But now some smaller shops they think may have peaked and that could be a troubling sign for job growth. We have all that and more tonight on nightly Business Report for wednesday, september 25th. Good evening, and welcome. Call it the walmart effect. If there was ever, ever any doubt about how much walmart matters to the economy, to the stock market, to suppliers and competitors, those doubts were put to rest today. Walmart shares took abrupt 3 dive midday yanking the dow down with it after the press report said the company is cutting orders to suppliers amid sluggish sales and rising inventories. Take a look at an intraday chart of walmart and zero in on that drop. Right there, around 1 30 p. M. Eastern time. As you see, the stock did recover about half of that loss after the company knocked the bloomberg article as, quote, misleading. A spokesman characterized any order pullbacks as category by category, not across the board. Walmart did finish the day about 1. 5 lower on twoandahalf times normal volume. The episode served as a reminder when walmart sneezes others catch cold. Names like costco, target, dollar general, dollar tree and Family Dollar and retrailers werent the only ones feeling the chill. Such walmart suppliers as proctor and glam bell, clorox, general mills, kellogg, all dipped right before 2 00 p. M. Eastern time as you see on those graphs. Those companies have a ton of products on walmart chefs. Apparel makers like nike went for a walmart ride today. Rpgs joining us, an Equity Analyst at mkm participanners. Patrick, walmart says its business as usual, but this report was misleading. But as an analyst covering walmart for almost 14 years, whats your take on this report today and what kind of shape is walmart really in . Well, even if inventory even if the company was cutting back on some of its inventory purchases, it would not be a huge surprise. Their inventories were up at walmart u. S. , which is the core business, the u. S. Business. 7 at the end of the second quarter. And they said on the august Conference Call that they would be pulling back and trying to get those inventories down. Their sales grew at walmart u. S. Only 2 . So 7 is high. They told the street they would be pulling back on inventories and rebalancing inventories. So not a huge surprise. I think its a little bit of a much ado about nothing kind of a circumstance here. But cut to the bottom line here. Is walmart is walmart signaling eversosubtly that the economy isnt as strong as maybe we thought, and thats why you see those reverberations through a pass of other stocks through clorox and Procter Gamble to the other discounters . Sure. I mean, i think thats probably true. But theyve had a tough year so far. Theyve had negative samestore sales at walmart u. S. They are forecasting for flat samestore sales in the current quarter, third quarter. I think theyll maybe be light of that flat number. But, yeah, i think theres probably a little bit of that. But i think, you know, its more of the same, really. I dont know that its anything necessarily new. You know, patrick, i know youre not recommending walmart stock, but we as we reported, it has such an impact on other retailers, other Consumer Products companies. Why should investors or do you think investors should really Pay Attention to whats going on with walmart, whether you own the stock or not . I mean, in general, absolutely. Theyre the biggest retailer in the world. 400plus billion dollars in sales. So theyre huge. And they matter. And sure, investors should Pay Attention to what walmart says and whats happening at walmart. But i would also points out that other there have been a number of other retailers that have been doing quite well. Look at the offprice apparel retailers, tjx which is tj maxx and marshals, growing quite well over the past several quarters and had a nice second quarter, and up about 4 samestore sales growth. The Dollar Stores have been doing well. So there have been some pockets of strength. You know, walmart is not alone with its negative comps. Target also had negative at least negative traffic in the second quarter. But i think theres some companyspecific issues at walmart as well that are contributing to that. Very quickly, in that space of discounters, the Dollar Stores, walmart, target and others, which one do you like best . Well, ive been big on the Dollar Stores. Five recommendations on all three. My top pick within that space has been dollar tree and ive been big on the off price apparel space, as well, recommending tjx for some time now. Ross stores, which is the number two off price apparel retailer and i think the numbers in both of those subsectors of retail will continue to look pretty good. Right on through the holidays. Okay. Any disclosures to make, patrick . Do you own any of those stocks, your firm . No disclosure, susie. Okay. Thanks so much for coming on the program. Patrick mckiefer Equity Analyst at mkm partners. Weighing on the market, its no wonder stocks did fall today. The s p 500 notched its first fiveday losing streak of the year and the dow its longest string of losses since a month or so ago. The dow swooning and then bouncing back with walmart ended 61 points lower, the nasdaq down 7 and the s p shed 4. Shares of jcpenney didnt need any help from walmart to plunge again today. It tumbled another 15 , following a dire analysis from Goldman Sachs about the retailer. It said, quote, a combination of weak fundamentals, inventory rebuilding and an underperforming Home Department will likely challenge jcpenneys liquidity levels in q3. They sold right from the opening bell today eventually closing at the lowest level in nearly 13 years. The Goldman Sachs report also speculated the retailer may be forced to tap into the debt markets just to get more operating cash. This halloween may be a bit scarier than expected for all retailers. Survey from the National Retail federation says americans plan on spending less money this year, blaming the weak recovery for that pullback. The group predicts that people celebrating halloween this year will spend an average of 75 on candy, costumes, decorations and the like. Thats down from about 80 spent on average last year. Well, jp morgue has been hit hard recently with lots of fines and settlement fees, but the latest is a big one. 11 billion. The Associated Press reports that the nations biggest bank is in negotiations with federal and state officials to settle charges that it misled investors about the quality of the mortgagebacked securities that it sold in the run up to the financial crisis. And then when the housing bubble burst, those securities tumbled in value. But some muchneeded good news today in housing. New home sales in august rose nearly 8 from the previous month, with potential buyers apparently rushing to close deals as Mortgage Rates inched higher. To washington now, and the race against the clock as the u. S. Senate tries to hammer out a federal budget bill by monday, and avert a Government Shutdown. John harwood joins us from washington. So john, what happened in the senate today . We had something rare, tyler. A 1000 vote in the senate. Every single senator voted not to try to block the consideration by the senate of this bill to extend government funding. That bill in its current form would defund obamacare, and ted cruz had launched an overnight filibuster or a talkathon, to try to persuade senators not to take it up. But by the end, it was so obvious that he was going to lose overwhelmingly that even he voted with the people who said, yes, take it up. And now theres talk about shortening the extended time frame by which we were going to consider this bill. It looks as if friday or perhaps early saturday the senate will pass a socalled clean extension of government funding with no other conditions, send it back to the house and then well find out whether the house is going to take it up and pass it and avoid a shutdown or try to attach another set of conditions and then well go through this again. Everybody was talking about that talkathon as you put it, 21 hours. Did senator ted cruz really accomplish anything . Well, there are a couple things. First of all, he raised his own profile for good or bad. A lot of people dont like him. A lot of conservative cans do like him. Its also possible and some democrats are expressing the idea to me that the extended discussion by republicans of obamacare, them seeing that this is not a viable strategy, certainly on the Government Shutdown bill, may hasten the time in which both the shutdown and the debt limit get settled. In other words, may serve as a bit of a shock absorber for some of the hostility and angst that conservatives want to express about obamacare without taking it over the brink on the debt limit. Well see if thats borne out. But that, at least, is one possibility. What is the path forward from he, john, for avoiding a shutdown, and whats the likelihood that the hou will send another spending bill back to the senate with some condition that the senate is not likely to accept such as a delay in the individual mandate requiring coverage Insurance Coverage under obamacare . Well, the earlier the house gets the bill back from the senate and since theyre now talking to about Senate Passage on friday rather than sunday, the greater the chance is the house will come up with a strategy that involves sending another condition back. It could be a delay in the individual mandate, it could be Something Like a repeal of the medical device tax thats part of obamacare. Part of the democrats initial hope was if ted cruz talked through the weekend, the house wouldnt have any time and would be up against the september 30th deadline and would need to extend funding. So its not entirely clear yet. Weve got several votes to go and several days to go, but i think the smartest bet at this point, tyler is that it is not likely that were going to have a shutdown. Not certain, but it looks like were not going to have that. Lets just say there is a shutdown. What happens on day one . I mean, from years past, what happens . Well, this is a different situation than we saw, susie, say in 1995 when Newt Gingrich and bill clinton had a standoff. In 1995, about half of the government had already had their spending bills passed. So that was in law already. It was only a half Government Shutdown. Now none of the spending bills have passed, and what that means is, that a lot of Public Services will not be available, things like getting a visa done. Those offices will be closed. National parks, monuments, that sort of thing. Its possible that you could see a delay in some Social Security checks, although the Government Shutdown terms do involve all allowing workers to continue on the job. But its possible there will be all sorts of disruptions to government services. But the biggest effect, though, i think we have to say would be on federal workers themselves who would be without a paycheck. Were talking about 800,000 people or so. Nothing really good to get excited about in that scenario. But thanks, john, for your analysis. Really appreciate it. And thats john harwood reporting from washington. And also, speaking about the government, just six days to go before state and federal Health Care Exchanges open their doors, offering a marketplace of Health Insurance plans to all americans. Its all part of the Affordable Care act. And today the Obama Administration released the prices for individual insurance plans. Bertha coom joins us with a rundown of the premiums, copayments, deductibles, options, everything that people are going to face. You know, bertha, we have been talking a long time. You have been covering this story for a long time about what are the prices going to be for these insurance plans. Today we got a peek into what the prices are going to be. Are they higher or lower than what everybody was expecting . Well, a little lower. We have heard from some of the states that have built their own exchanges. They have revealed some of the prices and in many cases theyre lower. Now the federal government today in a new report from Health Department analysts found that premiums will be lower than they had previously estimated on the three dozen Health Insurance exchanges at the federal government fully or partly operating. Because those states opted out of building their own marketplaces. So on average, they have discovered americans will be able to choose from more than half a dozen insurance plans on these exchanges. And thats part of the thing that is driving these costs down. More competition. Theyll have more than 50 plans to choose from. And these plans will be price this is what youre going to hear a lot about. On metals bases, bronze, silver, gold. Silver, 328 a month, thats before tax credits for low and moderateincome people which will reduce costs. Its going to vary on where you live. But lets take a family of four in texas with 50,000 in annual income. For example. They will have a silver plan that will average about 727 a month. Now, with the tax credit that they would qualify for, that premium would be cut by about 60 to 280 a month. And interestingly, i went on e health to see what you would get in the individual market now to get a plan like that for 280, you get a plan with about a 10,000 deductible and its going to be much less than that on the exchange. Now, take an individual, the young people who they really want, 27yearold, now you can no longer be covered on your parents plan. In florida, earning about 25,000 a month, would also qualify, and a silver plan will average 218 for that 27yearold. Before the tax credit. After the tax credit, about 145 a month. And that would be lower. The interesting thing is, you dont have to buy a silver plan. You could buy a bronze plan thats cheaper. But your tax credit is based on the silver plan. So it would actually bring you even lower on a bronze plan which could come down for that 7yearold. We know when people sit down and do the math, the main reason that a lot of americans do not buy Health Insurance, because they just feel like its too expensive, they cant afford it, even though these numbers sound good. Exactly. At 328, the average, is that affordable enough . Thats 328 before the tax credit. So it might be below 300. And it is affordable by comparison to what someone is paying now on the individual market. So when you look at someone who is already trying to buy insurance, that seems much more affordable. But everyone you talk to says, this is a very pricesensitive market. So if youre making 50,000 a month, thats still a lot of money to come up with 300 a month. Right. If youve got all these other expenses. And they need young people to sign up to make sure that we dont just have older sick people in the insurance pool. A couple quick questions in rapid succession. Number one, are the tax credits applied after i have she would out out of pocket owl that money, or before . You can choose. You can choose to take them before, or you can choose to take them later, get them later when you file for your taxes. If youre on the edge, so for a family of four, your subsidies run out at around 94,000, if youre on the edge, youre probably going to want to wait so you dont get clawed back on what you took beforehand. But if you have a problem with cash flow, youre going to want that tax subsidy up front so you can actually do it. Exactly. Question number two, the plans on these exchanges are private insurers, right . Private insurers, yeah. Private insurers that are competing on these exchanges for your business. And what kind of coverage do you get, limited . That depends, depending on the level. Remember we talked about the metal level. So silver is a kind of 60 of the cost. They pay 60 of your medical costs. Right. So you have some out of pocket. Maximum out of pocket is about 6200 for a deductible. On a bronze plan, its going to be more out of pocket. So you might pay a lower premium, but youre probably going to get a more limited network of coverage. And youre probably going to have more out of pocket. Real quickly. Youre required every american is required to have some kind of insurance plan. If you dont, there is a fine. Really . Are you going to be fined if you opt out . You know, i think this first year and this is just my impression. This first year, from talking to people, they just want people to sign up at all costs, so they dont want to be punitive. They dont want to be talking about this 95 fine. Exactly, as little as 95. Bertha, thank you very much. Well be back to you on this. Coming up, a billion than dollar deal in the medical devices space. Details next. But first, take a look at the international market. Amazon. Com unveils a revamped kindle tablet today hoping to get a leg up on microsoft ahead of the Holiday Shopping season. John fort sat down with amazon ceo today to tack about his companys latest offering and the innovation behind it. Yeah, first thing youll notice is our carousel. It starts at 139 and analysts estimate it represents about 1 in 10 tablets sold. For the past two years, amazons kindle fire has challenged ipad in the white hot tablet market. I talked about how the latest models are taking it to another level in features and service. And so for people who really want the very best hardware, thats the right tablet to buy. 8. 9 inch form factor is very useful for doing a whole bunch of things like browsing the web and email. And, of course, movies and tv shows look great on it. And then we have for people who are, you know, buying tablet for the family, who are you know, 138 kindle fire hd has a same Processing Power that our highend had last year, and the same display quality that our highend had last year. And so at 139, its a real breakthrough price point. How can i help you . The standout feature in the new kindles, the may day button, which summons tech support, live on the screen. Bestcase scenario for amazon, they develop an aura of great support. Amazon is known for that already. But on the tablet side, if they could lock that in, it could really expand their business to a whole different demographic. He said ideas like that dont come from just one person. They come while hashing out the future with a team. His style, get lots of input. Sometimes i think there is a myth of the topdown leader who is, you know, inventing and the sort of what we all have in our minds when we think of thomas edison. And thats not how largescale Innovation Works in a company, in my experience. It really is the great strategies, the great product visions, even the great features that kind of emerge, and then somebody has an idea and somebody else has a refinement to that idea. He is clearly hoping these new kindless go down as a success. Preorders start today with the models all shipping by november 7. Of course, new surface tablets from crosstown rival microsoft arrive in less than a month, and we expect new ipads from apple. These new kindles will have plenty of competition. In seattle, im john fort for nightly Business Report. We begin market focus with a 1. 6 billion deal. The medical technology company, striker is buying mako surgical, which makes a robotic arm to help surgeons more precisely replace knees and hips. It will give a strong competitive advantage and trigger a wave of takeovers. Shares soaring 82 to close at 29. 46. Striker, by contrast, fell about 3 to 68. 79. Auto zone, the Worlds Largest auto parts retailer in the u. S. , reported a rise in earnings as the companys commercial sales continue to improve. The firm has been benefitting from the addition of new stores and plans to enter the brazilian market, the fourth largest car market in the world. The stock rising more than 2 to 425 and change. Shares of facebook also rising today, after initiating coverage of the company with a bye rating and 60 price target. The analyst says the company is very early in generating revenue from its enormous user base. Shares more than doubled over the past three months and today rose to 49. 46 and infinity pharmaceutical said its experimental lung cancer drug failed to improve overall survival in a mid stage trial. So the company will now focus on a drug meant to treat a rare blood cancer, asthma, and rheumatoid arthritis. Shares fell to 17. 32. And we have more ahead. First, though, how commodities, treasuries and currencies performed today. Last weeks terrorist attack in kenya focused on the availability of public spaces like shopping malls and sports arenas from similar attacks. Scott cohn joins us from chicago where thousands are security personnel are gathered to discuss the latest techniques to make an unsuspecting public more secure. Scott, what is the buzz, the tenor of the conversation that youve been listening to and seeing out there . Reporter well, tyler, the terror attacks in nairobi have certainly focused attention on what Security Professionals call soft targets. Things like shopping malls. Theres a big one right behind me here in chicagos michigan avenue, where you can come and go as you please. There are multiple entry points. Theyre the kinds of places that give security a professionals fit in terms of how to protect them. But there are a few things they feel theyre doing right. One is that theres a great deal of coordination now between mall security people and the department of homeland security, law enforcement, to try and spot these threats, spot the bad guys, essentially, before they go into the mall. And to hopefully prevent some of these attacks like what happened in nairobi. So what does it mean for those of us who go shopping in these places like a mall . Are you supposed to be on high alert . Its one thing to have these security measures in your workplace. But you kind of are distracted when youre shopping in a mall. Whats the advice from these Security Specialists . Well, what theyre saying is, that you know, theyre doing everything that they can. There is technology that can help them spot, you know, anomalous patterns and things like that. But they also say, and basically everyone we talked to at this conference said that it determined attacker is going to do the damage theyre going to do. And so that means, when you go to your shopping mall, you need to be aware of the situation around you. Have a plan in case the worst happens. Have a plan to get out, know what you would do. Gain the scenario in your mind. And that is something that ultimately could save your life. And also, as they say, and as they have said certainly since 9 11, if you see something, say something. All right, scott cohn, reporting for us tonight from a big security conference in chicago. Scott, thanks very much. Just got to be alert everywhere you go. Its amazing its come to that. You have to think about your escape route whenever you go into a mall or sports event. Thats it for us, nightly Business Report tonight, im susie gharib. Thanks for joining us. Have a great evening, everybody. Well see you back here tomorrow night. 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