Transcripts For ESPRESO 20240703

The middle, then there is after the introduction of our reserves that are ready for the breakthrough of the front of the zaporozhian movement further towards the azov victory, and at this moment they are preparing to strike in the luhansk direction , this is mainly in the kupyansk matchmaking direction, that is, in kupyansk on the kupyansknodal can be with flint on the actors naliman, that is, in general, the direction but here is one direction of strikes they only have, this is what they are still trying to do, they will try to hold back our troops who are now bypassing bakhmut, so how, if we advance a few more kilometers, especially sow the bakhmut game in the berkhovka region, er, bakhmut will fall to the russian garrison of bakhmut. The flight is in a very , er, difficult situation. Now we control the entry and exit, and after exiting to the north of bakhmut, we will completely close er, and the entrance and exit from bakhmut, later they will have a boiler like that, and not only operational ones, the problem will be very big, because now they are just trying to keep our troops in the berkhovka region, not to allow them to advance further concrete, they are very powerful. Our movement is going towards horlovka , too, russia is unpleasant, you understand that the movement in the reached old ridge there is an excess of 200220 m somewhere in horlovka , 300 m away, they understand that it is dangerous for them, that is, it also goes there to the pleshcheevka andreevka area with the podkobyumovkoy , they can also be activated just when the main part of our offensive will go. Well, the reduction of the period of the offensive. We will be somewhere closer to the rain. Opportunities and right in the middle of the offensive action , in the near future they will literally begin to increase pressure in the luhansk direction in the kupyansk area. Well, in the bakhmut region , they are generally interested in stretching out the military campaign as much as possible, because they may be ready for additional manpower, they are now trying to restart their missile production and so on. Elections and reelections of the president of america, this is almost until the 25th year, so that is , they have scheduled somewhere for two and a half years , the dynamics in the movement along and along the front and the development of the army is natural, but they have already advanced with some points related to maximum production, that is, they can no longer increase the production of some types of equipment , and supplies, including entering the international markets, while their partners, namely north korea, china and iran, are trying to recruit a certain amount of ammunition, but these countries also have, well, they can give 2530 , but with more, more than 70, we will return less than 70 of the purchased ammunition, they will not reduce their reserves later here thats not the same as an endless barrel because of russianization, well, in the near future they will try to hold the front line as long as possible , uh, kherson direction, zaporozhye direction, donetsk direction, although they are already ready, lets say, they are already preparing for the front line, if we succeed , uh, break through with the big the zaporizhzhya direction was not bad at the speed allowed towards the azov coast and they are already preparing to deploy the front line in the fate of donetsk volnovakha strengthens the field in mariupol укрепляеt вноваха well, the track itself has already opened a line of defense there, that is, the configuration of eh can already be seen in the event of the collapse of the russian french from zaporozhye and kherson, that is, krym is sealed in krym and they align the front line exactly along the line of kupyansk to st. Bakhmut donetsk, volnovakhamariupol, that is, severo nauk , this is what is visible. Here is the closest perspective , just before the new year, although they will use all the forces that they only have. What do you understand . If we reach tokmak, the front is moving. There is no one or the other. Khersonsky and zaporozhsk. Thats what is in the near future. Well, by the new year , they will be asking to move along the kupyansk, that is, try to push our troops out of the kupyansk triangle. The split for seversky donetsk is that they will, in principle , at least try to do it, of course they will not succeed, that is, we have a sufficient amount of forces, there are resources, the truth is , there are questions, but i think our partners he understands eh these problems will increase the stand of ammunition mines of ammunition powshi име эtоt сейчас неужно налиманское direction in ukraine also begins preparation for increasing the production of drones and on the obvious russian rap is unlikely to be able to accept an increase in, for example, attacks of unidentified flying objects by an order of magnitude , that is, well i know there several times how you see the readiness of the russians of the russian reb and the Russian Air Defense systems to cover military facilities in general in russia and not only in moscow or leningrad. And here, er, two anchors the perception of this kind is that the russians earlier began to carry out drone attacks, they have been working with pedestrian drones for about a year now, recently the chinese have directly increased supplies, they have practically stopped the shipment of ictv drones and er drones that can be used in combat conditions er on the side basically, all drones are going to russia now , er , russians are operating waves of drones for the first time, up to 500 are being launched at once, this means they have at least half a hundred operators. Uh, well, the range is 1012 km with all the transmitters up to 2 kg of explosives, the speed is more than 100 km hour , you definitely need an intelligent operator , but nevertheless, they have prepared, that is, the russians have already reached such an average level, the use of the second one is only at the beginning of this path, especially precisely because of the fact that china has stopped shipping and ships only to russia, eh, this fully supports russian aggression against ukraine, hm, we have an opportunity to purchase, an opportunity to assemble, and therefore, it is very important now to establish production on iz second parts, that is, from the second element of the elemental base of our partners, therefore it is very important to once again invite exactly these friends plus the number of operators. Well, at least a hundred operators who can perform this kind of tasks. Er, they will complete the task of controlling drones, it is quite difficult, it is not an easy task, er, therefore, there is a need for preparation and a whole complex of events, and so we are now only at the very beginning of the er anti drone antidrone war at least the ones that are now in the video are against russian drones, and at the beginning of our drone war, because production is limited, but because of the fact that all the distribution of weapons production on a very large territory is on them at the time covered precisely by this scattering over the territory until it is not enough and it will not be enough for the next few years, the russians will not be able to cover the system of the nvo with all their production capacities, therefore, we have an window of opportunity, it is now only limited by the number of drones and the number of drones операtоров if we talk about priorities, for example, among the military facilities of the Russian Federation, that is, is it the southern direction the northern direction, or should we try to push back their Strategic Aviation . Any army that if you run out of fuel, the army will dry up. And where would it be, and even more so . When the supply went to a Long Distance with large shoulders, fuel is needed even for the transportation of the same fuel, and the first the task is to destroy the wells, that is, the destruction of the oil and gas wells, further destruction of the current plants of chemical production, namely the production of gasoline, diesel fuel, and then oil and receiver fuel. Of ports for fuel overloading , that is, this is all the fuel structure. Russia must destroy this first one. Far east, this castle will destroy the production of kerosene, jet kerosene, and this plane will stand as just a piece of iron and no more. That is, there will be metal holes in the aluminum. Basically , in this way, you can land all the aviation if you can get to it. Well, our groups are working now. Our intelligence and Foreign Intelligence Services and the Main Intelligence Department of counterintelligence of the sbu , special Operations Forces work at a greater depth, by and large, i think we will get the children planes and drones already purchased topics but it is possible to buy such tanks from the chinese, only purchased in russia. But to make a kamikaze drone from a drone , in principle, it will not be enough for a big problem, so we will definitely destroy the fuel and the entire supply chain of fuel production and airplanes on the parking lots, and important destruction is permissible elemental production of the elemental base is shaky, but nevertheless the sanctions are making themselves felt and the russians are slowly blocking the supply lines of the elemental base that they cannot produce, and the one that they can produce is not available just closer to our game in the same pulsk , in the same bryansk, in the same taganrog. The bases also need to destroy the production of the main types of missiles, this is mainly in the moscow region, and in kolomna, in dubna , that is, this is where our beavers go this group is engaged in the main control of the sweep , that is, it is carried out in the work carried out event but this requires time, this requires financial, specific efforts , this requires production or the purchase of longrange soviet defeats, the mayor will now be able to speed up what was slipping during the times of different people, so because i do not know the history about the strengthening of our ryab , we heard from the first days of the war and so on and so then drones and more and more. The fact is that a person who does not have a profile addition, he will not understand the specifics of the performance of tasks, rather the specifics of the appearance of problems and how and how to solve them, it is simply not realistic, he cannot fasten having a surgeons education, they will perform a heart operation, or even a banal operation on appendicitis is allowed , that is, it is simply not compatible. Those who have a profile military circumcision of education during the war in a warring country will not solve the problems that exist in the ministry of defense and in our army now , because until the minister of defense becomes a former serviceman, that is, with a profile by education, it is better if it is a commander of a military unit and a higher or higher education, that is, he has completed training at the academy at the academy of the general staff, that is, it is optimal, look at the minister of defense of the United States, louis tostin, a combat general who has passed several soldiers who headed departments in the general staff that is, he knows the specifics very well, and it is he who leads the pentagon in the ministry of defense in this sense, because there are no questions. A large amount of weapons, but in the nato bloc, it is permissible to put a civilian as the minister of defense , she will already have enough from these countries, from the United States, because until the minister of defense is a former military man, nothing will change, well, we just understand that we have e is the commanderinchief, the commander of these or other directions , in general, there is the general staff, and as far as i understand, they must voice the needs, in particular, what concerns the provision of production, and so on, and the ministry of defense has organize work well, in my opinion, this is what the current scheme looks like. Well, the fact is that the general staff itself is now fighting, and the commander of the general staff is also fighting for honor and, uh , some tasks that the general staff previously solved now, its a little out of hand, eh because hostilities are being carried out and therefore dol should be at the level of the subconscious, uh, contact uh, with people in the ministry of defense, who should know the basic needs, raise even somehow predict, again, at the level of the same subconscious, but for that, you have to go through a certain military school, grazhdansky simply wont understand the needs, wont understand uh, whats the first priority, whats secondary, thats the new one, we took up this privatization , digitization, and so on and so on. We have problems with this now on the battlefield, there is not enough ammunition, there is not enough drones there are not enough operators for uh, the introduction of combat operations, just the same drones, thats it. The most important thing is digitalization its more for uh, such political tinsel, and not for the performance of military tasks, because its civilian, especially a semipolitician, he will be engaged in civilian semipolitics, er, so i will repeat myself. Until the military, er, the ministry of defense will not be able to handle a man like lloyd austin in america, aa, there will be problems , we will deal with the improvement of the ministry of defense, aa document turnover and no more. And if a person started digitizing you precisely with a document, the turnover will not make sense. If we talk about attempts to open up russian logistics in the south , what are the prospects . Yes, because, well, the military they say they can bury themselves in concrete and sit there, but if they start having problems with the supply of bc fuel and lubricants and it goes, it goes, it goes, then they wont know how to get out of it. We even have it slightly shifted, not the destruction of the russians as the first task of any army that defends itself, the destruction of the advancing army, namely the intersection of Logistics Supply chains , therefore the first natural task is to disable the crimean bridge. Basically, the main flow of military ammunition goes through it to crimea and to the kherson region, and the second task is the overland corridor to cross it or at least try to take it under operational control, that is, to hit it either with army or with missiles with the heimers, they will reach any point of this land traffic, because, uh , we will even be able to get to the railway that goes to tokmak from the side of volnovakha, chernihivka, this is already a great luck of this offensive, after the exit of the railway crossing, we will be able already from there we can deliver the Army Artillery to the land route from berdyansk to tokmak, that is, we will take it under control. Well, with the help of the same mm heimers, we can already deliver the land route to the land route from melitopol to rostov, mariupol, berdyansk melitopol is therefore left somewhere 15, probably 20 km maximum eh in order to fulfill such a task and these are already these two tasks, i. E. Conclusions of the structure of the crimean bridge and in eh after we take it under operational control eh uh land land eh already supply lines this already eh will bring the russians into the regime of such an operational encirclement , and the crimean part of the zaporozhye kherson region, the entire crimean Kherson Group will be an operational socalled operational encirclement, therefore, this is the task and worth it, and we have it in principle, it will be carried out by the russians, indeed, it will be problematic to conduct hostilities when there is fuel, there will be no ammunition transportation, and on the big shoulders, every kilometer, every tenth kilometer increases the necessary the amount of the same fuel is lighter than ammunition, and there is about 500 km, that is, the shoulder of the pond is very long, because they are especially in the kherson region, over the kherson part of the zaporozhye region , we are in such a disadvantageous position that we will use it. Thank you, colonel, for this extremely interesting and an honest conversation , i will remind our viewers that now on the espresso broadcast , a colonel of the armed forces of ukraine worked for them in the reserve, a military expert, roman svitan, who is sick, immediately blow the deflu silver deflu Silver Silver circle resistance from viruses and bacteria, there are discounts on de plus silver spray of 20 at podorozhnyk vam and oschad pharmacies, there are discounts on floors from 10 at podorozhnyk vam and oschad pharmacies, so that ukrainians dont think about what they talk about, the first place is still war war and our victory is only on espresso from monday to monday completely different spheres of human activity Sports Health politics the return of crimea military analytics nine presenters journalists experts opinion leaders in real time about the most relevant events through the prism of the war in authors projects on espresso hello, this is freedom, the morning informational project of radio svoboda, guests, every day, this is the shipping district of kherson, live inclusion, we are somewhere in the vicinity of bakhmut, we tell the main thing on weekdays at 9 00 vasyl stus is always relevant for everyone, his Akhtem Seytablaev the one who called you the one chose you forever age to him from a young age you confessed to him the lord himself your year yelyzaveta sharikova weakened compete with the past babich vorotian and hand over and let Yaryna Chornoguz through the mirrors aimed at me precisely with darkness and no goal you youre really here, youre really here , youre definitely not here , thats not here, where are you . Where are you . Where are you . Viewers of the espresso tv channel will be the first to learn the name of the 2023 vasyl stus prize laureate, it will be released from the press on thursday, september 14 at 7 15 p. M. Vasyl zimas long broadcast my name is vasyl zima two hours of air time two hours of your time we will talk about the most important thing for two hours to find out about the war, serhii zgoretska joins our broadcast, military summaries of the day and what is the world like . Yuriy fizer will talk about what is going on in the world for two hours to keep up with the Economic News of radio broadcasters. Oleksandr morshchyntsi, he will talk about the economy during the war and new sports. Yevhen pastukhov is ready to talk about sports for two hours in the company of our favorite presenters about culture during the war, are you ready to talk about lena or other presenters who have become likeable to many, maybe the weather will at least give us some optimism ms. Natalka didenko us i am ready to tell you, as well as the distinguished guests of the studio, we will have Volodymyr Hryshko today, if everything goes well, the events of the day in two hours, vasyl zimis big broadcast, a project for smart and caring people, will work in the evening , oleksandr morozov, a political scientist, a lecturer at Charles University in prague, dear mr. Oleksandr, i would like to ask you first of all forgiveness of war scenarios and we understand. A couple of days ago, putin gathered to celebrate the victory in the Second World War very loudly on the 25th anniversary, there is a feeling that despite the efforts of our western and eastern and southern partners, i dont know, will then move in the direction that the murdered boris nimtsov described very well at one time. First of all, we always carefully formulate any predictions regarding this war because there are so many factors in it the certainties of the events of which you cant say anything yet, but nevertheless, eh, there are at least three, eh, three that are obvious to everyone. As it seems to me today , the circumstances that determine the contours of the near and middle immediate future doubts that while putin is in the kremlin, the war will continue and putin himself will not be able to end the war. They dont represent everything , the price, so to speak , ahead of them. The kremlin is clearly expressing hope that something in the west will change. This will not happen. The European Union will not change its position regarding support for ukraine , nor the United States and the november elections in the usa. That there is no, uh, such a uh, sufficiently Strong Alliance has already been created, which, regardless of the change of government, will act in the direction of supporting ukraine, simply because, as Boris Boris Johnson described in his well known column, simply because putins victory in this war would not be pleasant at all. This is a list of the positions of the future in general, the future of european and global peace in general, and global security, and the third Important Fund concluded here is that there are different estimates of the resources that are available to the cream or to enter the war further and it must be said that although often aah, there was still a rather mournful mood, well, this is the account that the sanctions there are weak, that the west is not able to cut off the sanctions there, and so on after all, with a careful look, it is clear that there is a degradation of the russian economy and the russian management system. Prigozhina, too, and whats happening now in the generator, thats what it is. This is not a selfinflicted evidence of the collapse of putins management model, but he is not in the confident position in which he was admittedly in the 14th year, and when krym himself is in the second perfect position in relation to his own elite now aa and uhuh never was it to say such largescale uhuh shocking events as you have in this political system in him where he successfully destroyed everything now in him takaya as the whole world can see from the situation during the war, he has, as it were, a large group of generals accused of disloyalty in something , this is investigated by the fsb, the military prosecutors office, and so on, and this is in relation to the generality, now we are talking about resources. The clarity of management is part of the resources, since not only Economic Resources determine the war, but also Human Resources in this medium. As for Economic Resources, the kremlin still makes a good one , so to speak. Economy , i. E. , the inevitable withdrawal from the dollar and the euro, and from global currencies, significantly complicates the entire economic communication, the reorientation of the entire economy to the east, so called, it is going very poorly, economists it shows well that all traffic to china is increasing. But this increase is not Strong Enough to compensate for all the losses that the kremlin of the Russian Federation bears , so this is the third factor. In other words, everyone expected that certain actions would be held, but prigozhin was buried with certain honors, putin is now banking on this and this is an attempt to restrain his appetites or criminal fantasies, we also see it failed, that is, i think that the generals have decided well, let it be but as it will be, we will go but as it goes and no one wants to follow the path of beauty, so to speak, the generals do not like to take risks , the story is not over yet i would say so because yes, of course eh so to speak, the inertia of this place, which putin, as it were, formed in the political system, it is very large, and accordingly, during two decades , two decades, all these generals, in general , the entire rightwing top, as it were, in business together with putin in all relations actually prigozhin finally caused such a powerful explosion within this system. Because they are all and he is connected to them , he had a big mandate from putin. At the same time, he kind of blew up everything inside it, and such a strange explosion took place, and putin hasnt gotten out of it until the end, although its really true. We dont even know until the end what it will be. The country of sheik and gerasim, or will he not be here, he is in a bad position, he can be , he would like to, in the old way, he