let's start with the republicans. we have trump 29, carson 22, bush 6, fiorina 5, paul 5, walker 5. this is where the numbers are more surprising. trump 28 and casic 12. carson 11. bush down to fourth place. 8%. fiorina 6, walker 4. what is happening to jeb bush? >> well, he is in a bit of a small collapse. it's only september. with casic leaping ahead like that, that's a problem for push in new hampshire. >> casic has been smart and spent early money and knows if he got a shot, it is going to be in the state of new hampshire. >> why? >> well, because in the primary, independence can cross over. casic's brand of politics, he likes to say it's not partisan. he is a governor who gets things done with brought appeal. if new hampshire voters are