One, is this the 2016 version of fuzzy math . Just in case you havent heard, were winning. Not only florida, but were going to win the whole thing. Question two now the real numbers show donald trump losing with just two weeks to election day, but can Hillary Clinton close the deal . So weve got to make it clear that donald is not on the side of American Workers or american families. For all of this talk about putting america first, he makes his products in at least 12 other countries. And question three did donald trump just give the democrats a grand new turnout tool . And on november 8th, we nasty women are going to march our nasty feet to cast our nasty votes to get you out of our lives forever with us on this Beautiful Day to share reporting and insights, karen tumulty, heidi of usa today and politicos glenn thrush. Not exactly a surprise, but the Obama Administration just handed donald trump a giant oct gifobe gift. A new report indicating if you get your health care through the Affordable Care act, obama care, 17 premiums are average are going up 22 . Thats three times the increase of last year. This election is going to be about obama care. Its going to be about jobs. Its going to be about a lot of things, but obama care is just blowing up and even the white house, our president , announced 25 or 26 . That number is so wrong that is such a phony number, youre talking about 60 , 70 , 80 increases, not 25 and all of my employees are having tremendous problems with obama care. What theyre going through think their health care is horrible because of obama care. So well repeal it and relace it. E heard donald trump. Said all my employees are having trouble, but 99 get their coverage through the hotel. Employprovided health care. A tiny percentage. This is a gift. Republican nominee for president , Republican Party said from the beginning this would not work. An argument about it wont work, argument shes more of a same, argument a republican saying this is government meddling in your life. Any conservative could hrip thi up any other way but did donald trump with two weeks to go . He doesnt have an idea what obama care is. People who work for Large Companies do not get their health care try Affordable Act changes. Says all employees struggle with it, then says they dont really have it. Until you understand how it works and where the weaknesses are and we are finding there are a lot of them, you cant explain to people exactly how you were going to fix it. So he is trying to sort of glide past this with just a promise that whatever he comes up with will be bigger and better and cheaper and better and better. Its certainly a its a the first real gift in the sense its a real legitimate pocketbook issue. But theres two issues here. First is, can he stay on message . Can he really have, the message discipline hes lacked all along in this entire campaign . Question one. Bigger question, too, is about obama care itself. Were in a different time now that obama care the first election since the healthcare. Gov exchange took place and the question is, is obama care really the boogie man it was before it was enacted . If you look at polling you see it is still slightly more seen unfavorably than favorable but not an issue that ranks high because at the time some see big premium increases its also helping a lot of people. And look how unenthusiastic he was talking about it. Remember that great moment on saturday night live when chevy chase says, i thought there would be no math. He was definitely getting into the weeds on stuff. Rushing through it to get into a more, to more comfortable territory. The other thing about it is, he puts out a statement. This really is a totally giftwrapped issue for him. The first big break in a couple weeks. Right . And the statement he puts out, whats the first thing he says . Does he make it about the american people, actually identify people really suffering from that . Any competent campaign would rush a commercial somewhere. Press release, i told you so. I told you so. Not talking about politics. Incredibly complicated. You want to understand it, especially if you want to repeal and replace it, republicans do, you better be able to explain those who benefited from it and those who like the fact other people are benefiting from it. Explain. Live to this back in the second debate. The town hall debate when the issue came up and when donald trump talks about it kind of not exactly specific. Its very bad, very bad health insurance. Far too expensive. We have to repeal it, and replace it with something absolutely much less expensive, and something that works. Where your plan can actually be tailored. We have to get rid of the lines around the state, artificial lines where we stop, Insurance Companies, from coming in and competing because they wanted president obama and whoever was working on it, they want to leave these lines because that gives Insurance Companies essentially monopolies. We want competition. Thats a familiar republican talking point. Part of it. But he doesnt almost sounds like hes regurgitating talking points given in debate prep but not comfortable going through the nuances of the policy. He doesnt. In the primary debates, marco rubio pretty mercifullessly mocked him with lines around the states being the key to his plan and even if you look on his website, theres not a lot of detail in terms what he would want to do. On the other hand, you have had Hillary Clinton talk much more in detail about this. She obviously has a history in terms of thinking about and planning for Health Care Going back to hillary care. So he just sdrhave it in him to make these sort of policy arguments, and also if you think what he was saying today, some of his employees do seem to be on obama care. And it seems to be the parttime workers and the low, sort of the lowwage Service Workers who are on obama care, because theyre only allowed 30 hours a week, which is something sometimes employers do so they can avoid paying for health care. So its and the other thing is, this is one of those issues where there is genuine daylight between Hillary Clinton and barack obama. By the way, genuine daylight between Hillary Clinton, barack obama and bill clinton who came out a couple weeks saying saying this was the craziest thing in terms of the middle class increases on the premiums. There is a ton of things he could have gotten up and exploited and didnt. Also if you happen to be donald trump a gift. Not just nationally. Arizona, Hillary Clinton leading. 116 subjected policy increase. 22 nationally. 53 in pennsylvania. 40 in north carolina. 2 in ohio, more modest. 2 in florida today. Those are president ial battleground states. You would think hed make the case. And kelly ayotte, republican candidate in New Hampshire. Talked a lot her in recent weeks because shes in a very tight race dragged down by trump is losing New Hampshire by about double digits. Kelly ayotte, toughly in a debate said donald trump could be a role model and tried to pull it back. Her campaign is in trouble. Guess whats on tv in New Hampshire today . Maggie hassan cant stand up to her party. She support the broken Health Care Bill even bill clinton called the craziest thing in the world. Kelly will do what it takes to make health care affordable. I trust kelly to put New Hampshire first. Thats what a Smart Campaign does. Youre saying, this is probably a gift but not a gift to trump because he doesnt know how to unwrap it, but republicans down the ballot will and are now starting to make this case that they want to kind of move away from trump and cast themselves as a check and balance on Hillary Clinton. Well, they can use this exhibit a. Seeing down ballot candidates do and outside money spending groups like americans for prosperity driving hard on this all along, kind of underscoring the point that donald trump could have done a lot more to try and exploit this as well at the top of the ticket. But i do think these candidates are also going to have to answer the question of what exactly they would replace this with . Because, assuming that the polls are correct, and that Hillary Clinton is going to be elected the next president of the United States, fixing this law, which is not only being beset by Cost Increases also the fact in a lot of states insurance company, dropping out of these exchanges left and right. Leaving people with very little of that choice that they were promised in their health care plans. This is likely to be the first big serious domestic governing challenge for Hillary Clinton. And, i mean in some ways republicans sounded like a broken record. This is what theyve been saying, repeal, replace the last many cycles. Hasnt worked yet. A lot of numbers are baked into the cake. Slightly, Something Like 47 to 44 , 47 disapprove. 44 approve, and still its such a small slice. About 22 Million People are getting obama care. The rest kuchbt is getting their health care through their employee. So it isnt clear this is going to be one of those issues that really changes minds. An even smaller slice actually affected by these premium increases. Only 5 million to 7 million. Spring that across the battleground states pap small number. But the american taxpayers in general are having to pay these gigantic subsidies that go along with people who cant afford premi premiums. See if it plays out and if donald trump gets more comfortable with it. And the other point in a battleground with a senate race, obama is back like in 2012 and 2014. Look at your tv. Coming to you. Donald trump says the election is rigged. Who trusts the system and how many think trump will refuse to concede if he loses. What . Is he gone . . Finally, i thought hed never leave. Tv character why are you texting my man at 2 a. M. . No. If you want someone to leave you alone, you pretend like youre sleeping. Its what you do. If you want to save fifteen percent or more on Car Insurance, you switch to geico. Its what you do. Tv character taking selfies in the kitchen does not make you a model. 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Donald trump would have you believe those numbers are made up by the media. Thinks were cooking the books. The media isnt just against me. Theyre against all of you. Thats really what theyre against. Theyre not against me. Theyre against what we represent. Like Hillary Clinton, they look down on the hardworking people of the country. Now, do you buy that . Meaning, lets get to the big question, do you think the election is actually rigged . Take a peek here at new cnn orc polling. Twothirds, 66 of confident votes will be cast and counted accurately. Higher than in 2008 and down a little from when asked back in 2004. Not surprisingly a sharp partisan divide. Nearly nine in ten clinton supporters have confidence in the election system. Just 49 of Trump Supporters do. We add the questions to the polls because trump is out there saying its a rigged election. Clear, twothirds think, no. Its okay. Spotty cases here and there, but what impact does this discussion have as we go into the final weeks if donald trump keeps doubling, tripling, quadrupling down on this idea the media is cooking the books, dont believe the polls. Theyre not just rigging the election. Dont believe anything they tell you. The thing the polls are rigged actually has a strategic impact for him and makes more sense than saying the election is rigged. Saying the polls are rigged basically saying, still giving people some kind of incentive or motivation to go to polls. The bigger question is really, what happens after the election, because as many people have made comparisons to 2000, there is no comparison to 2000, because the argument in 2000 was that it was a very close election, and no one was alleging fraud. We were talking about mechanical error and outdated, antiquated voting systems and hanging chads in florida. No one was saying there was a grand scale conspiracy to rig the entire election. Were in a new frontier on that sense. This is a classic trumpian attack that goes back to the reason why the guy son the National Stage in the first place, embracing the birther movement. About questioning the legitimacy of all of these institutions that we subscribe to. The media isnt biased against him. 2 billion of earned media before people really started to scrutinize him, but i think this is pointed to something else, and its something more personal for trump. He has got it set up now, forget about the larger constitutional implications. On election night, Hillary Clinton is going to give her speech presumably wearing the white suit again. Right . We are all going to be focuses on what he is going to say. This is all funneled towards donald trump and his capacity to hog the spotlight. Exactly right. Hillary clinton will have her moment, likely her historic moment and people will be waiting to see what he says. I think the truth is, even if he concedes that night, its likely that he might go back a couple days later and say, well, im not really sure whether or not this thing was on the up and up. I think hes very much on track to be more of like a Rush Limbaugh figure, a sean hannitytype figure. Never running as a statesman, so to expect that tuesday night hell give a gracious concession speech is unlikely, and i think no matter what he says, his people are likely going to see Hillary Clinton as an illegitimate president. They saw barack obama in many ways as an illegitimate president even though mccain conceded. Yet in our poll, 77 say a president ial loser is obligated to accept results and concede. 77 . A lot of Trump Supporters. Yeah, but its its not going to be sort of the ones in the raw emotion of the night, and i do think there is a fairly good chance that the story there will be the competing story lines when would be, america just elected its first female president and the second would be, that this was somehow illegitimate. By the way, the never trump faction of the Republican Party has, you know, some incentive here, too. To sort of say, well, she only got elected because she was running against such a flawed candidate. So lets go ahead and turn our attention to blocking her agenda and making you know, its the opening gun for 2020. Interesting. One last footnote. If trump loses will he accept results and concede . 61 say, no. 35 say yes. See how that plays out, as this conversation plays out trump saying its a rigged election, dont trust the media. Hes launched eechkd newscast on at 6 30 in the east. When you used to tune in for Walter Cronkite and the like. Called trump tv. Campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway. Means er S Erin Burnett cant laughing but 46,000 or so watching. On Facebook Live ashes good number. What is this here . Rallying . Keeping morale up because reporters hearing youre losing . A link to raise money. Is it about fundraising or as cynics say, testing out the postelection trump media empire when he again today in a radio interview flatly denied any interest in . I think its about going around the filter. And hes been successful at that. That certainly, you know, that was the whole success he had on twitter. For better or worse, going around the filter. Hes just pushing it into the next frontier. Well, george bush called it the filter, too. The way he got around it, going to the local press. I think this is taking it to a new level, and if you look at who his Main Advisors are, theyre essentially media executives. Steve bannon, roger ailes, informal adviser and if these poll numbers hold and donald trump loses hes not going to ride off into the sunset like we discussed and concede this election. Hell have a new, some kind of a new something after the election, and i dont think its unreasonable to say that its possible that this is also the germ of something that could carry on postelection. They do have a list. They get at these events in fundraising. A long list of supporters see if they build a political move 0 tv network. To that point, president obama on jimmy kimmel. You mentioned questions about the legitimacy of the white house and the president has been under a lot of fire from donald trump recently called among other thing as cry baby. The president was having a little fun. President obama will go down as perhaps the worst president in the history of the United States. Exclamation point. realdonaldtrump. Well, realdonaldtrump, at least i will go down as a president. A little fun from the president. Reading mean tweets on jimmy kimmel. His approach. Essentially mockery. Essentially trash talking donald trump for many, many months. Taking him seriously, but not taking him too seriously. Treating him like someone who, you know, was was the host of apprentice while Hillary Clinton and obama were dealing with osama bin laden. We asked about trumps end game with trump tv. Maybe the president is auditioning for his new career. And team clinton ponders a path to checkmate. [accountant] my job is to manage and grow businesses. And ive never seen a rocket ship take off like this. [owner] im lindsey. Im the founder of ezpz. My accountant. Hes almost like my dad in this weird way. Yeah, im proud of you. You actually did some of the things i asked you to do the other day laughs . [owner] ha, ha, ha. [accountant] ive been able to say, okay. Heres the challenges youre going to have. And we can get it confirmed through our quickbooks. And what steps are we going to use to beat these obstacles before they really become a problem. [announcer] get 30 days free at quickbooks. Com teachers, nurses and firefightes support prop 51. Prop 51 will upgrade libraries, science labs, and Classroom Technology and relieve School Overcrowding creating more opportunity. And better learning for students help students succeed vote yes on 51. Teachers, firefighters and nurss support prop 51. Prop 51 repairs older schools and removes dangerous lead paint and pipes ensuring classrooms are safe for all students. For safe schools vote yes on 51. Welcome back. Our new poll shows Hillary Clinton up by five points. A narrower gap than oh po other but still big for Hillary Clinton. Deep inside the poll for interesting nuggets to keep an eye on as we head into the final two weeks. One, look at midwest. Donald trumps path to the presidency. Show you this in a bit, through the midwest, the rust belt states, but Hillary Clinton leads by seven points now in the midwest. A big gain for her in places that matter come leelectoral college. And influencing a bit, still 11point lead for Hillary Clinton in western states. Show you in a second why that matters more. If youre donald trump, anything encouraging in the poll, running ahead among independents. A key swing group in electorate. Donald trump leading, before he celebrates, mitt romney won by five points over barack obama among independents four years ago and, of course, lost the election. The margin for donald trump while one positive in our poll, probably not enough. Look at one other data point. Florida. This one here is a little stunning. Hillary clinton leading among voters age 65 and older. By five points. 50 to 45 . Among the most reliable voters in the country. Mitt romney won those over age 65 by 12 points four years ago. Hillary clinton leading donald trump. That number holds up, she wins the presidency. Flip over to the map that matters most. What i meant by that. Hillary clinton leading in the midwest, as i said. Thats Donald Trumps most viable path to the presidency. She has him blocked now. Hillary clinton leading out west. Again, big influence for california, but nevada, arizona and utah still in play. Hillary clinton doing well in the Mountain West and west, an area donald trump needs to do better if he gets the white house and older voters, florida not the only state. If Hillary Clinton is running ahead over voters over 65 makes florida look better. Hillary clinton knows she has the advantage. A brand new ad released today in battleground states including florida, north carolina, ohio, pennsylvania, New Hampshire, iowa, nevada. Those are the states Hillary Clinton thinks matters most. Heres a closing message. When someone makes the comment they know more about the Islamic State orriisil than the generals complies ignorance of the reality. I believe secretary clinton really understand the threat possessed to the yeets aunited and to the people and understands how to wield American Power to meet this threat and to keep us safe. Help me on this one. Knows she has a commanding damage. Have two weeks. Maybe shift back, but general allen, distinguished service, not criticizing but isis keep you safe. Not an economy ad. Why . From what ive seen and completely havent honed it yet, a pretty weak Closing Argument. Its kind of reverting back to some of the trouble with messaging in the primaries. Again, she has rocketed ahead to this commanding lead in some of these battleground states on the backs by disqualifying him. Right. Still not seen her make a closing affirmative argument for herself that gets into the texture of what her presidency would be. Youre totally right about the economy. The other thing important were not hearing is we are not hearing what we heard at the end of the primary season, which was, an appeal to the historic nature of her presidency. Have you heard real statements about being the first woman as president of the United States in the cabinet . Not a Closing Argument yet. I think there will be another wave of ads and this is reinforcing the overarching nair tav theyve tried to push from the beginning on temperament. Pull back in numbers in all of the polls showing that this has been a winning argument. They havent even had to really have an argument based on issues. Its been all about, you know, is she crooked or is he going to, know, press the button and cause a mushroom cloud. If it aint broke, dont fix it on disqualification, but well ahead in a race, try to close by getting to your gerching agenda to claim a mandate when its over . Looking at, seen Everything Else coming their way. Looking at the last sticky piece of this, which is the sense donald trump is strong. Donald trump is resolute and she is not. I think they are looking to sort of loosen the last bit of the constituency that they need to get on their side. And may have a bunch of ads out. Right . They just released an ad targeted at africanamericans. The khan ad. The obamas out there in some ways, those are ads. Certainly Getting Press in the local newspapers, in the local television stations there. And so far so good in terms of where they are in this race. And i do think that ad, again is about some of those republicans and moderate republicans with uncertainties about donald trump. Uncertainties particularly on Foreign Policy and hes honing in on that. And a preview of the stump speech, what well see possibly in the closing round of ads. An awkward dance shes doing now between beginning her stump speeches by pounding those down ballot republicans and immediately pivoting to, but im a unifying figure, and you republicans have a home with me. Anden lets all come together as americans, reject this hatred and bitterness, which is literally what shes doing in these speeches. Look, ive been watching her do this since 2008. Really since 2005 on her reelect. I just think shes got a real problem making an affirmative case for herself and a ton of different messaging. If you look at one takeaway from the wikileaks, podesta emails, a lot of it has to do with them struggling mightily irnternally to take an incredible array of stuff and jam it into an appealing message. Go out and talk to voters, you find that the one thing that keeps people from closing the deal is their disdain and lack of trust for her. I think as we close here shes got to make a much more affirmative argument. Our national poll, one issue donald trump leads, economy. Narrowly, but still leads on the economy. If it aint broke, dont fix it. Winning an election. Knit pick or ad strategy. Shes on a path at the moment two weeks is a long time to a convincing vict ory at the moment. You dont hear republicans saying, come on, democrats. Mike pence saying, come on, republicans. I want to submit to all of you, its time to reach out to all of our republican and conservative friends and say with one voice, its time to come home, and elect donald trump as the next president of the United States. Its time to come home and elect the trump pence team. Ive only been at this 30 years. Only round number eight for me in president ial politics but seems to be a sign of profound weakness when two weeks before an election youre saying, hey, guys, were on your team. Come vote for us. In utah. Yeah. Our poll at least shows that this is already happened. Right . I mean, like 90 of republicans are already onboard. I think romney like 92 . Thats not their problem at this point. Its the other groups you mentioned older voters. Supposed to be republicans do well. Should be targeting those voters. College educated white voters, shes up 11 with those voters. Romney won them by like 14 . Yeah, this is terrible that in the last days theyre in utah saying, republicans, please, back the republican ticket. I think theres probably a lot of republicans at this point looking back at that post mortem 2012 autopsy thinking, how did, with all due respect, we create basically the ultimate frankincandidate. What was needed to do in terms of reaching out to women, reaching out to minorities. Did you see the numbers out of florida . Latino voting up by about 99 . So essentially donald trump candidacy has accelerated, put on steroids, this demographic time bomb that the Republican Party has known has been there all along but thought it wouldnt come upon them until 2020, earliest, maybe 2024. Florida a key test of this. Donald trump there for the third consecutive day today. Hillary clinton there today. Tim kaine there yesterday. A narrow lead there. To your point, where you look at nonwhite voters especially the growing latino population. Autopsy of 2012, College Educated women added to the next autopsy. Sit tight. When we come back, donald trump attacks another accuser, and nasty woman becomes a Campaign Rallying Cry for the democrats. You dont let anything keep you sidelined. Thats why you drink ensure. With 9 grams of protein and 26 vitamins and minerals. For the strength and energy to get back to doing. What you love. Ensure. Always be you. You tell your inthey made a mistake. The check they sent isnt enough to replace your totaled new car. The guy says they didnt make the mistake. You made the mistake. I beg your pardon . He says, you should have chosen fullcar replacement. Excuse me . Let me be frank, he says. You picked the wrong insurance plan. 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What massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren in New Hampshire yesterday. When he did that, lean forward and said, such a nasty woman, democrats didnt like it but loved it. Gratuitous attack. Look at the demographics. 53 women. Demographics of the key swing states, pick north carolina, research triangle, its, its a gift. Much rather be nasty than crooked, and becoming kind of like this viral call for solidarity among her female base. Just like the deplorables comment made about trump has become kind of this viral thing, with people changing twitter handles, even branded merchandise over the internet. I dont think it does anything to win new votes but does anger women, and kind of fire up her base, and thats what she needs. And in some ways allows her, glenn talked about, shes not making historic candidacy argument. Allows her to make that argument without making that argument, because it allows her to say, shes the person who is going against this misogynistic candidate, and why dont all women rally behind her candidacy . You saw Michelle Obama make the same argument as well and weaves stuff into her speeches. Say Something Like, you know, im a listmaker. Because its because im a women. This is what women do. We make lists. Were prepared. So i think she is making that historical argument in a subtle way. Once again, its been sort of the, this sort of eternal rule of this campaign that nothing is so powerful against donald trump as his own words. And Hillary Clinton e especially with surrogates. Lets the surrogates do the harshest attack and criticizes trump somewhat but the fire and flames coming from Elizabeth Warren there. On this issue of donald trump and women, look at our national poll, 12point gender gap. Hillary clinton 12point lead nationally among women voters. One of trumps problems, women coming forward after the access hollywood tape. His first big problem. Brags about groping women and what would be crimes. Also works in the adult film industry. This morning on fox news asked, are you really going it sue all of these women . He said id like to get out of the subject. Attempt at discipline today but on the radio yesterday donald trump asked about a latest accuser. Heres what he said. Grab them on the, you know, as they say, on the arm, one said he grabbed me on the arm, and shes a porn star. Now, you know, this one that came out recently, he grabbed me, and he grabbed me on the arm. Oh, im sure shes never been grabbed before, and they make it so it is its all lies. Its all lies. I you get speechless, because at some point, even if this is who you are, if you want to win the white house, why wont you listen to the people telling you, mr. Trump, refuse to answer the question. Mr. Trump, do not say, oh, shes never been grabbed, like shes never been grabbed before. Stop digging. Go no further than dana bashs interview with Kellyanne Conway in which she essentially tez she had told him not to do it. Who goes to gettysburg on Hallowed Ground and starts out a unifying speech about suing all of these women after going beyond selfcontrol and into a new realm of whatever here. And also a continuation of his argument that he didnt grope these other women, because they werent good looking enough. As though groping is some kind of beauty prize. Its a compliment. His response has been despicable. Worsened his problem, and he seems to not be able to help himself. I mean, talk to his surrogates and people around him. This is his instinct to fight and fight and fight. Hes fought himself into a dump and keeps digging. The problem, look at polling, most voters think he did these things telegraphed it with his own words, and now from a female perspective, when he says im going to sue these women, a lot of women view that also as an intimidation tactic. Kind of a bullying tactic to prevent more women who may be out there from coming forward. On the trail joe biden had an interesting take. Same joe biden that would like to take donald trump out behind the gym if i were in high school. Listen to the other point biden this important to make here. Trump has so dumbed down this election no, he really has. Think about it that the press, decent people, all of these folks out there, what are you going to cover . Youre going to cover hillarys explanation how she pays for college, or youre going to cover trump saying that because hes famous he can go out and grope women. No. Im serious. Its been so outrageous, were not covered any of the issues, basically. I dont know about any of the issues, but he does have a point. These sensational stories keep coming forward and donald trump keeps talking ob them on Hallowed Ground in gel ttysburg im going to sue these women, and Hillary Clinton talking about making College Affordable doesnt get as much attention as this other stuff. And talking earlier in the show. Obama stuff, doesnt have a convincing counterargument. The nasty woman comment, gets me, in response, interrupting Hillary Clinton while talking about the Social Security trust fund. Right. Yeah. Is there a more clear juxtaposition . Social security saying find out of paying higher taxes. Couldnt help himself, had to get it in and looked so satisfied when he said it. Key point. He couldnt help himself. A problem throughout the campaign. Sit tight. A sneak peek into our reporters notebooks next and what republicans really think of theyre chances. My insurance rates are but dad, youve got. Allstate. With accident forgiveness they guarantee your rates wont go up just because of an accident. Smart kid. Indeed. Its good to be in, good hands. Welcome back. Lets ask our great reporters for a peek into their notebooks, ahead of the political news around the corner. The most Interesting Development in the last couple of cycles is that the Cook Political Report is now projecting it is more likely than not that the senate is going to switch control to the democrats. It shows that there was, in fact, collateral catch to the access hollywood tape, and that its going to have profound effects the republicans candidates thought they could distance themselves but it looks like a downdraft. Two weeks to work that out. Fitting sarah palin was in the audience and a guest of donald trump. The godmother for donald trump. The one in 2008 to be the raw populist talking about real america, once she lost that race, mastered twitter, mastered facebook. Became a thorn in the side of the Obama Administration in those first two years, coining phrases like death panels, advised by steve bannon at the height of her fame. She teased a run in 2012. As well in the runup to 2012 and also launched sarah palin tv. Now, sarah palin tv didnt really work, but interesting to see if the parallels continue in terms of what sarah palin has done and what donald trump will do. Can i call you nia . What is the big lesson of wikileaks . The question nobody in this town seems to answer because were poring through too many emails. I went straight to the government ethics watchdogs and asked. Basically exposes the ultimate irony of this election, which is that the one thing that United States the right and the left, Hillary Clinton voters, bernie voters, trump voters, this disgust with the way washington works and the connection to monied interests. Neither of these candidates, trumps swamp draining notwithstanding is proposing fundamental reforms to get at the problems of government ethics and current members of congress, reforming foia or fundamental Campaign Finance reform. Drain the swamp, and it will fill back up again unless you have these kind of reforms according to the watchdogs. Not terrible optimistic. Even though trump is camped out in florida, the question, not just his government resort is florida already gone . Are crackerjack caputo uncover add memo a republicanlinked group put out essentially says its baked into a 3 to 5 lead for Hillary Clinton already. Florida terms, remember 2,000, technically a landslide. Close connecting the dots from karen and glenn sharing the take of six republican strategists all six deeply involved in the fight to hold the gop senate majority. Zero res relationship with the tru hillary campaign. Whether they can hold the senate. Twobelieve, possible. Four said most likely not and trumps numbers are by far the biggest problem. Not just in the states where hes losing big. In other states underperforming past republicans. All six said they had zero doubt trump it headed to defeat. All six believed the margin will be huge. Again, these six are all involve ared in Key Senate Races which track the president ial battlegrounds. They know the numbers and ground games if the six states. All six see clinton winning, listen to this, more than 300 electoral votes. Three of the since, in the 350 to 360 range. Hardly clinton fans. Wow, if that holds up. Thats it for inside politics. Wolf is next, after a quick break. Im here in bristol, virginia. And now. Im in bristol, tennessee. On this side of the road is virginia. And on this side its tennessee. No matter which state in the country you live in, you could save hundreds on Car Insurance by switching to geico. Look, im in virginia. Im in tennessee. Virginia. Tennessee. And now im in virginessee. See how much you could save on Car Insurance. Or am i in tennaginia . Hmmm. Im hall of famer jerry west and my life is basketball. But that doesnt stop my afib from leaving me at a higher risk of stroke. Thatd be devastating. I took warfarin for over 15 years until i learned more about oncedaily xarelto. A latest generation blood thinner. Then i made the switch. Xarelto® significantly lowers the risk of stroke in people with afib not caused by a heart valve problem. It has similar effectiveness to warfarin. Warfarin interferes with vitamin k and at least six blood clotting factors. Xarelto® is selective targeting one critical factor of your bodys natural clotting function. For people with afib currently well managed on warfarin, there is limited information on how xarelto and warfarin compare in reducing the risk of stroke. Like all blood thinners, dont stop taking xarelto without talking to your doctor, as this may increase your risk of a blood clot or stroke. While taking you may bruise more easily, and it may take longer for bleeding to stop. Xarelto may increase your risk of bleeding if you take certain medicines. Xarelto can cause serious, and in rare cases fatal bleeding. Get help right away for unexpected bleeding, unusual bruising or tingling. If you have had spinal anesthesia while on xarelto watch for back pain or any nerve or muscle related signs or symptoms. Do not take xarelto if you have an artificial heart valve or abnormal bleeding. Tell your doctor before all planned medical or dental procedures. Before starting xarelto tell your doctor about any conditions, such as kidney, liver or bleeding problems. To help protect yourself from a stroke, ask your doctor about xarelto. Theres more to know. Xarelto. Hello. Im wolf blitzer. Its noon in panama city, florida. 1 00 p. M. Here in washington. 8 00 p. M. In baghdad. Wherever youre watching from around the world, thanks very much for joining us. Up first, two weeks to go. 14 days and counting until the president ial election here in the United States. The candidates are in a sprint to the finish line as they fight for key battleground states. One of the biggest, of course, florida, with 29 electoral votes. Both Hillary Clinton and donald trump, they are campaigning in florida today. Clinton holds an early voting rally i