Huge trove of kavanaugh documents. The economy humming along. The Unemployment Rate has falln to 3. 7 , its lowest since 1969. Ill ask james car vel is it still the economy, stupid. And the Senior Adviser for trade and manufacturing. Plus mike pompeo and nikki haley attacking formersic reitary john kerry. And where does kerry think the country is heading . And what we just witnessed is a simpment, not a cause. We should all agree on one thing, what was once regarded as the worlds premier body is now almost void of independence. Its divided 5149 in favor of republicans. Yesterday was decided by that same margin. One republican, one democrat. In other words 50 republicans saw it one way, while Lisa Murkowski went another. While democrats, only joe manchian agreed. So why tid congress . While they were consumed with partisan ranker, a Michigan StateUniversity Professor published a study documenting the polarization among elected officials is autoa modern alltime high. And cannot get any higher. Dr. Zachary neal performed a unique study. He studied data showing who sponsored bills in congress between 1973 and 2016. The average member of congress co sponsors only about 200. And what usually determens what theyll co sponsor, the Party Affiliation of the proposer. One solution to the problem would be the election of more sentrists to congress. Heres potential good news. Stanfords Hoover Institution published this. Polarization, party sorting and political stalemate. Americans are no more politically divided now than we were in the 70s. Its the partyies and politicians that have sorted into narrow groups that dont represent many of the rest of us. But the typical democrat or Republican Voters has not adopted extreme idialogical views. Its personal now. But gnaw issue driven. And according to the latest gala poll just 26 of americans call themselves republicans, 27 democrat, 44 say im an independent. The point is this, yes, theres Political Division in the nation. Too much. But congress is in much worse shape than the rest us. After republican Susan Collins speech, democrats held the floor for debate overnight, including senator merkley who dade shift last night and again early this morning. While you and your call oogss were on the floor, you may have missed something. Bill mahr said Something Interesting. It does seem like things have morphed from listen to anyone to everyone whos been wronged to automatically believe. Thats what is scary. Does he have a valid point . I couldnt catch the beginning of that but was the gist that we should listen to women who assert their stories of assault . Yeah, its that we should lisson for sure and be fair and judge what theyre saying but not automatically believe. He articulated a concern that somewhere along the way the me troorr movement has shifted into youve but to fwhifb benefit of the doubt to the woman whos make thing claim. And that continues until now where so many of these arguments are he said, she said and society automatically attacks the woman and doesnt look into the cred canability of her presentation and we saw that senate did exactly that. This fbi investigation, for example, that was directed and narrowed by a scoping document by the white house did not talk to a single one of the eight individuals that dr. Ford asked them to speak to. And they did not speak to one of the 20, not 20, zero of the 20 vinyls that Debbie Ramirez asked to be talked to. And so it was set up simply as he said, she said. These sort of things cannot be determined. You have to have a pattern of corroboration and if you deliberately exclude who can corroborate, then its a sham. Not fbis fault because theyre only able to talk to the people theyre instructed to on these background investigations. On that subject of corroboration, your colleague Susan Collins said Something Interesting in her speech. I believe that she is a survivor of a Sexual Assault and that this trauma has upended her life. Nevertheless the four witnesses she named could not corroborate any of the events of that evening gathering where she says the assault occurred. Is it true, senator there was no corroboration in that report . Youve read it. The report did not talk to any of the eight individuals that dr. Ford asked to be spoken to. So that is accurate. But the point is of course youre not going to find corroboration if you dont talk to the individuals that have been suggested. Theres a whole pattern of activity here and this falls somewhere between the concept off a Job Interview and as senator collins said last night. The concept one is innocent until proven guilty. Were not on either end of the spectrum. Were in the middle of that and in the middle of that you want to get to the pattern. We saw that kavanaugh directly defamed a young woman in his High School Year book, participating with other men saying they were part of a club that had been aggressive towards her and then he eproceeded to say that was simply a club about what good friend she was and then we have the pattern of him joining a fraternity that has a reputation for mistreating women and then we saw he joined a secret society that had a repue fragz mistreating women and then in his freshman year, his mate who lived right with him reported he heard about this incident with Debbie Ramirez and he relayed it to a friend, his roommate the first year of graduate school. Those individuals were not talked to. But that entire pattern has to be taken into account when deciding if this person is fiet serve on the Supreme Court of the United States of america and clearly he is not. Collins said in the end she thought it falled to meet the more likely than not standard. Do you think dr. Ford met that standard . If the standard is more likely than not and you see the pattern and the corroboration of Debbie Ramirezs experiences. Yes, its more likely than not he assaulted her in the fashion she described. Thank you for being here. Youre welcome can. From facebook, what do we have. It amazes me the democrats have become such obstructionests to the point of a planned smear campaign. I can their democrats responding to you in their living rooms and kitsch canens right now saying were the obstructionests . We wanted Merrick Garland and for a year barack obama couldnt put anybody in that position. Whats the next one . Hey, brett, me think thou dos protest too much. If you were a legitimate candidate, people wouldnt have to taken a hour explaining why. I like the logical manner in which she tried to lay out heir thinking. And therefore i applaud the independence i think she exhibited, even though in the end she voted along with her party members. Go to my website and answer the question. I showed you the video of bill mahr last night. Is he right when he says the me too movement has now mufred from listen to anyone who says shes been wronged to automatically believe. Cannot twiet see the result of that. Why while the nation has been transfixed on the russia probe, the economy remains robust. Ill ask democratic strategist. King being king midas, i expect the best of everything. You should too. And weve got all the top brands of tires. King yes indeed. Take these michelin tires, for example. King or these goodyear tires over here. I like this guy. Always a touch better means great brands at great prices. Now get up to 200 off select goodyear and cooper tires with the midas credit card. Request your appointment today. Whats going on . Oh hey thats it . Yeah. Thats it . Everybody two seconds dear sebastian, after careful consideration of your application, it is with great pleasure that we offer our congratulations on your acceptance. Through the Tuition Assistance program, every day mcdonalds helps more people go to college. Its part of our commitment to being americas best first job. Should happen everydred five hundred years, right . Fact is, there have been twentysix in the last decade. Allstate is adapting. With drones to assess home damage sooner. And if a flying object damages your car, you can snap a photo and get your claim processed in hours, not days. Plus, allstate can pay your claim in minutes. Now that you know the truth. Are you in good hands . Despite all the tumult in washington, it keeps humming along. Twhil economy be the factor that could help rally supporters for the midterms . I speak with political strategist. The most predictable question madgeinable. 3. 7 unemployment, a 49year low but against the back drop of kavanaugh and russia. Is it still the economy, stupid . I think its always the economy is always a big issue. The economy was good when theed a mun stragz took office. Its bter now but thats a result of a trillion dollar worth of stimulus. And there are things people are excited about and mad about a lot of other things. But understand this is just taking something that was good and its gotten better for predictable outcome of what they did by increasing spending and cutting taxes. I dont think it was the smartest thing to do in a recovery but wool rr see. Would it have been better for the gop because the base would have been so pod theyd all come out to vote . I just found myself today, to the democrats kavanaugh is worth a lot more alive than dead. Whats going tee be very interesting. Usually they go to the Supreme Court and every once in a while they write a decision. This is not going to go away. Theyre not going to stop doing stories on kavanaugh. The democrats win the house, thaul rr probably hold some kind of hearings on the fact that lot of people think he purgered himself during his conformation hearing said to the court of appeals. Hes not going to go away. Had they defeated him, they would have just pucked somebody eke weal as right wing as kavanaugh and rammed him through in a lame duck session. They were not going to get the seat on the Supreme Court and i think todays result is probably as good as you can hope for. I saw that had shrunk to two but that was before the vote was taken. I was thinking but now that kavanaughs going to go through, then what to enthusiasm . I think some of the resentment against kavanaugh people think he was treated unfair. Some of that is going to stick. The other thing is record high turnout in november. Flrs argument was the democrats are stoked and some of the will reseed but they do a good job rallying the base and the people. But watch out the democrats are pretty jacked up right now. Do you think one of the reasons the white house may have tripled down with kavanaugh was the idea year going to lose the house. We may as well go forward in the senate because you know the odds are dramatically different. And could that have been part of their calculus . I think at the end of the day, the carnage, they cant be really happy with with the way this thing is and understand im really serious. Unlike most Supreme Court appointments, they just reseed in the background. Kavanaugh is going to be anithsue in 2020. The press is not going to stop all these things theyre working on about kavanaugh. Its one of these Amazing Things thats never happened before where a sitting Supreme Court justice is going to be a real issue in the coming campaign. This is what you get when you go to a trailer park with a hundred dollar bill. No. Thats actually a reference to something somebody said. It didnt go over so well in twnt wane. What were you thinking when you heard that . I said a lot of things. I was cracking a joke. It was about jennifer flowers and i dont think dr. Blasey ford strikes me as a little bit of a different deal here, you know. But im always complimented when someone uses my lines. Frrts a little legacy out there, michael. Theres going to be room issues on that tombstone. We hope its 100 years from now but which is going to be the final one, we edont know. As a political strategist, do you think the russians could have pulled off what they pulled off without some kind of assistance within the United States . No and fl is a zbraer book out. A very respected academic. And she says the russians did throw the election to trump. Well keep doing that. Do i know that President Trump himself was doing this . I doubt that but they had americans helping them every step oof the way. They were targeting African American voters in detroit and telling them to vote by text. They knew who they were going for and what kind of message it was. I dont think theres any doubt they had assistance. What im not prepared to saw is theres no doubt trump orhis people were involved in this. Mueller will tell us how much and i know there was professional american help, just not certain as to who it was. Thank you for being here. Michael, always a pleasure. You have a great show and thank you. What do we have, catherine . Imagine how much more like 45 would be if he would just shut up and ride a strong economy. I hear you but would he be able to jin up the enthusiasm you see those rallies, those crowds. The asshic side of him that finds him offensive is what drive said them into the stadiums and arenas to hear more of what he has to say. Its his bless and curse, politically speaking. Kavanaugh, the jobs report. Is a trade war on the horizon with china . Ill can the Senior Advisor for trade and manufacture policy and hes here. And john kerry rr about midterms and the kavanaugh nomnation. Its quite different from thesont in which you served. It looks like one individual, joe manchion. This is going to dhaus senate and the country. That might help. Show me the carfax . Now the car you want and the history you need are easy to find. Show me used minivans with no reported accidents. Boom. Love it. [struggles] show me the carfax. Start your used car search and get free carfax reports at the allnew carfax. Com. When i walked through a snowthats when i knewtte, i had to quit. For real this time. Thats why im using nicorette. Only nicorette gum has patented dualcoated technology for great taste. Plus intense craving relief. Every great why, needs a great how. [ telephone ringing ] whoa. [ indistinct talking ] deductible . Definitely speaking insurance. Additional interest on umbrella policy . Can you translate . Damage minimization of civil commotion. When insurance needs translating, get answers in plain english at progressiveanswers. Com. He wants you to sign karens birthday card. Its a high honor. Its been a great fwreek President Trump. And theechb New York Times has conceded. An ambitious and elusive trade agreement with canada and mexico. Might a trade war loom. He has just authored this piece. By the way no less than for innew york fail the Industrial Base is at risk and heres what the white house is going to do about it. You argue that a core threat to the u. S. Industrial base comes from china. Is the point youre making is that our defense is too dependent on their supply chain . But its a bigger problem. The over arching idea is that economic surt is National Security. Thats through strength and what drives us is the idea that you need a Strong Manufacturing and defense Industrial Base, both for Economic Prosperity and National Security. So this was commissioned by the president over a year ago. Defense department did a great job on it and what we find the bad news is lohse to 300 vulnerabilities, include thing four independent you mngzed. The good news is were attacking them quickly and immediately. But there are things like printed circuit boards, Critical Materials like rare earth. Mostly china but a lot of other issues as well. We have things called single points of failure. For our submarines, gun turts, rocket fuel, missiles. Infrared it tecters which you need for missile defense. What year going to do is attack this problem in a way that is both going to strengthen our defenses and create good paying manufacturing jobs for the men and women who work with their hands in america. I feel like you survived the prelimes and now were headed for the main event. But the up side and down side are much greater in this next round. Would you agree . No in the sense that the mexico canada relationship is ultimate lee much more important economically. Were trying to turn north america back into the hemisphere Global Manufacturing power house and all three countries won. That isnt always the case when you reset a free trade agreement. But in this case the regional content rules coupled with the strong labor environmental provisions really bring back our auto and auto parts industry. So this was a great victory for the president. He was criticized for even trying this but it worked. With resneekt chinese relationship, i think the other landmark thing that happened was Vice President pences speech where he effectively reset the u. S. china relationship following through on the d. C. National Security Strategy with the president. We have to be clear eyed about this. Its an economic predator. It steals our stuff every day as we sleep and speak. And we need confront that and thats what this president is doing. Does this president intend to follow through on his tax if they continue to retaliate against his tariffs . Have you seen him back down on anything from trade where he says hes going to to it . Not so far i havent. What heres just you refer thns Vice President and i pay close attention to that inspeech and two vessels came within 50 yards of one another. Im trying to make the point that the stakes are higher because of the National Security implication. Geo politically youre absolutely right. Economically, do not underestimate the value in this regional relationship. Its going to be a great thing for the american worker. But the china issue. This is going to be a long standing issue. When you refer thns ships in the south china sea, what was that about . Ual, theyre building these artificial islands and stacking them to the nines with all sort of misdefenses and things like that. And whats at stake is freedom of navigation through a central artery of the world where 2 3 of all is closed. And thats why year doing the freedal of navigation control. We didnt try to collide with them, they tried to collide with us. Lets be clear about that. Quickly, finally, do you when you publish in the failing New York Times . No. I dont know if the big guy will like that. Did peter just jeopardize if he loves the show is that going to play okay back at 1600 pennsylvania . What have we got . The Unemployment Rate numbers under obama are fake. Now theyre believable under trump. Theres no tout. I remember when the labor secretary would come on with the new job numbers. And we would go over them and the response from the president was well, theyre not reflective of those opting out of unemployment. Its a good thing. I heard Christine Roman say it this week. Full employment. We are there. So i dont care who gets the credit and the blame, im thrilled virtually every american who wants a job right now can get one. Im asking you to respond. Last night bill mahr said Something Interesting about dr. Fords allegations. It does seem like things have morphed from listen to any woman who says shes been wronged, which is the right thing to do to automatically believe. Thats whats scary. I want to know if you agree with what bill mahr said last night. Go to my website at smerk i just sat down with former secretary of state john kerry and what his response is to mike pompeos accusations that hes meddling in the trump administrations dealings with iran. All of them from oogter Political Party ought not to be engaged in actively undermining u. S. Policy as a former secretary of state is literally unheard of. The new Capital One Savor card. Earn 4 cash back on dining and 4 on entertainment. Now when you go out, you cash in. Whats in your wallet . ready to juvederm it . Correct agerelated volume loss in cheeks with Juvederm Voluma xc, add fullness to lips with juvederm ultra xc and smooth moderate to severe lines around the nose and mouth with juvederm xc. 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What secretary carey has done is unseemly and unpres tented. This is a former secretary of state engaged with the Worlds Largest state sponsor of terror. What secretary kerry did was hurtful to america. I sat to talk with the former secretariet of state. Every day is extratracing his path from diplomat son, tour, and secretary of state. Ive been reading your book while watch thing kavanaugh process play itself out. You said i wondered why some of my call oogs even wanted to be there if they couldnt vote the way their hearts and minds told them. Is that what we witnessed in the friday vote and saturday . Well, its possible. I mean im not inside the minds of some of those folks but they are drilled into a corner by the ideological orthodox and people are worried about threats of primary and i think its unfortunate. Its not totally new but the intensity of the these days is very different and dangerous. Very different from the senate in which you served. It looked like one vinyl, joe manchion is voting with the other side. I mean everybody feels offended. And i think principals have both been treated in a way that raises questions about the process. Mistakes have been made. Youre no longer secretary of state and yet youre crossing swords with this president , the current secretary of state. They dont want you involved. Im not involved. Im speaking out as a citizen in america. If they dont want me to speak out, thats a different issue but i have not met with any iranians since the president pulled out of the agreement, period and i think its important for people to focus on the real issues which are is this the best policy for the United States to be pulling out of an agreement which we helped create, which was being kept can and by pulling out i think loses the best option of all which would have been use staying in for some period of time to get the chinese and russians to work with us to do a better job in yemen and work on hezbollah, which is a terrorist organization. So we could have leveraged Better Outcomes but by just pulling out and angering everybody, i dont think it serves the best interests of our count can wrnery and im free t speak my mind. I suspect you wont stop doing so . Stop being an american citizen . No. Some might not remember that john kerry began his career in massachusetts as a prosecutor. I loved it. One of the best jobs i ever had. Loved it. I know you dont know what he has in terms of evidence. From the outside, looking in, do you think theres a case to be made for conspiracy collusion . I mean literally without knowing what bob mueller has or what theyre doing at this point in time i mean the fact that they have a meeting in the trump tower and emails are exchanges which express their love of receiving from russians the materials calculated to hurt the other kand tcandidate theyre r against is prime i love the idea of getting dirt from these other people you dont have a meeting. Where that goes in the larger legal sense . Will all the sufficient qualifications be met . Is there excull puatory evidence, im not suggesting what bob mueller should do but theres no doubt in my mind that Trump Campaign was anxious to get information from anywhere and the president went out and said i hope they release all the emails. I think nobodys fooled by the protss that you hear today. So many of us final question. So many of us are consumed with the kavanaugh process and the mueller probe, meanwhile the Unemployment Rate is at a 49year low, 3. 7 according to jobs dottau that came out friday morning. Is that going to be the more significant issue to midterm voters . No, i dont believe so. Even as there is low unemployment, theres what you call underemployment. Many, many people who are working in jobs that there not as high paying as the jobs they had before. And the salaries of many people, even are in the jobs they are before are not going up sufficiently to meet the cost and empower people to be able to live the fullness of their assprations and the American Dream and thats a problem. The tax bill really did enormous good for the big corporations for the people who could repateriate money from overseas, for the stock market, for billionaires. Theyre doing very well. The Upper Echelon of america is doing extremely well but people are struggling in middle and lower ends are still struggling to get ahead and still feeling the pain of the upset of 2008. I dont think people are focussed on that. I think they feel theres a certain chaos unour governance. I think they feel washington is not getting the job done still and interesting candidates, many of them veterans of afghanistan or iraq or getting into politics for the first time from professional lives who know that the system is broken and they want to try to fix it and i think this Midterm Election is one of the most important course collection elections weve had for a long, long time in this country. Thank you, mr. Secretary. Thank you. Still to come your best and worst facebook comments. Arent kerrys actions a form of treason . I dont think theres any violation of the logan act and hes going to continue to be an american citizen but you just heard him say emphatically that he hasnt met with any iranian citizens. By the way that book of his very engaging, interesting. The guy has led a forest gumplike existence. I enjoyed our time together. Were going to give you the final result of the survey question. Do you agree with bill mahr that me too movement has morphed from listen to any woman who says shes been wronged to automatically believe . Quickly go cast a ballot at. U. Its americas most popular street name. But allstate agents know thats where the similarity stops. If youre on park street in reno, nevada, the high winds of the Washoe Zephyr could damage your siding. And thats very different than living on park ave in sheboygan, wisconsin, where ice dams could cause water damage. But no matter what park you live on, one of 10,000 local allstate agents knows yours. 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Homelessness. Gavin newsom, it happened on your watch. So, yeah. It is time for a change. Time for someone new. It does seem like things are more from listening to any woman thats been wronged which is the right thing to do to automatically believe. Thats whats scary. So i heard him say that last night. I thought that is a great poll question. This is my prediction. Probably about to embarrass myself, not for the first time. Question today. Do you agree that the me too movement has more from listen to any woman that says she has been wronged to automatically believe. Survey says, i am going to embarrass myself. 55 agree with him. I thought in this audience 64 would say no. Would that leave 36 that said yes . Interesting. 55 agree with bill maher that it is now you have to believe. What do we have. Interesting result. Hit me with some results. Smerconish, bill is right. Logic and nuance are completely lost in our Tribal Society and politics now. I said it disappointed me with the Senate Judiciary committee how many were weighing in before judge kavanaugh or dr. Ford had shown up to testify. People were saying i believe her, oh, i dont believe him, vice versa. Im like sit there, listen to the evidence. Thats your job. What else . Im not going to predict any more. Smerconish, if the standard should be on the lines of listen but dont automatically believe for women that claim Sexual Assault, the same standard needs to apply to men who deny the allegations. Listen but dont automatically believe. Heres what i think. You have to take cases one at a time, evaluate the evidence and credibility of everybody and not come up with some blanket this is what the prism will be. Thanks for watching. I appreciate it. See you next week. Come fly with me, lets fly, lets fly away. Come fly with me, lets fly, lets fly away. Metastatic Breast Cancer is relentless, but im relentless too. Mbc doesnt take a day off, and neither will i. 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Click, call or visit a store today. Good morning. 10 00. I am christi paul. I am victor blackwell. The votes have been pledged and the reasons all laid out. Now it seems all thats left is to vote Brett Kavanaugh to the high court. A few hours until the vote this afternoon. It doesnt mean democrats are done. Look at the senate floor. Democrats pulled an