From comedy centrals world news headquarters in new york, this is the daily show with jon stewart. [daily show theme song playing] [cheers and applause] [cheers and applause] jon welcome to the daily show. My name jon stewart. Big show tonight my guest, oh, were very excited about nate silver of fivethirtyeight. Com, a web site dedicated to exploring Current Events through cold, scientific Statistical Analysis and it also has some porn. It is a web site. [ laughter ] the first as we near the end of march its important to remember this isnt just the eighth month of winter its also womens history month. In honor after this event president obama offered a proposal to rectify an ageold wrong. On average a woman still earns just 77 cents for every dollar a man z. A woman deserves equal pay for equal work and paid leave that lets you take a day off to care for a sick child or parent. Congress needs to act on these priorities. Jon of course they wont. [ laughter ] because in my experience here i have found them to be bleep . [ laughter ] seriously. I cant stand them. Even the ones in my own partim probably shouldnt be saying this allowed in my aloud in my address. But seriously we need to address this. With me now the controversial princeton mom susan patton her new book marry smart. Welcome to the show. Thank you. Jon or you could talk to that lady about it. Work in the white house women there make 9 less. Are women catching up in the white house . Is that the argument they would make . How do you interpret that . Its hard to say im not a white house expert. Jon if you dont have much to add to the discussion of equality what are you talking when you are visiting cnns newsroom, msnbcs morning joe, nbcs today show, fox businesss money with melissa francis, foxs america live and foxs americas news room. We have stopped telling our young women that theres more to life than career. Work will wait. Fer tellity wont. Find a husband on campus before you graduate. Yes, i went there. Jon you went where to the 19th century . [laughter] so apparently the problem women have in your mind is too much equality . The princeton mom is here. She suggests women at her alma mater should focus on finding a husband in college. They will never again have this cons traition of extraordinary men to choose from. Jon extraordinary college men where the worthiest youngsters congregate for scholarships for butt chugging, for beer bongs, for regular bongs, for chest painting and all around mother disappointing. Good news, college ladies, hes single but for how long . [laughter] by the way what is the rush last time i checked, you know, women dont go straight downhill the moment they graduate college. You start looking for a husband in your mid 30s you are competing with girls ten years younger than you. They are dewey eyed, they are fresh and adorable. Jon its why i drink their blood at night. [laughter] the blood of the dewey keeps me strong. My favorite part of the clip the three women shes talking to of the dewy eyed demographic whose look said i dont know if i should be flattered or horrified but in either case this bleep internship is not worth the college credit. Were joined by senior womens issues correspondent. Thanks for being here. Thank you for joining us. No, dont look at me. I am hideous. Jon stop. What are you talking about . You look great. Yeah begun for a dried up 30something year old crone you me. My days are in the Rearview Mirror jnch you are deywy. They are deweyer than the dewey decimal system. Besides you are already married. Yeah, to a comedy writer. The lowest low, right. Why didnt i plan ahead, arggh jon kristen this, susan patton shes a cook. Why are you in almost every Major News Network in the country taking her surously. Shes a kook, is she . Jon i believe it. Men have a different playing field. They can take their whole lives to get married and have children. Women dont have that kind of time. You are not getting any younger. You have to plan foirt. That was march 11 on march 17 we heard this special announcement. Ms. Savannah guthrie got married over the weekend. Were four months pregnant. Jon wow. Wow. This book was such a wake wap call Savannah Guthrie got married, lost her virginity and became four months pregnant in six days. You go, girl shes one of the lucky ones. Too much girls have been seduced by the feminist lie that women over 30 are remotal doable. The hard truth is that month after month your precious eggs are jumping out of your have giega like vagina like rats off a sinking ship. [ laughter ] jon is that what happens . They they what do you think that the egg fairy will take them while you sleep and leave a dollar up your pillow . Jon no. Thats not what i thought. Note to self write angry letter to old health teacher. This is no fairytale, jon. These are facts based on opinion. And women need to hear it. [ laughter ] thats why i took the truth to a place where the highest concentration of desperate lonely hags down to their last raisiny eggs spin class. Are you guys ready . Are you guys pumped. Yeah, lets do this. All right. Page 119. Girls that know that they are on their last pint of nubile fuel go into over drive. Find a husband, husbands and family lets do it. You think this is pain. This is nothing like the pain of dying alone come on [laughter] jon did it sphwhork work . Did that work . Absolutely my butt is super sore. I feel muscle i didnt think i had. Is that muscle or bone. Jon i think its cartilage. I didnt mean did it work on your body, did the women there get the message . No, you saw them they were pedaling fast and going nowhere. Sad. I realized i had to catch women earlier. Take susan pattons message of panic and desperation to where it belongs. Men produce around 7 trillion sperm in a lifetime. Anyone know how many eggs women produce . 30hundred. 30hundred. No. No. Were going to move on to the chapter about slut shaming. Yeah easy on those cheerios kid. They dont call it baby fat after 18 months. Want to learn how to tell time . Yeah. Tick tock, tick tock. Thats your uterus. Getting older and older. Theres a monster underneath you. Its called loneliness. Okay . Thats when shell thank you when shes a 30yearold grandma. I cant go to every kindergarten classroom myself. Thats why im proud to announce the launch of kdate. Leading kindergarten dating network. Get dads ipad and start the husband hunt before they are all gone. Jon i think its wise and clearly that one kid likes boobies. Men are terrible creatures. Get one as soon as you can. Get one as soon as you can. Thats the message. To dinner. T impossible to get them to sit down thats why we have. Kfc dipems a kfc dipems bucket, 20 extra crispy tenders. 6 awesome sauces. I mean hes sitting still, this is kind of miraculous. Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh im ten feet tall oh, oh, oh, oh, oh im ten feet tall mattel started in a garage. Disney started in a garage. Amazon started in a garage. The ramones started in a garage. My point . Some of the most innovative things in the world come out of american garages. Introducing the lighter, faster cadillac cts. 2014 motor trend car of the year. Aint garages great . Its built to be as fast as it is strongor advil. And fights pain at the site of inflammation. Advil has the strength and speed to help you move past pain. Advil. Make today yours. [ gasps ] [ giggling ] [ old spice whistle ] [ giggling ] transferred money from his before larry instantly bank of america savings account to his merrill edge retirement account. Before he opened his first hot chocolate stand calling winter an underserved season. And before he quit his friends leafraking business for not offering a 401k. Larry knew the importance of preparing for retirement. Thats why when the time came he counted on merrill edge to streamline his investing and help him plan for the road ahead. Thats the power of streamlined connections. Thats merrill edge and bank of america. [cheers and applause] jon welcome back. Well, the United States the United States has recently begun to tap its vasts reserves of natural gas thanks to the drilling process of hydrofracking or fracking because two extra syllables is not the american way. Are we prepared to pay the cost . Assif mandvi reports wench know the benefits of fracking but residents of fracking effected Bradford County pennsylvania say it also has some minor downsides. Fracking has ruined our quality of life. Our water contamination here is moving through all Bradford County. Every day theres something new that happens. His rashes. Neurological problems. Nosebleeds. Maybe the cows were doing cocaine. I never caught them doing cocaine. Really. Marie yap doesnt see a problem with fracking. Frying is safe. Because the average personal doesnt understand fracking the environmentalists are able to use fear, uncertainty and doubt to plant ideas into peoples minds and they dont do the research for themselves. You need a tissue. Yeah. But the gas caps have done the research along with plenty of investigations into the residents explain complaints. If i polluted my neighbors water well do you think that the dep will allow me to conduct my own investigation and get back to them on it. If your water is contaminated why not go to the local store and get yourself evian. I have done that. I suggest you live here for a month and see how we feel when we live out a bottle. Are you hitting on me . Not at all. Sounds like you are hitting on me. Not what i meant. You are sending me mixed messages young lady. What is going on here . Oh, yeah. Fracking. [ laughter ] but tune ins says the last thing but nunn says the last thing they need oil and Gas Companies are good at self policing because when there are bad actors it hurts everybody. Is there a way oil and Gas Companies could be better than they are . I would say no. The oil and Gas Producers that are there care about the community. See they care about the communities and theres no way they could be better corporate citizens . Despite one or two teeny, tiny snafus. A drilling crew punctured the pipeline located south of dallas. A dozen small earthquakes over the past few years were an indirect result of fracking. An explosion at the chevron in mississippi. If a well explodes, the companies should at least alert the land owner. What is more direct than the smoke signal and the smell of sul fer . The oil and gas industry is not responsible to the people around here. Actually they couldnt be more responsible like what a gas well exploded in green county pennsylvania chevron came to the rescue with immediate compensation. Chevron came in. They ordered 100 pease zpas, 100 pizzas, 100 bottles of pop. Pizza, they bought pizza . Yes. There was a fire, a person died and chevron compensated people with pizzas. They gave Gift Certificates to the community. How much does that come to altogether . Right around 1,000. 1,000 a pizza. For the hundred bottles of pop. Wait 1,000 total. Yes. So they brought 100 Gift Certificates good for one pizza with just one topping which expires may 12014. Thank goodness green countys First Responders were able to handle the demand. So youre heroes. I wouldnt say that. Know i mean your heroes, how are they . Are you talking about subs . Yeah. Our sandwiches are good. I couldnt wait to deliver this disaster contingency plan to the residents of bradzford county. You have politicians Getting Campaign funds. They are taking the property. Everybody calm down you are getting really upset. If your daughter could die from this, wouldnt you be upset. All right. Property value lost overnight. Okay, okay, everybody. Talk about business you lose business. Okay, all right. Everyone calm down. Okay sowppedz like you are hungry. I know just the truck. Pizza. Huh . Who loves pizza. We want our water back. Period. We want our life back. We dont want your pizza. All right im going to throw in a two liter bottle of soda. How been an investigation. Regulatory reform takes forever. Pizza 30 minutes or less. You cannot live without water. We have Water Pollution we have air what you were Say Something in keep going. Its not too bad. Good right . See, america, the solution is as easy as pie. [cheers and applause] [cheers and applause] jon assif mand so our business can be on at ts network for 175 a month . Yup. All 5 of you for 175. Our clients need a lot of attention. Theres unlimited talk and text. Were working deals all day. You get 10 gigabytes of data to share. What about expansion potential . Add a line, anytime, for 15 a month. Low dues, great terms. Lets close new at t mobile share value plans our best value plans ever for business. Hey there, i just got my bill, and i see that it includes fico®redit score. Yup, you get it free each month to help you avoid surprises with your credit. Good. I hate surprises. Surprise at discover, we treat you like youd treat you. Get the it card and see your fico® credit score. [cheers and applause] jon welcome back. My guest tonight is the founder and editor and chief of fivethirtyeight. Com. Please welcome back to the program nate silver. [cheers and applause] how are you, sir . Pretty good, jon how but. Jon very well. Congratulations on the launch of the new fivethirtyeight. We launched this web site a week and a half ago. 20 of us, a very young team it was a great moment to launch and then we realized oh, bleep we have to publish every day. Its a lot of work. Were getting better. Jon you are saying its been up live for a week and a half and its still not perfect . Its not perfect yet. Not even close to perfect, i dont think. Jon well, well, looks like the shine is off the apple, isnt it silver . Here is the thing maybe due to programs like this. There was a lot of hype about me and fivethirtyeight. Jon i called you the lord of algorithm. It was useful for book sales at the time but it set as i high bar. Jon you are taking a rash of bleep in a week in a half like nobody i have seen in a long time. Your Statistical Analysis of the 2012 election was quite accurate. And then you have prodistricted in this predicted in this recent midterm that theres a 60 chance that the democrats will lose control of the senate and the democrats were like those little balloons outside of Car Dealerships they are just blarrgh. They are sending memos out to the press on the one hand and sending fundraising emails like prove nate silver wrong. So, look, a lot of people especially in politics they like the math part of things when it tells them what they already believe. Its hard. Its a complicated world to figure out sometimes. Im not saying that we have all the answers by any means at all. Jon i am saying that though. I know well. Jon i am saying you have all the answers. Well prove ourselves wrong and you wrong in the process. Jon you have one guy on. A political scientist he writes an article of climate change. It creates a huge hulabaloo because he is saying the damage is not increasing its just that we are wealthy. Its a piece where we have concern from readers we dont pay much attention to what critics say but we had 80 of commentators weighting negatively. Were commissioning a rebuttal to the piece. Jon you are responding to criticism and attempting to improve what you are doing . I dont think you understand the media world, my friend. Look we had jon stick to what you say. We respond the only way you can to put out a better product. Theres criticism that is more frivolous. Then we might respond with humor or ignore it snark or whatever else. Jon i like the way paul krugman was a critic of what you are doing and you put i thought a funny piece statistically analyzing the mentions of your blog of mr. Krugman, the old blog versus the new blog. It was satire. Meant to be a stereo type of bat Data Analysis basically. When we start aid week and a half ago i told my team you are in the big leagues now. The internet is crazy sometimes. They are brushing things off really well. Im there managing a staff of 20 people and someone is like kind. Throwing apples at your kids or something. Jon heavy is the head that wears the crown silver. Absolutely. [laughter] jon thats why i wear the jesters crown its made of felt, much lighter. [laughter] here is why i think your site is important. Statistics and analysis are punditfuel. Yeah. Jon and if your site. If the purpose of your site could be to refine to help vet the type of Statistical Analysis or the type of numbers that these pundits use as their fuel its an incredibly valuable resource because part of the difficulty of analyzing things based on numbers is you dont really know the efficacy of many of these statistical studies, no. Were saying look, were just trying to be right a little bit more often, right . Its a complicated place. We have a piece coming out by a wonderful young economist looking at studies or a study that came out saying actually obesity is decreasing among 24 year olds or something. Jon i heard that. I was listening on the radio they said that. It goes against thousands of studies to the contrary. If you are drawing a lot of lottery balls but taking different population samples youll have something that turns out differently. Just like poll analysis people take the outlier and think it represents the new trend. Were trying to provide sanity. Some of the stuff is dry. Its like we didnt threarn much from this poll or study. Like serious topics we might have a sober outlook but burr reetor we are running a project to tell where you to find the best burrito in america. Jon the two of those articles together could [laughter] in some ways counteract. You may have found one coming this way, one coming you go into a void because a burrito article following the obesity article very shrewd, mr. Silver. Thank you. Jon stick around i want to ask you a couple of questions and they will be vicious. Nate silver, ladies and gentlemen. Gentlemen. [cheers and applause] yo, untamed larger than life, gentlemen. [chemove fast fruit flavor, watermelon, blue razz green apple. Your taste buds dancing. Its the jolly rancher, we make it happen. Untamed fruit flavor. Jolly rancher. Told ya you could do it. dad vo i want her to be safe. So, i taught her what i could and got her a subaru. girl piece of cake. announcer love. Its what makes a subaru, a subaru. Lets see what you got. Rv covered. Why would you pay for a hotel . I never do. Motorcycles check. Atv. I ride those. Do you . No. Boat. Ahoy, mateys. House . Hello, dear. Hello. Hello. Van with airbrushed firebreathing dragons. Ah check. Thank you. The more you bundle, the more you save. Now, thats progressive. [cheers and applause] jon thats our show. Join us next. We have a lot of good guests on this program. Next week though we have one a little bit of a personal hero, pele. Remember pele brazil number 10 the beautiful game. He is going to bone the program. Im, you know theres not a lot of guests you end up still 15 years into that you are like oh, my god, i cant believe i get a chance to talk to pele. Well, lets hope i dont ruin it. Here it is your moment of zen. Weve been breaking down a constitutional madness bracket. Which of the president s many constitutional violations is the worst . Abortion. Individual mandate . The dream act. This is an impor