About the forgiveness of war scenarios a couple of days ago, putin gathered to celebrate the victory in the Second World War very loudly, the anniversary of the 25th year, there is a feeling that despite the efforts of our, i dont know, western and eastern and southern partners, he will then move in the same direction that was very well described at the time by the murdered boris nimtsov in прихов we always very carefully formulate some predictions regarding uhuh war because it has a lot of factors of uncertainty about the events of which you cant say anything yet, but nevertheless uhuh, there are at least three uhuh three obvious to everyone like me it seems today that the circumstances that determine the contours of the immediate and mediumterm future are the first for the fact that there is little. Who doubts that while putin is in the kremlin, the war will continue and putin himself is not able to end the war . He imagines a war machine and a machine of militarization of the return to peace. None of them are developed. They cannot be sources of some kind of turning to the other side. This is the war. It must be taken into account that although the kremlin clearly expresses the hope that something in the west will crack , this will not happen. The European Union will not change its position regarding the support of ukraine or the united states. And the november elections in the usa. It is unlikely that this word will change in this case, that is, it is even possible to confidently say that there is no er, besides, such a er, finally Strong Alliance has been created, which, regardless of the change of governments, will act in the direction of supporting ukraine simply because Boris Boris Johnson wrote in his famous column, simply because putins victory was complete. And the war was absolutely not pleasant. Here is a list of positions of the future in general. The bottom line here is that there are different estimates of the resources that the kremlin has at its disposal in order to continue the war, and it is necessary to say that although there was often a rather mournful mood, this is the account that the sanctions are weak they are working that eh, the west is not able to cut off eh there , eh, the circumvention of sanctions, and so on. It is unfolding in front of our eyes, and as if the best confirmation of this is you have a good day and what is happening now in the generator, that is, that is what it is. Confident in that in what position was he permissible in the 14th year, and when he annexed crimea, he himself is in the second perfect position in relation to his own elite now, uh, and uh , there have never been such largescale, uh , shocking events as you have in he has this political system, where he successfully destroyed everything, now he has such a situation that the whole world can see, and the situation during the war he has, as it were, a large group of generals is accused of disloyalty in something, it is investigated by the fsb, the military prosecutors office, and so on and so on in the attitude of the generality, we are talking about jesus, and this is how to say clarity of management is part of the resources, because not only Economic Resources determine the war, but also Human Resources in this sense. And as for Economic Resources, the cream still makes a good one with a bad game in reality , such portrerization of the economy happens quite quickly, that is , the inevitable withdrawal from the dollar and the euro, and from global currencies significantly complicates the entire economic communication reorientation eh this is the whole economy of newcomers, socalled, it is going very poorly. Economists clearly show that all traffic to china is increasing. Why are we talking about the mutiny on the part of prigozhin, that it did not end in swan lake . That is, everyone expected that certain actions would be held, instead , prigozhin was buried with certain honors , putin is now banking on this and this is an attempt restrain his appetites or criminal fantasies, we can also see that it failed, that is, i think that the generals decided well, let it be. But as it will be, we will go. But the way it goes , no one wants to follow the path of beauties, so to speak, the generals do not like to take risks, the story is not over yet i would say that because yes of course er so say the inertia of this place that putin somehow formed in the political system it is very big and accordingly during two decades two decades all these generals and in general they are all the wrongwing top it is as if in business together with putin in all relations prigozhyn himself finally caused such a powerful explosion within this system because they were all connected to him and he was connected to them, he had a team like putins, uh, there well, we are only coopted by scandinavians, even and it turned out that he would have more of a mandate than, say, ramzan and kadyr, and at the same time, he somehow gave away all of this inside him, and such a strange explosion occurred. What will happen next . эtо сказываtься на войном руководсtве will putin leave the country . In the top military leadership , so that they dont annoy the army, yes, they annoy the special services, but he cant do this, and this is one of the facts of the further treatment of the system. Eh script one script this is true if the student just disappears in the political scene, they simply disappear. Can someone from the alliance of Russian Military leaders go there . That everything will overheat so much that in six months it will become possible, this is one scenario and then, of course, the most different perspectives arise, which do not exist now , because then it is possible. ии и и войны и его сосtояние second good scenario consists in the fact that this is the moment when the entire russian political and social system is faced with the transfer of the war to its territory at the very beginning. In the course of three months, such a thing happened randomly. Not for that reason. That is, if it was 6 months ago , the conversation went there. Well, there were some episodes in two three russian provinces. Now, this is a message every day, that is, a drone war. Purchased and not only drones and the war in general , as it were, uh, tidron cars, diversionary warfare took on such a character that very deeply penetrates, uh, in general, this is the very fabric of the russian system, and we do not know what will happen in three months in this regard. Thats all we see only an increasing trend on uh, many people say that the kremlin is probably somehow able to develop some kind of antidrone defense there , increase its air defense work and so on , and he is doing it, but uh, nevertheless swelling what is this . The second front is conditionally said to be a front, uh, literally, wars on earth. In the south and east, where is the division of the Ukrainian Armed forces in the fight for the liberation of the occupied territory. And of course he can lead to the fact that putins entourage will put the question before him himself, and he himself can start asking this question, which means that it must be followed further, that is, what is the next step why . Because if the war spreads to the russian territory like this, the kremlin will not be able to continue that rhetoric indefinitely. It will stop working, and then another formula will appear, which the kremlin propagandists talked about the most , in particular, about the formation of the ethos of the great patriotic war, the great patriotic war, and then they begin to establish their sharmanka about the fact that their motherland would be in danger and so on , but on the other hand we understand that the current war is already in full swing and i dont know if they have enough internal forces to reformat the goals of the war because when they called war and aggression against ukraine, as if there is some kind of sfo its one story, but here when they Start Talking about an existential war, well , we regularly read medvedev, drunk and not drunk, thats an existential war, and thats something else, for that its not yet certain and but i have to say here that as i see the kremlin now, it will not withstand any kind of hospitality war , even though it is heating it up to this level for itself. Will not withstand such a war , even if there is a demand for it, it means that here they used all nonnational weapons, Nuclear Weapons, or even biological weapons , that is, in order to fight, so it means to stop this war on its territory how radically it differs in terms of its capabilities from what stalin had at the time of our nuclear blackmail and even khrushchev there, putin has to a large extent already lost the ability to blackmail with Nuclear Weapons , this is certainly very strongly felt in the international atmosphere, because at the time of the confrontation of two systems, thats all much more largescale sounded mysteriously than now when the possibility of these instruments of war is, as it were, in the hands of putin , it has weakened immeasurably, so i think that the expansion of this war on the territory of on the russian territory, it will lead to the fact that eh cream well, how would i in general, not only the kremlin , but in general the entire bureaucracy and the whole part of this pure society that somehow serves the war. The degree of this distential war, but uh, i will ensure a nonsocial war of mobilization. Yes, at the moment, he will not be able to cope with such an impression, and he will not be able to cope at all , well, so to speak, even with such largescale organizational actions as the mobilization oleksandr, they stopped steaming, they all remind me of such a collective director of the museum of the Second World War in russia, more precisely, the great patriotic war , an absolute sheep who corresponds to the same second historical analiabet to putin and still cannot name elementary numbers, and this is the director of the socalled central museum, and putin sits there he puffs up and is ashamed of him, but this is about the quality of the management circuit, but on the other hand, we understand that, as you rightly noted, this does not affect the decision of the bet on the decision of the criminal bunker, well, accordingly, we are waiting for three genes, a complicated question indeed, because the drone rescue tower, i dont know the submarine in the moscow river, the drones that cover the urals. Well , its free here, its like two such big facts , that s the first factor. To train putin to inspect the new land , test sites for Nuclear Weapons, and of course you have read everything, who is involved in the topic, how is it that creams are not going to use Nuclear Weapons, but they are going to conduct tests, and this will be a new step which will also be an element, so to speak, the designation of the future of america, the first moment, how it will affect further, well, we do not know yet that it is clear that the answer to this will be, and collect, so to speak, what he calls the word , as it were, the Global Alliance is the struggle with putin, he is on it will react and this is the first, second, eh, in my opinion, the most important factor here, it seems to many that it may not be very significant, but i think that it is of decisive importance. But here is the restructuring of the position of a large number of countries that have not yet вовлечены yes, he has the size to clearly isolate putin , political isolation, this is what ukrainian diplomacy is doing actively. Changing the position of such an Important Group of countries in Southeast Asia and er for redefining the position of the countries of latin america , this is all very important, so it is very important in order not to bleed further. Black can do something strong and not groundless. Yes, because it is necessary to escalate military actions in black, most likely. And if so, then putin cannot achieve military success in any way. Did not say that the ukrainian offensive there is effective , and they are not moving anywhere, this does not change anything about the whole picture of the war compared to the fact that the creams lost the possibility of a military initiative in general, and there is such a general they are afraid that they will build up their army to a million to 9 million putin, you can use Nuclear Weapons , but in reality they look warmly at the picture of the war, they understand well that he does not have any in his hands, and that is the possibility thats what he wants, so no matter how much putin now, its not him. People there , its his entourage, its karaganov, its shorter. Experts didnt write that ukraine should be destroyed in general. Instrumentation and eh in it it means not degrees, this is such a tragedy of the 24th year, because putin cannot stop the war, but the tools he has further achieve the result of how he has his formulas. No, this is a fundamental moment, the level of absorption of corpses, we understand what is a rough sociological characterization of a certain society, yes, and we understand that, well, the task of the kremlin is putins task , first of all, to convince the west that they can throw a million two three into the furnace of war. Well, we understand , at one time, the west was shocked by the attitude of the russian command to lives of russian soldiers, we understand that in the kremlin they started having fun, used prisoners, used contract workers from some remote mountain villages, and so on, but still they come to the conclusion that, well, 250 or 300,000. Russia does not have such a political system from below , nothing is happening and will not happen. The society in their state of this, no one has been displaced, will make some kind of radical transition to another state, but at the same time , eh, they still cant. Yes, they cant assess this growing fatigue. Our civil infrastructure, that is, well, in response, it arrives, it arrives, it arrives , and accordingly, the war creeps into russia itself , and what does it take . Well, they could force both the population and the generals to sober up. A big impression, including on the russian population, and the kremlin also did not note this, this is an important point, after all , in such a situation, the population, including the mopskov region, you generally ask where did it come from, how did it come , there was no answer, that is, the kremlin, they are in the state is publicly accountable to the population, and this is certainly the case, but first a large number of raids were carried out on moscowsyty, then, as it were, on the pskov airfield, and here the last word has not been said , it is obvious that here, uh, well, there is still not much opportunity, we see it well, that perhaps putin repeatedly gives instructions to the fsb, but since it is clear that there is such a reassessment, it is a hoax, this is an opportunity in the hardware, someone in facebook cannot cover it, there is not enough strength, which means that the personnel that putin has, all of these special services, they are all thrown there to master the occupied territories, which means, accordingly, when the task is to find out where the drones are launched from the russian territory. They are not able to find the ends of their small ones, that is, they are busy with others. This is the degree of war that putin announced to the world in general. It is so largescale that he does not have enough specialists. This is not in the field of special forces, not in the field of actual military operations. This war means that it exceeds the capabilities of the russian federation. е каджид седугий удачный ее ее хоtы this is the war from the side of ukraine, of course, it has a very Strong Influence on the internal situation in this. I see, of course, by the reaction, we see everything by the reaction of many European American experts who look at it, i think, they look and say yes, well, there, thats what, well, it works, it works , and i think it understands it. Now there are no people who would come forward with some strategic ideas, they cant. Even that is, someone would come out and say, we know where the war will go from the side of russia, but that s not the case, and if not, then its a routine, it will still lead on the horizon to mosel and here in the horizon of one year of the kremlins niktorozhenia, this will sound too strong, but it will lead to a very strong strengthening of ukraine and to no and to such a deadlock and such a deadlock isolation, which means russia even from this war itself, this will be an example picture i am very sorry to end our conversation with someone else. I am grateful to oleksandr for this extremely interesting and informative conversation, and i want to remind our tv viewers that oleksandr morozov, a political scientist and a teacher at charles university, worked hard for them during our programs have run out, stay tuned to tv channels with the press. My colleagues will inform you about all the most important events. Take care of yourself and your loved ones. See you on the italyukraine broadcast on megogo at the legendary sansiro stadium. Our National Team will amaze the italian audience with a brilliant game. Watch it on september 24, 12 at 9 45 p. M. On megogo there are discounts on essenciale forte n15 autokah plantain for you and savings so that ukrainians dont think about so that they dont talk about the first place anyway war war and our victory is only on espresso from monday to monday completely different spheres of human activity Sports Health politics the return of crimea military analytics nine presenters journalists experts opinion leaders in real time about the most Current Events through the prism of war in authors projects on espresso with you Vitaly Portnikov and we will discuss the main events of this week Vitaly Portnikov and top experts on the most striking events of the last seven days, our guest will be the generator of satellite forces, the former National Security adviser of the president of the united states, donald trump herbert, the matmaster, lets talk about current topics, pressing questions, authoritative comments and forecasts in the project, an informational marathon with Vitaly Portnikov every sunday at 8 10 p. M. On espresso, vasyl zimas Big Broadcast, two hours of air time, two hours of your time, two hours to learn about the war and how the world lives 2 hours to keep abreast of Economic News and new sports, two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become familiar to many, as well as distinguished guests of the studio, events of the day in two hours, vasyl zimis Big Broadcast a project for smart and caring people in the evening, naspresso, war in ukraine, the main topic for ukrainians, victories and losses, analysis and forecasts , politics and geopolitics , Serhiy Rudenko and the guests of his program will talk about all this, people who have information and shape public opinion, people who defend ukraine and create the future right now the main and interesting thing in the program is the verdict of Serhiy Rudenko from monday to friday at 8 00 p. M. Repeat at 12 10 p. M. This is the 23rd separate rifle battalion of the armed forces of ukraine. We have already been in such a significant performance and in fact, at the very edge of this ridge, we are holding the defense, the battalion is wedged in the defense of the orks in Donetsk Region and is holding its position right now, the military needs our help, the fighters need drones to lead the development and destroy the enemy on the approach, we will save each drone this is the loss of the enemy and the saved life of our soldier, join us before the gathering, we will show our fighters that we are next to them. Congratulations, we ask for your help in the search for this boy and girl who mysteriously disappeared in the Donetsk Region, and i immediately want to ask everyone who watches this video to please share it it is the least you can do, but you must understand that the more people learn about the search for missing children, the more chances there will be to find them or learn at least some information about them, so dont remain indifferent. So oleksandra and artem are sashas brother and sister artem is 15 years old. They disappeared in the city of toretsk on july 15 this summer. Since then , nothing is known about their fate. And oleksandra ropot if you suddenly recognize them or know where they might be, dont delay and immediately call us on the hotline of the magnolia childrens Search Service at the short number 116 000 000. Calls from any mobile operator will be free of charge and we will be grateful for any information. Also we are looking for 15yearold sashka ivanov, who is now considered missing before the war, the boy was in one of the boarding schools in donetsk, and on february 20, 2022, four days before the start of the fullscale invasion of all pupils this boarding school was allegedly taken to russia by the occupation authorities, grandmother sashka, who is currently in the territory controlled by ukraine and is looking for her granddaughter and daughter, told us about it. They flew out in the middle just before that video. The whole boarding school was simply jammed there with many children studying on the internet. Donetsk svitlana oleksandrivna wants more than anything to look for her grandson and if he is really deported to russia, then to return to ukraine and take him under his care, the grandmother also told the boy that she has information that sashko is currently in one of boarding schools in taganrog or rostovondon, and in the summer they were taken to the parish, there is no more information from grandmother sashka, but there is a very great hope to return the grandson home, and although it is likely that sashko is actually in russia, this is currently inaccurate information, which is currently being checked, so i am asking absolutely everyone who is now watching this video, please look carefully at sashas face, he looks 1415 years old, of average stature, has light blond hair and brown eyes. If you know something about sashka ivanov, do not delay and immediately notify us on the hotline of the child tracing service at 116,000, free of charge from all mobile operators, it is also possible that this program will be seen on the internet in russia while youtube is still working there, so if you know any information about sasha ivanov , you can confirm that he is really in russia write to us on the website of the child tracing service or on facebook or instagram of the child tracing service and i want to note that any data about the child is important in the search, lets not be indifferent and lets try together to find sasha ivanov, so i ask each of you to share this video on your pages in social networks , in general, the deportation of children is a component of the crime of genocide , so i want to note that if you know about any crime against a child, in particular, about abduction or deportation, do not remain indifferent and immediately report it to the police or report it to our stopcrime ua website , you can do it even anonymously, we have created a resource thanks to which you can report any crime against a child in any city, at any time, just go to the site and report and we will launch all possible mechanisms for punishing the criminal stopkray. Ua greetings to all viewers of the espresso tv channel , we are starting the information day with news , khrystyna parubiy works in the studio, that one tragic page in history every year on the second sunday of september, our people celebrate the day of remembrance of ukrainians victims of forced eviction from lemkivshchyna, nadsyanya kholmshchyna, southern