candidate with the more enthusiastic voters will beat their polls by even more. look, donald trump is up by our latest math 51 percentage points to nikki haley's 17. so it's not that she can really bridge that gap unless something truly catastrophic happens with the polling or that this weather has a much more measurable impact than we think it will. look, 10, 20 points off, totally within the realm of impossibility. >> if the polling data is accurate, i mean, i said the other night in watching the cnn debate between desantis and haley they had trained their guns exclusively on each other. if one totally decimated the other, it still doesn't give them enough unless trump's numbers take a tumble. here is my question for you. how many non-incumbents running for president have been in trump's position at this stage?