Transcripts For CNNW World Business Today 20120319

involved in the massacre. they think that robert bales should be tried under afghan law. there's been an outpooring of support for muamba. he suffered a cardiac arrest during a match on saturday. doctors say he will remain under anesthesia for 24 hours. those are the headlines from cnn. i'm monita rajpal. "world business today" starts right now. good morning. from cnn london, i'm nina dos santos. >> and a good afternoon, from cnn hong kong. top stories for monday, march 19th. the head of the imf hails china's economic progress. but also that now is the time to do more. was it cutting debt or risking a recession? and it's a country that's abolished slavery only 30 years ago. but forced labor remains a fact of life. let's go straight to the stock market action here in europe. these markets have been opened for just over two minutes now. and this is where the leading indices are performing as they settle over the first few trades. one stock we're going to keep an eye on is t&t express. but just to give you a look at the overall picture, the u.k. market very much in focus. we have the budget coming out in a day's time. arguably, it is paris that is nearly down by 0.5%. let me go back to the dutch u.s. logistic firm i was talking about. its american rival, u.p.s., has agreed to buy this company, in a $6.8 billion deal, that could create the biggest packet shipping company. >> that's always a good sign, nina. i wanted to ask you, too, about the greek prime minister. he's been speaking to the media over the weekend. and he's sounding upbeat at the moment. >> he is. if greece managing to stick to its austerity targets, it will be a lot better than a lot of people think. he's pointing the fingers at the naysayers. we should point out that this comes at a time when there's a $3.2 billion auction going on to try to get people out of the credit default swaps because obviously we know we have the private sector talks. bondholders, who are greeces creditors, had to see about $107 billion worth of their private debt they owned, wiped out to give greece a reprieve. we have an election coming up in greece. what he's trying to do in the interview with "the financial times" to say that things aren't as bad as they were. greece will be a more productive place in five years' time. >> interesting point, election coming up. trying to impress the locals, as well. here in asia, markets ending mostly higher. let's look at the broad numbers. and consider that we had such a strong run-up globally, which continued last week. and it's continuing this day, as well, except for hong kong. down by almost 1%. it was the energy producers as prices continue to rise. two, big stocks in australia giving the broader market a 1% boost. we have shanghai up about 0.25%. the nikkei has been on a tear. and it's very much the exporters who are driving the nikkei higher. just a quick piece of news, sales at south korean department stores were up by 3% almost in february, of a 4.1% drop in january. that's an interesting reflection, since south korea is so independent on exports. today's gains in asia are lending more support to what the imf chief, christine lagarde said on sunday. in a the world economy has, quote, stepped back from the bring. at a speech in the chinese capital, she said positive news from the united states and europe, is brightening the outlook. and we've been following this. randy? >> christine lagarde had very strong words of praise for china, for pulling no less than half of its people out of poverty in the past few decades. one eye was firmly on china's future growth because a slowdown in the world's second-biggest economy, would have impacted the region, as well as the world. and lagarde said she had three priorities to see that china keeps it up. >> we think that it's important that china can continue to support growth. and on this score, china is in the invaluable position to have the space to provide fiscal support for its economy. second, to shift the drivers of economy growth away from investment and exports, and towards domestic consumption. third, china could improve the household livelihood, so that chi china's citizens may share in the high growth. >> and the key word you heard was growth. lagarde added that the goals she encouraged have been embraced by beijing, most recently at the people's conference last week. she also talked about confucius. she said, in all things, success depends on previous preparations, where failing to plan is planning to fail. and she says china's a good example of this. its plans to keep growth up have been working. they have been taking hold. and the imf is supportive of its actions. >> it's reiterating what's coming out of beijing. getting more quality growth. perhaps a lot of people have been seeing over the past 20 years or so. one of the key issues here is property. and some of the policies of beijing has been taking on -- that seems to be taking hold, as well. the chinese premiere, the point man, on bringing down prices. how is it going? >> home prices in china have fallen for a fifth- consecutive month. they are expected to keep falling for a few more. and the aim is to make housing affordable. between january and february, 45 cities saw the prices of new properties fall. these include the cities, shanghai and shenzhen. 22 were unchanged. but only three saw price combines. and a quick look at the property sector. and you can see real estate companies did not like this news at all. with that said, we're probably not going to see the end of the prosecute price cooling measures. as well as a limit on who can buy a second home, all to limit speculation. with the curbs set to stay in place, one analyst is afraid they might cool the economy off too much. >> on one hand, they had a policy to curtail the rise in property prices and inflation. they have done relatively well. the risk is on if other side, that they cut too much. they're going to try to loosen policy, increase growth. it is a long way to go before that. it doesn't happen overnight. >> and his comments on china's growth and domestic demand brings back to china's wealth. everybody is predicting the same for that country. and a lot of china watchers will say they're on that path. >> ramy, thanks for joining us. >> you almost called him romeo there, andrew. last week on wall street, things may have ended on a flat note. but the gains from most indices have been a welcome theme, as we've been reporting on "world business today" for a number of weeks now. these were the weekly tallies for the three big indices in new york. the s&p 500 just out ahead of the dow jones industrial average. and as you can see, the nasdaq putting on a gain of about 2.3%. these kind of gains were largely on the back of the strength of positive economic records of the world's biggest economy and news that 15 of 19 of the top u.s. lenders passed the stress tests. in wake of the rally, investors will be looking for more positive news for further economic reports due out this week. let's listen to what's going on with the action, with alison kosik. >> it's all about housing on wall street. i'm alison kosik. analysts expect that february sales of existing and new homes could see growth in the previous month. new home sales topped expectations for the pace of existing home sales rose to the highest level since the end of the home buyers' tax credit in 2010. but prices are at their lowest levels in ten years. and the housing market isn't likely to significantly strengthen until the prices bottom out. we'll also get readings on housing starts and building permits. construction starts remained at a low level. there are a couple of interesting earnings we'll track this week. we'll hear from business bellwether, fedex. another consumer confidence, tiffany is expected to post results. and food company general mills. nike, and darden. finally, nominations for the world bank presidency are due this week. the newly-elected chief will take over when robert zoellick ends his five-year term in june. all of the world's previous presidents have been american. and the next one is likely to be, as well. that's a look ahead at the week on wall street. i'm alison kosik, at the new york stock exchange. the week's trading on wall street begins in under 5 1/2 hours from now. this is how the markets are expected to open. the numbers can bounce around quite a lot. you'll see green arrows across the board. the broader measure, some would say the most accurate measure of the health of the investment climate in the u.s. is at a four-year high. there's been some strong gains in the u.s. and we are now over the pre-2008 crash high. energy stocks are leading the gains. crude is pushing up through almost 2%, nina. $107 a barrel. >> that's the big sputer in the works that could derail in recovery. coming up after the break, business finance -- british finance leaders are in last-minute talks ahead of wednesday's u.k. budget. and chancellor george osbourne could have good news for the country's highest earners. sometimes, i feel like it's me against my hair. [ female announcer ] weak, damaged hair needs new aveeno nourish+ strengthen. active naturals wheat formulas restore strength for up to 90% less breakage in three washes. for strong, healthy hair with life, new aveeno nourish+ strengthen. lead paint poisoning affects one million children today. if you're pregnant or have young children and your home was built before 1978, you could be at risk. learn how to protect your family. to find your home's danger zones, the health effects, or just to find help, log on to leadfreekids.org. welcome back. you're watching "world business today" right here on cnn. we have news coming into us here alt cnn at a shooting in france. we've not been able to confirm details this morning. but media reports are saying at least three people are dead at a shooting at a jewish school. again, not confirmed exactly where. some reports are. the reports are saying this is tulus, in the south of france. all we can confirm is it's being reported that three people have been killed in a shooting at a jewish school in france. we'll work on getting you more details as soon as we get them here at cnn. nina. >> we certainly will. coming back to british news. george osbourne is considering a tax cut for the country's richest people. the u.k.'s top tax rate pay about 50% of their tax rate on their incomes. that could be cut to 45% when george osbourne delivers the national budget on wednesday. they're committed to deep service cuts and civil service lieoffs. these measures are on the side of the u.s. debt crisis, and as you can imagine, for growth across the country. we look at the country's gdp, it shrank in the fourth quarter. when you have two successive quarters of falling out, that is technically the definition of a recession. but george osbourne is expected to argue that the tax rate has failed to improve the country's finances. and that a countdown on tax avoidance by the wealthy would boost revenue in the longer term. last week, the ratings agency, fitch, became the second ratings financial agency to learn that britain could be losing its aaa rating if the government shows any sign of easing back of this debt reduction program. fareed zacaria recently sat down with the chancellor. and he pointed out that the severe austerity may come at the cost of economic growth going forward. >> i don't agree with that an analys analysis. i guess that would surprise you. we had to earn our ability out there. we have the interest rates the same as italy and spain. you've seen what happened to those countries in the last few weeks. but interest rates, markedly higher than the united kingdom has at the moment. the idea that britain could have gotten away without a global plan, not attacking that 11% budget deficit, i think is fanciful. and actually, the proof has been in the pudding. we had a remarkable degree of stability. we had lower interest rates. compared to many of our european neighbors. if you think of the economic shocks that the european continent has suffered over the last nine months to a year, i think britain, through its plan, has helped to insulate itself from that. >> one thing you said in interviews leading up to your budget, is that you will not put in place tax cuts that are not paid for i take it by that, you do not buy the supply side argument, that you will just cut taxes, it will unleash growth, which will pay for itself. >> i'm more with margaret thatcher than ronald reagan. margaret thatcher was make the books balance. and reagan was more, let's cut taxes. he was the american president. she was the british prime minister. different economies. and i'm a conservative who believes that lower taxes create more efficient economies, allow wealth to be and income and enterprise to be promoted. but i think in the context of having finances that are unsustainable, you have to do something about that. and you can't assume that you cut taxes and the money pays for itself. >> what is your concern in terms of the obstacles of a general recovery? but especially a british one. >> i don't think the risks has entirely dissipated with the action of the european central bank. but they're certainly much less than they were a couple months ago. i look at that oil price at the moment. i'm concerned about that because you saw at the end of 2010, early 2011, knocking that out of the global economy, high oil price. that is something that would certainly be on my radar. >> george osbourne there, the chancellor of the exchange. let's look at what's happening in the currency markets this day. start of the trading week. not much movement versus the greenback. the euro and the pound holding steady. the euro up 1.31 now. and after weakening last week, the yen is now strengthening marginally, at 83.1 against the u.s. dollar. still well off its lows when it had gone down to about 77. welcome back. you're watching "world business today" live on cnn. we want to update you on a developing story coming out of france this hour. still no confirmation from cnn yet. but reports are saying that there has been a shooting incident at a jewish school in the southwestern french city of tulouse. three people are reportedly dead. two of the children, according to reuters are children. as yet, cnn has been unable to confirm anything. but just to repeat that media reports are saying three people are dead at the shooting at a jewish school in tulouse, ooh city in the south of france. two of the victims are believed to be children. we'll give you more details as we get them. nina? >> we certainly will, andrew. to the season's most significant snowfall. folks on the other end of the planet in beijing saw it all this weekend. here to tell us more is our meteorologist from cnn international weather center. good morning. >> good morning to you, nina. an active week across parts of beijing. and really going back to sunday and saturday. look at some of the images coming out of beijing. 45 flights canceled. and this is happening in a city of about 19 million people, not a stranger to these sort of events. but when visibility gets below 200 meters, you can bet that folks have to pack a lot of patience, with the air quality going downhill. and on sunday morning, we had snowshowers across portions of beijing. but take a look at this. the air quality index at this hour had improved a little bit. it's 170. it goes in the unhealthy category. a couple of days ago, pushing in the hazardous scenario. but the snowshowers and the rain showers in the forecast, cleaned out some of the particulates in the atmosphere. and we know 65% of the ozone with the pollutants on the city. right now, just some clouds left in place. we have a few showers in the forecast by wednesday on into thursday. and the temperatures have warmed up. at this hour, we know it's 5 degrees now. notice the mild air begin to blossom to the south here, as the spring season quickly upon us. the official meteorological start. going up to 25 degrees come tuesday afternoon. and beijing, well above the averages. they're above the averages at 12 degrees. give you an update of what's happening in australia. we discussed the cyclone that was around western territories in the last couple of days. now, you see a disturbance in line. heavy rainfall in the forecast, out towards canes. expect some weather in the later portion of the week. pedram, many thanks. have a great day. coming up next on "world business today," there's plenty to keep experts busy today. we'll see what will move the markets in the next five days to come. from cnn hong kong, i'm andrew stevens. >> and i'm nina dos santos in london. let's look at what's going on in europe about 30 minutes into the trading week. and these are the numbers. they settled a bit. last time, we saw two markets up, two markets down. even the dax has teetered into the territory. and they've added another 0.25%. we have the tabling of an offer for the dutch logistic service, tnt, it hasn't been enough to convince the markets this morning. the only exception to the rules was up to the tune of 2%, andrew. but the mood is down. >> there's markets ending mostly higher today in asia. one red arrow here in hong kong, down 1%. it seems like a australia and japan, those markets higher. and despite some news out from shanghai today, that property prices continue to weaken in most of the big cities in china. the games, though, certainly being capped, analysts say by the fact that the u.s., the world's biggest economy, came out with weaker-than-expected consumer confidence numbers on friday. and also, underperformance industrial production. those two, really capping the gains here in asia. a lot of analysts talking about this is likely to be a bit of a sell-off, considering there has been a strong rally to the start of the year. it's the share index, which is a good gauge for the global stock markets, up 12%, since the start of the year. there's a bit of room for profit-taking. >> yeah. over the course of the weekend, i think it was in "the financial times" that some fund management companies were saying that u.k. stock markets over the next ten years could double or so. when it comes to the markets, a lot of predictions about how rosy the future is. there's plenty of activity to keep investors on their toes over the course of five days to come. let's start out with the u.k. on wednesday it is budget day across the u.k. and the pressure is on to get it right after the ratings agency, fitch, became the second ratings agency, to put britain's aaa credit rating on negative watch. that happened last week. february's inflation data is due to be released on tuesday. and as we move on to japan, that country's troubled exports sector, under the microscope on wednesday, as this country reveals its trade balance. and all about homes in the united states towards the end of the week. on thursday, we'll see the release of january's house price index. on friday, we'll find out february's new home sales, as well. after all of this, earnings from big bellwethers, like fedex and china unicom. to help us preview the action over the next five trading sessions. before i come to what's going to grab your attention over the next five days to come, the markets are looking choppy today. and things have soured particularly, in the first 32 minutes of trade. what's on people's minds? >> there's some money being taken off the table. there's very little in the way of economic news across europe and in the u.s., and on the corporate front, as well. investors are taking money off the table. repositioning themselves for the rest of the week. ve a busy week, in terms of economic and corporate news flow. >> the u.k. is in focus this week. we have the u.k. chancellor presenting the budget. that's on wednesday. but before that, we'll have inflation. inflation seems to be ticking down. is there any risk this could unsettle things the day before budget day? >> absolutely. we could get a shock in the inflation numbers coming out tomorrow. crude oil prices have been creeping higher for the last couple of months or so. they've broken out of range. they're trading up. that's going to impact on inflation. inflation has come up from 5% down, to about 3.3% here in the u.k. if we see a move to the upside, that limits the bank of england's hands. >> there's an option for $3.2 billion of credit default swaps, essentially insurance contracts on greek bonds. the own prime minister of greece has been saying, we're halfway there, guys. do you really think they are? and is this going to continue to dominate the agenda? >> i think the greece issue has moved on to the back burner at the time. and crude oil has taken its place. but greece is there. they look like they've received their second money due in a few days or so. if the situation worsens in greece, it will come back over to the surface in the next few months. the market seems to have taken -- e.u. ministers have taken steps to resolve the greek situation. they may have just about done enough for the short term. >> if we look at the economic recovery under way in the united states, we have home sales coming out later on in the week. how convinced are you that the things -- that the ball really is rolling in the right direction in the united states? and things are looking up sustainibly over the year to come? >> it looks more sustainable than it has previously. we have unemployment, from 9% to just above 8% in the u.s. retail sales figures that came out last week. they're moving to the outside. and this is vital for consumer-led economy, as well. and the housing market, which is down near its lows. that is starting to tick up. we expect new home sales to move up on friday. indicating that the u.s. economy is on a path of growth. but the federal reserve does keep qe3 in its back pocket. it's a weapon they can unleash if the market turns down again. >> great to have you on the show. andrew? >> not much on the horizon as far as economic news out of the u.k. or the u.s. but there is certainly one story that we've been following closely here. the global investment community has been following very closely. that's the story of apple. now, despite being one of the world's richest companies, apple had notoriously been cool to the concept of paying out a share of its profits to shareholders. but that should be about to soften for the first time in years. there's going to be a conference call with the ceo, tim cook, on monday. and he will be discussing what apple will do with its substantial bank balance. this is what the california company is sitting on, in terms of short-term equivalent. it adds up to $97.6 billion. it's probably a little more from that right now. dividend payments may be offered by apple, which would mark the first major change in direction for apple since the death of former ceo steve jobs. we'll keep you updated at 1:00 p.m. london, 9:00 p.m. here in hong kong. we're not expecting to hear from tim cook before the show. but certainly, a lot of people are watching this. it will be interesting to see if apple gets rid of some of that money. they're sitting on an enormous amount of money. you compare it to microsoft, and people talk about microsoft, how much money they've got, that's about $50 billion. apple doubled that. >> yes. considering it's on their way, someone is saying towards becoming the first trillion-dollar company anywhere in the entire world. still to come, a household name in china. but a man of little consequence elsewhere. that was until now. we'll tell you why the fires of the political chief in the chinese city of 30 million people could shine the strongest light on the inner workings of china ease party. oh dear! ohh dear... i'm not sure exactly what happened here last night. i was out helping people save money on their car insurance. 2 more! you're doing it! aren't they doing great?! hiiiiiii!! come sweat with me! keep going richard. keep sweating!! geico. fifteen minutes could save you sweat! sweat! fifteen percent or more on car insurance. [ female announcer ] weak, damaged hair needs new aveeno nourish+ strengthen. active naturals wheat formulas restore strength for up to 90% less breakage in three washes. for strong, healthy hair with life, new aveeno nourish+ strengthen. welcome back. you're watching "world business today" on cnn. >> more, now, on a developing story coming out of france this day. cnn has confirmed there's been a shooting at a school in the southwestern city of tulouse. details are very sketchy at this stage. the reuters news agency are reporting that three people are dead, two of those people children. that's the media reports at the moment. there's been suggestions that a motorcyclist was the gunman. and opened fire outside the school. if that's the case, it would be the third time in less than two weeks that a gunman has opened fire in the southwest of france. last week, three soldiers were killed just outside of tulouse. and another was shot in tulouse, the shooting was carried out by a motorcyclist. we don't know details at this stage, part of the fact there is a confirmed shooting at the school. three people are dead. two of those are children. that's where we are at the moment. we'll bring you more details as we get them in here at cnn. let's get back to news, now. one of the big stories we've been covering here in the last week or so, in asia. it is so rare for the outside world to get a glimpse into the inner workings of china's communist party. that's what we get today in china's biggest city. a massive metropolis of more than 30 million people. and the man at the center of the scandal, is bo xilai. his star has been on the rise in the party, until late last week. stan grant takes a look at what happened in the potentially far-reaching ramifications that china's system as well as its business climate. >> reporter: he has seen a lot in his 72 years. once the soldier, later the father of china's environmental movement. now, he's watching china gripped by more political intrigue and upheaval. this is a fight between the gods, he says. way beyond the reach of ordinary people. the gods, china's inner circle. the communist party inner bureau. in a year of transition, the secretive party is turning on one of its own. and not just anyone. the son of communist revolutionary hero. bo xilai rose through the ranks. more than 30 million people. he revived maoist slogans. he was slacked last week amid intrigue and rumor online that chinese media is celebrating his public disgrace. but in the restaurants, locals toast and praise him. >> i like him. >> reporter: on the streets, too. bo xilai has a lot of support. has the economy has grown, so has the population. more and more of workers like this lady, have flocked here, looking for a better life to earn more money. and they've been pleased with what they found. bo xilai has done so much for the people, this lady says. helping the elderly and the poor. the city is greener and safer. he locked up businessmen. but locals are left to pander why his right-hand man and former top cop, turned on him. dramatically seeking refuge in an american consulate. >> nobody can know. we know nothing. for a man who's seen it all this, is a public power play. he said that bo xilai overreached. too desperate for success. but in his downfall, there's a warning for the whole communist party. he treats ordinary people like his subjects. i think only when communist officials start treating people as their masters will the people start supporting the party. he has watched bo up close for years. and says we've seen the last of him. but he keeps watching. turmoil, he knows in china is never far away. this week, the cnn freedom project is shining a light on one country's efforts to eradicate slavery. the practice still thrives. as many as one of five currently stuck in forced labor. john sutter takes us there. >> there's one place in the world where slavery is still around. moratania, in 1981, became the last country in the world to abolish slavery. there was no punishment for slave owners until 2007. 10% to 20%, live in slavery today. we traveled to the country on the western fringe of the sahara, to see for ourselves. we would meet people who never knew freedom. people who escaped to find their lives hasn't changed. and abolitionists, who had been fighting slavery for years with minimal results. we weren't allowed to be reporting on slavery. it's a practice the government tries to hide from outsiders. but slavery is everywhere. we asked the head of an abolitionist group called s.o.s. slaves, to introduce us to people who had recently escaped from slavery. one woman we met is trying to bring her case to court. the government is keeping a close eye on her to stop her from telling her story. >> one woman's story. all this week, cnn.com will be highlighting the stories of all those affected in mauritania. like a former slave owner. and a woman who managed to escape slavery by hiding in the hull of a cargo ship. you can learn about it at cnn.com/freedom. okay. let's get back, now, to our developing story. a shooting at a school in france. jim bitterman joins us on the line now from paris. what do you know at this stage? >> we're having a lot of reports. >> there were two students and one adult killed in front of the jewish junior high school in tulouse this morning. this happened shortly after 8:00 local time, as the students were gathering for classes. police are saying that the caliber was used in the attacks in the toulouse area, involving soldiers. there's been three soldiers killed. and one severely injured over the last week. with exactly the same sort of operating circumstances. the killer arrives on a motor bike and starts shooting randomly. and that's exactly, apparently, what happened this morning, which led to the death of two students and an adult, according to reports we're getting now. we're hearing that the interior minister is on his way to toulouse this morning and find out what he can on the ground and reinforce whatever he can do to make sure the investigation is conducted properly. >> jim, just explain a little more about toulouse, if you could. what sort of a city is it? >> well, toulouse, a medium-sized city in france. an industrial city. there's a number of military bases around the toulouse area. people were looking at the idea that perhaps the soldiers were being shot in connection with their military activity. the base commanders, in fact, have issued an order, just for soldiers to not wear their military uniforms offbase because of the attacks that took place. or two separate attacks. one involving one soldier. one involving three soldiers. four victims. now, this attack, in front of the youish school. a couple of students, according to reports, killed. one adult also a victim. they're making the connection the basis of the fact, so far, it looks like the operating motives -- the operating circumstances of the killers are the same in both cases. the weapon is the same caliber in the attack that took place at the jewish school this morning and the same caliber that was used in the two attacks against the soldiers. i think toulouse is not the kind of city where this kind of thing happens. most of france, is not the place where this happens where you have random shootings like this. i'm sure the police will be all over this, trying to find out who is responsible and why. >> jim, thank you so much for that update. jim bitterman joining us on the line from paris. jim confirming there has been the shooting at the school. confirmation details are sketchy at the moment. it was a junior high school. a jewish junior high school. the shooting happening around 8:00 in the morning. three people are dead. it's e ee's understood that two those were students shot outside of the school. there's plenty more to come. so what do you think? basic. at meineke i have options... like oil changes starting at $19.95. my money. my choice. my meineke. welcome back from cnn in london. you're watching world business today. >> the co-founder of red bull died on saturday. it was worth taking a look at what his assets were. the multibillionaire mogul died from natural causes. he had a personal fortune of $5 billion. he was ranked 205th on the "forbes" rich list of billionaires on the planet. in 1987, he and his business partner founded red bull. since then, an estimated 30 billion cans of this particular drink have been consumed worldwide. that's it for this edition of "world business today." leaving you on a bit of a high note, andrew. considering we talk about red bull. i'm nina dos santos in cnn london. thanks so much for joining us. >> i'm andrew stevens in hong kong. we'll be back in a few hours for the opening bell. we'll be joined by mag can i lake. see you then.

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