You have four primary contests, iowa, New Hampshire, nevada and south carolina. Alongside of that we have a lot of Court Appearances from trump, decisions on colorado before the supreme court, the decision on his immunity plea, his trial may actually start on march 4th, the Jan 6th Trial in d. C. Super tuesday is march 5th. If he looks weaker in ohio and New Hampshire than expected, all of a sudden, his strategy about making the courthouse the centerpiece of his communications strategy, that might look like a bad idea. He might appear to be weaker in other ways. Then im looking at what is his turnout like . Whats the enthusiasm like for him . Haleys support, a lot of democrats voting for haley. Im also thinking about is trump taking a lot of lumps from