set the stakes for us in light of the new poll. >> reporter: as you said, the key thing to keep in mind is that donald trump is far and away the front-runner. his support is as wide, jake, as it is deep. and i remember being here in 2016. he was ahead at this point in the polls. he didn't win. he lost to ted cruz. and a big reason is because it was organic. he had no organization on the ground. it is very different this time, jake. his campaign has been doing it in a very specific way. they have precinct captains at the caucus sites. the candidate is asking over and over of his aides is, what about the weather? he's very concerned about it. obviously, all of the candidates, everybody here is. i came in here, and it was with the windchill, minus 40 degrees.