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A political earthquake as voters turn in droves to smaller parties including in the far i. D. F. Day. And in the u. S. Communities in the state of florida counted the cost of one of the most powerful storms in American History brooke and michael. Im brian thomas for a warm welcome to the show voter rejection of the governing coalition here in germany is the highest it has ever been thats only days before a key Regional Elections in the Southern State of bavaria ahead of this ballot seen as crucial for chancellor merkels government we have the latest survey by the Polling Institute in for tests and for Americans Coalition it is looking like a disaster if elections across germany were to be held today this is who the surveys participants say theyve. For johnson ackles conservative c. D. U. C. S. U. Bloc is at twenty six percent thats down three Percentage Points from just last month september the social democrats the other party in the governing coalition there likewise down three points now with just fifteen percent that is an historic low the greens in contrast gaining three points for seventeen percent ahead of the if the no change for them there sixteen the free market f. T. P. s stay at ten percent no change for the left party either ten percent. Ok lets break this down now with our Political Correspondent oliver salad here in the studio with us good morning oliver morning ron whats happening right now we have a record low for both germanys conservative bloc and the social democrats what does this mean for germanys once very stable political system well it really does seem like the party system as we knew it here in germany for decades is being turned upside down right now you just read out the numbers the social democrats at fifteen percent that is the percentage number that were used to from smaller parties really but not from one of the major parties that led governments in the past they are weaker than the green party and the a of the party of the green party who used to be their junior partner in the last s. P. D. Led government for instance now stronger than the social democrats the far right if the party who was just new in parliament stronger than the s. P. D. Party so this does come as a very big shock and we are witnessing an increasingly fragmented Party Landscape here in germany that were not used to apparently and we need to get used to the list stable conditions and the past is ok it is a lot of fragmentation the it with the gains on both ends of the political extreme right and left you know asked specifically about the current government voters issued a damning condemnation more than three quarters seventy six percent are quote dissatisfied were very dissatisfied with the conservative social Democrat Coalition only twenty four percent say theyre satisfied were very satisfied with the governments work. All over only twenty four percent satisfied of the job the government is doing what does that tell us about attitudes towards politicians right now here in germany well the grand coalition that is governing right now is in an extremely unpopular option among voters that has already been the case before the elections but thats a situation that is apparently getting more and more extreme right now as we speak the voters also experience a coalition that is more focusing on fighting each other fighting on issues like migration for instance and in a very loud sound it seems and lacking a real political vision and many people or an increasing amount of voters are getting simply tired of that and also they want different leaders different figures in the in the in the party system we are witnessing that already partially just very recently the head of the Political Group of merkel said you party was not reelected a very close american ally instead newcomer got the job american critic so we witnessing the erosion of this is them as we move also the end of the naacp but whats coming after which kind of personnel is not the area ok you mentioned the erosion of the system thats what a lot of analysts are looking at in germany right now should we be concerned about democracy in germany does this point to a problem for democracy in germany well democracy in general is contest about thats a phenomenon were witnessing throughout western democracy democracies and that has been taking place for quite a while now but is increasingly phenomenon that is increasingly reaching germany as well we could see that at these clashes protests in the streets of candidates for instance that were increasingly attracting nad see voters that were taking to the streets there as well the free press is that you still flying the sound is getting louder at the same time the government is fighting each other its having arguments among each other and theres a big loss of credibility and that certainly has. Its impact on him office as well ok so its not just this satisfaction with politicians are talking about the despair of dissatisfaction with the media with us as well well there is a flip side to the slumping coalition and that is the resurgent green party in these numbers and that might have to do with the polls next question how should the Government Act regarding Climate Policy and these are the results on that three quarters seventy four percent think the government should do more twenty two percent think the grand coalitions acting right and only three percent say it should do less on Climate Change on what you think is dissatisfaction with Climate Policy the reason is that is that whats pushing the green success right now well first of all the greens are very credible right now as it seems they took part in a former coalition talk that was not successful but they were not the ones who led to who left the negotiating table at this point though those were the business friendly f. T. P. Party and they are suffering right now they could be a lot stronger so that the green party is benefiting from that situation because people obviously realize that theyre serious that they want to want to govern that they want responsibility and theyre neither extreme left nor right so they seem like a like a reasonable alternative at this point and also environment is a very important topic for joy and we just had these protests in a western german forest for instance where an Energy Company wanted to take down that forest to get brown coal from there we have a diesel ban imposed on german cities just after a very recent verdict here berlin among them among these cities inspired the government did not want that america always wanted to push for Climate Policies business but never really delivered on these promises and the green party right now definitely benefits from that ok capitalizing on those Environmental Issues all over sell it forces wearing thanks very much for. Well as weve been hearing voters as they are bavaria will be electing their Regional Parliament thats coming up this sunday located in germany so the very is the countrys biggest and richest state its also a place where tradition counts a lot take the Capital Needs and more famous october first into trucks annoyance of visitors every year its also a state which is largely catholic politically the center right Christian Social Union is on power for sixty straight years but with right wing populism on the rise in bavaria well the voters change their minds this time around we have this report. Once a year the top figures in the varian politics gather at the grave of. The man celebrated as something between the patron saint and godfather of modern varia. Germanys interior minister hostin who is here too in berlin hes the trouble maker in our government and the very air the c. S. U. Party leader is already trying to distance himself from an expected election defeat calls for his head are getting louder. Theres an expectation that you should take responsibility this sunday if this goes badly for you see if you party will you do that. This isnt it nice of people to worry about these things but i didnt see a single election post with my face on it as i was driving up here so. The instead state premier marcos today is on the posters and in the spotlight he used to have a picture of france use of stars in his bedroom and still likes to quote him. There should be no space for democratic parties further right than us the far right if he campaigned that strauss would have voted for them. So what he did for them. This time was family has criticized see as you leaders for failing to act against the rise of the far right they had even started adopting rightwing rhetoric themselves it was hoping to take over as the sea issues new strongmen who eventually put a stop to that. Here in Lower Bavaria many voters have long fled from the c. S. U. And gone further to the right. Although bavarian support for the far right if t. Is patchy the region of deccan doff saw it get around thirty percent in last years general elections making this time. Round. The room is how the state Parliamentary Group leader was. Good secondary thank you so much constituency in very much. Hes come all the way from birth is because you may say he is a reactionary lexan about much more than the guy. Ill use my liz he is supporting the f. T. s be very end shooting star katherine if nash is young traditional and i know Pollard Jessica about her key and that she. Doesnt it that this will be the final nail in the coffin of germanys abolished. Often by an. In bavaria too spoilt Illegal Immigrants ninth great people in small villages and towns. During her speech she cites figures suggesting migrants are ten times as likely to commit Violent Crimes you cite just Crime Statistics we are not aware of those where exactly did you get them from the us. That is the official police statistic processed by our chief superintendent who is also a member of parliament. The statistics she quotes do not come to this conclusion fear is the driving force for many here tonight. And the longer let my kids out on the street on their own with what i see on t. V. Or hear on the radio. Just cant do it anymore this is. How. The main issue is security i have children and were really afraid for our children and. Thats the mood marcos is up against as he faces the deck and off crowd here he had knowledge is he cant stop a broad populist movement reaching a very. Sweet. Wind of change blowing across europe i guess the challenges are stablished institutions. And that spirit of change doesnt stop at germanys borders not it various borders its sweeping across our country. To figure out a very looms large over the october fest generally a politics free zone but the state election is being fought in the name of defending what it celebrates best and bavarians hold most dear. I. I i. I learned parties good quality of life. Time outs. And learned being happy i took the fast. The i was in this area like the rest of germany emotions run high as soon as it comes to migration you see ross is here the migration debate is that many feel that it variously over crowded. Housing brewery has been in the family of lot to turn to get in for more than five hundred years. German purity law makes sure the beer recipes are as old as the traditions behind them the great concern here is that nationalism could threaten business. If people outside germany buy about having beer i want them to think of a beautiful country and i want them to think of different kinds of people and i want them to think of culture of all traditions and i dont want them to think of violence and hate and racism these things like this so we have to watch wake up and whats going on and this cannot continue. This it is from around the world have been welcome at the abbey of auto boy for more than a thousand years. Im going to america is expected here today there are demonstrations against but also for her fixed since what became known as the migration crisis in twenty fifteen. Its her only joint appearance with a conservative top candidates mark. Merkel calls for confidence in being german as an antidote for fear of others theres a lot of those and those who are no longer aware of their own foundations of course dont know how to integrate others and in this debate about islam i sometimes get the sense that some may have become jealous that others are living their religion while we forget ours. The very an election its used to be coronation style transfers of power but marco souter knows he faces a fight in sundays elections. Believing the ets currently were seeing something totally different here in germany you know people should be happy and content because things have never been better in germany. Despite that Strong Economy the public are unhappy and turning away from the scene as you in both directions current polls predict the greens could become the various second strongest Political Force and could well join the c. S. U. Led government the top candidates see themselves as living proof that a left wing alternative for germany is possible but i am not to mention a small town this area has a great to live and let live and i think that sums it up perfectly and of course were open to the world were pro europe and we want to stay that way and i believe the citizens of the very up down the politicians anothers spreading hate and fear. Dont have some hits of fish. Here in munich like the whole of europe. Politicians are struggling to understand the new public discontent many feel a new right wing mainstream. Refuse to munich is open to the world with a bavarian soul thats how we should behave we dont need those nazis. The nazis to put on it is really. What we need to do is balance out the gap between rich and per year in germany and the rest of the world. I dont think the fourteenth of october will get us any closer to that. Built. This time in german postwar history this very in an Election Campaign smacks of pro change said to me at the very least thats expected to blow away angle of mapplethorpe here minister. But it could also deal another blow to zero grip on power. Now if you look at some of the other stories making the news this hour at least thirty five people have been injured in a bus crash in southern germany nine of them seriously police say the bus collided with a truck while approaching an on ramp to a highway has the city of heidelberg bus was carrying tourist from australia canada and the United States. Activists in kenya have protested to urge the government to crack down on a former south sudan army army chief called along is on a United Nations blacklist over his countrys civil war he lives in exile in kenya activists say people benefiting from the conflict are laundering money from kenyan banks. Live from the oval office its kanye west rap star and trump supporter met the president on thursday delivering an extended monologue on issues ranging from crime to gun laws to Mental Health the president promised to talk further with them on issues affecting the countrys urban zones. In the United States now where one of the strongest hurricanes on record has leveled neighborhoods and southern coastal states Hurricane Michael made landfall in florida were people there ripping homes out of their foundations some of the worst damage has been at mexico beach where the hurricane crashed ashore but areas have been hard hit to a reporter visited where locals there are counting the cost of the monster storm. Eighty kilometers from the florida coast the Small Community of blountstown still felt the full force of hurrican michaels fury in the path of one of the most powerful storms ever to hit the u. S. Mainland the town has taken a battering homes and businesses destroyed infrastructure in ruins. Of course power lines are down not just power lines power stations Power Transformers and thats a major problem even for a Community Like this because there wont be any power for weeks maybe even months to come out on the highway traffic is reduced to a cruel as residents who he did the warnings to leave return to their homes on the coast evidence of the storms destructive power is all around homeowners are anxious about what they might find. Not really. Its a. Chance that. And i. Were devastated of course you just bought a house. Yeah unfortunately we closed on thursday just finished building it closed on thursday and spent one night in it and had to evacuate and this was such a fast moving storm we didnt even know about it until our daughter called us saturday morning and said are you guys ready for the storm we said. In southern florida this relief that the hurrican has pasta but dismay at the scale of the clear up operation which is only just beginning. You have some sports news out of football d. W. Spoke exclusively to the former german captain michel balik head of the National Teams match with the netherlands thats on saturday he criticised the German Football Association and coach welcome love who stayed in the job despite holders germany crashing out of the world cup in the very first round. Germanys world cup disaster was on michelle bucks mind when de ws michael de silva masterman london the decision to back your king live did not sit well with the former captain as an outsider i was surprised as well as many other people that he kept his job. Because he was a long time. Since a long time he was with the team and. You know sometimes things doesnt work anymore you know when youre with the team. Was once the shining star of german football at the two thousand and two world cup he led the team to a surprise final and later became the teams main man and captain but ahead of the twenty ten world cup pollock was injured and in the end unceremoniously moved out of the squad now he feels that the German Football Association has not moved with the times. Even if we did maybe for something really good to be. Champion. But you have to ask yourself every day. You know we have. A trend sometimes. This nation this nation makes huge steps because of a certain reason and we shouldnt lose our advantage when we had the years before just because we think we are good today germanys current midfield maestro defended his coachs credentials at a press conference in berlin. Seems to be of the opinion that a change was needed i guess that maybe he wanted to take over im not sure. I think you are in love has been proving for years that hes happy to keep on improving on himself. With critics continuing to doubt the decision to stick with live the coach and the team under pressure to respond with performances on the pitch. Lets get our business now with kristoff and hes following all the turbulence on the markets today thats right brian it was another sobering session on u. S. Markets last night but asian stocks have largely recovered after the biggest sell in Global Equities since february with the benchmarks index in south korea and hong kong leading the way the cost being next and sole was the biggest gainer in asia up one and a half percent the stock market in japan closed for poor and point four percent higher earlier in the u. S. The sell of continued with more steep declines than jones and next new york showed more than five hundred points or two percent one of the main issues worrying investors is the trade war between the United States and china. And that dispute could become even more ugly figures just out show that chinas trade surplus with the United States has hit a record high thats despite the introduction of u. S. Tears two hundred billion dollars worth of chinese goods on the month of september during a new regime of protective tariffs china exported thirty four billion dollars more goods to the United States than imported actual exports have warned that the Global Economy could face turmoil as the worlds top two economies do not resolve their dispute. For more lets cross over to our correspondent florian issues at the annual meeting of the International Monetary fund of the world bank and bali florian trade frictions to slowing growth rising debt all of them have been on the agenda in bali what do people think will this trade surplus in china add fuel to the route between china and the United States. Well there is certainly concern in that regard but there was actually also a lot of surprise about these numbers about the fact that chinas export data is apparently quite resilient to those u. S. Terrorists and one possible explanation would be that companies ramped up shipmans a head of what they expected to be even. Sharper tariffs so it was basically just anticipating worse times to come but what the i. M. F. Has also published today is that considering all. Current and proposed u. S. Terrorists china as g. D. P. Might take a hit of one point seven percent over the first two years so thats not exactly chickenfeed a forum one of the few more positive remarks of the meeting was germanys finance minister saying that talks between the European Union and the u. S. Did not point to a further escalation of their trade dispute tell us more about. Germanys finance minister all of shells he struck quite a sanguine tone at a press conference this morning he emphasized that talks between the u. S. And the European Union. Going quite smoothly but thats not really a surprise i mean we have seen the chilling down in rhetoric recently. Now schultze also emphasize. That the overall fundamentals of well con amuse us still quite ok and he said that the world has basically learned their lessons from the Lehman Brothers collapsed ten years ago but he did acknowledge and said that there is a high risk of contagion due to uncertainties and now he also mentioned the us a chinese trade war as the biggest uncertainty so the writing is on the wall foreignness reporting from the meeting of the i. M. F. And the world bank in bali forum thank you so much. And a quick reminder of the top story were following for you at this hour support for germanys governing party is has plummeted to the lowest level ever recorded a new poll shows only one in four people is happy with i know america grand coalition. This is the dominos we have a fresh frozen coming up at the top of the hour for now thanks for watching. More intrigued International Talk show for journalists discuss the topic of the week its a big weekend in german politics the people of the very go to the polls in an eagerly awaited regional the election advantage called the could reshape german politics at the National Level to find out how shortly. Quadriga. D. W. Kicked off my model. We once know which is the best book on the campaign this time to do news on the checks in spain super successful and. Im a cubs free stunner versus full folder concepts the freestylers takes on a rising bowsers legal stuff who knows the better but you steve. Sixty minutes. Endless all consuming conflict forth over now for. Thirty years turned out of europe. But canadas failed to determine its outcome. In negotiations lasting many years mediators succeeded in reaching agreement. It was the birth of modern diplomacy. Sixteen forty eight. Peace starts oct twenty fourth on d. W. Followed a very warm welcome indeed country care and all eyes here in germany are on the big prosperous and influential Southern State of bavaria where people go to the polls this weekend in that election that could have a major impact at the National Level the conservative c. S. U. Party has rules of of area without interruption for over sixty years but that period of dominance looks to be over the could be to witness on sunday the green

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