Governors seats and senate seats across the country. And the americans voting about the state of the country and the leaders. President obama not on the ballot tuesday. Barely seen on the campaign trail. His record defining the debate, his ratings are dismal. Only 44 of american few him favorab favorably. Half the country thinks hes not a strong leader or competent manager. Thats weighing down democrats. And reporters in key states, and the powerhouse roundtable. Jonathan karl starts us off. Reporter from president obama last night, a first. He campaigned with an actual democratic candidate for senate. Vote for gary. This elections too important to stay home. Reporter its the one and only time a Senate Candidate will appear with the president during this entire campaign. And this democrat, gary peters of michigan, isnt even in a competitive race. And yet president obama has played a starring role in this campaign. Just not quite the way the white house had hoped. Obamas senator, not yours. Reporter in state after state, republicans have tried hard to make this race about president obama. Pryor. Obama. Reporter and playing in the republican play book. Im not on the ballot this fall. But make no mistake, these policies are on the ballot. Every one of them. Reporter but Democratic Candidates in tough races have been running hard away from the president. Allison grimes, challenge, Mitch Mcconnell in kentucky, made a splash by refusing to say if she voted for president obama. I respect the sanctity of the ballot box. Reporter but running ads slamming the president. Im not president obama. Reporter and the same thing it is simply wrong. You dont agree that the president s been politically toxic to Many Democrats running i do not agree with that assessment. Reporter but just two weeks ago, president obamas Approval Rating hit an alltime low in the abc News Washington post poll. And in most key states, the Approval Rating is lower. 31 in kentucky, and just 30 in alaska. And even with unemployment down and stocks up, only 28 of americans think the economy is getting better. 63 think the governments ability to solve problems has gotten worse. The ebola emergency. The direct threats from isis. Reporter its a campaign with an anxious electorate. With the isis Terror Threat and ebola scares making their way into the critical final stretch. Tom cotton voted against preparing for pandemics like ebola. Reporter appealing to economic populism. She wont to increase the state minimum wage and called the federal minimum wage. Reporter pulling for a minimum wage hike that voters support. But the fracturing of the Obama Coalition when women succeed, everyone succeeds. Reporter the gender gap has disappeared. And young voters turning to the republicans. And the africanamerican vote, some are resorting to scare tack tackics. Warning that a vote for republicans is a vote for another ferguson. Its an indication that democrats are worried they may be for a tough Election Night. For this week, jonathan karl, abc news, new york. And the party chairs, Debbie Wasserman schultz for the democrats, Reince Priebus for the republicans. And begin with you, a lot of evidence piling up, this could be a big republican night. Gains in the house, closing in on control of the senate. Has president obama been too heavy an anchor for the democrats . Im proud of this president. Hes taken us from the worst economic crisis we have faced since the Great Depression through 55straight months of job growth in the private sector. Thats the longest sustained period in american history. Just the other day on thursday we showed the secondstraight cou quarter of significant economic growth. We have created more jobs in manufacturing since the 1990s. That message is not taking hold. This new poll in iowa. Joni ernst, the republican candidate, 5144 over bruce braley. Thats a state president obama won. Harry reid said he wont be the democratic leader if joni ernst wins. Do you agree . I think were going to hold control the senator. I know he would take ours over theirs every day of the week. And we have the early votes in the most competitive weeks and districts. We have focused on making sure that we bring our number us up for voters who didnt cast ballots in 2010 but voted for the president in 2008 and 2012. Tell you whats going on in florida, i have been here for several days. I have seen really the most enthusiasm and the best organized ground game ive seen in a midterm in florida. Thats why rick scott is going to go down to defeat on tuesday. The first democratic governor in the 21st century. Chairman, are you worried that the democrats are going to beat you on the ground . Well, the problem they have is that their message isnt working. And were our ground game is whipping their ground game. If you look at colorado, were up by 105,000 votes right now. Cory gardner is tied with women with mark udall. Winning hispanic voters in colorado. Whipping them in arkansas. We are at a dead even early vote right now in iowa. We were down by 21,000 votes in iowa in early vote in 2010. Joni ernst is up by seven according to the Des Moines Register yesterday. Winning in montana, west virginia, south dakota. I havent talked about alaska, louisiana. And see whats going happen in North Carolina and New Hampshire. This may be a rejection election of those in power, but how about this continuing problems of the republican brand. Our new abc News Washington post poll shows 72 disapproval for republicans in congress. And rand paul was blunt this week. He said the Republican Party brand sucks. What do you say to rand paul and those voters . Well, im very close with rand. We just did a Conference Call together two days ago with the campus captains across the country. And we have talked about this across the country. He said were on the right track and doing the things we should be doing, engaging hispanic voters, black voters, asian voters. Talking to women not jus for four months before an election, but four years. And the things i have been leading the way on the party on for two years. And i know if you are looking at the poll wbts were winning women in kentucky. Mcconnell is winning with women against Allison Grimes. Cotton is winning with women against mark pryor in arkansas. What rand paul is saying is what i have been saying. We have spent way too long showing up at the end. And we have to do better. Thats why when he made the comments, he made them at the black Engagement Office that we pay for. Congressman were going to have a great night. Let me go to if the republicans do have the great night that Reince Priebus is talking about. Theres a lot of evidence they will, wont that demand a course correction from president obama . Well, look, george, going into tuesday, ill back up our ground game against his ground game. He has been putting as much money as he could. I know he would take ours over theirs. Were doing better in North Carolina and New Hampshire. We have candidates across the country focused on the issues, importance of the middle class and working families. And republicans have extremism. Stack up our policies of increasing the minimum wage and fight for equal pay for equal work which republicans oppose. Id stack up our surrogates. We have president obama, Vice President biden, secretary clinton, president clinton. And they have rand paul, Chris Christie and ted cruz. So going into election day, the advantages that we have are s superior to the ones the republicans have. The most important things that voters are asking themselves is who has my back . And they will say that democrats have their back. And thats why in the Midterm Election where normally the president s party loses an average of 29 seats, these races are close. When races are close like this, democrats win. Thats whats going to happen. If republicans dont take the senate on tuesday, is it a failure . I think we have to take the senate. I dont know why shes using your have the back line, not going to go there. What the dnc is spending on the ground game. They are not the competition. Its the Senate Democrat committee thats putting the ground game together, not the dnc and not what debbies talking about. And were winning on the ground. Look at early voting. And their message isnt working. If they have a great message about the things that shes rattled off, they should be winning, and theyre not. Thank you. And now the candidates. Its a diverse field. They caught the eye of david wright. Reporter across the country this year, no shortage of characters. From a guitarplaying democrat channelling bob dylan in south dakota. You know ive been to every town to a hogriding mom in iowa who knows how to man handle a hog. I am joni ernst, i castrated hogs on a farm growing up. So i wont worry about pork. And at age 30, hoping to become the youngest woman ever elected to congress. And theres mia love in utah. Who would be the first black woman republican elected to the house. In North Carolina, clay aiken has struggled to parlay his success on American Idol into a seat in the house of representatives. A familiar name can be helpful in politics. I voted for your grandfather. Reporter this year dynasties abound. George p. Bush, son of jeb, nephew of 43, grandson of 41, makes his debut, running for texas land commissioner. And in georgia, two democrats, jason carter, grandson of jimmy, running for governor and Michelle Nunn, daughter of sam, running for u. S. Senate. In massachusetts, an october surprise. The boston globe revealed that seth moulton failed to mention he won the bronze star for valor in iraq. Hadnt told his parents. Apparently hes modest. 35 years i retired this year as a colonel. Reporter plenty of other candidates playing up the fact they served. Among them, scott brown. Having lost in massachusetts, he moved to his New Hampshire vacation home, switching states. If hes elected, the first senator from two different states in 136 years. The biggest prize tuesday night, control of the senate. Republicans need to pick up six seats to win it back. Were focusing on the 16 Battle Ground states most likely to determine the outcome. Right now, three veteran reporters on the ground. Okay hend eerson from iowa, and the kansas city star, and mark stewart from abc 7 news. And begin with you, the Des Moines Register poll out last night, giving joni ernst a sevenpoint lead over bruce braley. That poll has such a solid record. It correctly predicted president obamas win back in 2012. Is that on the ground like she is breaking this thing open . It does. Among republicans they are jubilant as you have mentioned. And the polls are the Gold Standard here. Democrats immediately used the phrase outlier to describe this poll. They point to other Public Opinion polls released in the past week that dont show her with that wide of a lead. But she seems to have momentum on the ground. Democrats are really digging in and emphasizing the ground game. By the time the polls open tuesday, 40 of voters will probably have voted already. And we heart the republican chairman talk about the republican gains in the early vote. How about a reality check on that . That is the reality on the ground. Republicans have played the game. The question is, did they pull in people who would have voted on election day, or are they truly turning out unlikely voters . And then turning the tables on democrats who in 2012 really surprised republicans here in iowa. If you remember, the romny folks thought they were going to win iowa handily in 2012 and president obama won by six points. Thank you. Move to kansas. Greg orman, the independent taking on the incumbent. This has been a stiff challenge from greg orman. But it does look like pat roberts has stabilized and held on. This is so close. Its impossible to tell where this race is going. The polls have orman maybe a point or two ahead, a compilation of polls suggest that the average that hes ahead by a couple points. Going into election day, its just very, very hard to tell. If you do look historically at the trends, though, a republican incumbent senator in the low 40s, his chances of winning arent very good. But this is an unusual race with an independent in kansas. Weve never elected an independent in this state. We have to wait until tuesday to see where we are. And you have the governors race, Sam Brownback in the fight of his life. How is that spilling into the senate race . Its hard to tell. Its independent choices. Different factors, different sets of circumstances affecting both of these races. They are looking at them independently of each other. Now to colorado. Steve, i want to where we have congressman cory gardner challenging mark udall. And we are joined by mark stewart. One of the things we say in this race, you saw mark udall talking about womens issues again and again and again. In one of the debates, they called him mark uterus. Has that backfired . Some argue to an extent. But they are standing by this one issue, womens rights. Womens reproductive issues campaign. The democrats think that, first of all, it will solidify their base, which is important in colorado. Onethird of the voters are democrats, onethird are republicans and the other third are independents. In order to win, you have to have your base. That will drive democratic voters to the polls. In addition thing that it will create some doubt, perhaps, among independents. That if cory gardner is elected, there will be sweeping changes. With Birth Control or other issues related to womens rights. So they feel that by running this one Issue Campaign they will court people within their party as well as some of the independents. But gardner has a steady lead. I remember the last senate campaign, Michael Bennett was going in behind to election day, but pulled it out with the ground game. How is that going in colorado . This race is determined by voter turnout. They are placing a lot of emphasis on the ground game. Democrats have been very confident saying that they have already knocked on hundreds of thousands of doors. Republicans, though, are being kind of close to the vest about all of this. They are making a point of not discussing their ground strategy. But, again, both camps really are saying their ground game is the strongest. Mark, thanks very much. Coming up, nate silver lays out the forecast. And the roundtable, what to watch for tuesday night. Were back in just two minutes. Ththere requires exactly that. Rea plan for what you want your future to look like. For more than 145 years, pacific life has been providing solutions to help individuals like you achieve longterm financial security. Bring your vision for the future to life with pacific life. Talk to a Financial Advisor to help build and protect your retirement income. Pacific life. The power to help you succeed. As the company thats all about printing. But did you know we also support hospitals using Electronic Health records for more than 30 million patients . Or that our Software Helps over 20 million smartphone users remotely configure email every month . Or how about processing nearly 5 billion in electronic toll payments a year . In fact, todays xerox is working in surprising ways to help companies simplify the way work gets done and life gets lived. With xerox, youre ready for real business. You might remember nate silver from 2012. Hes the forecast from fivethirtyeight. Com. And he was dead on. Correctly predicting how all 50 states broke. Hes inspired all kinds of imitators. All are predicting a big election for the gop. Giving a 70 chance of retaking the senate. Huffington post, 74 , and the Washington Post puts it at a whopping 94 . Lets hear from nate. Thanks for joining us. Saw your post, 72 and climbing for republican takeover. Yea, new poll this is morning in states like georgia, kentucky, further good news for the gadevelop. Its still close. You have six or seven or eight that can go either way. The poll in iowa, one of the most reliable in the country. All held in purple or red states. The bar isnt that high. The polls are clearer now that the gop will will probably win the senate. About a 73, 74 chance right now. By this time in 2012, you had reached the point you said it would take a systemic bias in all the polls for president obama to lose. Youre not quite there on republican takeover of the senate. Were not there. You can carve out a path that goes through some red states like winning in alaska and georgia and kansas. Those states the polls are close or ambiguous or both. But it looks like in the swing states like colorado and iowa, democrats are underdogs. Theyre almost certainly going to lose. At least four seats. Arkansas looks like its going the way of the other states like south dakota that are very red to begin with. Louisiana, Mary Landrieu has a run off, probably, another month to campaign. But democrats may have to bank on a runoff in louisiana and georgia and extending the campaign and winning some of those races as underdogs. Whats the biggest x factor . What Donald Rumsfeld might call the known unknown . People are not happy with either party. Is there an inantiincumbent wave. Governorships, many losing or come close to losing. The moderately republican mood with the antiincumbent mood . Pat roberts may lose, even though republican haves a good night overall. Its a multidimensional sort of election. Makes it a bit more complicated. But overall signs look poor for democrats. A joining us tuesday as well and presidethe roundtable. Matthew dowd and cokie roberts. Jonathan karl, republican bill kristol, and democratic strategist, donna brazile. And one of the questions is this, the voters are angry and upset with washington. Hurts democrats disproportion that tly but not solely. Its the dynamic they have become. We realize theres no static quality where the voters are. In 2004, they predicted a realignment for the republicans. 2006, democrats win, 2008, barack obama, predict realignment, 2010, lose. 2012, barack obama reset the country. The demographics say republicans cant win. Now the republicans are facing a great night. Its clear to me, those seem mixed, the voters are tired of the way washington operates. Its interesting, in some states youll see the governorship going one way and the senate going another. So its not purely partisan. It is on the governors level something about the individuals running. On the senate level it is the washington thing. Theyre the big incumbents. Bill kristol, big republican night, what worries you most going into it . I was i have been you worry less . Being a republican, whats there to worry about . Theyre great, control congress, nothing goes wrong on Election Night. Ive been optimistic for about six weeks. Incompetent i thought it could be a plus ten in midseptember. And could end up there. After this they have to do two things, do a good job controlling both houses of congress, and win in 2016. This is different than 2014. Looking like a tough night for democrats. And i was struck by something matthew dowd wrote, it was a mistake for democrats to shun obama on the campaign trail. Do you agree . Yes. They could have talked about the economy. They could have talked about the things they are proposing, raising the minimum wage, equal pay for women. Localized the elections so they didnt have to deal with the unpopularity of president obama with certain groups of republicans. Its a tough year because democrats are basically defending 21 seats in the United States senate, seven that mitt romney won if 2012. Seven that president obama lost. I told cokie, unfortunately i only get to go home during midterms. Thats the only time democrats compete in the south. Its hard to win votes when you dont do it in two years i dont predict a total bad night. Your suit is spreading your message. Its the love. You showed the difficulties that president obama has had. How frustrated is the white house that the president couldnt campaign . We saw it bleed out in the rhetoric. He wanted to be on the ballot. Hes frustrated as the president of the United States. My policies are on the ballot, every one of them. And the democrats are like this deep frustration. Pointing to the governors. He was allowed to campaign for some of them. And you may see democrats knock off key republican governors. Scott walker in wisconsin. Thats close. Its one of the few races that obama appeared at. And Something Else quickly here, it does appear, even the man running the campaigns for them, and its a grim night, could see double digit gains for the republicans. Its not massive. Theres not that many seats in play. But you are going to see about ten. Thats double digits. But one of the things in jonathans very good piece, talked about the road and women. And the most recent poll. I think the most disturbing thing for the president and democrats, is the havocs o hisp of him in huge numbers. If that holds in this election and 2016, thats a longer term problem. Quick break now. Back in two minutes. How will the midterms set the stage for 2016. The future candidates were all over the map. Who got helped and hurt the most . Thats all coming up. Some stats there on the money race. If youre worried about the 10 in oklahoma, the web ad from the sierra club against inhofe. And the midterms, the shaping the White House Run in 2016. Pocketing favors by campaigning in key states. Jeff zeleny takes a look at how theyre doing. Reporter the campaign trail is crowded. Im back. Reporter but those logging the most miles arent even on the ballot. At least not this years ballot. Too many people only get excited about president ial campaigns. Look, i get excited about president ial campaigns, too. Reporter just this week in kansas, senator rand paul moved beyond the wild card senate race and plunged straight ahead to Hillary Clinton. She says, businesses dont create jobs, anybody believe that . Reporter jeb bush echoed the criticism of clinton as he campaigned in colorado. She said that dont let them tell you that businesses create jobs. Reporter the potential 2016 candidates are traveling across the country to red hot races for senate and governor. Hillary clinton hit 18 states. Elizabeth warren went to nine, rand paul and jeb bush eight each. Ted cruz, just four. And Chris Christie, as chairman of the Republican Governors Association visited 17. But look how often they passed through the golden Battle Ground of iowa and New Hampshire. Cruz, 11 times, paul, 10, and christie, 9. Theyre introducing themselves to Party Activists and building for the future. When we visited New Hampshire with cruz, he brought republicans to their feet and made an early case for new leadership. Does this increase your interest in running . I do think the American People in november 2014 and also in november 2016 are going to be looking for leaders who want to work to restore americas leadership in the world. Reporter that sounds like a yes. It increases my interest in doing everything i can to change the direction were on. Reporter while cruz is among those inching closer to running, other big names like Elizabeth Warren are not. But shes one of the biggest democrat draws of the season. Appearing earlier this week on the view. This isnt about me. One of the reasons i wanted to be here today is to talk about the importance of women voting. Reporter not all exchanges have been to polite. Like Chris Christies encounter with a protester in new jersey. Listen, you want to have the conversation later, im happy to have it, buddy. But until that time, sit down and shut up. Reporter that moment and all others from this campaign will follow the candidates into their next race which could be just around the corner. For this week, jeff zeleny, abc news, washington. And were back now with the roundtable and a mini debate over whether sit down and shut up is the right way to go. Look at the candidates out there, who had the best preseason . The one that well be talking about most in the aftermath of the election is john kasich who were not talking about. Hes going to win that race in a key state. Key state for republicans, ohio, by more than 20 points at a time when other democrats are doing well in governors. The person most concerned about the election is Hillary Clinton. People are voting against the status quo. They want something different. And her experience in the time shes spent over the last 20 years represents in most peoples mind the status quo. You know, matt, she has enabled democrats to keep it close. Campaigned in 30 states for over 40 democrats. Made the difference all of which theyll lose. Not true. I think Michelle Nunn will pull it out, jean shah lean. And kay hagan. And Allison Grimes came back from the socalled political dead the thing about Hillary Clinton that you have to keep in mind, just the mere fact of being a woman and a change in the status quo. And that is something that is just there. Do you think she has to worry about this . Do you think she has to worry about the fact she represents the status quo . Sure she does. But i think the overriding question of electing the first woman president changes that. How does that question change for jeb bush . Is he seem the establishment, part of the past . The nomination, i think if he steps out with a great agenda for the future, he can overcome that. He was last in Public Office almost ten years ago. Hasnt been on the ballot since 2002. Who are the stars of the Election Night going to be . Joni ernst in iowa, 43 years old, gardner, campaign in colorado, 39. On the democratic side, Michelle Nunn in georgia, mid30s . 40s. I have to think that the story coming out of tonight is going to be out of tuesday night is young is good, change is good. And i think thats bad for Hillary Clinton. John karl, is that a good message for ted cruz and rand paul . Theres a lot of talk about how obama is not in the key races. Ted cruz hasnt been out there either. In alaska. Hes not in the lower 48 states. The last few days in alaska. One appearance in georgia. Thats it in the last two weeks. The only two senate races. Because the candidates havent havent wanted him . Hes not no demand. Both sides will misread the election. Republicans will think we dont need to change the brand, sending them for a loss in 2016 if they dont approach in differently. Democrats cwill say, it was the midterms, low turnout. And we dont need to do anything differently. Thats a mistake. Somebodys going to have to step up and be the pop list candidate, the candidate of change. Like bill says, somebody young and probably a governor. Thats why Michelle Nunns campaign has been so interesting. Because she has been that populist voice. She has run an antiromney campaign. Thats at least bringing her making it possible for her. But i wonder if that means, based on what you are saying, first to you, bill, that the big candidate in 2016 isnt on the map yet. Is that possible . I thought about that. I think its possible. I think walker, cruz, rubio, that generation of republicans come out of tuesday night strong. But i dont look why is it impossible for someone who just wins this year, or somebody right now obama to come out and run in 2016. Who should Hillary Clinton be worried about . Elizabeth warren. Her message resonates with the broad american public. Fighting for students, for the middle class. I think shes you see those ready for warren people out there as well. Theyre not anywhere near as ready for hillary. But theyre out there. When i interviewed Elizabeth Warren in 2012 and consider running for president in 2016, she says no, no, no. Now shes saying im not running. A lot less definitive now. Picking the best and worst of the 2014 campaign. The new stars. But first the powerhouse puzzler. Scott brown, intending to become the first senator to represent two different states in 136 years. Heres the question, who was the other politician that represented both New Hampshire and massachusetts in congress . Cokie knows it, but you all come back. With over two hundred thousand businesses, from fashion retailers to healthcare providers, from jewelers to Sporting Good stores, to help their customers get what they want and need. Banking. Loyalty. Analytics. Synchrony financial. Engage with us. Maestro of project management. Baron of the buildout. You need a permit. To be this awesome. And you. Rent from national. Because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle. And go. You can even take a fullsize or above, and still pay the midsize price. aaron purrrfect. vo meeeow, business pro. Meeeow. Go national. Go like a pro. Okay. Were back now be the puzzler. Name the politician who represented moat New Hampshire and massachusetts. Cokie, jon karl, Daniel Webster everybody got it. I have to commend you. You saw it, but still put the question mark. His desk is still in the United States senate. Daniel websters desk is there. I didnt know that. He represented both New Hampshire and massachusetts. Well be right back. And im here to tell hi,homeowners winkler that are sixtytwo and older about a great way to live a better retirement. Its called a reverse mortgage. Call right now to receive your free dvd and booklet with no obligation. It answers questions like. How a reverse mortgage works, how much you qualify for, the ways to receive your money. And more. Plus, when you call now, youll get this magnifier with led light absolutely free when you call the experts at one reverse mortgage today, youll learn the benefits of a governmentinsured reverse mortgage. It will eliminate your monthly mortgage payments and give you taxfree cash from the equity in your home and heres the best part. You still own your home. Take control of your retirement today . There you see it right there. Lots of money being spent in those. But its not just on the air waves, its online too. Social media playing a critical role. Candidates, parties and the press all over facebook and twitter. And we are tracking it. Hey, george. Since midsummer, 27 million people, thats about a third of potential voters have commented on this election using facebook. Talk about polls, they only tell us part of the story. Thats why we look social platforms like twitter, facebook, to give us sense what have people are talking about unfiltered and unsensored. Lets look at some of the top tweeted issues in this election. Number one, president obama, no surprises there. Republicans have been trying to make this election a referendum on the president. Terrorism, number two, and three, law enforcement. While twitter is not a perfect science, president obama, terror, National Issues coming into the elections. How about the Key Senate Races . Reporter on the Key Senate Races, five we are looking at, number one, alaska, number two, New Hampshire, number three, iowa, number four, North Carolina, number five, kentucky. Alaska at the top of the list. Its important to note that twitter adjusts the measurements here. They adjust the volume based on population. Maybe why alaska is at the top. But its an important race. Over 30 million spent in the race. A democratic incumbent with a small margin, democrats know they have to hold on to the race. It may be the one were looking to all night long. And polls iffy in alaska. And unveiling the new partnership with facebook. Back to the roundtable. And best and worst picks for the race. I thought that was telling. The issues that were talked about on twitter. We were talking about that during the break. The economy not up there. The issue debates that were going on really it work against the democrats. Absolutely. It goes back to the whole issue of dysfunction in washington, d. C. And voters being so dissatisfied with both Major Political parties. But clearly when your party is in control of the white house, you pay the penalty. But the big mistake in how people are running midterms. They are personal elections outside of the president ial election. Democrats should have nationalized this race. This was a National Race. Midterms are national. We need a National Race to confront the Republicans National message. One National Message, negative by the republicans. And democrats running state by state. I dont think it works. The midterms are the equivalent of a parlimentary not anymore, i dont think. I think so. A vote of confidence. Its our opportunity as a country to say we dont have confidence. And or we do. I dont think that the democrats can have a National Message in that kind of environment. Avoid it it was a tough cycle for democrats no matter what. But then the twin crisis of isis and ebola. Ebola, an october surprise. Just made it that much worse. Could have been just the opposite. Hands those things well, you can show yourself as able to govern. Not when two thirds of the country says were going in the wrong direction. Best campaign of 2014 . Joni ernst in iowa. The consultant types, were more fonder of Mark Jacobson who could selffinance. More money. She was the somewhat obscure state legislator. Ran a good primary. And has run a terrific general election campaign. Looks like shell win in iowa. You and cokie agree on a candidate. Michelle nunn. Shes a first time candidate. Normally, cant find their groove. Shes been able to campaign throughout the state. Very little mistakes. I think shes run a terrific campaign. You said john kay sish . Thetest of a race, its a swing state in Mid Western State thats key, i had to look it up this morning. But hes been a total disaster for john kasich to win in ohio by 25 points, amazing. I would say cory gardner in colorado. Down double digits. Run a new nearflawless campaign. Aside from Michelle Nunn, gardner. The Worst Campaign . The one i did name was which candidate was the democrat in ohio, fitzgerald. But i think mark udall has run a terrible campaign. Colorado. Colorado. Going after women on abortion and Birth Control and all of these things is pandering in a way that women start to just resent. You agree with that . Yeah, udall just obsessed. Hes a moderate. Could have run as someone who had been a pretty decent senator, instead looked like a crazy person. Hes going to take away access to contraception. Do they believe that some republican senator is going to do that . Changed his position on personhood. I guess the republican haves found their voice in the middle. Its like extremists, and these guys have turned and women have turned out to be moderates. Udall should have anticipated. Moderates, independents, pro choice, unhappy with the social issues. There are pro life democrats. Its important to hold those votes in a swing state. Im prochoice, i respect you, youre pro life. If you stig mytize those would the extreme views i picked the Worst Campaign, terry land in michigan. Its competitive. The republican governor is going to win. A woman on the ballot, thats going to solve the problems. Horrible campaign. Controversy to it. The other thing thats interesting is all the money spent, all the time spent, whether or not they are going to turn out and listen to the voters. He minds me of the new Nicole Kidman movie, before i go to sleep, they are going to wake up and forget what happened. Pat roberts. Clear worst. Kansas has not elected anyone other than a rom since before the wizard of oz. And, you know, originally he doesnt have wifi in his office. No yard signs. Its a total disaster. Stopped campaigning right after the primary. Which gave, i guess, the independent an opportunity to go in and seize control. He had no idea that the democrats would pull out and sport the independent. Chz unusual. This is why politics isnt static. Politics matters. Lets talk about the day after. It looks like a big republican night. We dont know the exact numbers yet. Youre covering the white house. The president is going to have to come out and do the press conference. Come up with some sfor some syn losing. But not sending signals theres a course correction. No. The white house is charging ahead with an executive order on immigration. Well see if they stick to that the day after the election. But theyre currently saying they will go ahead with the executive order. Doing what they couldnt do thu congress. This is going to be a big finger in the eye of republicans and a real message its confrontation with the new congress, not working with them. What are for the sake of argument. We dont know. Mitch mcconnell, the leader of the senate, where are the possibilities for compromise with president obama . Where would you look first . There are a bunch of medi mediumsize pieces of legislation with democratic support that will be hard for president obama to veto. If you like your health plan, you can keep it. Keystone pipeline, energy legislation. Some things that have had democrat votes in the house. Harry reid has prevented them from coming to a vote in the senate. Start off with fairly cautious small ball in the senate, which is prudent, and congress. Then big choices about how to push on big issues. 15 seconds left, jon karl, tax reform. Some bipartisan movement behind a big Infrastructure Program . Exactly. Infrastructure is one you could see. Not massive tax reform, but something on corporate taxes is something that both parties like. The republicans need to prove they can get something done. The president has to change the means of governing, not the ends. He has to change it. See you tuesday night. The sunday spotlight is next. The american father freed from captivity in north korea speakispeaks out for the first time. Now to a rare look inside north korea from the american father and evangelist held captive for six months. Speaking out and revealing the surprising way he was treated, his fears about never getting out, and why he left the bible behind. Bob woodruff has the sunday spotlight. Reporter a home coming in ohio, nearly six months in the making. Jeffrey fowle holdings his three children for the First Time Since the release from north korea. He traveled to the isolated nation on a tourist visa and carrying a bible. He came up with the secret mission, to leave the bible in north korea even though his wife asked him not to do it. I was motivated bit severe persecution of the underground christian church. He was taken into custody after leaving the bible in a club. It prohibits religions not approved by the state. Two guys came up, is this your bible . Yes. Come with us. Reporter what did you say you were doing with the bible . I admitted i was leaving it behind for hopefully a christian to find. Reporter while they are notorious for their brultty with political prisoners, he said his jail was a luxury hotel. I have stayed there several times during my trips as a journalist. How did they treat you physically . Physically, i was not abused at all. Three meals a day. My interpreter would go out with me for a 30 were 40 minute walk. Reporter he spoke from his detention in north korea, also known as the dprk. The people in government, and i took for reporter they wanted you to criticize the United States. The government. They did include the United States and its hostile stance against them. Reporter do you think the u. S. Is hostile . No. You have to Say Something you dont believe. Yeah. Reporter he is the third american to be held by north korea. Still in custody, Matthew Todd Miller and kenneth bay, a Christian Missionary sentenced to 15 years hard labor for antistate activities. Why were you let go . I ask myself that question every day. Reporter he vows no more secret missions. If you could do anything different if you did this again, what would you do . Stay home. Maybe. I dont recommend doing this. I dont recommend anybody sneaking across the border with a sack full of bibles. Reporter his family is just glad to have him home again. Bob woodruff, abc news, lebanon, ohio . Thanks to bob. And now we honor our fellow american who is serve and sacrifice. This week the pentagon announced the deaths of two Service Members supporting our operations in iraq and afghanistan. We will all be back here tuesday night. Full coverage of all the election results, as we said, online all night long from 7 00 to 2 00 a. M. With a primetime special on the whole network at 10 00 eastern. Thanks for sharing part of your sunday with us. Check out world news tonight, and ill see you monday on gma. World news tonight, and ill see you monday on gma. In the nice this morning. Four dead after a catch size at bay. And the fall at oracle arena. The fall that led to the death of a cal student. And plenty of clear sky. 55 downtown, 58 at the airport. Along with the rest of the numbers for the rest of the bay area. Take a look at the first week in november next on the abc7 morning news at 9 00. The United States population is going to grow by over 90 million peoplever the next 40 years and almost all the growth is going to be in cities. Whats the healthiest and best way for them to grow so that they really become cauldrons of prosperity and cities of opportunity . What we have found is that if that family is moved info safe, clean, affordable housing, places that have access to great school systems, access to jobs and multiple transportation modes then neighborhood begins to thrive and really really take off. The oxygen of Community Redevelopment is financing and all this rebuilding that happened could not have happened without organizations like citi. Citi has formed a partnership with our company so that we can take all the lessons from the revitalization of urban america to other cities so we are now working in chicago, and in washington d. C. , and newark