Procedures not followed before the Texas Church Massacre . Plus, President Trump paging democrats, telling them that rich folks like them would take a bath under his new tax plan as we find out how much the middle class could pay. This is cnn breaking news. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the lead. Im jake tapper. Were going to start with breaking news in the politics lead today. A new cnn poll gauging what americans think of President Trump, with today marking, of course, one year since this nation voted him into the white house. This Progress Report comes one day after many voters showed up on election day to cast an antitrump vote, according to exit polls. Giving democrats key wins in several races. It comes with the president s longest International Trip yet. Stopping in china for todays high stakes. The factors at home that have Many Americans losing confidence in trump. Were going to go to cnn political director David Chalian at the magic wall. David, start with the big picture, how does the public think President Trump is doing in office . Here is the big picture headline, jake, brandnew poll numbers, a year after his election donald trump is not wearing very well with the american public. We asked people has your confidence in him after watching his statements and actions increased or decreased . Nearly twothirds say their confidence in trump has decreased since he took office. Take a look at how that splits up by party. Nearly a quarter of republicans have reduced confidence. And twothirds of democrats. 40 of americans say hes doing a good job keeping his campaign promises, but a majority, 55 , say hes not. Take a look how this has changed since we checked in on the 100day mark in april. 48 of americans said he was doing a good job keeping promises. Now thats down to 40 . You mentioned the foreign trip that the president s on. One of the other questions we asked, jake, is, do leaders of other countries respect President Trump . We asked those that took this survey that question. More than twothirds of americans say no. Only a quarter of americans say yes. When we asked that back in april, jake, that was 36 . This has gone down 12 points since april and thats largely driven by republicans. There is one big silver lining, and that is the economy. Take a look. 68 of americans say that Economic Conditions today are good, and, jake, go back to january. Look at that number it has been climbing all throughout trumps presidency. The economy is his silver lining. In fact, when we ask about his approval on the economy, of every issue we tested he does best on the economy. 45 approve, 46 disapprove. You may say those dont look like great numbers, but an even split right now, those are pretty good numbers for President Trump. One final question for you, looking ahead to 2020. I know its a little early jake, we just had 2017 election. Does donald trump deserve reelection . Nearly twothirds of americans say he does not. Thats the assessment a year after he was elected president , jake. All right. David chalian, thank you so much. I want to bring in my panel to talk about where the Republican Party goes from here. Neera, lets start with you. Those are bad poll numbers for the president , no question about it, but the outlook on the economy is stunningly good, especially considering the last decade and where the public has been. Is that not something that President Trump will be able or will potentially be able to convince the American People, hey, you like the economy, thats because of me . I think actually what you saw last night is that people are actually able to put things in two different boxes. They dont like trumps presidency. They do like the economy. They dont, you know, theyre not thats not what people are voting on. Theyre voting on and whats driving the vote is a repudiation of donald trump and his policies. He didnt just run even yesterday. Democrats came out across the country to vote against him and his policies. Now, the kind of policies hes put forward which have been incredibly divisive and one of the reasons i think the American People are rejecting him. There was an anniversary tweet that the president did today, david urban. Congratulations to all of the deplorables and the millions of people who gave us a massive 304 to 227 Electoral College land slide victory. I guess its not so unusual for politicians to focus on the positive, not the negative, even if the positive was a year ago and the negative is right now, but does President Trump need to address some of these issues that we see in this polling or the Election Results that we saw last night . So, i disagree with neera. Shocking. That this is, you know thats the first time. I know. That this is somehow a wholistic indictment of the president. The election or the poll numbers . Well, both actually. The poll numbers are a snapshot in time. The election was a wide swath in pretty narrow states that didnt vote for the president. I think virginia not surprising and new jersey not surprising. New york city not surprising. So im not so sure where the big shock is there. I do think that, you know, people vote their pocket books. You have these numbers on the economy are proof that whats going on in terms of cutting regulations, the president s policies on getting government out of business sector, allowing business for flourish, 5 trillion in stock market value creation. Those things are great. People vote their pocketbooks during the election and when hes on the ballot, think hell get reelected amanda, take a listen to virginia congressman scott taylor, former navy s. E. A. L. Talking about the democrats big win in the commonwealth of virginia. I think last night was a referendum. I dont think there is any way you can look at it differently, to be honest with you and be intellectually consistent. Hes a conservative, a former navy s. E. A. L. Hes not a trump basher. We have him on the show all the time. Hes not just someone who bashes President Trump. Are you concerned as a conservative who wants to see republicans do well in 2018 and 2020 . Any good political operative is going to look at the results from last night and see is there a trump protest vote . If there is, i believe there is, how big is it . This is the first time that donald trump has suffered any kind of political disciplining factor for his style, his substance because until last night, everything if it works, were winning, life is great. Continue, continue, continue on the trump train. Well, now there are some brakes that have to be applied to that train. So my question is how will donald trump react as the head of the party . A sensible republican leader would give people permission to distance themselves in competitive races, but judging from trumps tweet at ed gillespie last night where he essentially knifed him for not running on the trump agenda hard enough is not a good sign of things to come come politically from donald trump. I would say just a quick followup on that. The democrats did what they needed to do. They turned out big numbers. The grassroots, while the party may be completely discombob lated, the base, the grassroots, lots of turnout. Did a very face job. In suchen counties that we have lost in the past. Democrats picked up seats against republicans. They did a good job to amandas point, ed gillespie lost to a trump acolyte and i think republicans werent that excited about turning out. Its turnout. You have to turn out your base and your voters. Republicans didnt do that. He wasnt super excited. Corey did effectively move the race to the right. Corey stewart, the bannonesque republican candidate. Lets just say steve bannon this weekend claimed credit for Ed Gillespies campaign. He said this was the kind of campaign that i would run and he endorsed ed gillespie. The idea that he wasnt running a trumplike campaign is ridiculous. He ran on gangs and racial issues. He heavily racialized a race and i think what happened is a lot of people were disgusted by that and came out to vote against it. It turned out democratic votes. It did. It turned out College Educated white voters against trump. Abc news is reporting that bannon said he offered to gillespie twice to campaign with him and was furious when gillespie turned him down. Would that have changed anything, do you think . Listen, again, it may have driven voter turnout in Northern Virginia, but it may have also driven turnout in the more rural parts. In the southwest. Thats the problem ed gillespie had, right . He couldnt be too hot, he couldnt be too cold. The porridge had to be just right. Lets give amanda the last word. The speech that steve bannon recently gave which i think had a lot of interesting things in it had a great deal of bushbashing. Ed gillespie was a prominent figure in the bush administration. I could see how that would be a conflicting message to have bannon come in, bash the bush legacy which is essentially Ed Gillespies resume. Everyone, stick around. Hes come out publicly against President Trump so what does republican senator jeff flake think about the democrats winning night last night and its future on the impact of the party. Hes going to join us live next. Tmobile family plans now come with netflix included. Thats huge. Thats right. Tmobiles got your Netflix Subscription covered. When you get a family plan with two or more lines. Really . Thats incredible. So go ahead and watch however you want. Youre messing with me, right . All at no extra charge. 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Get medical help right away if you have trouble breathing, fast heartbeat, extreme drowsiness, swelling of your face, tongue, or throat, dizziness, or confusion. Ask your Health Care Provider if youre tresiba® ready. Covered by most insurance and medicare plans. Tresiba® ready were on a mission to show drip coffee drinkers, its time to wake up to keurig. Wakey wakey rise and shine oh my gosh how are you . Well watch this. I pop that in there. Press brew. Thats it. So rich. I love it. Thats why you should be a keurig man fullbodied. Are you sure youre describing the coffee and not me . vo all right is in the water. All right is in the air. All right says i do, all right says i dare. All right is how you feel. Because all right flows here. Only in jamaica. The home of all right. And were back with our politics lead. He was elected president one year ago tonight, but was President Trump also on the ballot again last night . We wanted to take a moment to step back and take a look at the governors race in battleground virginia and how the Democrat Ralph Northam beat republican ed gillespie in one of the first indications of how voters might be reacting to mr. Trumps presidency so far. Gillespie chose a strategy of trying to thread a needle. He distanced himself personally from President Trump, but accepted the president s support on twitter and campaigned with Vice President pence and pursued a Tv Ad Campaign that embraced many of the president s positions on issues such as immigration and confederate statues. An apparent attempt to win over the trump base and get them to the voting booths. Running ads like this one. Ms13 is a menace, yet Ralph Northam voted in favor of sanctuary cities which let dangerous illegals back on the street. I want to keep our statues up. Our history is our history and we need to teach it. Not erase it. Now, before election day, before yesterday, trump strategist steve bannon said, quote, i think the big lesson for tuesday is that in gillespies case trumpism without trump can show the way forward. If thats the case, democrats better be very, very worried. It was gillespies embrace of President Trumps agenda and his talking points that made the race close, bannon said. Of course, the race did not really actually end up being close, as most polling suggested it would be. Gillespie lost by almost 9 percentage points. When gillespie ran for senate in 2014, he only lost by. 8 . President trump quickly took to twitter last night to disown gillespie saying, quote, ed gillespie worked hard but did not embrace me and what i stand for. Many conservatives interpreted last nights election as a referendum on President Trump. Take a listen to republican scott taylor from virginia on cnn this morning. I think last night was a referendum. I dont think there is any way you can look at it in a different way to be honest with you. We took a look at the numbers. Here is the thing, gillespie actually did get his voters to the polls. In the deep red parts of virginia, he did better than the 2013 republican candidate for governor ken cuccinelli. He did better numerically than he did in 2014 when he almost won. In fact, ed gillespie got more votes than any republican candidate for governor in the history of the commonwealth of virginia ever. But ultimately Democrat Ralph Northam shellacked him with the largest margin for a victory for a democrat in virginia since 1985 thats was partly due to the huge turnout for the democrats in the suburbs. In loudoun county, in 2014 gillespie almost tied his democratic opponent in that county. This time the democrat took 60 of the vote. Better than Hillary Clintons share of the vote in 2016 and she won virginia. Better than the democratic governor in 2013. Now, granted it was a tough crowd for gillespie, this state. Onethird of the voter whos showed up were at least partly motivated for voting against donald trump, but in addition to that, it seems what gillespie did to rally his supporters successfully apparently also so turned off the suburban voter whos had once been willing to listen to him. His fate was sealed. Joining me now is outgoing republican senator jeff flake of arizona who has been a frequent critic of President Trump. Senator flake, thanks so much for joining us. Tell United States hs how you t republicans across the country should decipher last nights Election Results. I havent had the time to analyze it that you have. Weve had a bit of a busy day here. But i think weve seen the limits of how we can drill down on the base. Weve got to play addition rather than subtraction and i think that thats the message that we ought to take. And you seem to be suggesting gillespie was only focused on the base and not adding some of the swing voters, the moderate voters in the Northern Virginia suburbs, for example. I do think that we do better with a more inclusive message. So i think that that is something that we can learn from last night. Do you think your party is learning that from last night . Well, i dont know. Its just been 24 hours or less. So i hope we do. I think that was the case before. Well have blips. You can rile up the base and win an election here or there, but in the end youve got to, you know, appeal to a broader electorate. To suburban iteites. I dont think we are right now. At least not the administration. You told me last month that one of the reasons youre not seeking reelection you feared you wouldnt be able to win the primary in arizona because of the political climate. You said you didnt think you could win because at some point the fevers going to break but you dont think its going to be within the next year. Thats right. Do you think last night was a suggestion that the fever is breaking to any sort of degree . Well, that doesnt suggest that its breaking in a primary. I think the republican primary electorate is very much behind the president. Im just suggesting that that may not be enough to win general elections around. It may determine the type of candidate we get out of a primary, but it doesnt mean that you can win a general election. 39 of virginians in exit polls said that health care was their top issue. And obviously well, i dont know if you know this, actually, more than 70 of voter whos said health care was their top issue, they went for the democrat. Do you think that might change the republican calculation when it comes to the push to repeal and replace obamacare or at least in terms of what they might replace it with . Well, i know in arizona a lot of people are hurting because of obamacare. Certainly those who are trying to buy on the exchange. That has to be balanced by those who have benefitted from the medicaid expansion. Think every state will have to make calculations there. So it calls for certainly a well thought out response but i think were better off by repealing and replacing. The politics of how that plays into the election coming up, well see. I dont know. I havent looked at those numbers with regard to virginia but i certainly will. Last night, President Trump tweeted, quote, ed gillespie worked hard but did not embrace me or what i stand for. Dont forget, republicans won four out of four house seats and with the economy doing record numbers, we will continue to win even bigger than before. How many of your republican colleagues do you think find that convincing . Well, i do think that a lot of us recognize that were going to have to appeal to a broader electorate. Looking at demographics moving ahead, youve got to, you know, youve got to move on elections based on, you know, the population. I just dont know how you can have a hardcore message on so many areas like on immigration and appeal to a broader electorate. I just dont know how you do that. Do you think were going to start to see more Republican Office holders like yourself speaking out and distancing themselves from President Trump as we approach the midterm elections . I do. I do. I think on certain issues in particular, on immigration, for example, and on trade issues and things, i do think that youll see some distance there. Senator flake, stick around. Weve got lots more to discuss, including the new bill that you just introduced in the wake of that horrific shooting in texas. Coming up, were going to also look at some of the miss signals, the red flags about the shooter. From accusations of rape to domestic and animal abuse. Now what the Shooters School records reveal. Accused of obstructing justice to theat the fbinuclear war, and of violating the constitution by taking money from foreign governments and threatening to shut down news organizations that report the truth. If that isnt a case for impeaching and removing a dangerous president , then what has our government become . Im tom steyer, and like you, im a citizen who knows its up to us to do something. Its why im funding this effort to raise our voices together and demand that elected officials take a stand on impeachment. A Republican Congress once impeached a president for far less. Yet today people in congress and his own administration know that this president is a clear and preseanger whos mentally unstable and armed with nuclear weapons. And they do nothing. Join us and tell your member of congress that they have a moral responsibility to stop doing whats political and start doing whats right. Our country depends on it. Witness katy perry. Witness katy perry become a legal witness. Witness katy perry and left shark. Or a card shark. Grandma . Witness katy perry work. Witness katy perry firework. Witness katy perry swish. Witness katy perry. Aaaaaaw look at that dog katy perry with music videos and behind the scenes footage, xfinity lets you witness all things me. Were back with our national lead. Just minutes ago, Vice President pence received in texas to grieve with the Sutherland Springs community over sundays senseless shootings as more red flags continue to pop up from the killers past. They seemed to be there at almost every turn so how was he possibly able to legally get a gun and how can this be prevented in the future . Reporter animal cruelty, insubordination, attempts to carry out Death Threats, these are just some of the warning signs on record. Countless dots now beginning to connect far too late. Each of them are sort of warning you that this is someone who is not stopping. Reporter Devin Kelleys troubling paper trail shows a man who grew more violent over time. High School Disciplinary records show seven offenses including drug offenses and skipping class, but by 2012 he was facing Assault Charges and military court and he had escape from a Behavorial Health clinic where he was being held ahead of trial. Officers said he, quote, suffered mental disorders and had been caught sneaking firearms on to the air force base where he was stationed. After making Death Threats to his chain of command. Texas law prevents the the question is, was kellys visit involuntary as it seems to be . Was it then reported to the National Background check system as required . Stories like his have existed for, you know aball ll of manki. The difference today is the capacity to kill so many people so quickly with the weaponry we have in the United States. Reporter in military court, kelley pleaded guilty to aggravated assault against his wife and young stepson. Actions so violent, sources say, the toddler suffered a fractured skull. A history of Domestic Violence is yet another red flag that would prevent a gun purchase under current law. But it must be reported to the fbi to make any difference. Kelleys assault conviction resulted in him being discharged from the military for bad conduct, but the air force now admits it failed to relay kelleys conviction to law enforcement. Throughout his life, he essentially kept pushing the envelope and he never seemed to face the consequences that he needed to face for being the kind of person that he was. Reporter other red flags, in 2013, kelley was investigated for rape and Sexual Assault but he was never charged. A year later, animal abuse charges came after neighbors told Police Kelley was seen punching his pet husky. Was we see is the siloing of that information. The high school knew, the military knew, motherinlaw and the wife knew, but none of them are looking at this with a, you know, in totality. Reporter and finally, just days before the massacre, the pastor of this church told the sheriff he felt uneasy about the presence of kelley. He just said he didnt think he was a good person. Back with me is republican senator jeff flake of arizona. Senator, youve introduced legislation that would prohibit anyone convicted of Domestic Violence in civilian or military courts from acquiring a firearm. Now, reporting these types of convictions is already required by the military. The air force admits this was their failure. So tell me why this legislation is necessary. Well, the military courts simply dont always list or categorize Domestic Assault, they simply have assault. And its noted, i believe, most of the time, maybe all of the time, we dont know. Ive talked to the fbi a couple of times today trying to find out how many cases have actually gone to the system or some of the other databases. Only one since 2007 case of Domestic Violence was submitted to the nics system from the department of defense and the fbi tells us they cant tell us, they dont know how many cases are tracked to the ncic or the iii system. The law states theyre supposed to go to nics. Were trying to find out why they arent. The problem is if you just have a category for assault, that could be anything from a bar fight to something far, far more serious like Domestic Assault. Unless its specified, i think we need to clarify it to say you have to list it as Domestic Assault and then report it. Does an assault in and of itself also need to be inputted into the National Instant check system . It depends on what type of assault. In fact, the military system doesnt have misdemeanor or felony, so it could be something as innocent as a bar fight, which probably wouldnt impact somebodys ability to have a constitutional right to a gun or something far more serious. So since we have such a discrepancy in military courts as to how these offenses are categorized, think we need to stipulate it. I think its clear that that needs to be done in order to make sure that serious offenses like Domestic Assault are forwarded to the right system. It seems that this is a systemic problem in the military. Yes. In 2015, the pentagon Inspector General found 30 failure rate in submitting fingerprints and failure to properly report dates back literally decades. This is one example. I cant even think of what the number might be of other examples similar to what happened with the texas church shooter. Is the military taking this seriously . Well, its hard to give them a passing grade here. In this case, there were exactly three times when this individual should have been sent to the system. When he was involuntarily committed to a mental institution. Second, when there was probable cause that he had committed this crime. And then if probable cause if you send it there, if hes been exonerated, then its taken off but it should be sent there. And then obviously with the conviction. So for those who say we simply we have the law, we ought to follow the law, this law needs to be clarified with regard to criminal and civilian im sorry, military and civilian kourts. It needs to be standardized to make sure we capture all of these cases. Is there an appetite in the senate for whether its closing the loophole or clarifying what needs to be done or under no Uncertain Terms directing the pentagon to abide by the laws of this country. Right. Is there an appetite for this in the senate . I think we need to clarify the statute. Some people will say, no, all we need to do is direct the pentagon to better enforce it. I do think there is certainly going to be direction to the pentagon. The question is, do we clarify the statute . I think that we need to. I think that as we gather more information from the fbi, from these databases and from the department of defense, it will be clear that we need clarification to the statute. Republican senator jeff flake of arizona. Thank you so much for your time, sir. Good luck with your every or orts there. Just into cnn, north korea lobs an insult at President Trump. How kim jongun is reacting after President Trumps speech in his own backyard. Thats next. Its ok that everybody ignores me when i drive. Its fine, cause i get a safe driving bonus check every six months im accidentfree. And i dont share it with mom. Right, mom . Right. Safe driving bonus checks, only from allstate. Switching to allstate is worth it. Breaking news in our world lead now. North korea just responded to President Trumps speech last night in south korea. He called the president a, quote, lunatic old man according to a north korean state newspaper. President trump has since made the next stop in his asia tour in china today. Cnns sara murray is traveling with the president. Shes live for us right now in beijing. 15 and, sara, was the Trump White House prepared for this response from north korea . Reporter well, jake, i dont think the white house is going to be surprise, surprised to see a little bit of namecalling. Remember, there has been namecalling on both sides of this relationship but it is a stunning sort of callout from north korea to say the u. S. Should oust this lunatic old man, referring to President Trump. Its unclear if that was an article that was published before or after the president gave his speech in south korea. We didnt hear the fire and fury rhetoric. We didnt hear the namecalling for kim jongun, but he certainly had a lot of tough talk for north korea. He called for denuclearing that country. Were going to see him talk about that in the bilateral meeting today with president xi jinping in china but also with vladimir putin. Trump made very clear he wants to see both china and russia to step up their efforts to isolate north korea. Sara, youre in tomorrow, but here in the United States its the oneyear anniversary of President Trump being elected president. Last night, of course, was also a Major Political loss for him, especially in virginia. How is the white house reacting . Reporter well, the white house is kind of shrugging this aside. They look at what happened in virginia, certainly what happened with ed gillespie and said this is what happens when you dont wrap your arms fully around the president. Naturally the president took to twitter to air his feelings and said ed gillespie worked hard but did not embrace me or what i stand for. Dont forget, republicans won four out of four house seats and with the economy doing record numbers, by will continue to win even bigger than before. There is no doubt, jake, the president did throw his support behind ed gillespie. Gillespie lost by a pretty wide margin so its difficult to see this as anything other than a soul searching moment, certainly for republicans, about how they navigate their fights the white house view is, look, we we are doing a great job on the economy and if you want to win your race, you should wrap your arms more closely around the president. We will see if the republicans take that advice. All right. Sara murray in china, thank you so much. New information on the republican tax reform bill. Do the numbers add up . Is this really a tax cut for everyone . That story next. 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Were back with the politics lead. Especially in light of yesterdays election news, republicans in congress are desperate for a legislative win, but they may have hit a huge roadblock as they race together to put together a tax reform prosal. The problem is the bill in its current form breaks promises to cut taxes across the board for the entire middle class, also it breaks a pledge to stay on budget. Cnns Phil Mattingly joins me now live on capitol hill. Phil, House Republicans hope to pass the tax bill by next week before thanksgiving. How can they make the fixes and strike a deal before then . Is that even possible . Reporter yeah, it is, but its going to have to be quick and delicate. Look, there are a number of major outstanding issues theyve saved to the end of this process theyre going to need to shore up before they can move it forward. One of them is what you just mentioned, jake, who actually gets a tax cut here . I brought it up to kevin brady earlier today. Take a listen. One thing joint tax made clear is there is tax relief in every income bracket. As we continue to work through the bill and continue to look at these provisions, at the end of the day, im confident were going to have tax relief at every income level for many, Many Americans. Reporter every income level isnt every american. There is an understanding right now people will see their taxes go up in some areas. I have to tells you this, i think every american will be off. Heres why. That measures the wages and the taxes of it. What were trying to focus on arent paychecks. Unlike some unsenior republicans pledging tax cuts for everybody, kevin brady is saying there will certainly be tax cuts across the board but some people will see theirs go up. The Overall Economic argument is what leaders are focused on with their members right now. It will determine whether or not this bill has a future in the house, skbrak. Phil, while traveling in asia, President Trump called into a meeting of senate democrats. Sources familiar with the conversation tell cnn that President Trump told he would be a big loser under the current plan. Does his call alone show a sincere effort to bring democrats into the process, do you think . Reporter there has been outreach, no doubt about it. There have been meetings at the white house. There are real questions on the democratic side whether its actually serious. And i think some of them actually point to the call itself. The president talking, as you noted, saying direct quote, im told he would be a big loser. Thats a conclusion he came to after speaking with his accountant. If you look at the bill itself, at least the republican proposal out there whether its the estate tax, the repeal of the alternative minimum tax or what theyre doing on passthroughs, thats demonstrably false at this point in time. The big question for democrats is will there be any major changes beyond that outreach . Changes that theyre seeking. From what ive heard from the Senate Proposal coming out tomorrow, the answer right now despite what the president says about the plan touting its middle class benefits is no, jake. All right. Phil mattingly on capitol hill for us. Thanks so much. My panel is back with me. David, there has been talk on capitol hill by republicans that the tax bill in light of what happened yesterday, the tax bill should maybe be rewritten just to change it to make it more beneficial to the middle class. What do you think . Well, so ive not seen the entire bill and ingisted it, right . But there are lots of concerns. You have to educate people on, you know, raising their standard deduction. Really takes cares of lots of folks and itemization isnt as big of a deal. You lose your homeowner deduction because you get another credit. December 9th comes up. The cr runs out. This fiscal cliff, daca reform. Lots of things that have to happen before the end of the year. Republicans are in a squeeze and youre trying to pass this really complex tax bill. It becomes very, very challenging amanda, the estate tax, the elimination of the estate tax which benefits really the very, very, very wealthy, does that make it difficult to sell this plan . I dont think so. The way it would be messaged better is that there are essentially two tracks. There is a middle class tax cut coming and theyre going to do a lot for businesses. Estate tax, family farms falls under that business type of bracket. The big thing they really need to do a better job of explaining is, yes, a lot of these deductions are going to go away, but the big bet is if we double the standard deduction for the middle income family, a family of four 59,000 a year will get about 1,200 a year back. We have the bill. There are winners and losers. People between 20,000 t 20,000 40,000. They see on average a tax increase. Whats weird in this bill is they have Corporate Tax cuts that go in for ten years. From 35 to 20 . For a lot of the middle class tax cuts, the deductions, they phase out after five years. Thats the big question, why do you have phaseouts for people who are working and no phaseout for corporations . This bill is incredible unfair. Increases taxes for working class people. Lowers taxes massively for the wealthy and people like donald trump. The challenge is there is no process to get democratic participation in it. Its a partisan process. Were looking for 51 on either side. It adds to the deficit. The one thing is ed gillespie yesterday ran on a middle on a tax cut across the board, right . He campaigned on it. He did ads on it and he lost. And suburban voters where a lot of Republican House members are, suburban voters turned out against ed gillespie, even though that was his number one economic message. I dont know why Republican House members want to vote for a plan that is so unpopular with the plan. I dont know that they were voting against him because of his economic proposal. It didnt help him. It didnt help him. Let me ask you a question, david. Most middle class people will see a tax cut, but not all of them will. What neera just said, this weird little group, 20,000 to 40,000. They will see a tax increase. Shouldnt that be fixed . This is the first shot. This is the house bill. You heard what senator hatch said. This is a piece of legislation were youre going to have the president aligned on, the house and senate. Its all in their best interest to pass this. Theyre going to have to come to some consensus to get an agreement on it. I think the president wants to see something perhaps different than the house. They all want to see something different. Theyre going to have to get together. Its all in their best interests to have something accomplished, signed to run on. Thats what people need. And i think youre going to see it. Neera . I think republicans dont vote for something that they dont think is a good idea, right . Put forward a proposal that doesnt increase taxes on middle class families. So heres the thing, speaker ryan has the exact opposite idea as people who say maybe we need to rejigger this bill and make it more beneficial for the middle class. Speaker ryan saying if anything this puts more pressure on his party to deliver this bill as soon as possible. Take a listen. It just emphasizes my current reading of the moment. We have a promise to keep. If anything, this puts more pressure on making sure we follow through. How much of this, amanda, do you think is not so much about this bill but as much about the fact that republicans need to deliver something . They need to be able to go back to their voters and say, okay, obamacare, the repeal and replace didnt work and the wall isnt bill, et cetera, et cetera, but this is a major piece of legislation and we did get this done . Yeah, heres the think, a lot of people went along with trump and his victory and gave him the benefit of the doubt because they wanted to get things done. If they dont get things done and able to point to legislative victories they are forced to run on trumpism as cultural conservative issues. Will that work for someone mimicking trump in a place like minnesota which it seems that masha bla Masha Blackburn is doing . But where they compete with moderate dems, it isnt going to work. I dont know, why dont you pass something the people want . This bill is already unpopular. This happened with health care. We just have to pass something. Even though the American People dont like what youre passing. So heres an idea they do want a simplified tax code. Were losing sight of the big picture. It is going to be simpler. Taxes will go up for certain groups, but by and large middle class people are going to get a tax cut. People dont want a massive tax cut for the wealthy. People do want to drain the swamp. Neera, i dont know if you can categorize this as a massive tax cut for the wealthy. The vast majority of it goes to the vast majority of wealthy people. They pay the vast majority of taxes. 86 of this tax plan, the benefits go to the top 1 . That means its very skewed to the wealthy. To amandas point, there is a certain percentage of americans pay taxes, most of those people are at the top end of the bracket. Thats where the money comes from. We can argue about facts. Were not arguing facts, were arguing values. There is an alignment of issues here, right . The senate, the house and the president all want to see tax reform. They want to see it passed. They want an accomplishment to hang their hats on. You cant go campaign in the house or the senate if you dont have an accomplishment. Youre going to lose seats. Midterms are notoriously bad for the party in power. They need this. I dont understand when you pass something super unpopular you dont think that also hits you. Thank you. Thanks one and all. Big trouble in china. Three College Players from a storied basketball player arrested and confined to their hotel rooms in china. Could one of their fathers be digging the hole even deeper . Everyone deserves attention, whether youve saved a lot or just a little. At pnc investments, we believe youre more than just a number. So we provide personal Financial Advice for every retirement investor. Lead now. Just as President Trump starts crucial meetings in beijing, three ucla basketball players are out on bail after being arrested for shop lifting in china, according to espn. Its no small offense to the chinese. The players are on house arrest in their hotel. The players, including liangelo ball, the brother of lakers star lonzo ball are accused of stealing sunglasses from a nearby Louis Vuitton store. Liangelos father lavar was quoted as saying, quote, this aint that big of a deal. He is known for big stunts. Launching a 220 pair of flipflops. The 49yearold also once said he could beat Michael Jordan oneonone. Unless he was talking about nba on x box, im going to have to disagree with him on that. The players involved will be sitting out. Be sure to follow me on facebook and twitter jaketapper. Thats it for the lead. Im jake tapper. I turn you over to wolf blitzer. Hes right next door in the situation room. Thanks for watching. Happening now. Breaking news. Trust deficit. One year after a surprise election victory, our exclusive new cnn poll shows almost twothirds of americans say their confidence in President Trump has decreased and he doesnt deserve reelection. Whats the one bright spot for the president in the sea of plummeting numbers . Clean sweep. Decisive victories for democrats in elections in virginia, new jersey and across the country. One republican lawmaker calls it a referendum on President Trump. What does it bode for the gop in next years midterms and efforts to Pass Health Care and tax reform . Mission to china. President trump travels to beijing and receives a warm welcome in a