Sanders and warren, then compare to buttigieg plus klobuchar plus biden, New Hampshire voted for more moderates than progressives. Later others made similar observations including the l. A. Times who said if you lumped together the vote totals for sanders, and warren, klobuchar, biden, gabbard and yang a combined 58. 7 of the vote. Warren sputtered in New Hampshire. When she said there are only two states into the process, she was literally correct. But one of those states is her neighbor and twothirds of New Hampshire is reached by the boston media market. Meanwhile, mayor pete has come nowhere to distinguish himself unlike Bernie Sanders hes running in in a lane that is crowd eye by amy klobuchar. Both hope to with a morse diverse electorate gets in, say, nevada and south carolina. Of course, waiting in the wings is Mike Bloomberg according to a consult survey is running third behind sanders and buttigieg. What does it mean, right now, until warren gets her mojo back, bernie has the best path where the democratic middle is muddled. That realization is causing angst for those who fear that a democratic position is problematic. Representative Cedric Richmond said in a Conference Call that sanders would cause downballot carnage if selected. So will anyone arrive in milwaukee with the requisite 1901 delegates needed for the nomination . Probably not. Post 2016, super delegates, leaving those wonder if the 731 party elders puts someone like sanders over the top. We talk about a brokered convention every four years. Maybe this is the year that comes to pass. I want know what you think. Go to the website at smerconish. Com this hour and answer this weeks survey question. Will any of the democratic president ial candidates win the nomination on the first ballot . With me now political reporter at the nevada independent megan mehserle. Megan, looking forward to next saturday in nevada. Its a caucus state. Caucus states usually reward passion, where does the passion reside in nevada . I think theres no surprise that a lot of that passion right now is behind Bernie Sanders. Weve seen him have an Excellent Organization here in the state. Hes by far the biggest operation, 250 plus staffers on the ground right now. And voters are energized by iowa and New Hampshire. Hes well position here even better positioned coming out of those contests. At the same time, i think were seeing folks sort of rallying behind Pete Buttigieg as well. He was slower to build his operation in the state. He does have that Team Momentum coming out of the iowa and New Hampshire. And i think hes hoping to capture that with the team hes bit here. And he does have the organizational capacity he needs to harness that energy and translate those results into early voting and the caucus next saturday. I reference the fact that early voting begins today. So that may sound odd to some folks that you can vote today and for four days but then theres a caucus. What happens . How do they treat those ballots that are cast in the next four days . Right. Its a really interesting procedure theyve designed, et cetera essentially folks beginning today can go to roughly 80 early voting sites across the state. You have to go to one in your county. But you can go to any one in your county and you can cast your president ial votes early. The way those are designed, the president ial preferences will flow back to your home precinct on caucus day just if youve been in person alongside your all of your neighbors preferences. Theyre requiring up to five. Thats because of the realignment process. If your candidate doesnt have 15 at your caucus, your candidate isnt viable so you have to pick a different one. So theyre asking early votes to pick multiple choices in case their candidate doesnt make the cut on the day of caucus. So its a rank system essentially for those who vote in the next four days. Megan, what is the Culinary Union and why does it matter so much . Yes, the Culinary Union here in nevada. Theyre the most politically powerful union known for turning the tide in close elections. They represent about 60,000 Hotel Workers across the state. They announced this week that they will not be endorsing in the democratic president ial race. Theres been a lot of speculation of whether they would get in. Joe biden was rumored to be the favorite. He was actually the on candidate that the union sector to treasurer mentioned by name in their nonendorsement announcement calling joe biden a friend. So this decision by the culinary is sort of leveling the playing field. The support for public option and not medicare for all. And the union has health strufts and its strongly opposed to any medicare for all that would get rid of their union health care. Final question, joe biden counting on a more diverse electorate that hell face in nevada or that he had in New Hampshire or iowa. How does he stand among folks of color, as best we know . Yeah, he has a long relationship with folks here in the state. When i talk to organizers, working with communities of color, they say that trust is built over time. And the candidates that have just showed up in the cycle and just starting to build relationships with communities of color. And joe biden has done that. Came out here in this 30s, a campaign for harry reid. And hes been Barack Obamas running mate. He has that relationship. Hes expected to do well with voters of color. But were waiting to see with his performance in iowa and New Hampshire whether those voters are going to take a look at someone else. Megan, well done. Thank you so much. Thank you. As we get further into primary season a contested convention seems to be more than a farfetched possibility. Here to break it down is cnn Political Writer and analyst, harry enten. Harry, we talk about it every four years might this be the year . I think it could be. My god, the fantasy might actually come true. Ill just tell you, looking at the earlier results weve seen so far in this primary season, i really do think its possible. I think we should point out what the contested convention is, right. Its basically the idea that no candidate on the first ballot will have a majority of delegates. And right now, based upon the results of the first few contests, it seems that the democratic field is so messy. And looking at the national polls, its so messy, you know, that this could in fact really happen this year. Does the smoothest path at this stage appear to be that for Bernie Sanders for the reasons that i offered in my monologue, which it to say, that if warren has lost her mojo, youve got a lot of those socalled more centrist democrats jammed in the center lane, leaning to bernie on the far left . Yeah, to an extent, thats true. But as we were talking about what you need is a majority of delegates. You dont just need a plurality of delegates. As you pointed out in the intro, yes, Bernie Sanders has done well. Essentially tying in iowa and he won in New Hampshire but use the state of in that or use iowa as an example, right . Look at 2020. Look at this, this is all of the candidates of which candidates have received 15 of the vote for more going back to 1992. The democrats a lot with a 15 threshold. Every year through here, there were no years at which four candidates received at least 15 of the vote or more. In iowa, what happened, we had four candidates reach 15 of the vote or more. That is the type of formula that we need for a contested convention. Even if you look at New Hampshire it was the first democratic primary in history at which three candidates received 20 of the vote more. You combine a messy field and that is exactly the formula that you need for a contested convention. Harry, in the wall street journal, carl rowe royvoiced i this way, the front row means that 40 of delegates will be selected by march 4. Do the math. Say the frontrunner after super tuesday has 35 of the delegates selected that far, he must then have 60 of delegates in the remaining contests to have a firstballot victory at the democratic convention. Thats not impossible but it will be hard to do. Do you buy into that mindset . I absolutely do buy into that mindset. The fact is the calendar is the calendar and they frontloaded the calendar, right . By super tuesday coming up in a few weeks, youll have 38 , i believe of the delegates all of them totallyallocated. By the end of march, 65 are allocates. Unless the field can get its group together, right, all of a sudden, preferences start rolling whereby we have two people. As long as you can two or three people picking up delegates and reaching that 15 threshold, weve seen that multiple candidates can do that. Thats the formula, right . Its not just one candidate and a weak frontrunner, what you really need is multi fiple candidates reaching that 15 threshold. I have to be honest with you, michael. I study this stuff. I watch all of the Election Night tape. This is something that weve simply never seen before. I think its time that we recognize that in fact this is a real possibility. Harry, well done. Thank you so much for being here. Shalom, my friend, be well. What are your thoughts . Go to my facebook page. What do we have, kathryn . This comes from facebook. Ill believe in a brokered convention when i see it. I know, russ, you hear it from people like me every four years that, wow, this could go down to the wire. But harry just made a really compelling case, did he not . And what happens is, if someone cannot break out on super tuesday, then they really need a stronger showing from that point forward. By the time our heads hit the pillow on march 3rd, 38 of the delegates will have been selected. And you got a lot of candidates still on that stage who seemingly arent going quietly into the night. Of course, it all depends on money in the end whether they can hang in. I want to know what you think. Go to my websit website smerconish. Com. Answer my question, will any of the democratic president ial candidates win the nomination on the first ballot . Up ahead, Mike Bloomberg has been rising from the polls without debating. But he could qualify for the one this wednesday. How might he do . Well, we have asked one of nations foremost debate coaches to watch hours of prior bloomberg debates. And he is here to tell us what he learned. Plus, President Trump is unusually fond of reminding everyone how short Mike Bloomberg is. But does height matter in elections . And why is the president so obsessed with calling his adversaries little. Little michael will fail. Little marco. Little rocket man. Little pencil neck adam schiff. Stands 63, not 62. At visionworks we guarantee you will see great and look great. Guaranteed we say that too youve gotta use these because we dont mean it. Buy any pair at regular price, get one free. Really visionworks. See the difference. 45 plus at average risk. Ive heard a lot of excuses to avoid screening for colon cancer. Im not worried. It doesnt run in my family. I can do it next year. No rush. Cologuard is the noninvasive option that finds 92 of colon cancers. You just get the kit in the mail, go to the bathroom, collect your sample, then ship it to the lab. Theres no excuse for waiting. Get screened. 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A gentle, nonacid amino sugar exfoliant that works within the surface and boosts cell turnover by 10x. For brighter, wideawake skin. Bright boost. Pair with illuminating serum for 3x the brightening power. Neutrogena® wean air force veteran made of doing whats right,. Not whats easy. So when a hailstorm hit, usaa reached out before he could even inspect the damage. Thats how you do it right. Usaa insurance is made just the way martins family needs it with hasslefree claims, he got paid before his neighbor even got started. Because doing right by our members, thats whats right. Usaa. What youre made of, were made for. Usaa President Trump seems obsessed with Mike Bloombergs height or lack thereof. The president who is either 62 or 63 depending on the source has used diminutives to describe his adversaries even if theyre not short. Little marco, little mike, and little rocket man. Stature seems all that trump can talk about, quote, mini mike is a 54 inch of dead energy who does not want to be on the debate with these professional politicians. No boxes, please. He hates crazy bernie and will with enough money possibly stop him, bernies people will go nuts. And mini Mike Bloomberg hes a looser who has money and cant debate has zero presence. Many has low energy bush but jeb has more political still. So far, Mike Bloomberg has been swatting back. Put it on the screen. Donald trump we know many of the same people in new york. Behind your back, they laugh at you and call you a carnival barking clown. They know you inherited a fortune and skwauquandered it w stupid deals and i have the record to defeat you and i will. Heres what he says about the height issue. Somebody said, you know, that hes taller than me, he calls me little mike. And its answer is, donald, where i come from, we measure your height from your neck up. Joining me now to discuss is greg murray, professor of Political Science at augusta university. The editor of the journal pa politicipau politics and heres Donald Trumps drivers license, hes shown to be 62, i found my High School Football program where i listed might height as 510 in truth, im 59. And im not alone. Put on the screen, kathryn what was discovered. Mens Health Magazine once looked at publish heights and checked them against reality. It found that Charles Bronson was 2357, not 511 and burden reynolds was 58, not 511. Professor murray, how tall are you . I, sir, am i proud 59 tall. The height of typical american male. What is the relationship, because youve studied the relationship. Is there a correlation between height and electability at the president ial level . You know what its crazy. As a scientist, i studied this, im probably a great person to do it because i am so skeptical of it. I have studied a lot. And i continue to find it over and over again. Yes, there does seem to be some sort of relationship between an elected leader and a leaders height and how he or she is perceived. Male candidates, there is a relationship, we tend to as humans prefer bigger leaders who are more have more physical form and ability. And theres some other reasons scientifically this becomes interesting in terms of people who are bigger, tend to be more likely to think that they are qualified to be a candidate. And more likely to express interest in being a candidate for public office. Why do you think thats the case . Whats underlying that conclusion . Well, you know, weve talked to a lot of people about this. And thought a lot about it. And its really hard again, this is one of those crazy things in Human Behavior that you find. The explanation that weve come up with primarily is this has to do with humans revolutionary past. And it was viviolent. And what the argument that weve made and other people have made in the Human Evolution history, it was violent. People who had allies who were of great physical stature, were more able to acquire and protect vital resource, food, shelter and mates, than people who didnt have physically formidable leaders, because the idea was the physically formidable people would jump in if they got challenged and somebody tried to take those resources from them. Weve created a graphic if we can put it on the screen which shows where would president bloomberg fall . I need to make this clear, there is precedent for electing individuals of his statue as president of the united states. Youve got to go back a while, but there it is on the screen. Yes, no doubt. And it happens. And you think in current days when people are on tv, theyre not standing next to each other. That this would not have as big of an effect as it has. But it continues to have an effect. And as you notice, these candidates sort of beat up with each other on it. They system to think theres an effect as well. I took a look at coyour research. This is fascinating. So you asked subjects to draw a leader, versus draw a common individual. They drew leaders who were taller. Then, you correct me if im wrong, when asked about their own leadership potential, the individuals in your sample who were taller were more inclined to view themselves as leaders. Thats exactly right. You summed it up properly and perfectly. And it is a very interesting fact. Actually, i think the bigger question from a scientific perspective at least. And i am a scientist, its the latter point that you make that folks who are larger in size are more willing to throw themselves throw a hat in the ring to run for office. As we all know, and you talk about every saturday on your show, running for office is a brutal process. And it takes some courage to do it. And thats part of, i believe, physical statue is part of the formula that pushes some folks forward into deciding they will do that. Hey, what do we know . Were just a couple of 59 guys, right . Thank you, yes. Thank you, professor. Appreciate your expertise. Thank you, sir. Let us see what youre saying on my smerconish and twitter and facebook pages. This comes from twitter. Trumps degrading of people by using little is probably due to him being a bully of excessive mass and volume. Adrienne, its probably very important to him. Heres Something Else we know about the president , nothing impresses so much as the size of an individuals wallet. On that score, on that ledger, bloombergs got him beat. Which is why i think he retreats to height because he cant talk money with mayor bloomberg. Make sure youre answering the survey question smerconish. Com. Will any of the democratic president ial candidates win the nomination on the first ballot . Up ahead, horrible and very unfair, thats what the president tweeted for the decision over roger stones sentence. Now theres controversy over whether a. G. Barr is trying to get it reduced. What if the recommendation was unfair . And youre going to love this, Mike Bloomberg is polling so well that he may qualify for this weeks debate which would be his first in more than a decade. How will he do . I asked one of the nations top debate coaches to go to the videotape. And heres what the president thinks. Look, hes a lightweight. Hes a lightweight. Youre going to find that out. Hes also one of the worst debaters ive ever seen. And his presence is zero. I didnt have to shout out for help. Because you didnt have another dvt. Not today. One blood clot puts you at risk of having another, so we chose xarelto®, to help keep you protected. Xarelto® is proven to treat and reduce the risk of dvt or pe blood clots from happening again. Almost 98 of people did not have another dvt or pe. 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I look around this room and i see nothing but untapped potential. You have potential. You haveoh boy. Geico. Fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. With Jackson Hewitt upload your tax docs and connect with a tax pro from home taxes done and ready for review within 24 hours, guaranteed, or your tax prep is free. Taxes fast and easy with Jackson Hewitt. Hey, our workers comp insurance is expiring. Should i just renew it . Yeah, sure. Hey there, pie insurance here to stop you from overpaying for workers comp. Try pie and save up to 30 . Its easy. Sweet get a quote in 3 minutes at easyaspie. Com. So what kind of debater is Mike Bloomberg . As the upstart billionaire candidate continues his rise in the polls he could qualify for the next democratic debate wednesday in las vegas. He needs to hit 10 or more in four dnc recognized polls. Well, hes already hit that in three. He just needs one more before 11 59 p. M. Tuesday night. But does he actually want that to happen . Or has his strength so far partly derived from staying out of the fray . His previous debate experience was three times that he ran for new york city mayor, 2001, 2005 and 2009. So the last time that he did it was over a decade ago. What can we glean . I asked dr. Todd graham to review hours of bloomberg tape he did. Hes the executive university in carbondale, his debates have won five national championships. Three times hes been named National Debate coach of the year. Todd, thank you so much for doing this. I know it took a lot of time. Ill talk style and substance. But lets begin with style. What do you get from bloomberg stylistically . Well, you know, i hate to say this, sometimes President Trump is absolutely right when he does sort at look at other people, especially on television, because he has a lot of experience there. I was watching your clip earlier of President Trump saying that bloome had low energy and zero presence. Ive got to be honest, ive never seen bloomberg in a debate. I watched these three debates and trumps not wrong. Mike bloomberg doesnt have a great deal of presence. What i wrote was that he was very sort of dry, informative, sort of matter of fact like, but he doesnt have a lot of volume variety. A lot of rate variety, like the rate at which he speaks, so, yeah, theres a point to hes a very dullish debater. Is that necessarily a bad thing . Now thats a good question. It is not a necessarily bad question. Indeed, i think it would be a benefit debating oneonone, et cetera specially with donald trump. We could talk about him standing up for himself, he wouldnt have a trouble. I think he would be a nice contrast to trump. The problem is, doing a large democratic debate where he might be five other people, hed be the six debater that might lead you into a little more trouble because you really do need to have a little more pop in the debate stage. When its a big stage, a lot of people on stage. Especially because First Impressions matter, michael. A lot of these debates, its the first time ive seen any of these candidates debates. This will be the first time that Mike Bloomberg has ever been seen by the majority of the american public. And First Impressions do matter. If he comes out with a dry approach, i think hell be overwhelmed by the five democrats on stage. Lets go to the tape. This is Mike Bloomberg in 2001. Roll it. Elections are about choices. And choices are made based on character and accomplishment and potential. When it comes to character, i think anybody thats known me for the last 59 years will tell you that i am honest, i am loyal. Sometimes, to a fault. I speak my mind. I always try to be realistic. When it comes to accomplishment, ive built a business. Ive hired 8,000 people. Ive negotiated contracts, dealt with unions. Met budgets. Delivered things on time. Todd, in his tweets recently, hes been pithy. Hes had oneliners. Ive shown some of them today. How about on the debate stage . Is he prone to zingers . Not really. And heres the problem because ive seen those tweets as well. Ive seen some of those comments and so when you asked me to watch these three debates, i thought the personalities that i saw online on those tweets was going to come out in the debates. And to be honest, it really didnt. What you just saw there, you just played a clip that was his closing of the debate. There was no question that was his pitch. You can vote for me because i get things delivered on time. Just had no energy and enthusiasm. And that wont play well on the democratic stage coming up. So he needs to have more energy. Okay. Yeah. I want to show you body language. Kathryn roll the body language cut that we have and let todd analyze this. A lot of use of the hands. Im a very active speaker. What do you make of this, todd . This is a mirroring gesture. I actually call this working at amazon because hes lifting those boxes. Hes moving those boxes around. I see this a lot in public speakers. Its not a bad deal. Its just a mirror. Its a mirroring deal with gestures. I dont think the gestures are going to be any kind of a problem there. I think hell be fine with them. Hes comfortable enough with them. If the last few days are any indication, hes going to be under fire. I want to show you mayor bloomberg in 2009, in the debate. Roll that. Then well talk. I think youre wrong. It wasnt the fourth grade in the city. It was the four grade in the state. The citys test scores dont come out until next month but were optimistic and show real progress. But what you cant escape that the progress in the schools is very different than back in the days when bill thomason ran the schools. He was correcting the moderator and taking control again of that stage. Respond to that. The moderator actually just made a mistake. The clip that you played had bloomberg correcting the moderator. Saying, no, youre wrong about this. Its this. Thats what i mean about the matter of fact way he debates. He will stand up for himself. So dont mistake someone who is calm in demeanor as someone who doesnt push back. I did wash him in several different events in the debates push back. He really likes to get the last word in. Hes a wealthy man. He was the mayor of the largest city. You know, hes not going to take flak from anybody. Hes certainly going to push back. Its just in a more subtle sort of a way. A more subtle style. And he has faced some of the same questions that im sure hell get wednesday if on the debate stage. This is 2005, the charge of him buying the election. Roll it. If youve done such a good job as youve claimed, why the need to spend so much money . Well, first, let me say thank you for having me and thank you to the sponsors. Let me get to the question. Im trying to get my message out to every community in the city. It costs a lot of money. I dont have a big democratic machine behind me. The city is 5 to 1 democratic. Im trying to have a good record. Im trying to tell everybody exactly what will weve done. And im trying to focus on what we still have to do. This citys gone in the right direction, i believe, but we can do an awful lot more. And explaining the facts to the people takes time, it takes organization. And it takes a lot of tv time. Dr. Todd graham, how effective an answer to the buying the election question did he have then . I thought that was a pretty decent answer. I mean it does take money to win elections now. But the deal is he can actually expand on that answer, he can make it even better because right now, he has the perfect middle ground. I think this is a positive that hes selffunding it. Yes, hes going to take flak. Hes buying an election. The other democrats arent happy about it. But heres the problem, Pete Buttigieg has been making arguments in the debate because he takes money from big donors that we should take all of the money we can get because were in this, as Pete Buttigieg said were in the fight of our lives we got to use all of the tools in the toolbox. Heres what im taking away this is what im taking away from dr. Todd graham that oneonone with trump, the contrast could be to bloombergs advantage that understated factual deadon approach. But distinguishing himself on a crowded stage is more problematic. Yes or no . Did i get it . You got it absolutely right. Remember, rising expectation is real. If people expect bloomberg to be this big persona on stage. And the first time they see him hes not that, plus, hes getting attacked by all of the other democrats who are talking about the billionaire class, et cetera, i think that could really hurt him in a democratic primary debate. In fact, one of his former advisers said he should probably sit out the debates until at least the super tuesday debates. Yes, that was eric weirson. Thank you dr. Graham. Appreciate it. From facebook, what do we have kathryn . Bloomberg must debate asap. We need to see what hes made of. Well, do you really get a judge of a man or woman in a 60secreta60 second debates . Ive watched them. Ive been present for many of them. Who can get it down in 60 seconds. Frankly, i think ill be a hell of a debater with the training ive gleaned here every saturday. I think i can get it done in 60 seconds. Does that make me a good president . Not necessarily. I want you to answer the question on smerconish. Com, will any of the democratic president ial candidates win the nomination on the first ballot . Still to come, seven to nine years, that was the recommended sentence for trump associate roger stone that was overruled this week by the justice department. 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The president s longtime political adviser roger stone asking for a new trial. Court documents were filed under seal friday, potentially delaying his sentencing originally scheduled for this thursday. On his conviction of lying to congress and witness tampering. Federal prosecutors now have until tuesday to respond to stones request for that new trial. The latest development caps off a chaotic week regarding his case after attorney general william barr confirmed thursday that he personally stepped in to overa overrule the prosecutors recommendation of seven to nine years in prison for stone. That came hours after trump tweeted that the recommended sentence was horrible and very unfair. Although barr said he made the decision before the president s tweet. With me now the chair of the white collar defense time at holland and knight, a former u. S. Attorney john brownlee. Youll remember that he successfully represented bob mcdonald in a Corruption Case that went to the supreme case of the united states. Counselor, ten years you spent in the justice department. You were a u. S. Attorney. Now youre a private practice defense lawyer. I think youre well suited to answer this question. Is seven to nine years excessive for roger stone . I think it is. I think that, if you look at the other types of cases that have come into the justice department, basically, this is a case about making false statements and encouraging others to do the same, the seven to nine years is well outside of the heartland of these kinds of cases. What the prosecutors have done, like many prosecutors do, they got their conviction and now theyre seeking a very high sentence. But if you kind of look at other cases that have been brought in the way that the guidelines were calculated, seven to nine years is excessive. And my guess is his sentence will be significantly less than that. I know that you know this federal judge. How do you think that shell respond, if at all, to all of the discussion, the controversy, the Media Coverage in the last couple of days . Right. Judge jackson is very experienced. Shes been on the bench almost a decade. He was a federal prosecutor herself. She was a very well respected defense lawyer at a law firm. My sense is she will put things aside. Look at the facts, look at the law, look at the other cases and look at where others have been sentenced and find an appropriate sentence that is significantly less than what the government had requested. Is there an analogous case, is there something that youre thinking of a highprofile Corruption Case that this reminds you of that you can say soandso got x years . Yeah, the libby case comes to mind. Mr. Libby was convicted of making false statements. It had political nature to the case itself. He received 30 months. His sentence was commuted so he never actually served a sentence but it was 30 months. General cartwright, he was the former vice chairman of the joint chiefs of staff. He was convicted of lying to the fbi with a leak with regard to the media. His guide range was zero to six months. He was actually pardoned by president obama before his sentence came. You also have general petraeus, he had pleaded to mishandling information. He also had been not truthful to the fbi. He received a misdemeanor and no jail time. So the range on these is probably somewhere between one and two years. I think in mr. Stones case, the fact that the government really uses to try to jack up the sentence is an eightpoint bump in the guidelines, what he allegedly did is threaten another witness with physical harm. Now, that witness has come forward and said he didnt view it as physical harm. I think he said something in a text about that. So that is a factual thing that the court will have to review and make a just on. But, again, i think those cases are more in line with what youll see as opposed to seven to nine years. John brownlee, that was excellent. Thank you so much for offering it. Thank you very much. Still to come, your best and worst tweets on Facebook Comments like this from facebook. Seven to nine years, rather vindictive, leave the old man alone. Does not endear anyone to the tactics used over the last three years. And i wanted to hear from mr. Brownlee. Because of his credentials. A u. S. Attorney, spent ten years in the u. S. Justice department and now is a criminal defense lawyer. And tells us straight down the middle that seven to nine was on the excessive side. I hate people weighing in on this. They like the president so they think that stone is getting screwed. Or they dislike the president and they want the book thrown at him. Roger stone should be sentenced this week or whenever it occurs based only on the facts of the case. Coming up, well give you the results of the question smerconish. Com. Quickly vote, will any of the democratic president ial candidates win the nomination on the first ballot . Rk of tough messes. Dawn takes care of tough grease, wherever it shows up. Scrub less, save more. With dawn. Wherever we want to go, we just have to start. Autosave your way there with chase. Chase. Make more of whats yours. You will see at vgreat and look great. Ee guaranteed we say that too youve gotta use these because we dont mean it. Buy any pair at regular price, get one free. Really visionworks. See the difference. Dont just plan to retire. Plan to live. An annuity helps cover your essential monthly expenses, so youre free to live the life you want. Find out how an annuity can give you Lifetime Income at protectedincome. Org a former army medic, made of the we maflexibility to handle camembers like kate. 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Yes, i think its going to be brokered convention and the bernies bro will cause chaos. Heres what i heard, i wouldnt be surprised if somebody comes out with the lead but not the nomination. I hear that and it makes intuitive sense of the but theres a reason why they set a threshold at 1,991. And if you dont get there, you havent made it happen and the convention serves the surprise of who will be the most competitive. Heres another from social media. Which democratic candidate would benefit most from a brokered convention . Well, yvette, the 771 super dell gets dont get to weigh in until the second ballot. I know people are critical of that and say why dont they get a say. The logic is they are elected officials. They know something about the process, they know something about what it takes to get elected, but they get ridiculed by some. I think theres a purpose they serve. They can pick out a conventional candidate. You can figure out who that might be. Join me for my shows, st. 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Right now president ial candidates are in nevada, exactly one week before the caucuses there. Early voting starts today. While the candidates are trying to win over the voters, the Nevada Democratic party is trying to calm worried people. The party has taken steps to avoid the chaos we saw in iowa, scrap planned plans to use the same app that caused problems in iowa and the party said it worked with google too create a caucus calculator