Parges of past Sexual Misconduct against moore are true, and those who dont. 49 say the charges are definitely and probably true, 49 . 45 say the charges are definitely and probably not true, false. Another telling result is on the question of President Trumps job approval. Look at this number, 48 , even steven on trumps job performance, a great leading indicator of whats coming tonight. This after trump began election day by accusing v÷ new york sr being a flunky for chuck schumer, saying she would do anything for them. That was the phrase trump used tonight, that she came into hiso office, met with him, she had she would do anything to get his campaign money. Senator Elizabeth Warren called that a case of slutshaming. A lot hangs in the balance down in alabama tonight for the republican party. A victory for jones would weaken republican control of the senate, potentially jeopardizing the president s agenda. A victory for moore could leave lasting effects on the party struggling to define itself. Both men made a lastminute appeal to voters. Let listen to them. Here today thshlgs a very important race for our country, for our state, and for the future. We feel very good about where we are in this race, what weveu done, what weve accomplished. If alabama, we have come so far with too many things. And theres this saying. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Alabamas not going to let that happen again. Moore had been missing from the campaign trail almost a week, made a defiant return last night rallying supporters and attacking the women who accused him of Sexual Misconduct. Lets watch. Weve been intimidated. Other people have been intimidated. Were tired of it. The Washington Post put out this terrible, disgusting article saying i had done something. And i want you togaunderstand something. They said these women, two, had not come forward for nearly 40 years. But they waited till 30 days before this general election to come forward. Actions are going to speak louder than words. The former judge got some serious reinforcement from his biggest booster, steve bannon. This is greater than judge moore. Right . Its even greater than the people of alabama. I know one thing. Nobody can come down here and tell folks in alabama what to do. Well, hes doing it. Anyway, challenger doug jones held his own rally and made his closing arguments to the voters of alabama. It is time, and i think were going to see it tomorrow, that the majority of the people of alabama say that it is time that we put our decency, our state, before political party. Jones brought along some support and it came from alabama native and one of my favorites, Charles Barkley, used to play for the sixers, here he is. Son i am begging and urging everybody to get out, call all your friends. We got to at some point, we got to stop looking like idiots to the nation. Love barkley. Early this morning the president weighed in and reminded his supporters where he stood tweeting, the people of alabama will do the right thing, jones the Pelosi Schumer puppet, roy moore will always vote with us, vote roy moore. For the latest, joe archibald, columnist for the Alabama Media group. And the host of the most . Yk listened to Radio News Program in alabama. John, thank you. Hp÷ay first, what do you smell tonight . Thats my favorite question politically, what do you smell . You know what i mean. I smell a tight one. I dont know whats going to happen. Its getting intense out there. The exit polling is really interesting. This ones going to go down to the wire. I tell you what ive never seen anything like it in my 30 years of doing this stuff. Let me go to you, when you see the exit polls that say frump, 48 48, whats that tell you about tonight, anything . Onnie first. Could you repeat that, chris . When you see an exit poll that shows President Trumps job support in alabama, among those who voted today, at 4848, what does that tell you about whos going to win tonight . Anything . It tells me this race is, as we say, tight as a tick, chris. How tight is a tick . Hah i dont know any ticks. How tight are they . When its bitten into you . I guess thats what you mean. I dont know, we kind of went into this thinking there may be a 5point lead. I bumped it down to a 2point lead. But i dont know. I mean, i just dont know. Who do you give to it right now . Roy moore. Same question . Its a lot tighter than i expected, even a week ago, chris. I would expect that roy moore squeezes this one out. Its a lot tighter than anyone would have expected, considering some of the exit polling were getting with africanamerican turnout being a little higher than we anticipated. It is anybodys bargain. Its a jump ball right now. How high is it . Up to 25 . Back to john on this. The black vote, is the black vote going to be 25 , which apparently is the threshold to win this thing for jones . It looks to me like the turnout is going to be a little what makes whats turning at the last minute . Ana, tell me what you see happening. I like to call races starting thursday before and getting a number in my head, then thinking from that number which ways the wind blowing . Then coming up with who i thi is going to win. Four, five days ago, then look at the wind direction, where do you end up . I can tell you what our listeners have been saying when they call in to us. I think its a lot like the president ial vote was. There were people who would not say they were voting for trump, werent answering poll questions, kept to it themselves. Didnt talk about it at parties that sort of thing. But then they went into the polls and they ended up voting for trump. I feel the same about this. Not a lot of us are excited to vote for roy moore. But some of us will go in and do that. And we didnt answer a poll question, we didnt tell people how we were voting. I think theres a silent vote we cant discount. Along those lines, i believe completely in what you said. People dont like telling people how theyre voting if they think its politically incorrect. By they also go by the voice thats on the phone. If somebody calls up, they may have a northern accent, may have perfect standard englishcfzxn wo regional accent whatever, or o hifalutin, seems to me id be hesitant to tell them what i thought. Because id think they had a predisposition to not like me if i had the wrong view as far as theyre concerned. You know what im talking about. Do you think that plays a roll in polling and its inability to tell us whos going to win . It may but i dont discriminate against accents, wherever you come from, its good by me. I dont have a land line. So i dont have a land line, those are disappearing across the country. I think that factors into it. Unless they catch me on my cell phone, they have no clue what i think. What do you think about the sound of the voice that says, excuse me, how would you be voting today, are you going to vote for that mellow mr. Moore . Or vote for mr. Jones . 4 c you dont think that plays into it . Tx chris, i was talking about the days of my grandpa. Grand park if he didnt recognize the voice on the other end of the phone, he hung up the phone. I think a lot of conservatives au at. Theyre just going to hang up the phone on someone they dont recognize. I think that plays into it. For me, though, its all about where the turnout comes from. Its not necessarily about the polling. Its just does the turnout come from rural areas . Does it come from urban areas . Thats going to be the key tonight. What about the wealthier suburbs around birmingham . The collegeeducated folk with a little more money than average . How are they going to vote tonight . 2u you first, onnie. Thats a tough call. I know there are people who are disgusted about whats out about roy moore or never liked him in the first place. Roy moore is not new to alabama politics, hes been around for decades. Those comments over the years weve all heard. There are some who wont go vote. On the other hand, i think some of the educated collegeeducated will go. Theyre the ones who wont tell anyone theyre voting for roy moore but theyll go do it. Thats what i think happened in pennsylvania last year, by the way. Exactly what you just said. The socalled bettereducated, people who think theyre better, ended up voting republican. Why would they do that . Because thats their ideology, right . How would you describe la÷it . I was raised that way in the south. Im a christian, i tend to lean conservative and vote conservative. Its the lifestyle i grew up in. The majority of the state was raised the same way. Not all of us but the majority. Thats clear by us being a red state. The only woman on the show right now, ive got to address you. How big a mistake was it or wrong answer was it for doug jones to say hes for abortion basically right through . All the way to the end . To delivery almost . When i heard that interview that was a game changer. I went on social media and said, if youre a republican and you cant stomach voting for iv back that up and he didnt. So for me, thats a huge part of this. And a lot of people in this state. Matt, do you agree with that . It could be a game changer, particularly for evangelical people . I am on record as saying if doug jones had taken a more moderate position on the issue of abortion, heeding ahead by points right now. We get call after call after call above and beyond the issue of the recent allegations against roy moore that tell us they simply cannot pull a lever for a person that believes in their words, in abortion on demand. Earlier this month roy moore accused of antisemitism after he seemed to say billionaire investor and liberal donor george soros was headed to hell. Lets listen. Soros certainly is trying to alter the voting populace, and thats true. Hes pushing an agenda. His agenda is sexual in nature. His agenda is liberal. And not what americans need. Its not our american culture. Soros comes from another world that i dont identify with. I wish i could face him directly, id tell him the same thing. No matter how much money hes got, hes still going to the same place. The people who dont recognize god and morality and accept his salvation are going. And thats not a good place. You heard it right there. No explanation needed to interpret what he a[nsaid. Last night moores wife kayla attack the media for their reporting on the comment and defended her husband against those claims. Lets listen. Fake news would tell you that we dont care for jews. I tell you all this because ive seen it also. I want to set the record straight while theyre here. [ cheers and applause ] one of our attorneys is a jew. John archibald, im sorry. This is the funniest thing i ever heard. Maybe because i live in the northeast, i live in a diverse society. I dont know how who your lawyer is tells you what your attitudes are. What did you make of that . All three of you comment on what you thought of that comment. You cant make this stuff up. You know, weve lived here in alabama, covered roy moore for a long time, so weve heard a lot of crazy stuff come out of his mouth. To hear it dribble out like this is kind of a wakeup call to all of us. But its amazing. What do you make of it, onnie . Your thoughts. You know, we talked to charles bym gaey he called in our show this morning. Politically i dont agree a lot with particularly, even though we went to auburn university, we share that love. I heard him say last night that, i know all sorts of people of different races, different religions, but that doesnt mean racism isnt around. I thought it was awkward to say, our attorney is a jew. We know jewish people, were friends with jewish people. It sounded a little awkward to me. It harkened back to the days of, well, i have a really good friend whos a black person. It came off very awkwardly. I find it intriguing that everybody has a special place in hell nowadays. Thats the thing. Steve bannon thinks you have a special place in hell if you dont vote for the gop. Everybody that votes differently than you seems to have a special place in hell. It took the place of everyone is hitler. You know, in the president ial race. I agree. Let me give you a minute or two, what is it about alabama, just tell me, give me the picture of the culture of alabama. You first, onnie. How do you feel if youre going to somewhere overseas somewhere . Let me tell you about alabama. What would you tell them . Let me tell you something about alabama, yeah. Im all ears. The rest of the nation thinks we are redneck, backward country. We did get plumbing, thats something new for us here. We have an Auto Industry that is thriving. Sure is. We have a Food Industry thats thriving. We are educated, thoughtful. This is a complicated election. Its not as simple as are you8d going to vote for the child molester or the abortionist . Its not that simple. Weve been dealing with hell since our governor was kicked out shenanigans in the officex7l with one of his assistants. Dont judge us by some of these politicians actions because we are not to be thought less of. Its not allngzn÷ what you peop think out there. You people. I accept that. Go ahead, matt. I love that. I dont think were nearly as monolithic as the rest of the country might have you believe. Roy moores been a known quantity for 20 years. And hes been a controversial figure for 20 years. He was alm58 default. If Luther Strange had made an attempt to be what he had always been during the course of the election, he would be the candidate in this race right now. Think heat beat doug jones by 15 points. Unfortunately he didnt do that. I would tell you that alabama, since ive been here, i got here in 1999, it is a thoughtful, considerate place when it comes to politics and despite our conservatism and how that might be perceived around the nation, we do put a lot of thought into the candidate that we vote for come election day. You know, i did go to chapel hill, im not completely alien to the south. You guys ar piece of work, youre great. John arch bald, make your call, whos going to win tonight . I still think that its leaning toward roy moore. But, you know, anything can happen. It really is i hate to say it, it is a coin flip. Thank you so much. Sometimes it is. Sometimes we smell a tie. Anyway, thank you, john arch baeld, onnie linden berg, matt maturefy. You two are something special. Well get a look more at the exit polls in alabama in just a minute. We were learning before the polls close. Back at midnight with the results in the Alabama Senate race. Im going to call the show tonight, late night midnight cowboy because of that candidate, roy moore. Also coming up tonight, donald trump lashing out at three women on who revived their accusations of Sexual Misconduct against him, the president. Now hes making a sexual insinuation about a sitting senator who called on him to resign or face a congressional investigation. Thats ahead. Hes getting pretty nasty. The russia rest gation as Robert Mueller moves in, conservatives want him stopped. Trump wants a special prosecutor to investigate the special prosecutor. You know what thats about, deflection. Alabama voters go to the polls. Will they reject roy moore by 8 00 . Well see when voting ends tonight at the end of the hour just 45 minutes from now. Finally let me finish with trump watch. Well see how he likes this the baby. This is hardball where the action is. I am totally blind. And non24 can throw my days and nights out of sync, keeping me from the things i love to do. Talk to your doctor, and call 8442142424. We are the tv doctors of america, and we may not know much about medicine, but we know a lot about drama. We also know that you can avoid drama by getting an annual checkup. So go, know, and take control of your health. It could save your life. Cigna. Together, all the way. As i said, well have more on the race in alabama throughout this hour as we await poll closing at 8 00 eastern time. Its coming up fast now. About 42 minutes from now. Dont forget our special q e hardba hardball, well call it midnight cowboy. roy moore. President trump attacked senator Kirsten Gillibrand in new york. This is democrats calling on the president to be investigated for his misconduct or resign. I dont think hes going to do that. Shawn evans its 6 am. 40 million americans are waking up to a gillette shave. And at our factory in boston, 1,200 workers are starting their day building on over a hundred years of heritage, craftsmanship and innovation. Today were bringing you americas number one shave at lower prices every day. Putting money back in the pockets of millions of americans. As one of those workers, im proud to bring you gillette quality for less, because nobody can beat the men and women of gillette. Gillette the best a man can get. Welcome back to hardball. Donald trump lashing out against dtqi aqate against Sexual Misconduct, new york senator Kirsten Gillibrand. In a tweet early this morning that many have interpreted as sexually suggestive, id say so, trump said the senator said she would do anything for him. If hed give her campaign money. Watch this. Trump wrote, lightweight senator Kirsten Gillibrand, flunky for chuck schumer, someone who would come to my office begging for Campaign Contributions and would anything for them, is now in the ring light fighting against trump. Crooked, used. That was his phrase. The president s tweet sparked a fierce backlash, lets watch. It was a sexist smear attempting to silence my voice. And i will not be silenced on this issue. Neither will the women who stood up to the president yesterday. When the president tweeted about our colleague, senator Kirsten Gillibrand, is grotes e grotesque, it took my breath away, and it represents the conduct of a person who is ill equipp eped to be the president the United States. The president s tweet this morning against senator gillibrand was a disgraceful, sexist slur that has no place in american dialogue and diminishes and shames the office of the yun president. White house brace secretary sarah huckabee, who will say anything in the president s defense, was asked about the president s tweet. Heres what she said. Gillibrand owed an apology for the misunderstanding of the president s tweet this morning . Because many, including senators, think its about sexual innuendos. Only if your mind was in the gut were you have read it that way. So, no. Well, she seemed to be 0a to ding trump appears be responding to senator gillibrands call yesterday for congress to investigate allegations against him of Sexual Misconduct. More than 50 Democratic Congress woim have echoed jilli grands appeal asking for a probe by the House Oversight committee which has wideranging authority to hold such investigation. Senator gillibrand is one of six Democratic Senators who have called for the president to quit. For more im joined by u. S. Congresswoman Brenda Lawrence from michigan, one of the democrats calling for f the president. Stephanie shreeyok, shes been here forever, emilys list. Robert costa, Washington Post. I dont think it takes a lot of interpretation the president tweets she came into his office, all alone, says ill do anything for money. It was pretty clear it was a slutshaming to use the phrase of Elizabeth Warren. This is a continuance of behavior, of wording, of just his view of women. It is so comfortable for him to give these type of comments. And for him, hes been teflon. Nothing has stuck. Ywsn it has stuck, we all know this stuff about him and he actually never denies it, he gets away with it. We have called for an investigation saying this president , if were holding other members of congress accountable, it doesnt stop in the house, it should go to the white house. He admitted he said those things in the recording, then they goes back and said, well, its just shop talk, locker room talk. Now here we have it again. Look at how he tweeted other anchor women, and its continuous. This is a president has no respect for women. And even in this moore situation, he takes a National Platform to say, these women, theyre just allegations, dont pay them any attention, men can do what they want to do and theres no accountability. He should be investigated just like everyone else with allegations of sexual harassment. Robert for a minute, why do you think he did this this morning . He really upped youre not supposed to shoot down. Hes president of the United States. Hes going after the junior senator from new york whos not known by 90 of the in the country. Shes very smart and may well be president someday but right now shes not known. Hes building her up to a duel. Hes like, its me against kirsten jillen brand. People in wyoming are saying, whos this hes fighting with today . Why is he building her up by accusing her of this . You hinted at it in your question. He sees in senator gillibrand and in senator Elizabeth Warren potential 2020 and he wants to define them on his own rough terms at this early stage. Wow. What do you make of that, c f stephanie . Youre a smart pol. Do you think its smart of him to build them up because he thinks he can beat them . No, i dont think most of the things he does as very smart, to be fair, hes not. I think it is how he is doing it that is so disgusting. I was outraged this morning as we all were did you hear it as Elizabeth Warren heard it . Basically accusing yes. I say to the press secretary as well, i mean, sarah surely heard that it way too. Why did she say your minds in the gutter . Because she has to defend. But we all know what he said. Because hes a bully. And hes really good at using this coded language. And as he goes after senator gillibrand, goes after senator warren, we see it over and over again. Hes using this gender coded language. He also does it on the racial front as well. And thats really what this was. Can i lets talk about this. He did the same thing against the opponent, a woman opponent, he made fun of her looks. Yes. Then the woman said brilliantly, the smartest thing she said, every woman in america knew what you meant. I think this time every man and woman knows what he meant. Why does he then deny it . He clearly intends to reduce her sexually. Thats what he did. This man is a predator. He has demonstrated time and time again that he views women at a level that is unacceptable for anyone. But for him to be the president of the United States, just think about the young girls who are watching this. The girls who are growing up and seeing the president of the United States saying, oh, you were in the office and youll do anything to get money from me. The shock is, oh my goodness, what is he saying . And this is we need to call for accountability. Accountability for this manlecto has taken his platform to attack women. Shes not taking credit for something great that happened today. The difference about this moment now is we have these incredible women in congress, like congresswoman Brenda Lawrence, senator gillibrand, who are willing to stand up, to hear the womens voices that are being call the. And i think about the me too movement that we are in the middle of. And to know that the women in congress are there to say, we are going to hear you. Were going to listen. Im telling you, you know me, i worked to elect Democratic Women at emilys list. Lets talk about democrats. Across the board, we need more of them. The tools the opposition has, you guys, you democrats ill talk at democrats although i tend to vote that way, not all the time. Im looking at you and saying, you could get special orders, the minute the sessions over tonight or tomorrow, go into the well of the house and all night long on cspan, you could rail against this president and the accusations against him. You could quote chapter and verse all the charges again. You own that facility. Yet the democrats dont use the tools of public communication the way the republicans know how to do. I would have to push back. We have never had a president that every single day why dont you do what im saying . Every single day we are attacking those issues why dont you use special orders . We are doing. When . On the floor every night, the tax plan, we have to fight for taxes, we have to fight for daca, we have to fight are you on this all night . Am i are the democrats using the floor of the house on this issue . On this issue we had a press conference today, over 100 women were arguing against each other, okay. I hate to give advice because its never really taken. We said it was criminal youve got a platform in the house, you should use it. I love to argue. Robert, is President Trump happy with the way this things turned out, a battle between him and Kirsten Gillibrand . He always likes to be at the center of things. He now faces the point that if doug jones wins in alabama or he comes close to winning, its going to show that even in red states, questions of character and conduct÷igu matter. Even to trump voters. Trumps core base. That could have reverberations in the 2018 midterms. Because the allegations against President Trump have been revived and will continue to be revived. Well said. Thank you much. By the way, u. S. Congress women, theyre called special orders, im pushing for them. Use them, exploit them. Yes, sir. Dont call me sir, just listen. The age and experience of history, im so much older than you. Thank you, congresswoman Brenda Lawrence of michigan, stephanie with emilys list, robert costa the Washington Post. As specialon n muellers investigation closes in on trumps inner circle. Back to the Alabama Senate race. Polls will be closed in half an hour. Im looking at less than half an hour. Oh, not so fast, carl. Oh no. Schwab, again . Index investing for that low . Thats three times less than fidelity. And four times less than vanguard. Whats next, no minimums . No minimums. Schwab has lowered the cost of investing again. Introducing the lowest cost index funds in the industry with no minimums. I bet theyre calling about the schwab news. Schwab. A modern approach to wealth management. But having his parents over was enlightening. You dont like my lasagna . No, its good. Hmm. Oh. Huh. [ both laugh ] here, blow. Blow on it. You see it, right . Is there a draft in here . Im telling you, its so easy to get Home Insurance on progressive. Com. Progressive cant save you from becoming your parents. But we can save you money when you bundle home and auto. Welcome back to hardball. Trumps defenders and his lawyers are trying to deflect attention from the ongoing russian probe and are instead calling again for investigations of the fbi. And of Hillary Clinton again. Now trump lawyer jay sekulow is getting into the game after fox news reported a Justice Department official was demoted for having connections to including his wife having worked for the Research Firm that hired the former British Intelligence officer Christopher Steel to compile the dossier on donald trump. Fox reported the House Intelligence Committee led by devin nunes has evidence the demoted just did it Department Official met with steel during the election and met with the founder of the company that hired him to produce the dossier. Fox reported yesterday that the wife of the demoted official work the for the opposition Research Firm last year. Now trump attorney jay sekulow tells ax yoes the department of justice and fbi cannot ignore the multiple problems that have been created by these obvious conflicts of interest, these new revelations require the appointment of a special counsel to investigate just a moment he added it has nothing to do with bob mueller or muellers team. Paul butler, former federal prosecutor and msnbc legal analyst. Hes saying it has nothing to do with bob muellers investigation so why are they having a special investigation about an internal matter within the Justice Department about whether there was a conflict between a guy having something to do with picking this Research Firm and hes wife working for that Research Firm and that Research Firm having worked for hillary . It doesnt necessarily mean theyre doing any corrupt, and by the way cant the department of justice figure this out . Special counsel for what . So i do my homework, i looked up this special counsel statute. It says, if theres a conflict of interest that the department cant prosecute the case objectively, like for example when the attorney general does not tell the truth about his own dealings with the russians and hes supposed to be investigating the russians, thats a conflict. Its not a conflict when theres no allegations that anyones done anything wrong. Or whos a subject of this new call. All he has is a wife who has a job. Youre allowed to have a partner who works outside of the department of justice. He hasnt done anything wrong. Again, we do need to know about his conversations with steele, with thenvxny people who collec this dossier, whether that had anything to do with how the department ruled. But again, theres no allegations at this point of any impropriety. kuj its a false equivalence. The president s lawyers are saying, because theres a special counsel investigating treasure, there ought to be a special counsel to investigate hillary. Thats not how it works. What do you think theyre doing it for, to create trouble . Again, i dont blame the president s defense attorney because finally the president has a lawyer who understands that this lawyers responsibility is to President Trump. Tofiop keeping donald trump out prison, or in office. As opposed to his loyalty being to the6m vz United States. Which is the loyalty of the attorney general. Who i do blame is the people who are on the Senate Intelligence committee, the republicans who are also calling for a special counsel. Because their duty is to the United States. And this investigation, for which there is a special counsel, russian collusion, thats about the integrity of american democracy. Its more consequential than watergate. For them to play politics about this and say, oh, we need another special counsel, thats unconscionable. Thats what they do. They did it before during the iraq war coverup. They went after a u. S. Ambassador that reported back from africa because he wife work the for the wcia, theyout out heard tocscn show something tha dont prove anything except that they were scurrilous. Alabama, the polls close in 20 minutes. Will republicans break with theirasz x candidate roy moore not . It looks really close based upon all the numbers weve looked at. Will democrats see heavy turnout at the polls, especially africanamerican and women voters . More from our exit polling coming up next. Whats inside the box. Its whats inside the person who opens it. Give ancestrydna, the only dna test that can trace your origins to over 150 ethnic regions and open up a world of possibilities. Save 30 for the holidays at ancestrydna. Com just serve classy snacks and bew a gracious host,iday party. No matter who shows up. Do you like nuts . Lets get the big guy in place. The ford year end sales event is here. I can guide you in. No, thanks , santa. I got this. Santa uh, it looks a little tight. Perfect fit. Santa needs an f150. Thats ford, americas best selling brand. Hurry in today for 0 financing for 72 months across the full line up of ford cars, trucks and suvs. For a limited time, get an additional 1,000 cash back on top of 0 financing for 72 months. Get these exclusive offers during the ford year end sales event. Get these exclusive offers why did you take Credit Card Debt on . Second kid. Private school. Medical bills. Moving costs. Solid ground. A personal loan from sofi is a smart way to consolidate Credit Card Debt. Certain borrowers cut their credit card Interest Rates 42 and increased Credit Scores 17 points on average. Borrow up to 100,000 with low rates and no hidden fees. Find your rate in just two minutes, and take on your debt at sofi. Com. Theres that music again. Its an election on nbc news at msnbc. Welcome back to hardball. Polls in alabama will beci8 cl in less than 20 minutes. For the latest exit polling in the race lets go to our expert whos always0 kornacki. Chris, look, the word weve been using in the race, talking about the horse race here, was polarizing. How polarized the electorate was, how polarized poll tibs are. We have a polarized exit poll. Some of the highlight questions, the question of values, a basic car judgment about the candidates, does roy moore share your values . You see here 46 in this exit poll saying yes, 49 saying no. If you turn the question around, awez th0 same thing about his opponent, doug jones, what do you see . Not that different. 49 saying jones shares their values, 48 no. So almost an event split for both candidates. A very, very slight difference in jones favor. A couple ofryfw. Her things we c show you here. This is the issue, one of the big issues the moore folks want people to be voting on, Party Instead of person. Which party do you want controlling the senate . You can see here it is a slight majority for the republicans, 5143. In a state like alabama, traditionally that number would be much higher. Still ahead for the republicans there. Then the question of abortion. This is the other issue that moores people want folks focusing on instead of the scandals. The question of abortion. You see alabama one of the most antiabortion states in the country, not a surprise to see the majority here, 54 , saying that abortion should be illegal. Jones, the democrat, he is running as a prochoice democrat in one of the most antiabortion states in the country. So again, this is one of those numbers that jones folks were thinking about during this campaign, chris. Let me get back to my tuttut there. Do you think 8 points is slight . I really think that party i. D. Thing seemed pretty significant, that number. Well, sure. Look, if youre looking in the abstract, 51 , 43 , republicans have the advantage. From the standpoint of donald trump just won this state last year with 63 of the vote, if youre looking at this, you had to go back to 2002 to find a senate race that was within 20 points in this state. I see. In the context of alabama politics, youd never see it this close. So well said. With recent public tracking polls varying so widely the winner of tonights race between roy moore and doug jones is anybodys guess. Roys counting on turnout by trump returns. Are they willing to overlook the numerous allegations of his past Sexual Misconduct . According to exit polls 72 say they believe those allegations are false. Thats a powerful number. Theyve heard the same news weve all gotten and theyre rejecting it. In return doug jones needs women voters as well as solid support from africanamericans who represent onequarter of the states polltation. However, a voter i. D. Law could suppress turnout among potential jones voters. As Scott Douglas writes in the New York Times op ed, in alabama an estimated 118,000 registered voters, registered voters, do not have a photo i. D. Voters, do not h ujya photo i. D. Black and latino voters are nearly twice as likely as white voters to lack such documentation. This is democracy . Im joined by the hardball roundtable. Sofia nelson, former house Gop Committee counsel. Cornell belcher, msnbc analyst. Heidi press ton, senior political analyst. What grabs yourg uq this race . I think that this race is going to come down to white evangelical christians. I have a piece right now on nbc think about this and i break it down, thats the real story here. Is there hypocrisy . Will they choose the guy whos prolife but may have done inappropriate things with young girls . Or the democrat whos prochoice and who helped to findt8p people who killed the four little girl in the black church . So theres a real td conundrum white evangelical christians. That to me is the story. I love sofia but im going did disagree slightly rewide receiver know what white evangelical christians are going to be. To me its what are the more moderate, middle of the road republican women doing, right . Let be clear, this is a republican state. Republican as all heck. He only wins if republicans either sit on their hands or some switch over. Youre saying its going to come down doug jones only wins if theres a Strange Development . If theres increased turnout among minorities, which the early exit polling says theyre overindexing. And still, even with that over 25 . Right now its over 25 , which is better than it typically is. But you still need republican women to cross over. 25 of the electorate tonight will be africanamerican. Thats a good sign. More than 25 of the electorate is reform reform, rightxe ju e early exits show it more, thats a good sign for democrats. One quick thing, only 49 plurality, that think the allegations is true is a bad indicate foreroy moore. Bad indicator yes. If the turn out models are that if overall numbers get up to not just midterm b u of lot of National Attention on this race across the country, the whole worlds watching this, anybody following the news around the world is watching this. Has that been a plus or negative for roy moore . I think its probably encouraged the turnout. But its also created this sort of alabama against the world mentality. I totally agree with you. Whats the net effect of all this publicity . I think cort0vs right. If theres a 30 black turnout, i think doug jones has a shot. If its below that, white evangelicals and white women are going to carry him into this seat. I think that the world is watching this is bad for mitch mcconnell. Either way lets go back to this question. Is it driving up the attitude of alabama outside agitators, which we grew up with that phrase i had a conversation with senator kennedy, whos in laboring louisiana but similar culturally today. We cannot underestimate the seeding anger of people in that region about washington, not just washington but the rest of the world coming down there, people like Charles Barkley saying, show them yall are not rednecks. You heard it a minute ago, lindbergh, she was saying were not all the way you people think we are, throwing me in that barrel. The flip side of that is the business communities who are saying, we dont want to look a state thats trying to be a tech and manufacturing hub, who wants to bring in all these new companies, we dont want to look backwards in the view of the world. Thats a great conflicting strain. The roundtables sticking with us. Up next scoops from these people by tomorrow. They can predict if they want to before 8 00. Youre watching hardball. Paig , malware attacks. Actually, we just handled all the priority threats. You did that . We did that. Really. We analyzed millions of articles and reports. We can identify threats 50 faster. You can do that . We can do that. Then do that. Can we do that . We can do that. one is the only number that youll ever need staying ahead isnt about waiting for a chance. Because one is. Its about the one bold choice you make that moves you forward. That you ever need the one and only Cadillac Escalade. Come in for our seasons best offers and drive out with the perfect 2017 Cadillac Escalade for you. Get this low mileage lease from around 899 per month. program note, msnbc will be tracking results out of alabama all evening including a midnight cowboy for guess who, back on the air at midnight, 12 00 eastern. Well be right back now. Thats it . Yeah. Everybody two seconds dear sebastian, after careful consideration of your application, it is with great pleasure that we offer our congratulations on your acceptance. Through the Tuition Assistance program, every day mcdonalds helps more people go to college. Its part of our commitment to being americas best first job. I am totally blind. And non24 can make me show up too early. Or too late. Or make me feel like im not really there. Talk to your doctor, and call 8442342424. You only earn double withmiles when you buy stuffds, from that airline. Is this where you typically shop . Is this where anyone typically shops . Its time to switch to the capital one venture card. With venture, you earn unlimited double miles on every purchase, everywhere, every day. Not just airline purchases. Seriously. Double miles. Everywhere whats in your wallet . The polls are going to be closed in alabama at the top of the hour which were getting to right now. Were going to get our first characterization of the race. Right now were back with the hardball roundtable. Sophie yeah tell me something i dont know. First i think roy moore will win by 3 points. What you dont know is testable prediction. Three Washington Post away from the moorehead quarters event tonight. The Election Campaign event. Turned away. Yeah, they wouldnt let them in, they dont like the Washington Post. Ive changed my tell you something. My opinion is, i think that doug jones is going to win. By how many . I think doug jones wins by a percentage point. And i think no ones rooting more for doug jones than mitc mcconnell. Thats something you dont know. Im not making a prediction. You dont have to. Im going to report here that ive been in touch with Mitch Mcconnells aides this evening and if moore wins, as were expecting potentially, he will try and kick this over to the conference as a decision about what theyre going to do with the committee posts, about what theyre going to do with an ethics investigation. Stress that many of these things are2v6i very complicated proces and its up to the conference. Fascinating. Great forwardlooking reporting. Sofia nelson, cornell belcher, heidi, of course. When we return let me finish with trump watch. Remember how the economic crash was supposed to be a wake up call for our government . People all across the country lost their savings, their pensions and their jobs. Im tom steyer and it turned out that the system that had benefited people like me who are well off, was, in fact, stacked against everyone else. Its why i left my Investment Firm and resolved to use my savings for the public good. But here we are nine years later and this president and the Republican Congress are making a bad situation even worse. They wont tell you that their so called tax reform plan is really for the wealthy and big corporations, while hurting the middle class. It blows up the deficit and that means fewer investments in education, health care and job creation. Its up to all of us to stand up to this president. Not just for impeachable offenses, but also to demand a country where everyone has a real chance to succeed. Join us. Your voice matters. Were on a mission to show drip coffee drinkers, its time to wake up to keurig. Wakey wakey rise and shine oh my gosh how are you . Well watch this. I pop that in there. Press brew. Thats it. So rich. I love it. Thats why you should be a keurig man fullbodied. Are you sure youre describing the coffee and not me . Somesend you and your family overwhelrunning. Y can. Fullbodied. Introducing febreze one for fabric and air. No aerosols. No dyes. No heavy perfumes. It cleans away odors for a pure light freshness. So you can spray and stay. Febreze one, breathe happy. To find smarter solutions. To offer more precise and less invasive Treatment Options than before. Like advanced Genomic Testing and immunotherapy. See how were fighting to outsmart cancer at cancercenter. Com outsmart trump watch. Were on the verge of getting alabamas verdict. Polls will close in just a minute. Much of the newsconnected world is looking to see the latest take on what america stands for. Are we a country that upholds traditional values even if it means abiding their violation . That will be the message if roy moore comes out the victor because the voters of alabama will be saying just that, they want a senator in washington who shares their values on abortion and marriage, that would be republican roy moore, and dont want one that is not, that being democrat;pf1jaut jones. The difficulty of predicting this election lies in the unwillingness of people to speak honestly to pollsters. If you get a phone call from someone with a welleducated voice it could face a certain political attitude. You may not be so interested in sharing that fact with someone with a voice like that, of the pollster whos got you on the phone. Based on all of this, i think its going to be close tonight. No matter how close, the verdict from alabama is going be heard worldwide. Its going to be a signal from this country about who we are what we value, what behavior we will abide. Thats hardball aftju now. Thanks for being with us. The polls in alabama are about to close. Ill be back at midnight tonight with midnight cowboy, the story of roy moore and how he did today. All in with chris hayes starts right now. Tonight on all in i dont think that roy moores going to win this election. If you dont believe in my character, dont vote for me. Tonight, the massive stakes of the special election in alabama. Weve got to stop looking like idiots to the nation. Would a roy moore win be an even bigger headache for republicans . Can the Democrat Doug Jones shock the world . Get out and vote for roy moore and the president pours gasoline on his own me too moment. It was a sexist smear attempting to silence my voice. The first results from Election Night in alabama when all in starts right now. One of our attorneys is a s7m good evening from new york. Im chris hayes and it is a very big night. The polls have just at this moment closed in the special Senate Election in alabama at this hour, nbc news characterizing the race there as too early to call. With polls closed we can now begin tow8u returns. We dont really have any of those yet because they have
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