Im paul gigot. That was donald trump in phoenix wednesday doubling down on his hard line position on illegal immigration despite some recent suggestions he might be soft softening. That was his word on his Signature Campaign issue. The speech followed a meeting with mexican president enrique pena it in pena nieto earlier in the day where he stroke a more subdued tone where they would work with mexico. Joining me on the panel this week wall street journal columnist kim straussle, assistanteder editorial page e, and Editorial Board member joe rago. Kim, lets start it off by talking about the mexican trip which a lot of people in advance said was high risk for donald trump. How do you think that turned out for him . I think that that was a good moment for donald trump because, look, the point of this was to take this opportunity to go down and show that he had the ability to talk of a foreign leader, he had the temperament to go and do a negotiation. This is something that Hillary Clinton has hit him on hard, suggesting hes not qualified. To go down there, not have any too big of an explosive moment, be able to do the photoop and shake hands, that was arguably a good moment for donald trump. Mary, you cover mexico. You know all those folks down there. It didnt play as well in mexico although i tend to think for an american audience i tend to agree with kim. What do you think . I dont think it was a good moment at all. In president president pena nieto is being called a traitor to his country for having met with donald trump. And i think even though the moment he made have seemed diplomatic the fact that he came back and basically sandbagged the mexican president , i think is sending a signal to the world that this guy, if he becomes president , is not someone we can trust. Now, the mexican president did invite both Hillary Clinton and donald trump. And donald trump is the only one who took him up on it. I dont understand what Hillary Clinton didnt do it . It would seem to me she would want to do it, too. I agree. I think its a better opportunity for Hillary Clinton. I think what was going on there is the mexican president thought if trump is softening and he comes down here and we make some progress on a more reasonable, you know, relationship between the two countries, that he would get credit for it. And i think it backfired on him and it may have worked well with trump for his base but i think for the hispanics in this country, they didnt like it at all. I dont know. It seemed to me one of the arguments, james against donald trump that Hillary Clinton is making is that basically he cant be he cant behave in company. Right. He looked on stage to me with pena nieto at least sober, gracious, respectful. Yes. In the moment. Okay. But the followup, i think, was devastating. All right. Lets talk about that followup. I was going to say in the moment just to disagree a bit. I thought he looked president ial. I thought it was also a great moment for pena nieto even if theres temporary domestic blow back because he was the states man. He understands this is their neighbor and he whether its trump, clinton, hes saying i understand we have a relationship. I want to work on it. I think he did the right thing. The blowback. Now, i wish donald trump had just gotten on the plane with the kentucky for wall street journal and flown back to new york and called it a day. Obviously that didnt happen that way. I think he seems to feel that he was sandbagged because mr. Pena nieto after the meeting said im not paying for the wall. Right. Which isnt a surprise. Not a surprise. Mr. Trump is making an unreasonable request of our neighbor to pay for a wall to keep some of our neighbors down south out. Its a totally unreasonable request. So i think he did not react well. The moment was a triumph for mr. Trump and i think from there it went downhill. Lets talk about the speech, joe. And the immigration policy. We had ten days of back and forth. We didnt know what he would be soft softening, that was his word, his approach to immigration, would he not be. In the end i read it as, no softening. Yeah, i think trump has gone from point a to point a on immigration. He essentially embraced Mass Immigration mass deportation. Mass deportation, excuse me. A tenpoint plan on all the security measures that he was going to take not only at the border but internal enforcement measures against businesses, everify, a Dysfunctional Program so kind of crosscheck who has the right papers. And no insent tive for people who are already here illegally to come out and have some kind of legal status going forward. So on joes point i want to talk about the polic ticks of this immigration speech because its interesting to me after you have that event . Mexico come back and then you indicate you may be softening and then you dont whats the politics, whats the political calculation . Look, i think what he was trying to do with the mexico trip hes trying to walk a very careful line here, paul. He went down to mexico in part to show himself to be president ial but look, i can work with this. I can negotiate. Hes trying to sort of appeal in that way to hispanic audience and United States and what about the immigration. Why no change on immigration . Its, i think, that this is a result of the blowback he got from many of his base supporters over the last week which hammered on him su jisz that he was going wobbly on his signature issue. That seems to have resonated in the end and seems to have informed that speech in the end which i dont see in any way how you can say was a softening. But was, in fact, kind of a more aggressive version of a lot of what hes saying. Its very law and order donald trump speech. Paul, trump had something called Trumps National hispanic advisory council. One member resigned from it. One member came out and called the whole thing a scam. After the speech . We. And alfonzo, the president of the Latino Partnership for conservative principle, a really solid free market conservative hispanic said that hes inclined to pull his support from trump. James, quickly, do you think it was a success politically . No. And hes running out of time to redefine here but i think i thought what he was doing was moving toward the sweet spot of were going to fight criminality and terrorism but were not going to limit legal immigration. And he missed an opportunity here. Certainly the criminality came through loud and clear. That was a big part of its. Still ahead, as the president ial Campaign Kicks into high gear polls show the race between Hillary Clinton and donald trump tightening both nationally and in key bat ground states. 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New alka seltzer heartburn relief gummies. Enjoy the relief. That inactive satellite radio of yours is ready to roll. Because the siriusxm free listening event is on right now just hit the sat button in your car and listen free thru sept 6. Thats right, two glorious weeks of commercialfree music, plus talk, sports, comedy, news, and more. Your ride has never, ever, rocked like this. Oh yeah, siriusxm is on for free right now. So tune in and lets ride as the candidates gear up for the postlabor day sprint to november polls show the race for president is tightening. With a latest real clear politics average giving Hillary Clinton a 4 1 2 point lead over donald trump naturally. Down from almost eight points earlier this month. That lead shrinks to 3. 9 points in a fourway race with Libertarian Party candidate gary johnson and green Party Candidate jill stein. And in some key swing states trump appears to be chipping away at clintons lead as well. Ed geoz is a pollster joins me now from washington. Good to see you. What do you make of this trump modest bounce . Well, its very interesting. I think everyone keeps looking for big movement in the race. Both candidates, if you look at the average of all the polling going back to the last year, both candidates have been working within a certain range bandwidth on the ballot. Hillarys bandwidth is a little higher, trumps is lower. As you have seen the fluctuations of the race its come from hillary bumping to the top of her range or trump to the bottom or both being in the middle. With the numbers, hillary has been inching down toward the bottom of her range and trump has had a couple of good weeks leading up to the speech in arizona on immigration this week. On that point, ed, i think what it looks to me like is Hillary Clintons favorables have been going down and with that herbal lot test back from the mid 40s to maybe upper 40s in some surveys now back down. Thats the big change in the last two weeks. Actually the image is not changing much. Both started a year ago with a 55 unfavorable rating. If you look at the averages today hillary is at 54 . Trump is at 56 unfavorable. Those numbers are baked in. Thats what i mean about everybody keeps looking for big movements in the race. Right. I think the only potential for big movements to break out of that bandwidth theyve been in is the first debate and thats nearly a month away. And is that would that be in particular if trump can improve his image as a potential president . Is that the key test for him in the debate . I think as first of all theres not much expectation for the candidates to move their Favorable Unfavorable rating but i do think you could see him bumping up towards the top of his range and her knocked to the bottom or vice versa. But the bottom line is this race is, if you look at the numbers today, you mentioned 4 1 2 points, if you look at the race today i believe thats about where the race is. Thats kin center of them both being in the middle of their bandwidth. Is this a race where one of the two candidates could win the presidency with 45 of the vote . It is and thats why you look at, i think youre going to see everyone looking more and more at the fourway ballot. The interesting thing about the fourway ballot is actually hillary losses more, for example, the latest fox news poll, she had a sixpoint lead on the twoway and dropped to a twopoint lead on the fourway. She loses more of that vote. And i think where in the past weve always kind of down played the fourway ballot because those candidates in the fall tend to fade away. Right. Because the negatives are so high with both these koebts i think youre going to see them driven to that point on the fourway ballot and if not vote for those candidates they may well stay at home. And thats when you see the numbers change. Okay. What puzzles me that the vote for gary johnson, libertarian, would be coming from secretary clinton. The libertarian you would think would be taking votes away from the traditional more free market party, the republican party. Why do you think this might be happening,ic aing votes from her in this election . Well, again, its coming from independents. Its not coming from democrats or republicans. Its coming from independents who have a 65 unfavorable rating of both these candidates. What you see is that trump in the fourway, trumps advantage with those independents shrinks because because hes also losing some of those independents. But in the case of Hillary Clinton she has two places those independents can go. They can go to stein or johnson and thats whats happening. Its not that all those votes are going to johnson. Do you see any chance that trump can flip this where he comes up on top other than maybe a sterling debate performance . You know, i have felt all along that theres nothing in the numbers that says cant win this race. So thats always an opportunity thats always going to be an opportunity for him. You know, hes at a little bit of a disadvantage if you look at the numbers. But certainly he can come in to play. I think more and more the focus is going to become the ground game. I was talking to someone this week about hillary having 450 people on the ground for her campaign in ohio and with trump hes depending on the national party. They have 100 people on the ground in ohio for him. That could make three or four points difference on election day. Yeah. And if she has a superior turnout, these numbers all of a sudden become that much harder to overcome. It does. Does it look to you like pennsylvania may be, which trump targeted, increasing out of reach for his campaign . Interesting in week, real clear politics moved it back into a tossup on the president ial. And i think when youre looking at the senate race the assumption in pennsylvania, the assumption in New Hampshire is that as long as you keep the margin of the loss if he loses those states low they can overcome it with running a superior campaign, which to date theyve been running very, very good campaigns, both in New Hampshire and in pennsylvania. All right. Ed, well keep watching. Thanks for being here again. Hope to talk to you before the election is over. Still ahead, Hillary Clintons postconvention bounce may have flat lined but one poll number in particular is rising for the democratic president ial candidate. Find out what it is when we come back. All you need is love plays my eyelove is finding a different angle. My eyelove is season 1, episode 1. 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Starting at 38,950. Mercedesbenz. The best or nothing. Always has to be who sat your desk . Phone now, with one talk from verizon. Hi, pete. Im glad you called. announcer vo all your phones can Work Together on one number. You can move calls between phones, so conversations can go where you go. Take your time. Im not going anywhere. announcer vo and when youre not available, one talk helps find the right person who is. Hi, john. announcer vo so wherever work takes you, you can put your customers first. Introducing one talk another way verizon connects your business better. Learn how at onetalk. Com. A milestone of sorts for Hillary Clinton ooze a New Washington post poll shows 56 of americans share an unfavorable impression of her, up six points in thee weeks. And a new high for the former secretary of state. Donald trumps unfavorable rating is at 63 in the same survey. Making them the two most unpopular president ial candidates in more than 30 years of polling. Were back with kim, james freeman, mario grady, and joe rago. James, you heard ed goeas. Hes got it right where he wants it. In all seriousness, hes trailing as he has been for a while. Less of a deficit than before. When Kellyanne Conway joined this campaign she said she would rather be in his position than Hillary Clintons. I think she would still say that. If you look at the upside that each candidate has going into the stretch here, normally when incumbent, and i think you have to consider her the incumbent because shes the establishment figure running for an obama third term. When theyre in the situation she is they are in deep trouble. They often lose. Late deciders tend to give the new guy a try. His immigration speech aside, hes actually had a good few weeks here of fairly disciplined message on the economy, on taxes. So i think hes in a good spot and hes better on tv than she is. I agree with you but the change candidacy. If an incumbent is polling as poorly as she is, the problem is youve got the question is, can that challenger present himself as a tolerable president . Worth taking the risk . And thats what the barrier trump hasnt gone over yet. Ed mentioned the ground game. Right. And trumps ground game is really weak. If you look at the number of offices she has of open compared to the number of office fs he h open in important states hes way behind me says hes going to catch up. Lets take florida, for example. She has 34 offices in florida. He has one. What is he going to do to fix that . Hes going to use rvs. Three rvs. Going to put one down the what is it . I4. Corridor and hes got two others going to roam around the state and the other part of their strategy there is registering voters. Make its going to work but i think thats a little bit of a stretch. There is a real disconnect here in the just the breadth of the organization, joe. Trump clinton is really a. Theyve got a lot set up. Trump isnt raising much money. And he doesnt have must have of an organization. Its remarkable if you look at it, more money has been spent on this years senate races than the president ial contest because trump is not spending money on advertising. So thats one thing. I think he could do. I think a good trump, more professional trump could go a long way to close this gap. Its advertising, organization, showing that he has a better temperament, tone, experience. If he does those things. I think he could make it more competitive. Kim, on that point about performance, it does seem that a lot of people are giving trump more credit for being more consistent, more disciplined campaigner over the last couple weeks as james suggested. Reading off the teleprompter, hes not had any riffs that are getting him into trouble. Do you think that that is true and thats can that help him get over that barrier of people conclude that he is a plausible president . I think its been a stunning reversal and he has had, as ed goeas said, a good couple of weeks leading up to the immigration speech. Well see what effect that immigration speech has on him. But hes clearly, he brought in this new team. Clearly has decided that he is going to act in a sort of president ial disciplined manner. I think the frustration for Trump Supporters will be in the end if he does all of that and he does it perfectly and say he has a great debate performance and in the end none the less it comes down to the things that joe was just talking about and that he just doesnt have the ground game because he didnt do that investment, thats going to be great knock or his supporters. What a disappointment that would be for all of his supporters who were saying he was telling them, look, im funding my own campaign. I dont need to take money from all of these rich guys. And im a businessman. I know how to organize. And then to fail on something so fundamental to a president ial campaign. Yeah. I think hes got to write big checks at the end here at a minimum to keep faith with his supporters and whatever he does after this to make sure theyre backing him. But you can also look at this the other way. She has been outspending, outadvertising, outorganizing him for weeks and weeks and months and months and where is this race . Its not working. The facts are bad for her. The American People dont like the clintons corruption, dishonesty. Just this week we learned the clintons have taken 16 million from taxpayers to support them in postpresident ial life. James, that only means that shes an incredibly beatable candidate. So why the heck is he so far behind . Hes not that far behind. I think she will be beaten. Still ahead, Hillary Clintons unfaich rabble numbers may be tough to turn around as her email woes continue to mount. Well have the latest in that ongoing investigation. Email wo. Well have the latest in that ongoing investigation. Her emai mount. Well have the latest in that ongoing investigation. Diabetes can be a daily struggle, even if youre trying your best. Along with diet and exercise, oncedaily toujeo® may help you control your blood sugar. Get into a daily groove. Lets groove tonight. Share the spice of life. Baby, from the makers of lantus®, slice it right. Toujeo® provides blood sugarlowering activity for 24 hours and beyond, were gonna groove tonight. Proven blood sugar control all day and all night, and significant a1c reduction. Toujeo® is used to control high blood sugar in adults with diabetes. It contains 3 times as much insulin in 1 milliliter as standard insulin. Dont use toujeo® to treat diabetic ketoacidosis, during episodes of low blood sugar or if youre allergic to insulin. Allergic reaction may occur and may be life threatening. Dont reuse needles or share insulin pens, even if the needle has been changed. 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The documents reveal the former secretary of state could not recall any briefing or training by the state Department Related to the retention of federal records or handling classified information. Mrs. Clinton also told the fbi that she did not recall receiving any emails she thought should not be on an unclassified system. The fbi notes it was unable to track down all of the devices used by clinton making it impossible to know for sure who her emails were hacked. Tom is the president of the Watchdog GroupJudicial Watch and author of clean house, exposing our government secrets hind ares. Welcome. Thank you, paul. You have now looked at the fbi report as have i and what is your biggest takeaway . Well, mrs. Clintons remarkable lack of memory. 30 to 40 times she says she doesnt recall. At one point she blames the concussion she had near the end of her term with perhaps her inability to recall briefings she should have received about whether or not she could be taking government records with her when she left office. She had a blackberry device that she kept in a sensitive part of the state department where blackberry, another computer devices like that are banned because thats where classified information is created used and discussed. Then she blames everyone else in the state department for the classified mince handling of dac ms saying, if theyre on my system, i was relying on other people not to send me material that was classified. Right. But she admits she was a principle who should have known about the handling of classified information and recognizing it even if it wasnt marked. I will tell you one thing that stood out to me is that theres record in there that colin powell, warned her in an email at the beginning of her term that if she wasnt careful and if she used the personal email, all of what she said could become federal records subject to the federal records act. And instead of sort of saying, okay, i better go on to not use my private server she went on to use her private server despite the warning. Not only that, but powell seems to suggest dont tell anyone about it because if they find out about it theyre certainly going to point out that theyre government records. And, boy, if that isnt an incentive for her and explains why she didnt tell anyone about it outside the state department, frankly it looks like she didnt tell too many people about it inside the state department because according to the fbi even her closest aides didnt know about the private server until it became public. Its unbelievable. But the other big thing is that after the email scandal was broken by the new york times, her emails were deleted. Right. And there was a meeting with her lawyer, gaifd kindle, between that involved the person who deleted the emails, whose name we dont know and david kindle and they were asked about what went on at that meeting and Attorney Client privilege was cited and no one got an answer. Now, theres also the report says 17,448 workrelated emails that she and her lawyers did not turn over to the state department. Are those the emails that, in fact, you have been trying to get ahold of in your freedom of information act requests . Yeah, thats curious because now, you know, it answers a question perhaps because weve been told there are 14,900 emails sent or received that she didnt turn over. I thought i had seen that 15,000 or so. This is a different number. Its even more. Theres a second disk that has classified material. So im wondering if the difference between those two numbers is the 2,000 or so on that second disk, are there 2,000 records that will classified that were deleted by mrs. Clinton . It seems to suggest some of them were. We will probably never see what was deleted p the fbi says we dont have that, we dont have access. They didnt getting access to the archive server and so they probably can never get those back. No. They talk about the archive archive computer being mailed and being lost. Her having 13 devices, which is probably a world record for. Even in this day and age. I know we like to upgrade our devices quickly, but 13 . And so much for convenience. If you need 13 devices and youre going through 13 devices. What comes across here, paul, this is a pretty big operation. And they spent a lot of time moving records around and once it became known that she had the records, removing them and deleting them and then making sure they were really deleted. The fbi really blew it on this one and a lot of the questioning avoided a lot of elephants in the room related to records retention and their obligation us under law there and the federal records act and freedom of information act. And the pass on the classified information is readily apparent. Mrs. Clinton thinks shes a law unto her herself when it comes to classified information. Its remarkable. And the purpose of this in your view and we dont have a lot of time here, was to disguise what emails make sure the public would not see any communication she might have had with the clinton foundation, for example, and politically related emails. You know, theres this big why i think in washington or a big falsehood that the cover up is worse than the crime. Theres usually something to cover up and were seeing in these email releases she didnt want access to any of her personal emails because they documented, you know, benghazi knowledge and the pay to play connections with the foundation for sure. Finally, tom, how many more emails do you think will come out here between now and the election . Oh, i think several thousand. The governments is going to have to tell us in the middle of september where when are we going to get these 14,900 evidently the fbi recovered. So they will be coming out over the next few months and its just a question of how quickly the courts force the government to move and the become administration to move. All right. Thank you for being here. Youre welcome. Still ahead, obamacare makes a return to the campaign trail with rising premiums and shrinking options. Could the controversial law help republicans keep control of the senate . We are going to bring america together, hard. Its a party for everyone. Men sfx crowd cheers women sfx crowd cheers people of all genders but, you know, gender identity its really a spectrum and we dont need these labels. Beer should have labels, not people. Kablam steel mill workers yeah we dont care well sell you beer. Well sell you a beer any day of the week. Steel mill workers yeah sfx cheering allstate offers at imagine genuine parts guarantee, that promises to fix your bike with original parts. Talk to an allstate agent about all the things they do to keep riders riding. Whmade plastics that tmake them lighter . Rs the lubricants that improved fuel economy. Even technology to make engines more efficient. What company does all this . Exxonmobil, thats who. Were working on all these things to make cars better and use less fuel. Helping you save money and reduce emissions. And you thought we just made the gas. Energy lives here. Is obamacare making a return to the campaign trail . With Health Plan Choices shrinking and premium soars ahead of novembers open Enrollment Period the controversial Affordable Care act may be a defining issue in Key Senate Races this fall. Heres an ad running in arizona where republican senator john mccain is locked in a tight race with democratic congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick. Obamacare is failing arizonanss. First, a massive rate hike, more than twice the national average. Then americas Largest Health insurer abandoned arizonas failing obamacare exchange. Thats devastating. Especially to rural counties. Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick bragged about her Obamacare Vote saying its also the one im most proud about. While kirkpatrick is proud at putting us at risk, john mccain is leading the fight to stop obamacare. All right, joe. No doubt about where mccain thinks he can win on that. Thats the between now and november, what new are we likely to learn about the Affordable Care act . Well, well get final premium rate increases. Right now theyre just submissions to state regulators. Its about 18 to 22 on average nationally. For one year . Thats for one year. You have a mckenzie study this week saying that the average lowest rate increase is going to be 11 . So youre really having some Serious Problems with these exchanges. I think health care has receded a bit in recent years as a political issue because republicans cant do anything about it as long as president obama is in office. Now thats changing and i think its reemerging as a real flash point in this election. What about the choices . Because theres a new kaiser study showing 31 of the counties in the United States are now only going to have one insurer in the obamacare exchanges. Is this lack of choice becoming an issue . Yeah, i think it is. In arizona, for example, theres several county wheres there are zero insurers selling any kind of obamacare policies. Youve got a big withdrawal of the major insurers. Its really down to kind of medicaid contractors who are selling these plans. Low quality, very Narrow Network of doctors and hospitals. And just not what people have come to expect from normal private insurance. So its becoming an issue in peoples lives. And that naturally comes into politics. Mary . Well, i mean, i think one of the you mentioned the 31 of the counties in the United States. Another statistic that came out of that same study is that almost 60 of the counties will only have two insurers. As joe was mentioning, the withdrawal of these companies, which cant make money in these places because of the rules in the obamacare, is leaving americans with very little choice and of course when you dont have choice that pushes up prices. Kim, on the politics of this, for example, indiana race, chuck schumer, democrat recruited evan bayh to run in indiana thinking he would have a pretty free run but evan bayh voted for obamacare. But now that vote is going to become an issue. Is republicans ready to make that an issue . Yes, his competitor out there, todd young, is already hitting him on this, talking about how he was a deciding vote for obamacare back in 2010, trying to make him responsible for that vote. And talking up his own reform alternatives to obamacare care. You have seen this play out in several states where there are people in wisconsin, for instance. Russ feingold voted for obamacare out in colorado. Michael bennett was one who voted for obamacare. The competitors are definitely trying to hold their feet to the fire on that and think that it could be a defining issue. Whats also notable about the senate race is, too, paul, aside from actually having some democrats who voted for the bill, it so happens some of the states being worst hit by the law like arizona, like North Carolina, just happen to be places where there are very come Competitive Senate races and you are seeing the republicans that really move aggressively attempt to make it a defining issue. Kim, how are the democrats responding to this because a lot of them once had thought, well, this would be a great like most entitlements work for us down the road. Are they defending it . Are they saying its the proudest vote ive hade or are may walking away from it . Some of them are walking away from it. Like happened in florida, too, is a lot of pressure on democrats to say what they would do. And im not really sure this is going to work for them. In florida, for instance, patrick murphy, democrat returning against marco rubio, his solution for what you would do is he said he need a public option. Thats where theyre falling out. Yes. And thats where number of them and Hillary Clinton has said that as well, too. I dont think that necessarily helps them. Republicans are saying, youre going to make a bad situation worse. And theyre really jumping on that as an aggressive offensive way, too. The public option is that the savior for the democrats . More government control. You know there was a im sorry. Pardon the interruption. Huge step toward National Health care if it passed. Right. Disaster. Obamacare has already run kind of public option light. We got those evil private Public Private corporations out of the business. Ran these coops. They have failed all over the country. You took away the profit motive, patients didnt benefit. Taxpayers obviously didnt either. Its hard to call this a sleeper issue because obviously its failures are manifest. But at problem. You look at Russ Feingold in wisconsin, she has spent years pretending that its working. Its not. Its a problem for him. All right. Thank you all. Still ahead, this labor day looking at the state of the American Economy and disturbing new data about the plight of working age men in america. If you suffer from a dry mouth, then youll know how uncomfortable it can be. But did you know that the lack of saliva can also lead to tooth decay and bad breath . Well, there is biotene, specially formulated with moisturizers and lubricants. Biotene can provide soothing relief and it helps keep your mouth healthy too. Biotene, for people who suffer from a dry mouth. Staying in rhythm, its how i try to live, how i stay active. And to keep up this pace, i need the right nutrition. So i drink boost®. Boost® complete nutritional drink has 26 essential vitamins and minerals, including calcium and vitamin d to support strong bones, and 10 grams of protein to help maintain muscle. In three delicious flavors. Im not about to swim in the slow lane. Stay strong. Stay active with boost®. With Labor Day Weekend upon us a look now at the state of the American Economy and the workforce and some disturbing new data from political economist nicholasererstat in a wall street journal oped he argues that america is not home to a vast army of jobless men, note that there are roughly 7 million between ages 25 and 55 who are not only unemployed but no longer even looking for work. So mary, you want to get to eberstat but lets steb back. Got the jobs number this week. A mode oediocre number. 50,000 new jobs. Where are we . First of all, were in the late stages of a very long recovery but its been very tepid. We havent grown very fast. I think that basically if you want to try to understand whats happening in the labor market looking at unemployment is as helpful as looking at the employment rate. In other words, the number of people who are actually participating and in wages. And in both those counts the number of people participating, who are able bodied people, who are actually either looking for work or working is at the lowest level wages have not been growing and that comes down to productivity because productivity really means output per worker. You cant have wages going up if output per worker isnt going up. That means a change. Youve had this terrible Business Investment environment. Weve seen stocks at high levels, but when you look at the level of the company they are not investing in new plants and technology, all those things that allow people to produce more and get paid more. Obviously friday we saw the employment numbers basically follow the bad gdp numbers. Its a slow economy. As a political matter, this lets take the factors. I think benefitting clinton would be low gasoline prices which is often a political hot button. You have low inflation. The economy is growing, no recession. On the other hand youve had such mediocre wage growth and slow growth so its hard to know politically who is going to benefit from the economy. The other thing is you have a low unemployment rate. The flip side is the rate is low because a lot of people have left the workforce and just are no longer participating in the economy. I would give a slight political advantage to trump on the state of things. This would normally be a change election. Now, can he prosecute the economic case . We really havent seen that so far. What you mean by that is make the case heres whats happening, heres why you havent had the growth in wage increases, heres why policies arent working and here is my better alternative. Thats not the thing he typically does. Hes not saying look what obamacare regulations are doing to the labor market and pushing people into part time work. Hes not saying heres why Energy Regulations are preventing the Business Investment that were talking about. Hes mentioned those things from time to time, but he has trouble staying on message and another giant problem is that he is against free trade and free trade is a very important part of the engine of growth. All right. Kim, lets talk about the numbers. The figures are striking with all these men out of the workforce. These guys are freemans age. I think im out of that demographic. We have to work even harder. What about those numbers . Theyre really disspiriting when you look at them. He calls this a crisis and points out there are basically a percentage of the population more abled bodied men not working, not even actively seeking work, than any time since basically following world war ii. And moreover what theyre doing and they fall into certain demographics and types of people as well too. Often africanamericans, for instance. And theyre not using their time when theyre not working very gainfully either. Theyre proving to be a drag on society. So it is a very bleak situation and one that hasnt been talked about enough and i think thats why hes highlighting it because he says its a crisis. I think some of these people are workers who may have lost their jobs, dont have the skills in a changing economy to adapt, its not their fault, but what role has government played here. I think another factor we havent talked about yet is weve seen a decline in new business creation. The creation of new employers to hire these people and i that is really a much better way to solve an issue of someone not having the skills or their old company fading away. Were not creating the new businesses and this is the you didnt build that culture that president obama has presided over for years and mr. Trump has really laid out some compelling ideas on tax reform and regulation in terms of allowing that business creation, getting the government off the back of particularly small business. Small business is hurting more than big business so i think thats a focus. All right. We have to take one more break. When we come back, hits and misses of the week. For lower back pain sufferers, the search for relief often leads. Here. Here. Or here. Today, theres a new option. Introducing drugfree aleve direct therapy. A tens device with high intensity power that uses technology once only available in doctors offices. Its wireless remote lets you control the intensity. And helps you get back to things like. This. This. Or this. And back to being yourself. Introducing new aleve direct therapy. Find yours in the pain relief aisle. I just want to find a used car without getting ripped off. You could start your search at the allnew carfax. Com that might help. Show me the carfax. Now the car you want and the history you need are easy to find. Show me used trucks with one owner. Pretty cool. [laughs] ah. Ahem. Show me the carfax. Start your used car search and get free carfax reports at the allnew carfax. Com. When you think of saving money, what comes to mind . Your next getaway . Connecting with family and friends . A big night out . Or maybe your everyday shopping. Whatever it is, aarp member advantages can help save you time and money along the way. So when you get there, you can enjoy it all the more. For less. Surround yourself with savings at aarpadvantages. Com that inactive satellite radio of yours is ready to roll. Because the siriusxm free listening event is on right now just hit the sat button in your car and listen free thru sept 6. Thats right, two glorious weeks of commercialfree music, plus talk, sports, comedy, news, and more. Your ride has never, ever, rocked like this. Oh yeah, siriusxm is on for free right now. So tune in and lets ride time now for hits and misses of the week. Kim start us off. This is it a big myth of the Supreme Court refusing to reinstate the voter id law thereby robbing the state of the upcoming election. This is a reminder of how important the Supreme Court is. The id law they refuse to reinstate is not much different than the ones the court has up held in the past. The only thing thats changed is that one justice has passed away. Another mix for rewriting irelands tax law to charge apple 14 billion, apple complied with the law but the eu decided that irelands Corporate Tax rate was too low and therefore a subsidy. This is an attack between countries. If you want to know why british voters decided to leave the eu, here it is. Maybe apple should be next. For the people of venezuela on thursday many people turned out on the streets to ask the military dictatorship to abide by the constitution and allow a recall ref rend dumb before the end of the year. If its done next year he can pass the torch to his Vice President and venezuela needs change and the people of venezuela deserve credit for taking to the street. James. A hit to Mother Teresa providing an example for the people around the world for poor of the world. Shared a message of hope, faith and love and a life of Service Rather than condemning people for the sins of global rm warmi for example. Thats it. Thanks to my panel and thanks to all of you for watching. Hope to see you right here next week. A major storm system barrelling up the east kroes threatening to wash out whats left of this holiday weekend. This is americas election headquarters. Tropical storm warnings and watches are in effect from North Carolina through new england as hermine has the potential to inflict damage and florida is trying to dry off after hermine made land fall there yesterday as a hurricane. Knocking out power for more than 300,000 people. The states governor warning his residents theyre not out of the woods just yet. Well continue