it has had the opposite effect. >> i'm curious, richard. that does seem to be the gamble that putin was making. number one, he'd divide the west and number two, a significant divide in ukraine. is this the larger miscalculation that he's made? >> well, it's not over yet. there's a key piece to all of this that is looking in the background. this is the minsk agreement. it doesn't get as much attention because it's fairly complicated. ukrainians i think are worried about this. they worry this could be the ace up putin's sleep. the minsk agreement was the agreement to end the russian separatists backed by russian forces in 2015. it's not been implemented. and the deal calls for the russian separatists to be effectively incorporated into