running likely behind her democratic opponent, retired astronaut mark kelly who is polling at 46%. and republican senator martha mcsally is polling at 41% in arizona, the same state where democrats picked up a senate seat in last year's election. in may, the cook political report has shifted its forecast on republican senator susan collins's seat from leaning republican to toss-up. the leading democratic candidate in the maine senate race is the leader of maine's house of representatives sarah giedion. none of this polling information comes as a surprise to our first guest tonight, a patti solis doyle scientist who has been predicting the democrats can pick up an additional six seats in the house of representatives in the next election and possibly more than that, and that democrats would become increasingly competitive in the senate races. political science professor rachel was our last guest last night. in our rushed conversation at the end of that hour, she was only able to outline the very basics of her election analysis.