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>> i want to change the trajectory, ron. >> plus, new insight into what would cause the 2015 front-runner to drop out. >> i'm not a masochist. if i was dropping to the polls where i thought i wasn't going to win, why would i continue? >> and wncht in south carolina. >> jeb is different than george. jeb is who he is. good evening, from new york. i'm chris hayes. after nine people were murdered in oregon, democrats are putting the issue front and center on the campaign trail and giving hillary clinton a rare opportunity to come at bernie sanders from the left. at a town hall today in new hampshire, clinton made a strong case for new government action to take on gun violence in america. >> on the republican side, mr. trump was asked about it and said, you know, thing likes that happen in the world. and governor bush said, yes, stuff happens. no, that's an admission of defeat and sur end -- surrendert is killing 33,000 americans. >> among the plan it woe tighten gun show and internet sales loophole and close the charleston loophole and block gun purchases for -- sanders is extending his lead. while clinton is still ahead in iowa beating sanders 47 to 36%. when you add biden to the mix, clinton's support drops to just 33. bernie sanders held a massive rally of about 20,000 of people in boston, double the number who turned out to see barack obama himself at a similar event in 2007. >> what a huge crowd! and let me thank the many thousands of people who are outside who were unable to get in. thank you! >> gun control may be the one issue where clinton can reliably challenge bernie sanders progressive bona fide. he famously voted against the 1993 brady bill requiring, among other things, background checks for gun purchases. and in 2005, he voted for immunity for gun sellers. >> the gun sellers are the only businesses in america that are totally free of liability for their behavior. nobody else is given that immunity and, i mean, that just illustrates the extremism that has taken over this debate. >> joining me now, msnbc national correspondent joy reid, author of "fractured." i recommend it to everyone. i'm working my way through it now and learning a lot. i did not predict guns would be the focus of an emerging policy fight. >> i think one of the things that has changed in our politics is will are now actual grassroots groups -- color of change is planning to jump into this under their criminal justice reform banner. >> this is, you know, i remember attacking bernie sanders' record on guns. but what i think is surprising is it's not the record you would associate with bernie sanders when you look at how sort of thoroughly progressive he's been on other issues. >> bernie sanders has set himself up as the guy who is toughest on corporate america. >> that's why he such a strong vote. >> absolutely he's going to have to answer for that in the debate. as you said in the setup, it's the one place where hillary clinton can be extremely aggressive from bernie sanders' left. there's the fact that bernie sanders, you know, he's got the left y politics, the guy is in politics in a very rural state for a long time, he knows how to talk to rural voters. >> don't forget hillary clinton was the first lady of arkansas, an also very rural state. not to mention martin o'malley has all these issues of criminal justice reform. one of the central tenents of what i was writing is the mcgovernite left. you have this older left that's looking to bernie sanders but you're the young, emerging left activated by barack obama that is looking to bernie sanders as a way to get that actual reform. >> if you're playing the video game of assembling sufficient delegates to primaries, black voters, particular black women, are the demographic cornerstone. if you're talking south carolina, that's how barack obama won south carolina. this is clinton's african-american support, down among black democrats 31%. can you see that sharp line on the right. that is the thing if you're the clinton campaign, you can deal with losing new hampshire, there's a lot of things you can deal with. the thing you can't deal with that. >> you can lose iowa and new hampshire and be comfortable as long as you are guaranteed you're till going to come back and win. their firewall is south carolina. they need african-american voters. what's really interesting is hillary clinton, what she still lacks is really sort of almost an endorser. who is going to be the person that for her says you're okay, the way that joe biden said to white working-class voters that barack obama is okay? where are her surrogates? i find it fascinating. she's got wendy davis on board. she's got people like howard dean on board. she's got a lot of good surrogates for white voters. i'm wondering when she's going to start to deploy some african-american surrogates. >> very interesting question. joy reid, always a pleasure. read that book. all right. policy proposals like the ones we've been mentioning on gun safety are increasingly meeting with a counterargument from guns rights maximalists that there's nothing we can do to prevent kind of mass shooting we saw in oregon last week. >> you have people that are mentally ill and they have problems and they're going to slip through the cracks and no matter how you do it, no matter how you try it and if you go back 2,000 years and if you go forward 2 million years, you're going to have problems. i can tell you that people say oh, we're going to stop it. it doesn't work that way. >> that's a pretty fatalistic way of look at gun violence in america, especially from a presidential candidate. it's largely contradicted by the research and experience of psychologists, law ebb enforcements officials and other experts, who are working to find out what makes the mostly white male perpetrators of mass murder snap and how to see the warnings signs. their work is the subject of a mother jones cover story. i'm joined by the editor. you've been doing sustained reporting for several years now on mass shootings. first let's talk about the distinctness of these two problems. there's a gun problem in america, a gun fatality problem, a gun violence problem, and then there is a mass shooting problem. how to think about that final category, which is numerically small but part of what i think has precipitated such horror among the american populace. >> right. well, one of the things you'll hear when mass shootings come up and get all the attention they do in the media including again last week with what happened in oregon is this is a tiny fraction of our overall problem with gun violence and a lot of people argue that this should not drive policy. and yet these events have an enormous impact on us psychologically, financially, in the local communities where they happen. they're just absolutely devastating. so there is -- the flip side of that is there is an imperative to shape policy around it. and you know, while the politicians seem to do nothing over and over, there's actually this growing legion of people behind the scenes in law enforcement and in mental health who are scrambling trying to stop these attacks from occurring. there's just some remarkable paradoxes to it. it's relatively unknown. and you know, in some ways it's the only serious thing that's going on in our country to try to mitigate the problem. >> tell me what you encounter in your reporting about what solutions there might be or what the folks that have devoted themselves to this have discovered. >> so the article focuses on a strategy that's known as threat assessment. it's been around actually for quite some time, almost three decades. but it's been developing pretty rapidly the last few years and growing. it's essentially law enforcement officials and mental health experts working hand in hand to try to prevent violent crimes like mass shootings from happening. the way they do this is it essentially starts with a tip about someone who's creating anxiety or fear at the local level and if it gets to what's called a threat assessment team, this group of law enforcement and mental health professionals get together and quickly try to analyze the situation to gather as much information as possible, as they can about the individual, and then they try to intervene in the most constructive way possible. and one of the most fascinating aspects of it is this is by and large social and mental health interventions. it rarely involves arrest and prosecution. and even when there are national law enforcement agencies involved there's a whole unit of the fbi that's been doing this increasingly for the last few years, and as the head of that unit told me for this story, their goal is prevention, not prosecution. in the vast majority of cases that's what they try to do. >> when i first started the piece and you started to talk about threat assessment i sort of immediately had this kind of "minority report" kind of feeling, like are we going to get into the world of precrime. even when we throw around the term of mental illness in the wake of this, there's literally tens of millions of people who, quote, have mental illness. look at all the people on ssris. right? so that category just seems like almost a useless one in its largest way. this is something much, much more sort of focused and rigorous. >> right. and that is a really key point, chris, that not only is the mental health profile far too broad to be meaningful for trying to stop these types of crimes, it's one of many, many factors that they look at and it takes into account itself the context of every single case, the current circumstances of the person of concern. that has a lot to do with the level of concern with threat assessment teams and how they go about trying to intervene. and that is a key distinction. it's not in a sense precrime. at least in what i'm seen in my reporting, looking into this for months and talking to many people who are doing it. again, what they're trying to do is really get people off what they call this pathway to violence, where if someone is creating concern that they might carry out an attack like this. and often it is the kind of young males that we see carrying out these crimes. what can be done to try to steer them in a different direction. that's the imperative of it. >> there's also this broader question, right? when you zoom out past mass shootings, something you've been reporting on. it just is the case that more guns mean more gun fatalities. and that's true as a sort of correlation across states, particularly when you look at suicides and homicides, and that's a sort of iron law that i think people are pretty reticent, particularly on the kind of gun right side of this to acknowledge. >> oh, absolutely. and the data just becomes clearer and clearer. and with this threat too, and in particular with mass shootings, i think in the months of reporting the story one of the most troubling discoveries for me was learning that the copycat factor, the copycat problem is actually far more serious than many people realize. it's something that many of us who've studied this issue have long known in a basic sense and suspected, but the research that is emerging now from the fbi, which studies this problem, and from forensic psychologists shows that there are many cases where people who not only do this crime, carry out mass shoot gds, but also the many hundreds of people who may be considering it, many of them are influenced by what they see on television and on the news about the people who commit the crimes. it's sensationalized to the point where they're really kind of getting juice from it, as one of the people i spoke with described it. >> mark follman, great article. check it out. coming up next, desperate times for jeb bush's campaign. and after thus far distancing himself from the bush legacy, why he's thinking of bringing george w. to the front lines. and later the scramble in the gop house. why john boehner is delaying votes for leadership. plus the united states bombs a doctors without border hospital in afghanistan. we will look at the changing story of just how and why it happened. those stories and more ahead. because the more data you have, the better. and right now at at&t get $300 credit for every line you switch when you trade in a smartphone and buy any smartphone on at&t next. if legalzoom has your back.s, over the last 10 years we've helped one million business owners get started. visit legalzoom today for the legal help you need to start and run your business. legalzoom. legal help is here. but grandmcause we uses we don't charmin ultra soft.clean. charmin ultra soft gets you clean without the wasteful wadding. it has comfort cushions you can see that are softer and more absorbent, and you can use up to 4 times less. enjoy the go with charmin. many, many people in the world of media and advertising and to a somewhat lesser extent politics are absolutely obsessed with knowing just what it is that millennials want and crave. well, fusion, a network aimed at that very group, is working to answer that question. they've done something novel and very smart. they're exclusively polling people aged 18 to 35 years old so they can actually get detailed polling, particularly cross-tab data on the group and today they released another batch of results. finding out that millennials overwhelmingly want a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants. a stunning 81% of people aged 18 to 35 said they favor a pathway to legal status for undocumented immigrants who have children who are u.s. citizens. that is the group targeted by the executive action signed by the president that is on hold by the courts. and that number jumps up to 91% in polling people just aged 18 to 21. and that is the type of result that if you are, say, a republican political strategist should give you a pit in the bottom of your stomach. either that or a desperate hope that none of these people come out to vote. the state of a party in trouble with young people and the maybe potential possible decline of donald trump. all that coming up. >> make america great again, right? 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(interrupting) you can't pick it up, can you? go ahead. he can't lift the hammer. it's okay though! you're going to change the world. your brother's administration gave us barack obama because it was such a disaster, those last three months, that abraham lincoln couldn't have been elected. >> you know what? as it relates to my brother, there's one thing i know for sure. he kept us safe. [ cheers and applause ] i don't know if you remember, donald -- you remember the rubble -- >> jeb bush managed to fire up the crowd with that line at the last debate. but moments like that have been relatively few and far between. and the lack of enthusiasm continues to show up in the polls. the latest nbc/"wall street journal" poll from new hampshire has jeb at 11%. that double-digit support is a teensy bit of good news considering the same poll in iowa has him at 7% and the latest pew research national poll has him at 4%. which i think it's safe to say is not where the jeb bush campaign thought he would be at this point in the cycle. because going into this election one of jeb's biggest strengths was his donor network and the bush political machine, which conceivably would give jeb the ability to lock up a whole bunch of key elites inside the republican party. and in the theory this would then give jeb bush the room to run in the primaries without having to tack sharply to the right and take on positions that might be toxic later to voters in the general election. or as jeb bush himself put it last year, the candidate should also be willing to lose the primary to win the general. but as he struggles in the polls his campaign is considering bringing in the 43rd president and america's most polarizing amateur painter, george w. bush. according to the "new york times," advisers to jeb bush in the early primary state of south carolina have asked national campaign officials to call in w with the idea that bush 43 could help his brother shore up support among conservatives. a "new york times" cbs poll in may found 71% of republicans had a favorable view of george bush. but for a candidate who has thus far tried very hard to distance himself from his brother and whose campaign slogan famously doesn't even use the family name, the question is will this help cement his status as a dynasty candidate running on his brother's record? joining me now michael steele, msnbc political analyst, former head of the republican national committee. michael steele, bringing w in to south carolina, good idea, bad idea? >> i think it's actually a good idea for him. i think it -- as you noted, president bush still has a lot of good cachet with rank-and-file republicans, particularly in the southern base of the party. and it says to me that jeb is looking to play in the south, that he actually wants to be competitive in a state like south carolina where, you know, conventional wisdom says skip that and go on to the next state. so i think the campaign realizes a couple of things which you pointed out. one, that their back's up against the proverbial wall in terms of where their donors' expectations are and where they are in the polls. but i also think they probably see a further pathway to sort of galvanize some new energy for themselves, coming out of the south. >> you know, i agree with you, actually. as a sheer question of strategy i think there's basically nothing to lose. and part of the reason -- >> right. >> -- is you're not going to fool anyone about who your brother is when it comes to the general election. like the idea that oh, they're going to totally bust you, the democrats are going to bust you because they're going to show a picture of the two of you guys together in south carolina. like yeah, we all know. that's not news to anyone. >> that's your brother? >> right. >> who knew? >> that's not a surprise. so just lean into it would be my advice. i mean, there is a base -- part of the problem, right? for him is that there is a radically different views of the bush presidency among the republican base, particularly southern republicans, south carolina republicans, and the country at large. but you're going to have to -- i think at this point it's cross that bridge when you come to it territory for jeb bush. >> absolutely. yeah, he has to -- look, this is about winning a primary right now. this is, you know, notwithstanding what he said about losing the primary to win the general. he realizes he needs to actually win the primary. so this is all part of i think a new strategy to sort of create some energy in some different spaces in this process that hopefully will have some ripple effect in places like new hampshire where the polls are starting to look good. iowa. again, he's not going to compete directly. but every little bit helps to create the kind of momentum he thought he otherwise would have. >> one of the most fascinating dynamics of this election so far has been the way that kind of donor back seat driving has -- it was your job to get back seat driven by donors for a certain period of your life and clearly you're still not over it. but the thing is on the one side, the up side for the jeb bush thing is we've got this huge donor network, we can raise all this money, we can scare people. the down side is that that many more phone calls from some dude that made a fortune in insurance who thinks he knows exactly how many points of advertising to buy in des moines, that you've got to deal with and who says i need to see some numbers. >> have you had one of those phone calls before? because that's exactly what it is. >> i've reported on a lot of those. i've watched those phone calls happen. but that is a problem, right? because at an objective level you think this guy can survive, he's got money, he's got the name. but this is a kind of self-fulfilling panic we've already seen it take down, say, scott walker among donors. >> well, what took down scott walker was a million-dollar a month burn. >> that's true. >> the donors are like are you kidding me? at this point you're spending a million dollars a month and you're losing ground in iowa? there's that side of it. i think for jeb, and this is something people need to be mindful of. and i give the campaign a lot of credit for it. and i have some concerns about the people that are around him and what they're saying to him because the jeb bush i've gotten to know over the years is not the guy i see right now. i'm still waiting for him to show up and actually run for president. but set that aside. what they're doing is the smart stuff of laying the ground where it matters to get the delegates they're going to need to lock down the nomination. let me give you a little push into the future and tell you what's going to happen. you right now have a situation that's been created by the change in the schedule that comes between february and march 15th. all of those delegates that are being selected are proportional. what incentive does anybody have to get out of this race? notwithstanding what happens in the first four states. but super duper tuesday with an s.e.c. primary thrown on top of it, the big kahuna of races that fall the following thursday after the super tuesday race. there's a huge group of states that are now moving up into that window between march 1st and march 15. and jeb bush knows that, and they're mining those delegates. >> the problem is that logic extends to some other people including a certain self-funding candidate who currently leads the race. michael steele, it is always a pleasure. thank you. >> you got, it buddy. >> up next, the latest on the deadly floods in south carolina and why we can expect to see more and more scenes like this in our very near future. ♪ xerox believes finding the right solution shouldn't be so much work. by engineering a better way for people, process and technology to work together. work can work better. with xerox. when you're not confident your company's data is secure, the possibility of a breach can quickly become the only thing you think about. that's where at&t can help. at at&t we monitor our network traffic so we can see things others can't. mitigating risks across your business. leaving you free to focus on what matters most. was going to clean if an better than a manual? 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for all binge watchers. movie geeks. sports freaks. x1 from xfinity will change the way you experience tv. tonight, mandatory evacuations are under way in richland county, south carolina where yet another dam opened up this afternoon, sending water rushing into surrounding lake communities. local county sheriff telling nbc news that dams in the area are breaching so quickly officials can't keep track. the president tonight signed a disaster declaration for several south carolina counties after at least nine people have been killed in the catastrophic flooding that shattered rainfall records across the state. and at this moment tens of thousands of people are still without water and power. although the bulk of the rain appears to have passed and dams continue to be vulnerable, evacuations are still under way and officials are working to free trapped residents. >> the good news is that we are getting into the assessment and recovery mode. so a lot of that is where we can start to assess the damage to really start making some good decisions on how we can go and get people back into a protected situation but also back into a recovery situation. >> so far some 200 rescues have been performed and over 500 roads and bridges remain closed. over 1,000 national guardsmen are on duty. meanwhile, hurricane joaquin, which did the most damage in the carolinas, has been downgraded to a category 1 storm with up to 85-mile-per-hour winds. the flooding, which submerged almost the entire state of south carolina, is the type of extreme weather event that climate models predict we'll be increasingly seeing more of. which is truly terrifying to think about. as the extraordinary becomes more ordinary with each passing day. it was a scary sight... how often we were changing the roll. it really started to add up. so we switched to charmin. with more go's in every roll, charmin ultra mega roll equals mega value. each sheet is 75% more absorbent so you can use less with every go. which means charmin ultra mega roll lasts longer than even the leading thousand-sheet brand. cha-ching! nothing scary about that. we all go, why not enjoy the go with charmin. iflike i love shrimp, come to red lobster's endless shrimp... ...for as much as you want, any way you want it... sweet, spicy, and crispy. like wood-grilled teriyaki shrimp... ...and buttery garlic shrimp scampi. and yeah, it's endless, but it won't last forever. the has unlimited access is thatto information,tion no matter where they are. the microsoft cloud gives our team the power to instantly deliver critical information to people, whenever they need it. here at accuweather, we get up to 10 billion data requests every day. the cloud allows us to scale up so we can handle that volume. we can help keep people safe; and to us that feels really good. a 401(k) is the most sound way to go. let's talk asset allocation. sure. you seem knowledgeable, professional. i'm actually a dj. [ dance music plays ] woman: [laughs] no way! that really is you? if they're not a cfp pro, you just don't know. cfp -- work with the highest standard. early saturday morning in kunduz, afghanistan an american aircraft, an ac-130 gunship, repeatedly bombed a hospital being run by the nobel prize-winning group doctors without borders. the humanitarian organization that operates in war zones throughout the world without discrimination toward those they treat. kunduz has been recently overtaken by the taliban. and afghanistan and american forces were in the process of retaking it. the bombing of the hospital killed 22 people. 12 of the staff of doctors without borders and 10 patients. 19 more staff members and 18 other patients or caretakers were injured for the communications manager for doctors without borders. according to doctors without borders the gps location of that hospital had already been provided to u.s. forces. the personnel at the facility frantically called u.s. military officials during the strike. the strikes continues in a sustained manner for 30 more minutes. in the wake of the bombing a series of explanations emerged about what exactly happened. a statement from bagram, afghanistan headquarters read, "u.s. air forces conducted ab air strike in kunduz city 2:15 local time october 3rd against individuals threatening the force. the strike may have resulted in collateral damage to a nearby medical facility." the afghan ministry of defense said early sunday that taliban fighters had attacked the hospital and were using the building as a human shield. later that day nato issued a statement saying u.s. forces had conducted an airstrike against insurgents who were directly firing upon u.s. service members who were advising afghan forces in kunduz. but today commander of u.s. forces in afghanistan general john campbell offered a notably different explanation. >> we have now learned that on october 3rd afghan forces advised that they were taking fire from enemy positions and asked for air support from u.s. forces. an airstrike was then called to eliminate the taliban threat and several civilians were accidentally struck. this is different from the initial reports, which indicated that u.s. forces were threatened and that the airstrike was called on their behalf. >> in a statement president obama had immediately expressed his condolences and today white house press secretary josh earnest said three investigations were under way. understandably doctors without borders is shyly skeptical. its latest statement reading "with such constant discrepancies in the u.s. and afghan reports of what happened the need for a full transparent investigation is ever more critical." united nations human rights chief said the incident could amount to a war crime. joining me now, spencer ackerman, national security editor of "the guardian." here's my understanding of what we know now. originally the idea was we accidentally hit this that was near the target. now it's very clear this was the target. >> this was absolutely the target. this was something that general campbell obfuscated. this was something that initial reports from the u.s. military in afghanistan just simply and euphemistically referred to as the vicinity of the place where u.s. -- the u.s. air campaign was happening in kunduz. but now according to campbell and from the afghan interior ministry we had some indication of this before, this was a place where afghans on the ground who the u.s. was supporting from the air specifically called in to strike. and now the recriminations are beginning in which the u.s. has to account for why was that airstrike approved? who approved it? how was it that the afghans would be allowed to call it an airstrike on a hospital that, as doctors without borders have said all through the weekend, the gps coordinates before this campaign occurred had been provided to the u.s., the afghans and apparently the taliban. the u.s. started out by suggesting they didn't even know this facility was hit while saying it may have hit a doctors without borders field hospital. this has been a situation in which the u.s. has changed its story materially three times in as many days. >> there is also a troubling quote i think i saw from someone in the afghan government essentially saying something along the lines of yeah, there were taliban in there -- >> 10 to 15 terrorists were inside the building. immediately suggesting -- >> that we knew it was a hospital and there were taliban there and hey, that's the way war goes. but i think from a u.s. perspective at least i would imagine that the rules of engagement don't allow you to bomb a doctors without borders hospital. >> they don't. and this was something that campbell was asked about during a ten-minute press conference in which he managed to say very little and apologize even less, if there's such a thing as a non-denial denial this might have to be considered a not accountability accountability moment. he's repeatedly asked about the rules of engagement and doesn't materially say anything about what in fact would be allowed, whether this is the sort of thing that would be allowed, and whether they will change. he simply said that operations in kunduz to retake the city from the taliban, which is an astonishing thing to just consider in 2015, that a major afghan city after 14 years of brutal costly war has now fallen to what looked until recently like a force so rough that it was lying for over two years about the continued existence of its long-time leader, will still go on because the city is not, contrary to what the afghans had said, i want to say either wednesdayish or -- tuesdayish or wednesdayish had actually retaken the city. so this is still going to go on and now kunduz is for all intents and purposes without a hospital. >> two things strike me here aside from the horrible tragedy of these people who do incredible work in terrible circumstances. one, the down side of, quote, providing air support, which sounds very anodyne when you talk about it. we know when things are called in for reasons other than what necessarily is the best tactical move, right? and number two, how many of these have happened to random families in afghanistan that don't have the twitter account and nobel prize of doctors without borders? >> well, we know how many times it's happened. it's happened over 1,000 times over a 14-year period. i'm blanking on the actual stats. mike azanko with the council on foreign relations has compiled this. it looks like civilian deaths from air strikes are actually rising as troop levels have fallen probably because of the lack of ground engagements and probably because of the increased need for a weaker afghan military on the ground to supplement with air strikes. but look, anodyne words like air campaign or even calling in airstrikes as you mentioned conceal a tremendous amount. they conceal the horror that is a war conducted from the air. they conceal the sheer terror that air bomb -- that aerial bombing ultimately inflicts and is part of its purpose regardless of how targeted or restricted it occurs. doctors without -- first of all, three children in that hospital died in that airstrike. doctors without borders survivors of that airstrike talked about watching patients burn in their beds. >> spencer ackerman, thank you very much. >> thank you. still ahead, donald trump explains his campaign strategy. if it ever looks like he might not get the nomination. stay with us. i'm jerry bell the second. and i'm jerry bell the third. i'm like a big bear and he's my little cub. this little guy is non-stop. he's always hanging out with his friends. you've got to be prepared to sit at the edge of your seat and be ready to get up. there's no "deep couch sitting." definitely not good for my back. this is the part i really don't like right here. (doorbell) what's that? a package! it's a swiffer wetjet. it almost feels like it's moving itself. this is kind of fun. that comes from my floor? eww! this is deep couch sitting. [jerry bell iii] deep couch sitting! people want revolution but they don't know what it is. they want it to make life more healthy and more civilized for all of us. she became a militant social justice advocate, fighting in labor movements and for neighborhoods in her hometown for over seven decades. for women's rights for neighborhoods in her hometown of detroit for over seven decades. the president and first lady expressed their sadness at the passing of grace lee boggs in a statement that read in part "grace's passion for helping others and her work to rejuvenate communities that had fallen on hard times spanned her remarkable 100-year life and will continue to inspire generations to come." in a statement. and i say rest in power, grace. at ally bank no branches equals great rates. it's a fact. kind of like playing the boss equals the boss wins. wow! the congressman who spent the start of this year trying to explain away a 2002 speech to a white supremacist group says he has the votes to secure the number two spot in the gop house leadership. you'll remember louisiana republican steve scalise currently the house majority whip reportedly told donors yesterday he has locked up the votes to become majority leader. scalise had to fend off calls to resign at the start of the year after he admitted having spoken to group hosted by white supremacist leaders in 2002 at a convention for an organization founded by former ku klux klan leader david duke. scalise maintained he had been unaware of the group's politics. scalise appeared to be on track but a twist. today outgoing speaker john boehner announced he would delay those planned elections until after a new speaker is chosen to replace him. there are three declared candidates for boehner's job. kevin mccarthy, the boehner approved favorite. jason chaffetz, the planned parenthood antagonist who launched his bid yesterday with a plan to attack the caucus and bring a more confrontational tone. and daniel webster, a long shot who gathered all 12 votes in a previous speaker bid. mccarthy seemed to be a shoo-in until last tuesday when he went on fox news and seemed to confirm democrats' allegations that the exceedingly long-running house benghazi committee is nothing more than a taxpayer funded political operation to damage hillary clinton's poll numbers. chaffetz pounced on the gaffe, first calling on mccarthy to apologize for his comment and then pivoting to cast mccarthy as a poor communicator. >> we have not taken our message and our communications to the american people and won the fight at that level. and that has to change. it's just -- it was the nature of john boehner. it's not necessarily the strongest suit for kevin mccarthy. we all have talents and things we can use better than others. and i'd like to fill that role in part to win the communications battle. >> democrats on the benghazi battle have gone on the offensive, today announcing their plan to go over the head of the committee's republican majority and just begin releasing witness interview transcripts to the public in order to combat what they call selective leaks of inaccurate and incomplete information in an effort to attack clinton with unsubstantiated or debunked allegation. clinton is supposed to testify before the committee on october 22nd, and this morning at a "today" show town hall she made quite clear how little she thinks of it all. >> this committee was set up, as they have admitted, for the purpose of making a partisan political issue out of the deaths of four americans. i would have never done that. and if i were president and there were republicans or democrats who were thinking about that, i would have done everything to shut it down. >> when we come back, we'll discuss the gop presidential candidate who did not pay staffers and vendors from a previous losing campaign for years and whose former operations director defended the candidate by arguing, and i'm quoting here, "if we didn't win, why do you deserve to get paid?" that's next. proud of you, son. ge! a manufacturer. well that's why i dug this out for you. it's your grandpappy's hammer and he would have wanted you to have it. it meant a lot to him... yes, ge makes powerful machines. but i'll be writing the code that will allow those machines to share information with each other. i'll be changing the way the world works. (interrupting) you can't pick it up, can you? go ahead. he can't lift the hammer. it's okay though! you're going to change the world. ththere's no easy, way to do your job when you're sick. tough symptoms need alka-seltzer plus cold & cough it's four cold symptom fighters put you back in control. stay unstoppable. alka-seltzer plus. if legalzoom has your back.s, over the last 10 years we've helped one million business owners get started. visit legalzoom today for the legal help you need to start and run your business. legalzoom. legal help is here. when a moment spontaneously turns romantic, why pause to take a pill? and why stop what you're doing to find a bathroom? cialis for daily use, is the only daily tablet approved to treat erectile dysfunction so you can be ready anytime the moment is right. plus cialis treats the frustrating urinary symptoms of bph, like needing to go frequently, day or night. tell your doctor about all your medical conditions and medicines, and ask if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take cialis if you take nitrates for chest pain, as it may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. do not drink alcohol in excess. side effects may include headache, upset stomach, delayed backache or muscle ache. to avoid long-term injury, get medical help right away for an erection lasting more than four hours. if you have any sudden decrease or loss in hearing or vision, or any symptoms of an allergic reaction, stop taking cialis and get medical help right away. ask your doctor about cialis for daily use. insurance coverage has expanded nationally and you may now be covered. contact your health plan for the latest information. when you're not confident your company's data is secure, the possibility of a breach can quickly become the only thing you think about. that's where at&t can help. at at&t we monitor our network traffic so we can see things others can't. mitigating risks across your business. leaving you free to focus on what matters most. number one, i'm not a masochist. and if i was dropping in the polls where i saw that i wasn't going to win, what would i continue? and it's funny, maybe it's not like me because it's the power of positive thinking, i'm a very positive person, i'm a positive thinker. but the truth is, i'm a realist. if i were doing poorly, if i saw myself going down, if you would stop calling me because you no longer have an interest in trump because he has no chance, i'd go back to my business. i have no problem with that. >> oh, my god. donald trump handing over control of how long he'll run to chuck todd in the interview. new polls out from nbc news today still show donald trump leading the gop pack. the poll shows trump with a five-point lead down from a seven-point lead a month ago. now it stands at five points over second place carly fiorina. carley fiorina, who is surging, i think is the candidate who has a shot there. she's got this money problem that i've seen this now reported newspaper russ times over the years. but this quote, she basically stiff a lot of people that worked for her and a lot of vendors. and this is john cross her operations director who says if we didn't win, why do you deserve to get paid? this is from someone let's be clear who was fired and got a huge golden parachute. >> the other thing is these people sat without payments for years till carly decided she was going to run for president and quickly wrote a check from the losing campaign to pay off these vendors because she was going to be to need to be in the good graces of republican vendors. >> including a guy who died, whose widow couldn't get his last paycheck, to be clear? >> the one defense is that this stuff is not that uncommon from losing campaigns, especially losing campaigns where the person is leaving politics and doesn't mean to maintain these relationships. >> ding ding ding ding. >> let me say this, if more common vendors than staff. that's the other part of it? >> legally, she didn't have an obligation to pay these people. it's a campaign committee. it's not per personal obligation. after donald trump for having businesses file bankruptcy four times. she didn't have a legal obligation to pay these people necessarily but it doesn't reflect well on you. >> you have another beast with another carley fiorina mystery foundation. the teern foundation is run by an organization that's distributed funds to planned parenthood and the fiorina do you think doesn't appear to exist. explain. >> it's not really a foundation in the way you and/or i my think of a foundation. it's account in the something called a donor advised fund. you can make the chris hayes foundation. i could make the piz zasz rat foundation. it's not really a foundation >> sounds delicious. >> but it's very secretive and we don't know the how much carly fiorina is holding in this account. the reason why people like them, they are anonymous, they get a lot of tax benefits from using them. they also don't have to decide right away what they do with the money they donate to charity. they give all this money, if you know within the next ten years you're going to doe tate $100,000 to charity, you can give it to this donor advised fund. you get the immediate tax deduction for the full amount. you don't have to decide, you know, for ten years, for a century, what you do where that money. it may never go to charity in your lifetime and it doesn't really matter. >> the other great. is a hedge, right, if you don't want to give it to something politically toxic. you are not sure what will be politically toxic. if you get the money, you give a charity, you of figure out like is that okay to give it to them? >> exactly. so the koch brothers came out the "independent" reported they were funding this network of a climate change denying think tanks and activists. and that's why i think people are sort of skeptical at how non-transparent donor advice funds are because no one knows exactly who's bankrolling what. you see the donor advice funds file a form for all of their donors. you can having hundreds or thousands of donors and you don't see the who is directing the money to go where. you just see where it end up. so i found that the donor fund she use, donated half a million to planned parenthood from 2011 to 2013 and her campaign, of course, says it doesn't implicate her money in this fund. it doesn't really matter that this he donate to planned parent whohood. my question, if you are an extremely pro-life candidate the way carley fiorina is. and you know oppose the government funding to planned parenthood to the extent you want to shut down the government over it, then why would you elect to put your money in a fund that does exactly that? why would you not put it in a fund that vows never to do that. >> all the arguments all that money is fungible. this is why this byzantine segregation is necessary, there isn't the moral taint on those fund. this seems like an example of that. josh, i thought the trump response to cluck todd's question was so honest and so obviously and also so clearly him sort of foaming the runway for when he's going to get out. >> maybe. i think the media has been a little too enthusiastic for two reasons, one i seen him speak about this in the context of rand paul. where he was like if he was down at 2%. >> if it's hopeless, you quit. >> a lot of room for him to drop in the polls. while still being a serious contender. i go to the bankruptcy, donald trump is a guy that gets away from deals that are failing. he knows just because you once thought something was a good idea that doesn't mean you have to be committed to it. i think if it truly looked hopeless to him, might drop out. >> he thinks he will drop of out if he fell to 2nd place in the polls. >> i think the summer of trump is over, he's not also going to be a 2% candidate. there is an a basis report he's going to stay there. >> there is no evidence to support the idea that trump is a self aware person. so you know, any time a poll comes out that shows his support sort of siphoning off, he denies it. he says it's not a real poll. it's not really happening. so who knows that it won't take him getting to 8 or 5% or 4% even before he starts to realize that maybe he's in a little bit of trouble. >> olivia, josh, thank you both. that is "all in" for this evening. "the rachel maddow show" starts right now. >> thanks to you at home for joining us this hour. a whole bunch of things just happened in political news today. mostly late today. and what's been breaking today in the news is relevant both in terms of policy and very much so in terms of politics, but tonight's news in politics is very different than this morning's news was in politics because it's just been one of those days when things kept happening to change the narrative. the first thing i should tell you about is we just got news, we just got word that president obama is going to be going to roseburg, oregon this week. he is going on friday. roseburg, oregon, is where the umpqua community college mass shooting was last week. president obama, of course, was visibly angry when he gave

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