchup. It never is. Even though he defeated Hillary Clinton. But he defeated the clinton part of Hillary Clinton, not necessarily the hillary part. Were going to take a pause here. Stick around, because then we get to have a little bit of fun. Its a new year. You have to make some predictions. Well share ours in 2019 and get abused on social media for all the predictions, next. On social the predictions, next. From capital one. I earn unlimited 2 cash back on everything i buy. And last year, i earned 36,000 in cash back. Which i used to offer Health Insurance to my employees. Whats in your wallet . With expedia, i saved when i added a hotel to our flight. So even when she grows up, shell never outgrow the memory of our adventure. Unlock savings when you add select hotels to your existing trip. Only with expedia. Select hotels to your existing trip. If your moderate to severeor crohns symptoms are holding you back, and your Current Treatment hasnt worked well enough it may be time for a change. 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Td ameritrade. At first slice pizza lovers everywhere meet o, thats good frozen pizza one third of our classic crust is made with cauliflower but thats not stopping anyone o, thats good i am a techie dad. N. I believe the best technology should feel effortless. Like magic. At comcast, its my job to develop, apps and tools that simplify your experience. My name is mike, im in Product Development at comcast. Were working to make things simple, easy and awesome. Time now for the lid. The panel is back. Were at the end of the year, end of the year show, and i grew up watching end of the year shows. I love the prediction portion, even though i know theyre meaningless. First up, we asked all of you here, who is the one person thats on everybodys 20 20 candidate list who will not run . Three of you said, which is the obvious choice, joe biden. And one wouldnt answer, cornell. I understand why everybody picked biden. How does biden survive a long primary . Can he jump in, in november . Theres all sorts of ways. Why are you not convinced that hes not going to because we have 30 people running. And so its who knows who is going to jump in . I think its too easy to say biden. I think you know, if you ask a lot of people, they think cory booker is going to run. I dont think thats certain. Is kamala is going to run . You think harris is let certain than people think . I think its less certain than people think. Its hard to run for president , and she just came into the senate. Im going to reverse the question and let you each have something else. Three tickets, because i was asked and i wont answer one person, but if you could have three tickets and say one of these three will be the nominee, if you could give you three candidates to pick, who would it be . Ill give you three. Who can go first, quickly. Im trying to wrap up a show here. Pick a trio. Beto, kamala and shared brown. Ryan, kamala and brown. Tim ryan . Yes. I think beto orourke, harris, and klobuchar. Where are you . Beto, ill say, brown, and i would love there to be a woman in there, but im skeptical. Ill say harris. Ill admit, my three tickets, i said this on another show, beto, warren, and harris would be the three. Let me go to the other predictions here. I ask of these three candidates, biden, sanders, and warren, who will still be an active candidate on december 31st, 2019 when we go this show again . I said elizabeth warren. I think theres a lot of skepticism about biden running and the way biden has talked about his run has focused on his family and that will be a big consideration for him. Elizabeth warren has the money, im not sure shes going to be the nominee. You guys all said none. I can be quick here. I think the front rrunner stat is the kiss of death. They need the next generation. You thought sanders and warren would be in by the 31st . Yeah. I think that theyve done the work. I think that they might not be frontrunners, but theyll still be in. Sanders runs, he aint getting out until the convention. Theyre going to make it through iowa. The other thing that will happen in 2019 is the Surprise Senate retirement. It always happens. Probably more than one. So leeann give me your one. I wanted to say mcconnell, but i went with ben sass. Some democrat is going to raise a ton of money raising against him. Susan collins. She just does not seem to enjoy this end of the year chaos, and the whole year basically. I think Susan Collins also, but i can see the republican from colorado, who corey gardner. I said sass. Theres a little frustration from tom tillis, i could see him saying i dont want any of this anymore. Sass, i definitely agree. That was a lot of fun. Thank you for having fun with me. Thats all we have. We would like you to rewatch it over and over. We wish you a very happy holiday season. Hope your bowl teams are winning. Bewant to share with you all the team, all of them, who make mtp daily happen. An actual credit roll. Go. Welcome to a very special Holiday Edition of the beat. Tonight, were going to look at a lot of different things, what lies ahead in the russia probe. Were going to break down how democrats are going to fight trump in court with special reporting. And were going to have some fun with a special yearend fallback. We begin with Robert Muellers probe, closing in on someone you may have heard about, individual one, donald trump. More Trump Associates have been caught up in this investigation as we head into the new year. Michael cohen, the man who said he would take a bullet for trump, is cooperating with mueller and is also headed to jail. Donald trumps campaign