if you're a winner you get a lot of out of that. if you're a loser, that can hurt your campaign nationally, too. so that is the question in iowa what comes out of it. but take a look here. past iowa races, where did they stand at this same point? last time around about 40 days out before iowa, remember two way race basically the clinton versus bernie sanders. clinton was at 51% and she got just about 50%, so that was pretty stable. you look in 2007, november 2007 was about 40 days before the caucuses. that year hillary clinton was -- barack obama he was right behind her in that poll and ended up catching her and winning. clinton technically finished third in the iowa caucuses behind john edwards. 2004, 40 days before the caucuses that year howard dean was the leader out in iowa with 29%. dean faded out in the final days of the iowa campaign. he finished with 17%.