49.8 to 49.6. that means he almost won the iowa caucus. can he win big there again this time? will voters want to give him that sort of take-home trophy? >> clear that's what he's looking for. clearly in terms. trends he's not trending in the right way. what we're seeing is that elizabeth warren is actually the one who's taking a lot of the support from where his voters were before. she's the one who's really speaking and mobilizing them the way that he should be. so you know, yeah, he should be one to have a top showing in iowa. but he very well may not. that's not going to bode well for his campaign. >> to the point, if you're polling very well, if you're the front-runner like joe biden, maybe you don't have to win iowa. is that what he's banking, iowa maybe matters but there will be other opportunities for him? >> joe biden has said his firewall with south carolina because of his strength with african-americans voters. we've seen elizabeth warren starting to peel away a little bit. if warren peels acertain percentage away from joe biden, does well in iowa, maybe has an