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other than they go through eye wall replacement cycles where the center of the storm collapses in on itself and a new eye comes. in every time that happens for a little bit the wind speed goes down. so when it gets close to shore it would be good if it goes through one of those and a bit of a weakening phase at least temporarily so. moving off toward the west-northwest. they are still not in agreement especially on the timing of this, about when it is going to make this right-hand turn. what both of the latest model run does is make that right-hand turn before it gets to the florida coast line. if that happened florida wouldn't get a direct hit from the storm it. would be just offshore. but then that puts places like georgia or the carolinas in to play, maybe as far as forward as next thursday of this week. that said, that's a long ways from now. five days in the forecast confidence that far out is really not that great. and these models have been going back and forth with each run. so florida, just because those two model runs do that don't make it seem like you are not in the crosshairs.

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