are gaining traction in the un nato. many eastern europeans take responsibility and display leadership while western europe appears to dither. we ask the more and ukraine is eastern europe leading the continents response. a hello welcome to to the point. let me introduce today's pat. that's splunk hoffman . eastern europe corresponded at d, w, and there's a vendor lena fun. the blade old belin corresponded and bureau chief for the economist magazine, and joining us from bon another, d, w, a colleague, brahman, gone to ranko trauma, russia desk. and i'd like to start with you a roman looking at the front lines right now. what kind of help does you cry ukraine need right now? well, it hasn't changed. you can still needs admission. it needs more weapons. heavy weapons like tanks, like long range missiles. because we are now dealing with a de facto the stalemate. russia is trying to achieve some, some trying, trying offensive in the east and ukraine by the city of baltimore in the region of the an ask because a roger is trying to compensate for the defeated had just a few months ago in eastern ukraine and in southern ukraine in the regions like hockey and her song. so russia just trying to copy each success as of june, where i could just a successful attack and occupy several ukrainian towns there. and as the winter is coming, it's very cold. and i mean, nice, nice being used very, very fast. ukraine needs more ammunition and more heavy weapons rama. as you just said, winter is approach and it's clear that ukraine, of course, needs further help. the usa aside, one could see that eastern european nations are the most important supporters right now, is their view on this war, the view from the east, further east? is it more accurate than the western view? well, it's proven to be more accurate, certainly in terms of, you know, they, them, in particular, poland, but other countries to warning about russian, russia about the danger posed by russia. and i sort of until recently dismissing it a little bit as you know, panic and, and, and deposed being over sensitive they were proven. absolutely. right. and in that sense, i think we are listening much more to what they have to say. and bishop lesson much more because they, they were spot on trying to do. they have these newer parents to have a better understanding of russia and of who do they have now. and they have before we have some about germany as a central state of the european union, was following a policy that totally failed. this is a political disaster for germany, for foreign policy and economical policies that were implemented during the last 3030 years after the fall of the berlin wall trade with russia using russian gas and in the same time delivering a lot of goods to russia for keeping the fossil fuel industry running there, a lot of equipment was sent from germany from the german economy there. so, but this policy failed, obviously, where's the baltic states? poland, and other central eastern european states have exactly warned of this scenario. and of course it's, it's naturally that the one who was right at the moment when something like this is happening, a war in europe. imagine the 1st war in europe since since the was in the balkans in the 1990 s. it's natural, i guess that the side that, that warrant of the scenario has a stronger position, politically, also in the european union. does it have, does it have a romance, please, please do. just a follow up. i think. sure to yes, maybe it's a too long perspective. to look at it, the red lights should have gone on in the year, 2008 as russia for to was georgia. and at the latest 2014, with the annexation of crimea. but germany tried to do before maybe was not so wrong to try to establish new relationship with russia. try to no trade with russia, but it failed. it failed and it was obvious in 2014. and since then, it was a mistake by the german government to believe that they could continue more or less the same and doing business with russia and hoping there would be no for the war. that was the mistake. and this is what they kind of like pulling all the baltic states were wanting about overly the many point to anglo market these days as being responsible for kind of bringing up a lot of reporting. would you agree and well, we are suddenly rethinking her legacy when she left last year she left an a blaze of glory. she was a scene generally as a one for statement, certainly abroad may be in germany with a little bit more and the us. and yes, i mean, it is, she certainly has support of notes for him to with hindsight seems utterly misguided and a big mistake. and in her defense, she rallied other european union members after 2014, after the invasion of crimea for tougher sanction. so it was actually her body either together. so she is, i think she understood quite well that putin came from. and i, as she speaks fashion, as we know at the end, it's not that she doesn't understand russia, but she certainly made mistakes and i think and as to was one not stream to the pipeline was one of the biggest ones that i don't, i don't, but absolute because she's arguing in the latest one of the few interviews she gave just recently, she's arguing that she argued that she bought ukraine time to develop and to become a democracy that really can defend itself against russia. nowadays, i don't buy this really because in the same time we have to look a little bit into the interior politics of ukraine. ukraine has, has had many, many different precedence a democratically elected since the independence of the beginning of the 1990s. additionally, they had to revolutions their own to revolution and then the, the, the, the people that the students of the euro, my darn, where the kids of the orange revolution, which means there was a process ongoing, a pro european process of a process of democratization. i don't, i want to mention the oligarchy and, and the corruption in this come in the, in ukraine as well. i, i don't, i don't want to have a whip over painted. but as a matter of fact, here you had a development that was very much comparable to other to other central european states like poland. this not not to see that as the democrat is kind of, um we it to me. you mentioned poland. there is one country in particular that has worn again and over hooton's intention and is now at the forefront of those helping you crammed with weapons with aid and with political influence. poland does what it can. and more holland is firmly on ukraine side. the country is not only a harp for western alms deliveries. it also supplies heavy equipment itself, including more than $200.00 soviet design battle times. in total, poland has supplied weapons worth almost $2000000000.00 euros to its neighbor. more than any other e u. country voting on the la warren ukraine must be won by the free world must be won by ukraine for us. this is a prerequisite for our safety. it's all about security. another reason why poland is a model pupil for nato. the country wants to increase defense spending from 2.4 percent of g d p to 5 percent. in addition, the polish military is to be increased to $300000.00 service men and women rob holland is also at the forefront of humanitarian aid. the country has taken in the most refugees. the baltics also support ukraine with humanitarian and military aid. lithuania, latvia, and estonia want ukraine and nato. is the influence of eastern europeans and nato, and the e u growing. yes, let's put as quick questions straight to you when the lena is the influence growth growing? can poland, for example, still be ignored? no, poland cannot be ignored and its influence has grown that it was proven right. it is doing proper in proportion to its size and its economic power. probably more than nearly all other countries may be the baltic states and excluded. so um, so poland should be hard and certainly the power that the center of gravity is shifting eastward. but france and germany still remained the motor of the e u and the most important countries. and suddenly the y m. r triangle pearl and france and g. many is something that may be revived. i mean, i think the jury is still out because it had been served quite a viable format and then crumbled. but, but sat me something is changing or has already changed from you have reported from my, let's call it the visa grad states. right. the, the earth's, the hungary, or the check republics, the vakio and poland. can these 4, for example, maybe including the, the baltic states. can these be viewed as a can here and block inside the you are not when you see poland and hungary at none because mr. alba and the prime minister of hunger in budapest is following a pro russia policy. and they're still try to keep certain ties with a kremlin. i think they'll unity that there's a shift between because just before the invasion of to february 24, this year, hungary was very close with poland because both capitals, the majorities in the parliament were following nationalistic polar policy. however, this is changing at the moment. what i find very interesting is that when you go to brussels, we had talks a final talks about price cat on imported crude oil from russia. and there was a good chance the 1st time since the invasion of february 24, the germany of which would be over voted over ruled by a relative majority in brussels, including eastern central, this eastern european central states that you just mentioned. that's interesting because this shows the power shift in the structure of the european union and in the institutions. and this is practically what the founders of the lisbon treaty, which is the current basis of the european union, had inside roman holly. you see this? do you see a growing helping growing influence of the, the eastern european states and the baltic states in the you and also inside nato? yes, i do see that. and it started before this russian invasion, ukrainian, started after breakfast when great britain left the european union, the influence of eastern europe um started to grow. but of course, countries like germany and france remain the biggest and most powerful countries, economically. and militarily, i'm, i think we should, we should look at it like these countries like poland, like the baltic states. we should also not forget romania which is doing a lot for ukraine. i've been, and i so how much it does to help ukraine as a neighboring country to take refugees. military help is coming through romania. also. these countries understand raj a very good because they have a very long relationship with the former soviet union. they know what russia thinks and how dangerous it is, what we are seeing now, since the russian invasion and these countries also remember i want to rush i said about a year ago when it's practically demanded, the nato east expansion to be turned back. this is just just remember the document, the russian presented. they wanted the situation of 1097 back again. and so these countries understand what is at stake and maybe one more point, we should not just look at the eastern europe. we should also look for the north to countries like sweden and finland that are joining nato, and they're joining nato is also making a shift within their lines. so maybe i'm wrong, but i think that we are now facing that this in eastern europe and northern europe is something like western germany during the cold war. it is the front. this is where things are developing, where decisions are taking. and this is where the military mind is also being assembled. now, i think we've clearly established that there is a power shift in inside you and also inside nato. evidently, how do the western partners, namely france and germany? see this power shift because they've created the vacant really fathers to fill? absolutely. well, 1st of all, the french and the germans at the moment. it's not the easiest relationship between paris and berlin. so that's, that's of, in a way contributes to strengthening the am eastern europeans. and i think there's a lot of good will. but, but some of these governments are quite difficult to deal with. in particular, the polish government opponent has been heroic. and so many ways in this conflict, but on many other issues, particularly the rule of law, judges judicial reform. you know that there are tensions with brussels, so it's not an easy relationship. but, but i think everybody acknowledges that eastern europeans have an important voice. and one that we should listen to much more than the past few grades were study of important voices may be just one short remark on the estonian leader is very present in the media. and she does some very tough um, tough statements. and some even see her as the new angela merkel, like a leader of the western europe. free world. definitely, she's saying the right things, but it's tony is too small a country to be very much influential and poll. poland is also for, for several reasons. cannot be the leader in that process. so i think it's, it's maybe the whole region, the destroying to, i wouldn't say establish itself as a new center of power, but is, is trying to gain our own importance. and if we, if we look at it, just like and maybe to, to spread the influence, not just to germany and france, but to eastern europe as well. frank limit has come back to what would you agree that the western states actually welcome more eastern european leadership as a form? yes. and also democratically speaking this, this should be the case because you have certain amount us millions of people you use citizens living in this part of the european union and they need to re presentation. interestingly, even that we all know that poland, um, was criticized very rightly about juridical if reform and the lack of rule of law and a re nationalization process. in the same time, the public in poland was and is utterly pro. you paid more than 60 percent interest reasons opinion. paul said no, we want to be in the european union and we want to play a role here. so from a political critical view, we are in a normalization process at the moment in my yes and no, because i mean all this is conditional and also the eastern europeans playing by the rules. so, you know, the rule of law and democracy is important. so you can't say, well, we want to be more important and we want to get lots of subsidies, brussels, but we do a little bit, you know, with our judiciary and the media, the freedom of the media, we can do it our way. you know, i mean that has to be a 2 way street. i agree with you at this point. however, i also think that there are a lot of polls, the citizens of poland, who are wondering why the european union and the institutions as such are not more, are not doing much more against this, these, these type of policies. and i think here we have, we have to go back to the state where we are in the opinion, the u. p. union at the moment we are working on the basis of the discipline treaty . and obviously this treaty is not made for the 21st century as we see now because there are not many forms and possibly capabilities of the institutions to intervene . and when i say normalization, that also means that we get this democratic power from these east central eastern european states to have their word. and i expect that we will have changes in the structure of the european union very soon. in particular, when it comes to majority vote at the moment, there has to be anonymity when it comes to foreign policy issues in the council. this will change very soon also with the help of the citizens of country like countries like poland. this is how i, i put it here. i'd like to come back to the war in ukraine, the 1000000000 euros to get ukraine through the winter. that was the pledge of the donor con vincent paris on tuesday. that's an impressive result was he crane has had enough pledges of help with temperatures below 0 and the infrastructure shot to pieces. ukraine says it needs results and fast and not more promises revenue. we will continue to support ukraine for as long as it takes since the very beginning of this war, we were very hot together in order to well to grant resist and to be resilient. and we, the european union stand here by them in these very difficult times, as long as it takes hardly a week goes by without new pledges of aid being made to ukraine for the place of the people as growing, destroyed schools, factories and hospitals, and repeatedly failing energy supply in the middle of winter. moreover, the country lacks more than money, equipment, weapons, and concepts for peace. the e u, however seems leaderless. the ones franco, german axis is no longer a pillar of support. instead, the heads of europe's 2 largest economies are trying to go it alone, thinking primarily of national interests is power shifting in the e u. r with her to you again herb, friendlier. you've mentioned that the relationship between paris and berlin is not great at the moment herb for years and years and years there was nothing to be done inside the u without the support of france and germany such entered a no, i think that'll continue to be the case, they're just dead too big. those 2 countries, if you just even look at the population. but um it, it could be, it expanded to a triangle with poland. but then for that i think the polish government needs to either change or be a bit more collaborative and and m s a so, so the short answer is no, it's completely changing, but it's going to be still defend with a stronger is in european weiss from germany many point to germany as being the main culprits in sort of blocking more help, more, more and faster help to ukraine. is that the view from eastern europe as well? i think when it comes to supply of weapons, definitely, yes. however, i think many people in central eastern europe to understand that germany has the biggest economy of the european union is helping automatically lot when the european union is helping a lot. and we just agreed on a package of 16 to 17000000000 euros of health for ukraine as of january 23. and that was agreed with germany. of course, that's an, it's an interesting figure because with this package that is mainly a broader financial help for, for the, for ukraine as a structure to exists for, for this war time economy to move on and, and help people that are suffering terribly at the moment. um, they, the european union surpassed the united states when it comes to numbers in help as of next year. of course, the united states is still the main veterans supplier, but you cannot look weapons on one thing in the military. it is one thing and to keep this war time the states nation in war times running is another very important issue obviously. and i think people in central is near to see that on. and i think what is a little bit hard to understand for many in central eastern european, in central eastern europe in the countries. is that the shift germany made politically, since february to $24.00 is really major shift. let's start with that. the federal republic never or tried not to exports, veterans into war torn regions of the world that has changed completely. and this will be, i think, at the end of the day, we will have to see when this voice over who helps what with watts and then we can restart to integrate the opinion of owner. put this question to roman as well. do you agree that there is on the staff in eastern or central and eastern europe for let's say germany is reluctant position? well, there was danger of misunderstandings and there was a lot of criticism in eastern europe, of the german position after the russian invasion. and before, but things have changed as frank absolutely correctly, as just said, look at the figures. the written figures show us that germany is number a number one on weapons supply to ukraine in the european union. and in the whole world is number 3 after united states and united kingdom. and we remember germany was very reluctant even to allow countries like estonia to deliver former former eastern germans houses to ukraine. this has changed completely and i think this is something ukraine very much appreciate. the thing is though, from the ukrainian point of view, you can't very much appreciate all help that is getting from the west and from europe militarily, economically, humanitarian help millions of ukrainians here in europe. but the thing is very simple from key of keeps point of view. you should give us more weapons so that we can stop this war sooner. because there is not much time for us. the winter is there, it's called the fighting continues. russia is not giving up so instead of sending us out of blankets and whatever, just send us a better tanks and planes or military jets. and this is probably something we'll see next year. ok, i, i'd like to interrupt you here because we're running out of time. i'd like to go to the final round and establish is power really shifting inside the you inside the you and inside nato. and where does it shift to? it is shifting. it's shifting a search it, i think it's a permanent shift, but still it's not going to be permanent. oh yeah. after yes, i think. but, but germany and france will still remain for the time being that most of you are the 2 most important companies. you agree, i agree when it comes to the shift military lee, because this contains of russia will have to go on, which means that eastern europe and the central eastern european use states will be on the front line for a long period of time. and you agree that will be permanent for the time being as a or tech? yes, i'm sure it is shifting and it's a good thing. it was a very i had from a row, but i like to find my a pamela here in the studio. that's it. from us for today. i hope you enjoyed our discussion. we're curious what you think. so let us know if you're watching on youtube. leave your comments right down below. also hit the subscribe button and do share this show with your friends on social media. thanks very much for watching cnx a with ah shift your guide to life in that digital world. mm. explore the latest online trends. navigate your way through the digital jungle. get a global perspective. we'll be your guide and show you what's possible. you decide what really matters to you? 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